Use of aspirin, other nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and acetaminophen and risk of endometrial cancer: the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium.

BACKGROUND: Regular use of aspirin has been associated with a reduced risk of cancer at several sites but the data for endometrial cancer are conflicting. Evidence regarding use of other analgesics is limited. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We pooled individual-level data from seven cohort and five case-control studies participating in the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium including 7120 women with endometrial cancer and 16 069 controls. For overall analyses, study-specific odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using logistic regression and combined using random-effects meta-analysis; for stratified analyses, we used mixed-effects logistic regression with study as a random effect. RESULTS: At least weekly use of aspirin and non-aspirin nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) was associated with an approximately 15% reduced risk of endometrial cancer among both overweight and obese women (OR = 0.86 [95% CI 0.76-0.98] and 0.86 [95% CI 0.76-0.97], respectively, for aspirin; 0.87 [95% CI 0.76-1.00] and 0.84 [0.74-0.96], respectively, for non-aspirin NSAIDs). There was no association among women of normal weight (body mass index < 25 kg/m2, Pheterogeneity = 0.04 for aspirin, Pheterogeneity = 0.003 for NSAIDs). Among overweight and obese women, the inverse association with aspirin was stronger for use 2-6 times/week (OR = 0.81, 95% CI 0.68-0.96) than for daily use (0.91, 0.80-1.03), possibly because a high proportion of daily users use low-dose formulations. There was no clear association with use of acetaminophen. CONCLUSION: Our pooled analysis provides further evidence that use of standard-dose aspirin or other NSAIDs may reduce risk of endometrial cancer among overweight and obese women.

Central adiposity, obesity during early adulthood, and pancreatic cancer mortality in a pooled analysis of cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Body mass index (BMI), a measure of obesity typically assessed in middle age or later, is known to be positively associated with pancreatic cancer. However, little evidence exists regarding the influence of central adiposity, a high BMI during early adulthood, and weight gain after early adulthood on pancreatic cancer risk. DESIGN: We conducted a pooled analysis of individual-level data from 20 prospective cohort studies in the National Cancer Institute BMI and Mortality Cohort Consortium to examine the association of pancreatic cancer mortality with measures of central adiposity (e.g. waist circumference; n = 647 478; 1947 pancreatic cancer deaths), BMI during early adulthood (ages 18-21 years) and BMI change between early adulthood and cohort enrollment, mostly in middle age or later (n = 1 096 492; 3223 pancreatic cancer deaths). Multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: Higher waist-to-hip ratio (HR = 1.09, 95% CI 1.02-1.17 per 0.1 increment) and waist circumference (HR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.00-1.14 per 10 cm) were associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer mortality, even when adjusted for BMI at baseline. BMI during early adulthood was associated with increased pancreatic cancer mortality (HR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.11-1.25 per 5 kg/m(2)), with increased risk observed in both overweight and obese individuals (compared with BMI of 21.0 to <23 kg/m(2), HR = 1.36, 95% CI 1.20-1.55 for BMI 25.0 < 27.5 kg/m(2), HR = 1.48, 95% CI 1.20-1.84 for BMI 27.5 to <30 kg/m(2), HR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.11-1.85 for BMI ≥30 kg/m(2)). BMI gain after early adulthood, adjusted for early adult BMI, was less strongly associated with pancreatic cancer mortality (HR = 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.10 per 5 kg/m(2)). CONCLUSIONS: Our results support an association between pancreatic cancer mortality and central obesity, independent of BMI, and also suggest that being overweight or obese during early adulthood may be important in influencing pancreatic cancer mortality risk later in life.

Reproductive factors, exogenous hormone use and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma among US women: results from the Liver Cancer Pooling Project.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurs less commonly among women than men in almost all regions of the world. The disparity in risk is particularly notable prior to menopause suggesting that hormonal exposures during reproductive life may be protective. Exogenous oestrogenic exposures such as oral contraceptives (OCs), however, have been reported to increase risk, suggesting that estrogens may be hepatocarcinogenic. To examine the effects of reproductive factors and exogenous hormones on risk, we conducted a prospective analysis among a large group of US women. METHODS: In the Liver Cancer Pooling Project, a consortium of US-based cohort studies, data from 799,500 women in 11 cohorts were pooled and harmonised. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to generate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the associations of reproductive factors and exogenous hormones with HCC (n=248). RESULTS: Bilateral oophorectomy was associated with a significantly increased risk of HCC (HR=2.67, 95% CI=1.22-5.85), which did not appear to be related to a shorter duration of exposure to endogenous hormones or to menopausal hormone therapy use. There was no association between OC use and HCC (HR=1.12, 95% CI=0.82-1.55). Nor were there associations with parity, age at first birth, age at natural menopause, or duration of fertility. CONCLUSIONS: The current study suggests that bilateral oophorectomy increases the risk of HCC but the explanation for the association is unclear. There was no association between OC use and HCC risk. Examination of endogenous hormone levels in relation to HCC may help to clarify the findings of the current study.

Steroid hormone measurements from different types of assays in relation to body mass index and breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women: Reanalysis of eighteen prospective studies.

Epidemiological studies have examined breast cancer risk in relation to sex hormone concentrations measured by different methods: "extraction" immunoassays (with prior purification by organic solvent extraction, with or without column chromatography), "direct" immunoassays (no prior extraction or column chromatography), and more recently with mass spectrometry-based assays. We describe the associations of estradiol, estrone and testosterone with both body mass index and breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women according to assay method, using data from a collaborative pooled analysis of 18 prospective studies. In general, hormone concentrations were highest in studies that used direct assays and lowest in studies that used mass spectrometry-based assays. Estradiol and estrone were strongly positively associated with body mass index, regardless of the assay method; testosterone was positively associated with body mass index for direct assays, but less clearly for extraction assays, and there were few data for mass spectrometry assays. The correlations of estradiol with body mass index, estrone and testosterone were lower for direct assays than for extraction and mass spectrometry assays, suggesting that the estimates from the direct assays were less precise. For breast cancer risk, all three hormones were strongly positively associated with risk regardless of assay method (except for testosterone by mass spectrometry where there were few data), with no statistically significant differences in the trends, but differences may emerge as new data accumulate. Future epidemiological and clinical research studies should continue to use the most accurate assays that are feasible within the design characteristics of each study.

Sleep duration and breast cancer risk in the Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project follow-up cohort.

BACKGROUND: Short sleep has been hypothesised to increase the risk of breast cancer. However, little is known about the association between sleep and different subtypes of breast cancer defined by hormone receptor status. METHODS: Among 40 013 women in the Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project, including 1846 incident breast cancer cases, we prospectively examined self-reported weekday and weekend sleep duration in relation to breast cancer risk. We used multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models to estimate relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: We found no association between sleep and overall breast cancer. However, we observed a decreased risk of ER+PR+ breast cancer (RR <6 vs 8 - 9 h (95% CI): 0.54 (0.31, 0.93), P for trend, 0.003) with shorter sleep duration. CONCLUSIONS: Our finding does not support an association between sleep duration and overall breast cancer risk. However, the effect of sleep on different subtypes of breast cancer deserves further investigation.

Dairy products and pancreatic cancer risk: a pooled analysis of 14 cohort studies.

Pancreatic cancer has few early symptoms, is usually diagnosed at late stages, and has a high case-fatality rate. Identifying modifiable risk factors is crucial to reducing pancreatic cancer morbidity and mortality. Prior studies have suggested that specific foods and nutrients, such as dairy products and constituents, may play a role in pancreatic carcinogenesis. In this pooled analysis of the primary data from 14 prospective cohort studies, 2212 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified during follow-up among 862 680 individuals. Adjusting for smoking habits, personal history of diabetes, alcohol intake, body mass index (BMI), and energy intake, multivariable study-specific hazard ratios (MVHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards models and then pooled using a random effects model. There was no association between total milk intake and pancreatic cancer risk (MVHR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.82-1.18 comparing ≥500 with 1-69.9 g/day). Similarly, intakes of low-fat milk, whole milk, cheese, cottage cheese, yogurt, and ice-cream were not associated with pancreatic cancer risk. No statistically significant association was observed between dietary (MVHR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.77-1.19) and total calcium (MVHR = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.71-1.12) intake and pancreatic cancer risk overall when comparing intakes ≥1300 with <500 mg/day. In addition, null associations were observed for dietary and total vitamin D intake and pancreatic cancer risk. Findings were consistent within sex, smoking status, and BMI strata or when the case definition was limited to pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Overall, these findings do not support the hypothesis that consumption of dairy foods, calcium, or vitamin D during adulthood is associated with pancreatic cancer risk.

The etiology of uterine sarcomas: a pooled analysis of the epidemiology of endometrial cancer consortium.

BACKGROUND: Uterine sarcomas are characterised by early age at diagnosis, poor prognosis, and higher incidence among Black compared with White women, but their aetiology is poorly understood. Therefore, we performed a pooled analysis of data collected in the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium. We also examined risk factor associations for malignant mixed mullerian tumours (MMMTs) and endometrioid endometrial carcinomas (EECs) for comparison purposes. METHODS: We pooled data on 229 uterine sarcomas, 244 MMMTs, 7623 EEC cases, and 28,829 controls. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for risk factors associated with uterine sarcoma, MMMT, and EEC were estimated with polytomous logistic regression. We also examined associations between epidemiological factors and histological subtypes of uterine sarcoma. RESULTS: Significant risk factors for uterine sarcoma included obesity (body mass index (BMI)≥30 vs BMI<25 kg m(-2) (OR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.22-2.46), P-trend=0.008) and history of diabetes (OR: 2.33, 95% CI: 1.41-3.83). Older age at menarche was inversely associated with uterine sarcoma risk (≥15 years vs <11 years (OR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.34-1.44), P-trend: 0.04). BMI was significantly, but less strongly related to uterine sarcomas compared with EECs (OR: 3.03, 95% CI: 2.82-3.26) or MMMTs (OR: 2.25, 95% CI: 1.60-3.15, P-heterogeneity=0.01). CONCLUSION: In the largest aetiological study of uterine sarcomas, associations between menstrual, hormonal, and anthropometric risk factors and uterine sarcoma were similar to those identified for EEC. Further exploration of factors that might explain patterns of age- and race-specific incidence rates for uterine sarcoma are needed.

Breast cancer risk in elderly women with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases: a population-based case-control study.

Systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases (SARDs) are chronic inflammatory and immuno-modulatory conditions that have been suggested to affect cancer risk. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results-Medicare-linked database, women aged 67-99 years and diagnosed with incident breast cancer in 1993-2002 (n=84 778) were compared with an equal number of age-matched cancer-free female controls. Diagnoses of SARDs, including rheumatoid arthritis (RA, n=5238), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE, n=340), Sjogren's syndrome (n=374), systemic sclerosis (n=128), and dermatomyositis (n=31), were determined from claim files for individuals from age 65 years to 1 year before selection. Associations of SARD diagnoses with breast cancer, overall and by oestrogen receptor (ER) expression, were assessed using odds ratio (OR) estimates from multivariable logistic regression models. The women diagnosed with RA were less likely to develop breast cancer (OR=0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.82-0.93). The risk reduction did not differ by tumour ER-status (OR=0.83, 95% CI=0.78-0.89 for ER-positive vs OR=0.91, 95% CI=0.81-1.04 for ER-negative, P for heterogeneity=0.14). The breast cancer risk was not associated with any of the other SARDs, except for a risk reduction of ER-negative cases (OR=0.49, 95% CI=0.26-0.93) among women with SLE. These findings suggest that systemic inflammation may affect breast epithelial neoplasia.

Past body mass index and risk of mortality among women.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies of body mass index (BMI) in relation to mortality commonly exclude persons with health conditions and/or a history of smoking to prevent bias resulting from illness-related weight loss ('reverse causation'). Analysis of BMI from an earlier time period may minimize reverse causation without requiring exclusion of participants based on disease or smoking history. METHODS: We prospectively examined BMI based on technician measurements of weight and height from 10 years prior to start of follow-up in relation to subsequent mortality in a cohort of 50 186 women who were 40-93 years old at baseline in 1987-1989. Deaths were ascertained through the US National Death Index. Proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality, adjusted for age, education, race/ethnicity, income, menopausal hormone use, smoking and physical activity. RESULTS: During 10 years of follow-up through 1997, 5201 women died. Overall, we observed a J-shaped association between BMI and mortality, with increased risk for women who were underweight, overweight or obese. The HRs and 95% confidence intervals of mortality for BMI categories of <18.5, 18.5-20.9, 21.0-23.4 (reference), 23.5-24.9, 25.0-27.4, 27.5-29.9, 30.0-34.9 and 35.0+ kg m(-2) were 1.43 (1.19, 1.72), 1.07 (0.98, 1.17), 1.00 (reference), 1.10 (1.00, 1.20), 1.20 (1.11, 1.31), 1.23 (1.11, 1.37), 1.60 (1.44, 1.77) and 1.92 (1.64, 2.24). There was little evidence that pre-existing conditions (heart disease, diabetes and/or cancer) or smoking history modified the past BMI and mortality relation (P=0.54 and 0.76). CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of women, BMI based on technician measurements of weight and height from 10 years prior to baseline showed increased risk for mortality across the range of overweight and obesity, regardless of disease and smoking history. Observed associations between overweight, obesity and mortality in healthy individuals may also apply to persons with a history of disease or smoking.

Risk of breast, ovary, and uterine corpus cancers among 85,268 women with AIDS.

By linking HIV/AIDS and cancer surveillance data in 12 US regions, breast and reproductive cancer risks with AIDS were compared to those in the general population. Trends in standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were assessed by CD4 count, AIDS-relative time, and calendar time. Standardized incidence ratios were indirectly adjusted for cancer risk factors using data from AIDS cohort participants and the general population. With AIDS, 313 women developed breast cancer (SIR 0.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.62-0.77), 42 developed ovary cancer (SIR 1.05, 95% CI, 0.75-1.42), and 31 developed uterine corpus cancer (SIR 0.57, 95% CI, 0.39-0.81). Uterine cancer risk was reduced significantly after age 50 (SIR 0.33). Breast cancer risk was reduced significantly both before (SIR 0.71) and after (SIR 0.66) age 50, and was lower for local or regional (SIR 0.54) than distant (SIR 0.89) disease. Breast cancer risk varied little by CD4 count (Ptrend=0.47) or AIDS-relative time (Ptrend=0.14) or after adjustment for established cancer risk factors. However, it increased significantly between 1980 and 2002 (Ptrend=0.003), approaching the risk of the general population. We conclude that the cancer deficit reflected direct or indirect effects of HIV/AIDS and that anti-HIV therapy reduced these effects.

Effects of mammographic density and benign breast disease on breast cancer risk (United States).

BACKGROUND: Having either a history of benign breast disease, particularly atypical hyperplasia or extensive mammographic breast density, is associated with increased breast cancer risk. Previous studies have described an association between benign breast disease histology and breast density. However, whether these features measure the same risk, or are independent risk factors, has not been addressed. METHODS: This case-control study, nested within the prospective follow-up of the Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project, evaluated both benign histologic and mammographic density information from 347 women who later developed breast cancer and 410 age- and race-matched controls without breast cancer. Multivariate logistic regression analyses provided maximum-likelihood estimates of the odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) to evaluate the relative risk of breast cancer associated with each exposure. RESULTS: Adjusting for mammographic density, the OR for atypical hyperplasia was 2.1 (95% CI: 1.3-3.6), and adjusting for benign breast histology, the OR for > or = 75% density was 3.8 (95% CI: 2.0-7.2). Women with nonproliferative benign breast disease and > or = 75% density had an OR of 5.8 (95% CI: 1.8-18.6), and women with < 50% density and atypical hyperplasia had an OR of 4.1 (95% CI: 2.1-8.0). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, both benign breast disease histology and the percentage of the breast area with mammographic density were associated with breast cancer risk. However, women with both proliferative benign breast disease and > or = 75% density were not at as high a risk of breast cancer due to the combination of effects (p = 0.002) as women with only one of these factors.

Risk of myocardial infarction after oophorectomy and hysterectomy.

To determine the risk of developing a first myocardial infarction after a hysterectomy and/or oophorectomy. Case-cohort analysis performed among 17,126 women in the Uppsala Health Care Region of Sweden, who had undergone a hysterectomy and/or oophorectomy in 1965 to 1983. Record linkage was used for follow-up and medical records to ascertain the actual history of oophorectomy. Risk estimates were calculated by relating the observed number of cases in the cohort to that expected on the basis of incidence rates in the population. Overall, 214 cases of myocardial infarction were observed. In premenopausal women a bilateral oophorectomy alone tended to increase the relative risk 1.6; 95% CI 0.8-3.1, but this operation combined with hysterectomy increased the risk only among those aged 50 and over at surgery. Hysterectomy at premenopausal age or unilateral oophorectomy did not alter the risk of myocardial infarction. In naturally menopausal women, hysterectomy-mainly for uterine myoma-was associated with a four-fold increase in relative risk (3.8; 95% CI 1.9-7.8). Hysterectomy for treatment of myoma performed after a natural menopause is linked to an excess risk for myocardial infarction. Bilateral oophorectomy before menopause may increase the risk of myocardial infarction.

A prospective study of diet quality and mortality in women.

CONTEXT: Most studies of diet and health care have focused on the role of single nutrients, foods, or food groups in disease prevention or promotion. Few studies have addressed the health effects of dietary patterns, which include complex mixtures of foods containing multiple nutrients and nonnutrients. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of mortality with a multifactorial diet quality index. DESIGN AND SETTING: Data from phase 2 (1987-1989) of a prospective cohort study of breast cancer screening, the Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project, with a median follow-up of 5.6 years. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 42,254 women (mean age, 61.1 years) who completed the food frequency questionnaire portion of the survey. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: All-cause mortality by quartile of Recommended Food Score (RFS; the sum of the number of foods recommended by current dietary guidelines [fruits, vegetables, whole grains, low-fat dairy, and lean meats and poultry] that were reported on the questionnaire to be consumed at least once a week, for a maximum score of 23). RESULTS: There were 2065 deaths due to all causes in the cohort. The RFS was inversely associated with all-cause mortality. Compared with those in the lowest quartile, subjects in the upper quartiles of the RFS had relative risks for all-cause mortality of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.73-0.92) for quartile 2, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.62-0.81) for quartile 3, and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.61-0.78) for quartile 4 adjusted for education, ethnicity, age, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol use, level of physical activity, menopausal hormone use, and history of disease (chi2 for trend = 35.64, P<.001 for trend). CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that a dietary pattern characterized by consumption of foods recommended in current dietary guidelines is associated with decreased risk of mortality in women.

Dietary fat, fat subtypes, and breast cancer in postmenopausal women: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The intake of total dietary fat and of certain fat subtypes has been shown to be strongly associated with breast cancer in international comparisons and in animal experiments. However, observational epidemiologic studies have generally reported either weak positive or no associations. To extend the prospective epidemiologic evidence on this question, we examined the association between adult dietary intake of fat, fat subtypes, and breast cancer in a large, prospective cohort of postmenopausal women. METHODS: Participants were selected from a national breast cancer mammography screening program conducted from 1973 through 1981 at 29 centers throughout the United States. From 1987 through 1989, 40022 postmenopausal women satisfactorily completed a mailed, self-administered questionnaire that included a 60-item National Cancer Institute/Block food-frequency questionnaire. Women were then followed for an average of 5.3 years; 996 women developed breast cancer. Risk was assessed by use of Cox proportional hazard regression, with age as the underlying time metric. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: Compared with women in the lowest quintile (Q1) of percentage of energy from total fat, the adjusted risk ratio (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for women in the highest quintile (Q5) was 1.07 (95% CI = 0.86-1.32). In analyses stratified by history of benign breast disease (BBD), a positive association was observed among only women with no history of BBD (RR (Q5 versus Q1) = 2.20; 95% CI = 1.41-3.42; test for trend, P =.0003). The increased risk in these women appeared to be attributable to unsaturated fat intake and oleic acid in particular. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, there was no overall association between fat intake during adulthood and breast cancer risk; however, among women with no history of BBD, there appeared to be a positive association between total and unsaturated fat intake and breast cancer risk.

Comparison of industrial hygienists' exposure evaluations for an epidemiologic study.

OBJECTIVES: A study was conducted to determine what level of information is required by industrial hygienists before they can develop exposure estimates comparable with those developed from a more in-depth evaluation. METHODS: Three industrial hygienists evaluated formaldehyde exposures of 300 jobs selected from an earlier epidemiologic study. The jobs were evaluated over the following 6 cycles: (i) job title and industry; (ii) job title, industry, dates; (iii) job and department title and industry; (iv) cycle 3 information with dates; (v) cycle 3 information with a plant report; and (vi) job and department title, industry, dates, and the report. Each hygienist assigned jobs to 1 of 4 exposure categories, which were compared with the categories in the original epidemiologic study. RESULTS: Overall, the mean differences between the hygienists' evaluations and the standard, although small, changed little over the cycles. The kappa statistic was poor to moderate for all the cycles, but the agreement was greater than expected due to chance. There was moderate improvement in overall agreement over the cycles using the weighted kappa statistic, but little improvement in the intraclass correlation coefficients of the hygienists' evaluations, which ranged from 0.4 to 0.5. Department information improved the agreement with the standard by 5--10%, but dates did not the improve agreement. There were some differences by type of plant, job function, exposure level, and date of the estimate. Using a hypothetical exposure-response scenario, this level of misclassification would have resulted in missing an association. CONCLUSIONS: Although there was slight improvement with increasing levels of information, these findings suggest that the subjective categorical assessment of exposures by industrial hygienists will not produce exposure estimates comparable to more in-depth evaluations of exposure.

Menopausal estrogen and estrogen-progestin replacement therapy and breast cancer risk.

CONTEXT: Whether menopausal hormone replacement therapy using a combined estrogen-progestin regimen increases risk of breast cancer beyond that associated with estrogen alone is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether increases in risk associated with the estrogen-progestin regimen are greater than those associated with estrogen alone. DESIGN: Cohort study of follow-up data for 1980-1995 from the Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project, a nationwide breast cancer screening program. SETTING: Twenty-nine screening centers throughout the United States. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 46355 postmenopausal women (mean age at start of follow-up, 58 years). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident breast cancers by recency, duration, and type of hormone use. RESULTS: During follow-up, 2082 cases of breast cancer were identified. Increases in risk with estrogen only and estrogen-progestin only were restricted to use within the previous 4 years (relative risk [RR], 1.2 [95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0-1.4] and 1.4 [95% CI, 1.1-1.8], respectively); the relative risk increased by 0.01 (95% CI, 0.002-0.03) with each year of estrogen-only use and by 0.08 (95% CI, 0.02-0.16) with each year of estrogen-progestin-only use among recent users, after adjustment for mammographic screening, age at menopause, body mass index (BMI), education, and age. The P value associated with the test of homogeneity of these estimates was .02. Among women with a BMI of 24.4 kg/m2 or less, increases in RR with each year of estrogen-only use and estrogen-progestin-only use among recent users were 0.03 (95% CI, 0.01-0.06) and 0.12 (95% CI, 0.02-0.25), respectively. These associations were evident for the majority of invasive tumors with ductal histology and regardless of extent of invasive disease. Risk in heavier women did not increase with use of estrogen only or estrogen-progestin only. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that the estrogen-progestin regimen increases breast cancer risk beyond that associated with estrogen alone.

Risks of breast and endometrial cancer after estrogen and estrogen-progestin replacement.

OBJECTIVE: We studied the risk of breast and endometrial cancer in a cohort of 11,231 Swedish women prescribed different replacement hormone regimens. METHODS: All 10,472 women at risk of developing breast cancer and 8,438 women at risk of endometrial cancer were followed up from the time of the questionnaire in 1987-88 through 1993, by record-linkages to the National Swedish Cancer Registry. Using data from a questionnaire we analyzed the relationships between hormone exposures and cancer risk, with non-compliers and users of less than 1 year as a reference group. RESULTS: For breast cancer, women reporting use of estrogens combined with progestins had evidence of an increased risk relative to women denying intake or taking hormones for less than 1 year; relative risk (RR) = 1.4 (95% confidence interval 0.9-2.3) after 1-6 years of intake, and RR = 1.7 (95% CI 1.1-2.6) after more than 6 years. This excess risk seemed confined to recent exposure. We found no association with intake of estrogens alone using non-compliers and short-term takers as the reference group. The risk of invasive endometrial cancer was increased four-fold in women using medium-potency estrogens alone for 6 years or longer, RR = 4.2 (95% CI 2.5-8.4). Women on such long-term progestin-combined treatment had a lower, non-significant, excess risk (RR = 1.4; 95% CI 0.6-3.3). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that long-term recent use of estrogen-progestin combined replacement therapy may increase the risk of breast cancer. Exposure to estrogen alone substantially elevates the risk of endometrial cancer, an increase that can be reduced or perhaps avoided by adding progestins.