APOE Genotype, ApoE Plasma Levels, Lipid Metabolism, and Cognition in Monozygotic Twins with, at Risk of, and without Affective Disorders.

Background: Lipids influence brain function and mental health. Understanding the role of apolipoproteins in affective disorders could provide valuable insights and potentially pave the way for novel therapeutic approaches. Methods: We examined the apolipoprotein E genotype and ApoE-levels, lipid profiles, and the correlation with cognition in 204 monozygotic (MZ) twins with unipolar or bipolar disorder in remission or partial remission (affected, AT), their unaffected co-twins (high-risk, HR), and twins with no personal or family history of affective disorder (low-risk, LR). Results: The APOE genotype was not associated with affective disorders. No significant group differences in ApoE levels were found between the three risk groups. Post hoc analysis group-wise comparisons showed higher ApoE levels in the AT than HR twins and in the concordant AT twin pairs relative to the discordant twin pairs. Within the discordant twin pairs, higher ApoE levels were observed in the affected twins (AT = 39.4 mg/L vs. HR = 36.8 mg/L, p = 0.037). Limitations: The present study could benefit from a larger sample size. We did not assess dietary habits. Conclusions: The results did not support our main hypothesis. However, exploratory post hoc analysis suggests a role for plasma ApoE and triglycerides in affective disorders. Future research is needed.

Simulation-based sample size calculations of marginal proportional means models for recurrent events with competing risks.

In randomised controlled trials, the outcome of interest could be recurrent events, such as hospitalisations for heart failure. If mortality rates are non-negligible, both recurrent events and competing terminal events need to be addressed when formulating the estimand and statistical analysis is no longer trivial. In order to design future trials with primary recurrent event endpoints with competing risks, it is necessary to be able to perform power calculations to determine sample sizes. This paper introduces a simulation-based approach for power estimation based on a proportional means model for recurrent events and a proportional hazards model for terminal events. The simulation procedure is presented along with a discussion of what the user needs to specify to use the approach. The method is flexible and based on marginal quantities which are easy to specify. However, the method introduces a lack of a certain type of dependence. This is explored in a sensitivity analysis which suggests that the power is robust in spite of that. Data from a randomised controlled trial, LEADER, is used as the basis for generating data for a future trial. Finally, potential power gains of recurrent event methods as opposed to first event methods are discussed.

Unbiased and efficient estimation of causal treatment effects in crossover trials.

We introduce causal inference reasoning to crossover trials, with a focus on thorough QT (TQT) studies. For such trials, we propose different sets of assumptions and consider their impact on the modeling strategy and estimation procedure. We show that unbiased estimates of a causal treatment effect are obtained by a g-computation approach in combination with weighted least squares predictions from a working regression model. Only a few natural requirements on the working regression and weighting matrix are needed for the result to hold. It follows that a large class of Gaussian linear mixed working models lead to unbiased estimates of a causal treatment effect, even if they do not capture the true data-generating mechanism. We compare a range of working regression models in a simulation study where data are simulated from a complex data-generating mechanism with input parameters estimated on a real TQT data set. In this setting, we find that for all practical purposes working models adjusting for baseline QTc measurements have comparable performance. Specifically, this is observed for working models that are by default too simplistic to capture the true data-generating mechanism. Crossover trials and particularly TQT studies can be analyzed efficiently using simple working regression models without biasing the estimates for the causal parameters of interest.

Prediction of herpes virus infections after solid organ transplantation: a prospective study of immune function.

Introduction: Herpes virus infections are a major concern after solid organ transplantation and linked to the immune function of the recipient. We aimed to determine the incidence of positive herpes virus (cytomegalovirus (CMV), Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), herpes simplex virus type 1/2 (HSV-1/2), and varicella zoster virus (VZV)) PCR tests during the first year post-transplantation and assess whether a model including immune function pre-transplantation and three months post-transplantation could predict a subsequent positive herpes virus PCR. Methods: All participants were preemptively screened for CMV, and EBV IgG-negative participants were screened for EBV during the first year post-transplantation. Herpes virus PCR tests for all included herpes viruses (CMV, EBV, HSV-1/2, and VZV) were retrieved from the Danish Microbiology database containing nationwide PCR results from both hospitals and outpatient clinics. Immune function was assessed by whole blood stimulation with A) LPS, B) R848, C) Poly I:C, and D) a blank control. Cytokine concentrations (TNF-α, IL-1ß, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p40, IL-17A, IFN-α, and IFN-γ) were measured using Luminex. Results: We included 123 liver (54%), kidney (26%), and lung (20%) transplant recipients. The cumulative incidence of positive herpes virus PCR tests was 36.6% (95% CI: 28.1-45.1) during the first year post-transplantation. The final prediction model included recipient age, type of transplantation, CMV serostatus, and change in Poly I:C-induced IL-12p40 from pre-transplantation to three months post-transplantation. The prediction model had an AUC of 77% (95% CI: 61-92). Risk scores were extracted from the prediction model, and the participants were divided into three risk groups. Participants with a risk score <5 (28% of the cohort), 5-10 (45% of the cohort), and >10 (27% of the cohort) had a cumulative incidence of having a positive herpes virus PCR test at 5.8%, 25%, and 73%, respectively (p < 0.001). Conclusion: In conclusion, the incidence of positive herpes virus PCR tests was high, and a risk model including immune function allowed the prediction of positive herpes virus PCR and may be used to identify recipients at higher risk.

Charge-to-spin conversion in fully epitaxial Ru/Cu hybrid nanolayers with interface control.

The demonstration of the charge-to-spin conversion, especially with enhanced spin Hall conductivity, is crucial for the development of energy-efficient spintronic devices such as spin-orbit torque (SOT) based magnetoresistive random access memories. In this work, fully epitaxial Ru/Cu heterostructures were fabricated with interface engineering and nanolayer insertions consisting of Cu (1 nm)/Ru (1 nm) structures with different numbers of periods. The atomically controlled interface was confirmed by the high-resolution high-angle annular dark-field scanning transmission electron microscopy, and the epitaxial relationship persists even in the hybrid nanolayer insertion structures. The spin current generation was detected by the measurement of unidirectional spin Hall magnetoresistance, and the effective damping-like spin Hall efficiency (ξDL) was further quantitatively evaluated by the spin-torque ferromagnetic resonance with thickness dependence of the ferromagnetic layer. It is found that the sharp interface Ru/Cu film has a sizeableξDLof -2.2% and the insertion of Cu/Ru nanolayers at the interface can increase theξDLvalue to -3.7%. The former could be attributed to the interface spin-orbit filtering effect and the latter may be further understood by the intrinsic contribution from the local electronic structure tuning due to the lattice distortion near the interface. A large effective spin Hall conductivity is achieved to be (3∼5) × 105ℏ2eΩ-1m-1in the epitaxial Ru/Cu hybrid nanolayers, which is in the same range as that of platinum. This work indicates that the interfacial control with hybrid nanolayer structures can extend the SOT-based materials to highly conductive metals, even with weak spin-orbit interactions, toward high stability, low cost, and low energy consumption for spintronic applications.

On logistic regression with right censored data, with or without competing risks, and its use for estimating treatment effects.

Simple logistic regression can be adapted to deal with right-censoring by inverse probability of censoring weighting (IPCW). We here compare two such IPCW approaches, one based on weighting the outcome, the other based on weighting the estimating equations. We study the large sample properties of the two approaches and show that which of the two weighting methods is the most efficient depends on the censoring distribution. We show by theoretical computations that the methods can be surprisingly different in realistic settings. We further show how to use the two weighting approaches for logistic regression to estimate causal treatment effects, for both observational studies and randomized clinical trials (RCT). Several estimators for observational studies are compared and we present an application to registry data. We also revisit interesting robustness properties of logistic regression in the context of RCTs, with a particular focus on the IPCW weighting. We find that these robustness properties still hold when the censoring weights are correctly specified, but not necessarily otherwise.

Weight change during the first week of life and a new method for retrospective prediction of birthweight among exclusively breastfed newborns.

INTRODUCTION: Identification of low birthweight and small for gestational age is pivotal in clinical management and many research studies, but in low-income countries, birthweight is often unavailable within 24 h of birth. Newborn weights measured within days after birth and knowledge of the growth patterns in the first week of life can help estimate the weight at birth retrospectively. This study aimed to generate sex-specific prediction maps and weight reference charts for the retrospective estimation of birthweight for exclusively breastfed newborns in a low-resource setting. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study nested in a clinical trial of intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy for malaria with either dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine with/without azithromycin or sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine in Korogwe District, north-eastern Tanzania (Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT03208179). Newborns were weighed at birth or in the immediate hours after birth and then daily for 1 week. Reference charts, nadir, time to regain weight, and prediction maps were generated using nonlinear mixed-effects models fitted to the longitudinal data, incorporating interindividual variation as random effects. Predictions and prediction standard deviations were computed using a linear approximation approach. RESULTS: Between March and December 2019, 513 live newborns with birthweights measured within 24 h of delivery were weighed daily for 1 week. Complete datasets were available from 476 exclusively breastfed newborns. There was a rapid decline in weight shortly after delivery. The average weight loss, time of nadir, and time to regain weight were 4.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.8-4.9) at 27 h (95% CI 24-30) and 105 h (95% CI 91-120) in boys and 4.9% (95% CI 4.2-5.6) at 28 h (95% CI 23-33) and 114 h (95% CI 93-136) in girls, respectively. The data were used to generate prediction maps with 1-h time intervals and 0.05 kg weight increments showing the predicted birthweights and weight-for-age and weight-change-for-age reference charts depicting variation in weight loss from <1 to >10%. CONCLUSIONS: The prediction maps and reference charts can be used by researchers in low-resource settings to retrospectively estimate birthweights using weights collected up to 168 h after delivery, thereby maximizing data utilization. Clinical practitioners can also use the prediction maps to retrospectively classify newborns as low birthweight or small for gestational age.

Sampling in the case-time-control design among drug users when outcome prevents further treatment.

PURPOSE: The objective of this article is to advocate a new way of sampling controls in the case-time-control design in a cohort of drug users when the studied outcome prevents further treatment. METHODS: Mathematically we demonstrate how a standard sampling of controls, where controls are sampled among all subjects without an event at end-of-study, leads to a biased effect estimate. We propose to add the requirement that controls initiate treatment before the calendar time of event of their matched case to circumvent this. The standard and proposed sampling methods are compared in a simulation study and in an empirical data example examining the effect of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug usage on the risk of upper gastrointestinal bleeding. RESULTS: When the controls are sampled the standard way, the case-time-control design confers a bias because cases and controls have a different time-trend of exposure. The bias has been upwards in all the scenarios we have investigated. The requirement we add to be a potential control ensures that cases and controls have the same time-trend of exposure when treatment and outcome are independent. The simulation study confirms that the proposed sampling method removes the bias between treatment and outcome. The proposed sampling method lowered the odds-ratio estimate from 3.72 to 3.26 in the data example. CONCLUSION: The proposed sampling method makes it possible to use the case-time-control design in a cohort of subjects with registered use of a drug when outcome prevents further treatment.

Bacterial and fungal bloodstream infections in solid organ transplant recipients: results from a Danish cohort with nationwide follow-up.

OBJECTIVES: Bloodstream infections (BSI) are prevalent after solid organ transplantation (SOT). In this study, we aimed to investigate the incidence and risk factors for BSI in the first 5 years post-transplantation. METHODS: The study included 1322 SOT (kidney, liver, lung and heart) recipients transplanted from 2010 to 2017 with a total of 5616 years of follow-up. Clinical characteristics and microbiology were obtained from the Centre of Excellence for Personalized Medicine of Infectious Complications in Immune Deficiency (PERSIMUNE) data repository with nationwide follow-up. Incidence was investigated in the different SOT groups. Risk factors associated with BSI were assed in the combined group in time-updated multivariable Cox regressions. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of first BSI in the first 5 years post-transplantation differed in the SOT groups with a lower incidence in heart transplant recipients than in the other SOT groups (heart: 4.4%, CI 0.0-9.7%, vs. kidney: 24.6%, CI 20.9-28.2%, liver: 24.7%, CI 19.4-29.9%, and lung: 19.6%, CI 14.5-24.8%, p <0.001). Age above 55 years (HR 1.71, CI 1.2-2.4, p=0.002) and higher Charlson comorbidity index score (HR per unit increase: 1.25, CI 1.1-1.4, p<0.001) at transplantation, current cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection (HR 4.5, CI 2.6-7.9, p<0.001) and current leucopenia (HR 13.3, CI 3.7-47.9, p<0.001) were all associated with an increased risk of BSI. CONCLUSION: In SOT recipients, the incidence of BSI differed with the type of transplanted organ. Risk of BSI was higher in older recipients and in recipients with comorbidity, current CMV infection or leucopenia. Thus, increased attention towards BSI in recipients with these characteristics is warranted.

Renal function in patients with intestinal failure receiving home parenteral support.

BACKGROUND: Progressive renal impairment, given by an annual decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), has been described in patients with intestinal failure (IF) receiving home parenteral support (HPS). The objective of this study was to examine changes in eGFR over 5 years following initiation of HPS treatment and to identify potential risk factors for loss of renal function. METHOD: This retrospective database study investigates eGFR changes in nonmalignant IF patients discharged with HPS from Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, in an 8-year period. RESULTS: One year after HPS initiation, mean eGFR decreased by 15.3 ml/min/1.73 m2 . Paired t-test showed a decline of 15.0 ml/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI, -18.3 to -11.6; P < .0001). Over the following years, eGFR continued to decrease but at insignificant lower rates. Decreased eGFR was associated with increasing age, female sex, increasing body weight, diabetes at HPS initiation, and a high requirement of HPS volume. CONCLUSION: In nonmalignant IF patients, the decrease of eGFR was mainly seen during the first year of HPS. This may be due to a higher risk of dehydration and possibly secondary hyperaldosteronism leading to renal damage following the onset of IF. However, the decrease in eGFR may also represent a higher production of creatinine due to a beneficial increase of muscle mass in the initial recovery phase. In general, once the patients were stabilized, the eGFR decline followed a physiological course resembling the background population. Patients with diabetes or high HPS volume needs seem to be more vulnerable and may require special attention.

Testing equivalence of survival before but not after end of follow-up.

For equivalence trials with survival outcomes, a popular testing approach is the elegant test for equivalence of two survival functions suggested by Wellek (Biometrics 49: 877-881, 1993). This test evaluates whether or not the difference between the true survival curves is practically irrelevant by specifying an equivalence margin on the hazard ratio under the proportional hazards assumption. However, this approach is based on extrapolating the behavior of the survival curves to the whole time axis, whereas in practice survival times are only observed until the end of follow-up. We propose a modification of Welleks test that only addresses equivalence until end of follow-up and derive the large sample properties of this test. Another issue is the proportional hazards assumption which may not be realistic. If this assumption is violated, one may severely misjudge the actual treatment effect with a hazard ratio quantification and wrongly declare equivalence. We suggest a non-parametric test for assessing survival equivalence within the follow-up period. We derive the large sample properties of this test and provide an approximation to the limiting distribution under some mild assumptions on the functional form of the difference between the two survival curves. Both suggestions are investigated by simulation and applied to a clinical trial on survival of gastric cancer patients.

Examining extended human leukocyte antigen-G and HLA-F haplotypes: the HLA-G UTR-4 haplotype is associated with shorter time to pregnancy in an infertility treatment setting when both female and male partners are carriers.

OBJECTIVE: To study the impact of extended human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-G and HLA-F haplotypes on time to pregnancy as measured by the number of treatment cycles in a cohort of couples in infertility treatment. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of couples undergoing infertility treatment. SETTING: University hospital. PATIENT(S): A cohort of 127 couples and four single women in infertility treatment. INTERVENTION(S): Next-generation sequencing of the HLA-G gene and genotyping of three HLA-F locus single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Extended HLA-F.HLA-G haplotypes, HLA-G promoter haplotypes and HLA-G 3'UTR haplotypes and their association with time to pregnancy as measured by number of treatment cycles until achievement of pregnancy with a live birth. Linkage disequilibrium between HLA-G variations and three HLA-F locus SNPs that impact time to pregnancy. RESULT(S): The effect of the HLA-G 3'UTR haplotype, UTR-4, was significantly increased, or modified, if the partner was a carrier compared to being a noncarrier. Extended HLA-F.HLA-G haplotypes, HLA-G promoter haplotypes, and the HLA-G 14 bp indel of the female partners were not associated with time to pregnancy. However, a trend for an association of the HLA-G 14bp insertion allele with a higher frequency of miscarriage than the 14bp deletion allele was observed. Certain HLA-G variations are in linkage disequilibrium with three HLA-F locus SNPs that influence time to pregnancy. CONCLUSION(S): HLA-G UTR-4 is significantly associated with time to pregnancy in couples undergoing infertility treatment. The findings could imply that both male and female HLA class Ib genetics have clinical relevance in reproduction.

Risk of late health effects after soft-tissue sarcomas in childhood - a population-based cohort study within the Adult Life after Childhood Cancer in Scandinavia research programme.

BACKGROUND: In the 1960s only 1/3 of children with soft-tissue sarcomas survived, however with improved treatments survival today has reached 70%. Given the previous poor survival and the rarity of soft-tissue sarcomas, the risk of somatic late effects in a large cohort of Nordic soft-tissue sarcoma survivors has not yet been assessed. METHODS: In this population-based cohort study we identified 985 five-year soft-tissue sarcoma survivors in Nordic nationwide cancer registries and late effects in national hospital registries covering the period 1964-2012. Information on tumour site and radiotherapy was available for Danish and Finnish survivors (N = 531). Using disease-specific rates of first-time hospital contacts for somatic diseases in survivors and in 4,830 matched comparisons we calculated relative rates (RR) and rate differences (RD). RESULTS: Survivors had a RR of 1.5 (95% CI 1.4-1.7) and an absolute RD of 23.5 (17.7-29.2) for a first hospital contact per 1,000 person-years. The highest risks in both relative and absolute terms were of endocrine disorders (RR = 2.5; RD = 7.6), and diseases of the nervous system (RR = 1.9; RD = 6.6), digestive organs (RR = 1.7; RD = 5.4) and urinary system (RR = 1.7; RD = 5.6). By tumour site, excess risk was lower after extremity tumours. Irradiated survivors had a 2.6 (1.2-5.9) times higher risk than non-irradiated. CONCLUSIONS: Soft-tissue sarcoma survivors have an increased risk of somatic late effects in 5 out of 10 main diagnostic groups of diseases, and the risk remains increased up to 40 years after cancer diagnosis. Risks were slightly lower for those treated for tumours in the extremities, and radiotherapy increased the risk by more than two-fold.

S100B and brain derived neurotrophic factor in monozygotic twins with, at risk of and without affective disorders.

BACKGROUND: The calcium binding protein S100B and brain derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) are both biomarkers implicated in neuronal processes in the central nervous system and seem to be associated with affective disorders. Here we investigated both markers in a sample of monozygotic (MZ) twins with, at risk of and without affective disorders, aiming to evaluate whether these markers have a role as causal factors- or trait markers for affective disorders. METHOD: We measured serum S100B and plasma BDNF levels in 204 monozygotic twins (MZ) with unipolar or bipolar disorder in remission or partial remission (affected), their unaffected co-twins (high-risk) and twins with no personal or family history of affective disorder (low-risk). RESULTS: No significant group differences in S100B and BDNF levels were found between the three groups. Exploratory analysis revealed that higher S100B levels were correlated with lower cognitive performance. LIMITATIONS: The cross-sectional design cannot elucidate the two neuronal biomarkers role as causal factors. We would have preferred a higher sample size in the high- and low-risk groups. CONCLUSION: The present result did not support a role for S100B and BDNF as neither causal factors nor trait markers for affective disorders. Elevated S100B levels may associate with impaired cognition, but further studies are warranted.

Excess cumulative incidence estimation for matched cohort survival studies.

We suggest a regression approach to estimate the excess cumulative incidence function (CIF) when matched data are available. In a competing risk setting, we define the excess risk as the difference between the CIF in the exposed group and the background CIF observed in the unexposed group. We show that the excess risk can be estimated through an extended binomial regression model that actively uses the matched structure of the data, avoiding further estimation of both the exposed and the unexposed CIFs. The method naturally deals with two time scales, age and time since exposure and simplifies how to deal with the left truncation on the age time-scale. The model makes it easy to predict individual excess risk scenarios and allows for a direct interpretation of the covariate effects on the cumulative incidence scale. After introducing the model and some theory to justify the approach, we show via simulations that our model works well in practice. We conclude by applying the excess risk model to data from the ALiCCS study to investigate the excess risk of late events in childhood cancer survivors.

Variation in the HLA-F gene locus with functional impact is associated with pregnancy success and time-to-pregnancy after fertility treatment.

STUDY QUESTION: The aim of this study was to investigate a possible influence of three single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the HLA-F gene locus on time-to-pregnancy and pregnancy success after fertility treatment. SUMMARY ANSWER: HLA-F SNP genotypes and HLA-F diplotypes are associated with the number of fertility treatment cycles needed to achieve pregnancy and live birth. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: HLA class Ib molecules, including HLA-F, which are known to be expressed by extra-villous trophoblast cells have immunomodulatory properties and play a role at the feto-maternal interface. However, a few recent studies suggest that HLA-F expressed in the mid-luteal endometrium may play a part in the establishment of pregnancy as well. Three genetic polymorphisms in the HLA-F gene locus influence the expression of HLA-F in the mid-luteal endometrium and are associated with time-to-pregnancy in healthy women. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: The current study included 102 female patients and 91 male patients attending for ART treatment and recruited between 2009 and 2014 at fertility clinics in a University Hospital setting, and 78 fertile female controls recruited in 2017 and 2018 at a department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology in a University Hospital. All women in the control group conceived naturally, and no other clinical data for the controls were retrieved. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Genotyping of genomic DNA from blood samples was performed with Sanger sequencing for the three SNPs of interest in the HLA-F gene locus: rs1362126 (G/A), rs2523405 (T/G) and rs2523393 (A/G). Furthermore, clinical data were collected for the couples in fertility treatment. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: There were no significant differences in the distributions of the three HLA-F SNP genotypes and alleles between the female fertile control group and the female infertility group. We considered if the number of treatment cycles was related to the HLA-F SNP genotypes and HLA-F diplotypes in a discrete time to event analyses. A significant association with longer time-to-pregnancy, measured as number of fertility treatment cycles, was observed for women in the ART group who carried the HLA-F genotypes that are associated with a lower amount of HLA-F mRNA expressed in mid-luteal endometrium. For the rs1362126 AA genotype relative to the GG genotype, the odds ratio (OR) was 0.30 (95% CI = 0.10-0.87, P = 0.02); for the rs2523405 GG genotype relative to the TT genotype, the OR was 0.40 (95% CI = 0.15-1.04, P = 0.06); and for the rs2523393 GG genotype relative to the AA genotype, the OR was 0.27 (95% CI = 0.09-0.78, P = 0.01). In addition to comparing the HLA-F genotypes by a standard likelihood-ratio test, a trend test based on the number of G or A alleles were also performed. The HLA-F genotypes associated with longer time-to-pregnancy in these tests were as follows: number of A alleles at rs1362126 (P = 0.01), the OR was 0.56 per A allele (95% CI = 0.35-0.89); number of G alleles at rs2523405 (P = 0.05), OR was 0.65 per G allele (95% CI = 0.42-1.00); and number of G alleles at rs2523393 (P = 0.01), OR was 0.56 per G allele (95% CI = 0.36-0.86). On average, for the rs1362126 SNP, 2.1 more treatment cycles for a woman who carried the AA genotype were needed to achieve pregnancy within the first eight treatment cycles compared with a woman who carried the GG genotype. Likewise, for the rs2523405 SNP, 1.8 more cycles for the GG genotype compared with the TT genotype were needed, and for the rs2523393 SNP, 2.2 more treatment cycles for a woman who carried the GG genotype compared with a woman who carried the AA genotype were needed. Adjustments for the covariates BMI, female age, IVF (yes/no for each cycle), ICSI (yes/no for each cycle), female factor (yes/no) and male factor (yes/no), were also performed modeling the cycle-specific probabilities and the genotypes remained significant and almost unchanged. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Specific types of ART will be chosen from the start of treatment, which means that the chances of achieving pregnancy could differ between the women solely due to their first line of treatment. However, multivariate analyses are performed to adjust for type of ART treatment. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: To our knowledge, this is the first study that shows associations between, and implications of, HLA-F gene locus variation and time-to-pregnancy and pregnancy success in a clinical setting for fertility treatment/ART. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): Supported by the Region Zealand Health Sciences Research foundation and by Zealand University Hospital through the ReproHealth Research Consortium ZUH. The authors declare no conflict of interest.

On the estimation of average treatment effects with right-censored time to event outcome and competing risks.

We are interested in the estimation of average treatment effects based on right-censored data of an observational study. We focus on causal inference of differences between t-year absolute event risks in a situation with competing risks. We derive doubly robust estimation equations and implement estimators for the nuisance parameters based on working regression models for the outcome, censoring, and treatment distribution conditional on auxiliary baseline covariates. We use the functional delta method to show that these estimators are regular asymptotically linear estimators and estimate their variances based on estimates of their influence functions. In empirical studies, we assess the robustness of the estimators and the coverage of confidence intervals. The methods are further illustrated using data from a Danish registry study.

Hospitalizations in Patients With Nonmalignant Short-Bowel Syndrome Receiving Home Parenteral Support.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this retrospective cohort study was to assess the frequency, duration, and causes of hospitalizations in patients receiving home parenteral support (HPS) due to short-bowel syndrome (SBS) of nonmalignant causes. Furthermore, we aimed to investigate potential risk factors and hypothesized that patients with the shortest remnant, functional, small bowel-hence, the highest need for HPS-would have the highest incidence of hospitalizations. METHODS: Patients with nonmalignant SBS who initiated HPS in the period from 1970 to 2016 from the Department of Gastroenterology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark, were included. Information about demography, hospitalizations at the department, and duration of HPS was obtained from the Copenhagen intestinal failure database. RESULTS: Patients (n = 331) received HPS for a total of 1409.9 years in the period. Hospitalizations accounted for 6.6% of the time registered as HPS-dependent. The average patient was hospitalized for 5.7% (range 0%-82%) of the registered HPS days. The incidence of admissions was 2.5 per HPS year. The median length of stay was 7 days (range; 0-387). Catheter-related complications were the most frequently registered causes of admissions (35.2%), subsequently accounting for 31.3% of the total admission time. A Cox regression of admissions showed no significant influence of the remnant-bowel anatomy but identified the ability to administer HPS unaided as associated with a significantly reduced hazard. CONCLUSIONS: This retrospective study illustrated that 6.6% of the provided HPS days were, in fact, spent hospitalized. Since admissions elsewhere were not accounted for, this may be an underestimation.

Radiographic Imaging to Evaluate Food Passage Rate in Preterm Piglets as a Model for Preterm Infants.

Objectives and study: Gut motility in infants mature with increasing post-menstrual age and is affected by numerous hormonal, immunological and nutritional factors. However, it remains unclear how age and diet influence gut motility and its relation to feeding intolerance and gastric residuals in preterm neonates. Using preterm piglets as a model for infants, we investigated if contrast passage rate, as determined by X-ray contrast imaging, is affected by gestational age at birth, advancing postnatal age and different milk diets. Methods: Contrast passage rate was evaluated using serial abdominal X-ray imaging on postnatal day 4 and 18 in preterm and near-term piglets fed infant formula, colostrum or intact bovine milk, with or without added fortifier (total n = 140). Results: Preterm piglets had a faster small intestinal passage rate of contrast solution at day 4 of life than near-term piglets (SIEmpty, hazard ratio (HR): 0.52, 95%CI [0.15, 0.88], p < 0.01). Formula fed piglets at day 4 had a faster passage rate of contrast to caecum (ToCecum, HR: 0.61, 95%CI [0.25,0.96], p = 0.03), and through the colon region (CaecumToRectum, p < 0.05, day 4) than colostrum fed preterm piglets. The time for contrast to leave the stomach, and passage through the colon in day 4 preterm piglets were slower than in older piglets at day 18 (both, p < 0.05). Adding a nutrient fortifier increased body growth, gastric residuals, intestinal length and weight, but did not affect any of the observed passage rates of the contrast solution. Conclusion: Serial X-ray contrast imaging is a feasible method to assess food passage rate in preterm piglets. Contrast passage rate through different gut segments is affected by gestational age at birth, postnatal age, and milk diet. The preterm piglet could be a good model to investigate clinical and dietary factors that support maturation of gut motility and thereby feeding tolerance and gut health in preterm infants.