Safety/efficacy of atezolizumab + bevacizumab during anti-platelet/anticoagulation therapy in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: This study aimed to determine the safety and efficacy of atezolizumab + bevacizumab therapy in hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving anti-platelet agents or anticoagulants. METHODS: Patients were divided into those using (IM out) and those not using (IM in) anti-platelet agents or anticoagulants, who violated the exclusion criteria of the IMbrave150 trial, and were retrospectively examined. RESULTS: The study included 185 patients (IM in: 157; IM out: 28). For first-line treatment, progression-free survival was 184 days for IM in and 266 days for IM out (p = .136). Overall survival was 603 days for IM in and not reached for IM out (p = .265), with no significant between-group difference. Similarly, there were no significant between-group differences in progression-free survival or overall survival for later-line treatment. Haemorrhagic adverse events of ≥grade 3 were observed in 11 IM in patients and 3 IM out patients. No significant factors associated with haemorrhagic adverse events of ≥grade 3 were identified in the multivariate analysis including IM out classification, whose p value was .547. Regarding thrombotic/embolic adverse events in the IM out group, one case of exacerbation of portal vein thrombosis was observed. No deaths were directly attributable to bleeding events or exacerbations of thrombosis. CONCLUSION: Atezolizumab + bevacizumab therapy shows similar safety and efficacy in patients receiving and those not receiving anti-platelet agents or anticoagulants; therefore, it can be considered for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma receiving anti-platelet agents or anticoagulants.

Socio-economic association of alcohol use disorder and cardiovascular and alcohol-associated liver disease from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS: Alcohol use leads to disabilities and deaths worldwide. It not only harms the liver but also causes alcohol use disorder (AUD) and heart disease. Additionally, alcohol consumption contributes to health disparities among different socio-economic groups. METHODS: We estimated global and regional trends in the burden of AUD, liver disease, and cardiovascular disease from alcohol using the methodology of the Global Burden of Disease study. RESULTS: In 2019, the highest disability-adjusted life years rate per 100,000 population was due to AUD (207.31 [95% Uncertainty interval (UI) 163.71-261.66]), followed by alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) (133.31 [95% UI 112.68-156.17]). The prevalence rate decreased for AUD (APC [annual percentage change] -0.38%) and alcohol-induced cardiomyopathy (APC -1.85%) but increased for ALD (APC 0.44%) and liver cancer (APC 0.53%). Although the mortality rate for liver cancer from alcohol increased (APC 0.30%), mortality rates from other diseases decreased. Between 2010 and 2019, the burden of alcohol-associated complications increased in countries with low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI), contributing more significantly to the global burden. CONCLUSION: The global burden of AUD, liver, and cardiovascular disease has been high and increasing over the past decade, particularly for liver complications. Lower SDI countries are contributing more to this global burden. There is a pressing need for effective strategies to address this escalating burden.

Deep learning and digital pathology powers prediction of HCC development in steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Identifying patients with steatotic liver disease who are at a high risk of developing HCC remains challenging. We present a deep learning (DL) model to predict HCC development using hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole-slide images of biopsy-proven steatotic liver disease. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We included 639 patients who did not develop HCC for ≥7 years after biopsy (non-HCC class) and 46 patients who developed HCC <7 years after biopsy (HCC class). Paired cases of the HCC and non-HCC classes matched by biopsy date and institution were used for training, and the remaining nonpaired cases were used for validation. The DL model was trained using deep convolutional neural networks with 28,000 image tiles cropped from whole-slide images of the paired cases, with an accuracy of 81.0% and an AUC of 0.80 for predicting HCC development. Validation using the nonpaired cases also demonstrated a good accuracy of 82.3% and an AUC of 0.84. These results were comparable to the predictive ability of logistic regression model using fibrosis stage. Notably, the DL model also detected the cases of HCC development in patients with mild fibrosis. The saliency maps generated by the DL model highlighted various pathological features associated with HCC development, including nuclear atypia, hepatocytes with a high nuclear-cytoplasmic ratio, immune cell infiltration, fibrosis, and a lack of large fat droplets. CONCLUSIONS: The ability of the DL model to capture subtle pathological features beyond fibrosis suggests its potential for identifying early signs of hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with steatotic liver disease.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the global burden of disease database 2019.

OBJECTIVE: The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms. METHODS: This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. RESULTS: The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million DALYs in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010-2019. More than half of countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change [APC] +0.87%, 95% confidence interval 0.70-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (APC +0.21%, 95% confidence interval 0.01-0.42%). Limitations of the GBD database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption. CONCLUSION: Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

Differential Effects of Genetic Polymorphism on Comorbid Disease in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: PNPLA3 rs738409, TM6SF2 rs58542926, and HSD17B13 rs72613567 have been associated with an increased risk of liver-related events (LREs) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). In this study, we investigated the combined effects of these variants on LREs. METHODS: The longitudinal multicenter cohort study enrolled 1178 patients with biopsy-proven MASLD. We calculated the genetic risk of hepatic fibrosis and LRE according to the impact of these variants. RESULTS: Patients with genetic fibrosis scores of 2, 3, and 4 or 5 were at greater risk than patients with scores of 0 or 1, with odds ratios of 2.45 (95% CI, 1.27-4.74), 2.14 (95% CI, 1.17-3.94), and 2.54 (95% CI, 1.35-4.77), respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that PNPLA3 and TM6SF2, but not HSD17B13, were associated significantly with LRE development. The hazard ratio of the genetic high-risk group for LRE was 1.91 (95% CI, 1.20-3.04). The higher risk of LRE development in the genetic high-risk group also was seen in patients with F ≥ 3 or Fibrosis-4 index > 2.67. The hazard ratios of the genetic high-risk group for LRE were greater in patients without obesity, without diabetes, and of younger age compared with patients with obesity, with diabetes, or of older age, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This combination of MASLD-related genetic variants is useful for predicting LREs in Japanese patients with MASLD. The genetic risk according to these variants is useful for LRE risk assessment, especially in patients without metabolic risk factors or in younger patients in Japan.

Accuracy of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Test in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Its Clinical Implications.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The diagnostic performance of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS) is poor in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We determined the usefulness of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test in patients with T2DM. METHODS: A total of 1228 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were enrolled. The diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in participants with or without T2DM was evaluated in comparison with the FIB-4 index and NFS. RESULTS: Overall, the area under the curve of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis was greater (0.828) than that of the FIB-4 index (0.727) and NFS (0.733). The diagnostic performance of the ELF test (area under the curve, 0.820) was also superior to that of the FIB-4 index (0.698) and NFS (0.700) in patients with T2DM. With the low cutoff values for each noninvasive test, the ELF test provided an acceptable false negative rate (cutoff value 9.8, 6.7%) in this population, unlike the FIB-4 index (1.30, 14.5%) and NFS (-1.455, 12.4%). After propensity score matching to avoid selection bias including age, sex, body mass index, and the prevalence of advanced fibrosis, the ELF test with a low cutoff value showed a high sensitivity (≥91.4%) and a high negative predictive value (≥96.8%), irrespective of the presence or absence of T2DM. CONCLUSIONS: The high diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in individuals with or without T2DM could address an unmet medical need for accurate assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with diabetes and NAFLD.

A Prospective Study Exploring the Safety and Efficacy of Lenvatinib for Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma and High Tumor Burden: The LAUNCH Study.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to investigate the safety and efficacy of lenvatinib in real-world settings, including patients excluded from the REFLECT trial, a phase III trial that compared lenvatinib with sorafenib. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This multicenter, nonrandomized, open-label prospective study was conducted at 10 medical facilities in Japan (jRCTs031190017). Eligible patients had advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and were suitable for lenvatinib therapy. The study included patients with high tumor burden (with >50% intrahepatic tumor volume, main portal vein invasion, or bile duct invasion), Child-Pugh B status, and receiving lenvatinib as second-line therapy following atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. RESULTS: From December 2019 to September 2021, 59 patients were analyzed (47 and 12 patients with Child-Pugh A and B, respectively). In patients with Child-Pugh A, the frequency of aspartate aminotransferase elevation was high (72.7%) in the high-burden group. No other significant ad verse events (AE) were observed even in second-line treatment. However, patients with Child-Pugh B had high incidence of grade ≥3 AE (100.0%) and high discontinuation rates caused by AE (33.3%) compared with patients with Child-Pugh A (80.9% and 17.0%, respectively). Median progression-free survival was 6.4 and 2.5 months and median overall survival was 19.7 and 4.1 months in Child-Pugh A and B, respectively. Lenvatinib plasma concentration was higher in patients with Child-Pugh B on days 8 and 15 and correlated with dose modifications and lower relative dose intensity. CONCLUSIONS: Lenvatinib is safe and effective for advanced HCC in patients with Child-Pugh A, even with high tumor burden. However, it carries a higher risk of AE and may not provide adequate efficacy for patients with Child-Pugh B status.

Artificial intelligence/neural network system that accurately diagnoses hepatocellular carcinoma in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The aim of this study was to develop a novel noninvasive test using an artificial intelligence/neural network system (called HCC-Scope) to diagnose early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on the background of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). METHODS: In total, 175 patients with histologically proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and 55 patients with NASH-HCC were enrolled for training and validation studies. Of the 55 patients with NASH-HCC, 27 (49.1%) had very early-stage HCC, and six (10.9%) had early-stage HCC based on the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system. Diagnosis with HCC-Scope was performed based on 12 items: age, sex, height, weight, AST level, ALT level, gamma-glutamyl transferase level, cholesterol level, triglyceride level, platelet count, diabetes status, and IgM-free apoptosis inhibitor of macrophage level. The FMVWG2U47 hardware (Fujitsu Co. Ltd, Tokyo, Japan) and the originally developed software were used. RESULTS: HCC-Scope had sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% for the differential diagnosis between non-HCC and HCC in a training study with gray zone analysis. It was also excellent in the validation study (95.0% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% PPV, and 97.1% NPV with gray zone analysis and 95.2% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% PPV, and 97.1% NPV without gray zone analysis). HCC-Scope had a significantly higher sensitivity (85.3%) and specificity (85.1%) than alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, AFP-L3 level, des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) level, and the gender-age-AFP-L3-AFP-DCP (GALAD) score. CONCLUSIONS: HCC-Scope can accurately differentially diagnose between non-HCC NASH and NASH-HCC, including very early-stage NASH-HCC.

The greater impact of PNPLA3 polymorphism on liver-related events in Japanese non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients: A multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: PNPLA3 rs738409 has been associated with an increased risk of liver-related events in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In this study, we investigated the epidemiology of NAFLD and the impact of PNPLA3 on prognosis in Japan. METHODS: A longitudinal multicentre cohort study, the JAGUAR study, includes 1550 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD in Japan. We performed genetic testing and evaluated outcomes from this cohort. Liver-related events were defined as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and decompensated liver cirrhosis events. RESULTS: During follow-up (median [range], 7.1 [1.0-24.0] years), 80 patients developed HCC, 104 developed liver-related events, and 59 died of any cause. The 5-year rate of liver-related events for each single-nucleotide polymorphism was 0.5% for CC, 3.8% for CG, and 5.8% for GG. Liver-related deaths were the most common (n = 28); only three deaths were due to cardiovascular disease. Multivariate analysis identified carriage of PNPLA3 CG/GG (hazard ratio [HR] 16.04, p = .006) and FIB-4 index >2.67 (HR 10.70, p < .01) as predictors of liver-related event development. No HCC or liver-related death was found among patients with PNPLA3 CC. There was a significantly increased risk of HCC, liver-related events, and mortality for CG/GG versus CC, but no difference between the CG and GG genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: In Japanese individuals, the main cause of death from NAFLD is liver-related death. The greater risk of liver-related events incurred by PNPLA3 G allele was shown in Japan. Risk stratification for NAFLD in Japan is best accomplished by integrating PNPLA3 with the FIB-4 index.

Gamma-glutamyl transferase predicts pemafibrate treatment response in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Pemafibrate, a selective peroxisome proliferator activated receptor α modulator, has been shown to improve liver function among nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients with dyslipidemia. The aim of this retrospective study is to identify predictors of pemafibrate efficacy in NAFLD patients. METHODS: A total of 75 NAFLD patients with dyslipidemia who received pemafibrate twice per day for 48 weeks were enrolled in this study. We used the FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase (FAST) score as a benchmark for treatment efficacy. RESULTS: Median FAST score significantly decreased from 0.96 at baseline to 0.93 at week 48 (P < 0.001). Significant improvements in levels of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and triglycerides were also noted. The serum level of GGT at baseline was correlated with change in FAST score (r = -0.22, P = 0.049). Changes in AST, ALT, and GGT were positively correlated with change in FAST score (r = 0.71, r = 0.61, and r = 0.38). Multivariate analyses identified age and GGT level at baseline as significantly associated with improvement of FAST score by pemafibrate therapy (odds ratio 1.11, 1.02, respectively). Patients over 50 years of age and with a GGT of 90 IU/L or higher showed significantly greater improvement in the FAST score than other groups. CONCLUSIONS: Pemafibrate improves the FAST score of NAFLD patients with complicating dyslipidemia, especially in older patients with high GGT level. GGT is useful as an indicator of optimal treatment choice for NAFLD patients with dyslipidemia.

Comparison of portal vein hemodynamics with ultrasound-based elastography for the prediction of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic liver disease.

Chronic liver disease includes nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, progresses from steatosis and hepatitis to fibrosis and cirrhosis, with hemodynamic changes in portal blood flow. This study aimed to compare portal vein hemodynamics with liver stiffness (LS) and steatosis and included 28 subjects with chronic liver disease, in whom LS and steatosis were evaluated in the same image employing two elastography techniques: transient elastography (TE) with controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) using a FibroScan and two-dimensional shear-wave elastography (2D-SWE) with attenuation imaging (ATI). Additionally, peak maximum velocity (Vmax) of the right portal vein and spleen stiffness with 2D-SWE were evaluated. A strong positive correlation was present between LS values obtained with TE and 2D-SWE and between the attenuation coefficients of steatosis obtained with CAP and ATI. Additionally, a negative correlation was present between LS values and the Vmax of the right portal vein (r = 0.415, p = 0.031). The optimal Vmax cutoff value for discriminating liver fibrosis with an LS value of > 5 kPa was < 17 cm/s; the ability of Vmax to predict fibrosis was comparable to that of the FIB4-index. Low Vmax of the right portal vein was useful for identifying liver fibrosis in patients with chronic liver disease.

Validation of the utility of Agile scores to identify advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in Japanese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

AIM: Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores, based on liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography and clinical parameters, were recently reported to be effective in identifying advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study aimed to validate the utility of these scores in Japanese patients with NAFLD. METHODS: Six hundred forty-one patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were analyzed. The severity of liver fibrosis was pathologically evaluated by one expert pathologist. The LSM, age, sex, diabetes status, platelet count, and aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels were used to calculate Agile 3+ scores, and the parameters above excluding age were used for Agile 4 scores. The diagnostic performance of the two scores was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of the original low cut-off (for rule-out) value and high cut-off (for rule-in) value were tested. RESULTS: For diagnosis of fibrosis stage ≥3, the area under the ROC (AUROC) was 0.886, and the sensitivity of the low cut-off value and the specificity of the high cut-off value were 95.3% and 73.4%, respectively. For diagnosis of fibrosis stage 4, AUROC, the sensitivity of the low cut-off value, and the specificity of the high cut-off value were 0.930, 100%, and 86.5%, respectively. Both scores had higher diagnostic performance than the FIB-4 index and the enhanced liver fibrosis score. CONCLUSIONS: Agile 3+ and Agile 4 are reliable noninvasive tests to identify advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in Japanese NAFLD patients with adequate diagnostic performance.

Fibro-Scope V1.0.1: an artificial intelligence/neural network system for staging of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis.

BACKGROUND: Fibro-Scope is an artificial intelligence/neural network system to determine the fibrosis stage in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) using 12 parameters of the patient: age, sex, height, weight, waist circumference (WC), platelet count, and the levels of aspartate and alanine aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyltransferase, cholesterol, triglycerides, and type IV collagen 7S. However, measurement of WC is unstable and often missing from patient databases. Herein, we created Fibro-Scope V1.0.1 that has the same detection power as its predecessor, without the need to consider WC. METHODS: To build a new AI diagnostic system available for the global needs, data from 764 patients with NASH and bridging fibrosis (STELLAR-3) or compensated cirrhosis (STELLAR-4) that participated in two phase III trials were added to the Japanese data. Finally, the data of a total of 898 patients in the training and of 300 patients in the validation studies were analyzed, respectively. RESULTS: The discrimination of F0-2 from F3,4 through Fibro-Scope V1.0.1 was characterized by a 99.8% sensitivity, a 99.6% specificity, a 99.8% positive predictive value, and a 99.6% negative predictive value in a training study with gray zone analysis; similar effectiveness was also revealed in the analysis without a gray zone. In the validation studies with and without gray zone analysis, high sensitivity and specificity were also identified. Fibro-Scope V1.0.1 exerted a diagnostic accuracy for F3,4 advanced fibrosis that was comparable to that of the original Fibro-Scope and delivered high (> 92%) sensitivity and specificity. CONCLUSION: Fibro-Scope V1.0.1 can accurately diagnose F3,4 fibrosis without the need of WC.

Diagnostic accuracy of enhanced liver fibrosis test for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-related fibrosis: Multicenter study.

AIM: The enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test is a noninvasive method for diagnosing hepatic fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This multicenter cohort study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of the ELF test and compare it with other noninvasive tests in Japan. METHODS: We analyzed 371 Japanese patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. We constructed area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AUROC) to determine the diagnostic accuracies of the ELF test, the Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi), the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and combinations of these indices. RESULTS: In patients with F0/F1/F2/F3/F4 fibrosis, the median values of the ELF test were 8.98/9.56/10.39/10.92/11.41, respectively. The AUROCs of the ELF test for patients with F0 versus F1-4, F0-1 versus F2-4, F0-2 versus F3-4, and F0-3 versus F4 fibrosis were 0.825/0.817/0.802/0.812, respectively. The AUROCs of the ELF test were greater than those of the FIB-4 index and M2BPGi at each fibrosis stage. Respective low and high cut-off values yielded sensitivities and specificities for predicting advanced fibrosis (≥F3) of 91.1% and 50.8%, and 38.5% and 92.8%, respectively. For F3 or F4 fibrosis, the combined values from the ELF test and FIB-4 index showed a sensitivity of 98.5%, and the combined values from the ELF test and M2BPGi assay showed a specificity of 97.5%. CONCLUSIONS: In Japan, the ELF test predicts NAFLD-related fibrosis from its early stages. The diagnostic ability of the ELF test was not inferior to that of other indices, and the combined values of ELF plus other indices were more accurate.

Age-dependent effects of diabetes and obesity on liver-related events in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: Subanalysis of CLIONE in Asia.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Older age, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and obesity are known risk factors for liver-related events (LREs). We investigated the impacts of T2DM and obesity on LRE according to age in Japanese patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: We performed a subanalysis of a retrospective cohort study (CLIONE in Asia), including 1395 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. The median follow-up was 4.6 years. RESULTS: The median age was 57 years, and 36.2% had T2DM. The median body mass index (BMI) was 27.4, and 28.5% were severely obese (BMI ≥ 30). During follow-up, 37 patients developed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and 58 patients developed LRE. In patients younger than 65 years, advanced fibrosis (hazard ratio [HR] 7.69, P < 0.001) and T2DM (HR 3.37, P = 0.017) were HCC risk factors, and advanced fibrosis (HR 9.40, P < 0.001) and T2DM (HR 2.51, P = 0.016) were LRE risk factors. In patients 65 years and older, advanced fibrosis (HR 4.24, P = 0.010) and obesity (HR 4.60, P = 0.006) were HCC risk factors, and advanced fibrosis (HR 4.22, P = 0.002) and obesity (HR 4.22, P = 0.002) were LRE risk factors. CONCLUSION: Type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity contributed to LRE in younger and older patients, respectively, along with advanced fibrosis. Therefore, controlling T2DM in patients younger than 65 years and controlling weight in patients 65 years and older could prevent LRE. The development of age-dependent screening and management strategies is necessary for patients with NAFLD.

The additive effect of genetic and metabolic factors in the pathogenesis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Both genetic and metabolic factors influence the pathology of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the impact of these factors at each stage of disease. We analysed the impact of obesity, diabetes mellitus and genetic risk factors (alleles of PNPLA3 or HSD17B13) on nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), significant fibrosis (stage ≥ 2) and advanced fibrosis (stage ≥ 3) in 346 patients. Genetic high risk was defined as having at least 2 risk alleles. The median age was 59 years, median body mass index was 27.1 kg/m2, and 46.8% had diabetes mellitus. Obesity was a risk factor for NASH, significant fibrosis, and advanced fibrosis. Diabetes mellitus increased the risk of NASH. Genetic risk increased the risk of significant and advanced fibrosis. Odds ratios for NASH, significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis increased with the number of genetic and metabolic risk factors. The patients with both metabolic and genetic risks had an odds ratio of 12.30 for NASH, 5.50 for significant fibrosis, and 6.25 for advanced fibrosis. Factors strongly impact on the pathology of NAFLD differed according to the fibrosis stages. Synergistic effects were observed between genetic and metabolic factors at all stages.

Trends of hepatitis B virus genotype distribution in chronic hepatitis B patients in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is one of the most prevalent chronic viral infections that causes chronic hepatitis B (CHB). In Japan, genotypes B and C account for most of acute and chronic cases of hepatitis. However, previous studies showed that the prevalence of genotype A in CHB gradually increased every 5 years. Therefore, we have conducted a nationwide survey to comprehensively investigate the trends of HBV genotype distribution in CHB patients in Japan. METHODS: 4421 CHB patients were recruited between 2015 and 2016. Clinical characteristics and distribution of CHB patients among different age groups and genotypes in 2015-2016 was compared with those in 2000-2001, 2005-2006, and 2010-2011. RESULTS: The percentages of genotype A, B, C, and D were 4.0, 16.2, 79.1, and 0.7%, respectively. While the overall percentage of CHB patients with genotype A did not change in the past 5 years, CHB with genotype A increased in young adults. On the other hand, the peak distribution of CHB with genotypes B and C, two genotypes with the largest patient population, has shifted to an older age group. CONCLUSIONS: In Japan, the peak distribution for CHB with genotypes B and C advanced to an older age group while CHB with genotype A expanded in a younger age group. Given the universal HBV vaccination launch in Japan in 2016, these pre-vaccination survey data provide important baseline information for comparative studies of the impact of universal vaccination on HBV genotypes.

Real-world outcomes of molecular targeted agents for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma over 80 years old.

AIM: There is insufficient evidence regarding the safety and efficacy of molecular targeted agents (MTAs) for elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), who are likely to be vulnerable to adverse events (AEs) of therapy. The aim of this study was to compare sorafenib and lenvatinib use in elderly patients with HCC from the viewpoint of overall survival (OS) and rate of AE-induced MTA discontinuation. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with HCC over 80 years old who received first-line molecular targeted therapy (MTT) at four hospitals between June 2009 and September 2019. They were divided into three groups according to the era and type of first-line MTA: E1-Sora (sorafenib, between 2009 and 2016), E2-Sora (sorafenib, between 2017 and 2019), and E2-Len (lenvatinib, between 2017 and 2019). RESULTS: The study included 173 patients (E1-Sora, n = 79; E2-Sora, n = 50; E2-Len, n = 44) with a median age of 81.9 years (range, 80-93 years). Median OS was 15.1 months in the entire cohort (E1-Sora, 12.7 months; E2-Sora, 20.5 months; E2-Len, 10.3 months). The rate of treatment discontinuation due to AEs was high in the entire cohort, especially in E1-Sora and E2-Len (49.4% in E1-Sora, 28.0% in E2-Sora, and 54.6% in E2-Len, p = 0.0753). More E2-Sora patients received subsequent MTT than E2-Len patients (E2-Sora, 50%; E2-Len, 28.6%; p = 0.0111). CONCLUSION: Both sorafenib and lenvatinib were effective and feasible for elderly patients with HCC. In terms of discontinuation due to AEs and subsequent MTT, sorafenib might be more desirable for elderly patients with HCC over 80 years.

Serum levels of immunoglobulin M-free inhibitors of macrophage/CD5L as a predictive and early diagnostic marker for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-associated hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The apoptosis inhibitor of macrophage (AIM) is usually associated with the immunoglobulin M (IgM) pentamer in the blood and is dissociated from IgM in various diseases, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). We aimed to elucidate whether IgM-free AIM (fAIM) is useful for detecting latent HCC in NASH. METHODS: This research consisted of two cohort studies. The levels of serum fAIM, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and des-gamma carboxy prothrombin (DCP) of 18 NASH patients who developed HCC were measured during the follow-up period before HCC diagnosis (median, 4.7 years). In total, 199 patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were included in the HCC survey. The serum fAIM levels were analyzed using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. RESULTS: In the cohort of 18 patients with HCC, 12 had high fAIM at the time of the initial blood sample, three had normal fAIM levels throughout the follow-up period, and three had fAIM elevated from normal to positive. The positive ratio of fAIM prior to HCC diagnosis remained significantly higher than that of AFP and DCP, and the fAIM ratio gradually increased. In a survey of 199 non-HCC NAFLD patients, a Cox regression analysis using independent variables, such as AFP, fAIM, age, albumin, bilirubin, and fibrosis stage, revealed that fAIM and AFP were significantly associated with the incidence of HCC. CONCLUSIONS: During the development of NASH-HCC, AIM activation in blood appears to start even before HCC is diagnostically detectable. Thus, the serum IgM-free AIM levels could be a new, sensitive biomarker for latent NASH-HCC.

Medical checkup data analysis method based on LiNGAM and its application to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Although medical checkup data would be useful for identifying unknown factors of disease progression, a causal relationship between checkup items should be taken into account for precise analysis. Missing values in medical checkup data must be appropriately imputed because checkup items vary from person to person, and items that have not been tested include missing values. In addition, the patients with target diseases or disorders are small in comparison with the total number of persons recorded in the data, which means medical checkup data is an imbalanced data analysis. We propose a new method for analyzing the causal relationship in medical checkup data to discover disease progression factors based on a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model (LiNGAM), a machine learning technique for causal inference. In the proposed method, specific regression coefficients calculated through LiNGAM were compared to estimate the causal strength of the checkup items on disease progression, which is referred to as LiNGAM-beta. We also propose an analysis framework consisting of LiNGAM-beta, collaborative filtering (CF), and a sampling approach for causal inference of medical checkup data. CF and the sampling approach are useful for missing value imputation and balancing of the data distribution. We applied the proposed analysis framework to medical checkup data for identifying factors of Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) development. The checkup items related to metabolic syndrome and age showed high causal effects on NAFLD severity. The level of blood urea nitrogen (BUN) would have a negative effect on NAFLD severity. Snoring frequency, which is associated with obstructive sleep apnea, affected NAFLD severity, particularly in the male group. Sleep duration also affected NAFLD severity in persons over fifty years old. These analysis results are consistent with previous reports about the causes of NAFLD; for example, NAFLD and metabolic syndrome are mutual and bi-directionally related, and BUN has a negative effect on NAFLD progression. Thus, our analysis result is plausible. The proposed analysis framework including LiNGAM-beta can be applied to various medical checkup data and will contribute to discovering unknown disease factors.