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BACKGROUND: Despite widespread use of fecal immunochemical tests (FITs) for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening, data to guide test selection are limited. OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance characteristics of 5 commonly used FITs, using colonoscopy as the reference standard. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03264898). SETTING: Three U.S. academic medical centers and affiliated endoscopy units. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged 50 to 85 years undergoing screening or surveillance colonoscopy. INTERVENTION: Participants completed 5 different FITs before their colonoscopy, including 4 qualitative tests (Hemoccult ICT, Hemosure iFOB, OC-Light S FIT, QuickVue iFOB) and 1 quantitative test (OC-Auto FIT, which was run at the manufacturer's threshold for positivity of >100 ng/mL). MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was test performance (sensitivity and specificity) for each of the 5 FITs for advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN), defined as advanced polyps or CRC. Positivity rates, positive and negative predictive values, and rates of unevaluable tests were compared. Multivariable models were used to identify factors affecting sensitivity. RESULTS: A total of 3761 participants were enrolled, with a mean age of 62.1 years (SD, 7.8); 63.2% of participants were female, 5.7% were Black, 86.4% were White, and 28.7% were Hispanic. There were 320 participants with ACN (8.5%), including 9 with CRC (0.2%). The test positivity rate varied 4-fold (3.9% to 16.4%) across FITs. Rates of unevaluable FITs ranged from 0.2% to 2.5%. The sensitivity for ACN varied from 10.1% to 36.7%, and specificity varied from 85.5% to 96.6%. Differences in sensitivity between FITs were all statistically significantly different except between Hemosure iFOB and QuickVue iFOB, and specificity differences were all statistically significantly different from one another. In addition to FIT brand, distal location of ACN was also associated with higher FIT sensitivity. LIMITATION: The study did not assess the programmatic sensitivity of annual FIT. CONCLUSION: Although considered a single class, FITs have varying test performance for detecting ACN and should not be considered interchangeable. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.
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Interrogating the ecological and geographic factors that influence population divergence dynamics can reveal why some groups of organisms diversify more prolifically than others. One such group is the heathers (Erica, Ericaceae), the largest plant genus in the Cape Floristic Region. We study Erica abietina, a highly variable species complex with four subspecies differing in geographic range, habitat and pollination syndrome. We test for population differentiation, hybridisation, introgression and pollinator-driven divergence using genotyping-by-sequencing on samples across the entire distribution. We find five variably distinct genetic groups, with one subspecies comprising two independent lineages that are geographically isolated and occur on different soil types. Phylogenetic analysis suggests two independent shifts between bird and insect pollination, with accompanying genetic divergence. However, for one pair of populations with different pollinators, we uncover several individuals of hybrid origin at a site of sympatry. These results suggest that floral differentiation driven by divergent selection acts in concert with geographic isolation to maintain reproductive isolation and promote speciation. Our investigations reveal a highly dynamic system whose diversity has been shaped by a variety of interacting forces. We suggest that such a system could be a model for much of the diversification of the Cape flora.
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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Indocyanine Green Fluorescence (ICG-F)- guided surgery is becoming an increasingly helpful tool in pediatric surgical care. This consensus statement investigates the utility of ICG-F in various pediatric surgical applications, primarily focusing on its evidence base, safety, indications, use across different surgical specialties and dosing strategies. The aim is to establish an international consensus for ICG-F use in pediatric surgery. METHODS: An international panel of 15 pediatric surgeons from 9 countries was assembled. The structured process consisted of a rapid scoping review, iterative discussion sessions, mixed-methods studies with key stakeholders, and voting rounds on individual statements to create draft consensus statements. RESULTS: 100 articles were identified during the review and summarized by application. Based on this condensed evidence, consensus statements were generated after 3 iterative rounds of anonymous voting. Key areas of agreement were quality of evidence, the safety of ICG, pediatric surgical indications, utilization per surgical specialty, and dosing of ICG. CONCLUSION: This consensus statement aims to guide healthcare professionals in managing ICG-F use in pediatric surgical cases based on the best available evidence, key stakeholder consultation, and expert opinions. Despite ICG-F's promising potential, the need for higher-quality evidence, prospective trials, and safety studies is underscored. The consensus also provides a framework for pediatric surgeons to utilize ICG-F effectively. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.
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A new generation of disease-specific molecular imaging agents is poised to revolutionize fluorescence-guided surgery. Pafolacianine has been approved for adult lung and ovarian cancers. We demonstrate a proof of concept for pediatric surgeons treating young adults with pulmonary metastatic sarcomas. Five successful fluorescence-guided pulmonary metastasectomy operations were performed in young adult patients with metastatic osteosarcoma or Ewing sarcoma following administration of pafolacianine. All osteosarcoma lesions identified using standard techniques were also markedly fluorescent in patients. Novel fluorescent molecular agents targeted to tumor-specific receptors have promise of increased sensitivity and specificity for detecting metastatic nodules and enhancing surgical clearance of disease.
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Nitrogen recycling and amino acid synthesis are two notable ways in which the gut microbiome can contribute to host metabolism, and these processes are especially important in nitrogen-limited animals. Marine elasmobranchs are nitrogen limited as they require substantial amounts of this element to support urea-based osmoregulation. However, following antibiotic-induced depletion of the gut microbiome, elasmobranchs are known to experience a significant decline in circulating urea and employ compensatory nitrogen conservation strategies such as reduced urea and ammonia excretion. We hypothesized that the elasmobranch gut microbiome transforms dietary and recycled nutrients into amino acids, supporting host carbon and nitrogen balance. Here, using stable isotope analyses, we found that depleting the gut microbiome of Pacific spiny dogfish (Squalus suckleyi) resulted in a significant reduction to the incorporation of supplemented dietary 15N into plasma amino acids, notably those linked to nitrogen handling and energy metabolism, but had no effect on gut amino acid transport. These results demonstrate the importance of gut microbes to host amino acid pools and the unique nitrogen handling strategy of marine elasmobranchs. More broadly, these results elucidate how the gut microbiome contributes to organismal homeostasis, which is likely a ubiquitous phenomenon across animal populations.
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Aminoácidos , Microbioma Gastrointestinal , Squalus , Animais , Microbioma Gastrointestinal/fisiologia , Aminoácidos/metabolismo , Squalus/metabolismo , Nitrogênio/metabolismo , Isótopos de NitrogênioRESUMO
Verbal working memory (vWM) is an essential limited-capacity cognitive system that spans the fronto-parietal network and utilizes the subprocesses of encoding, maintenance, and retrieval. With the recent widespread use of noninvasive brain stimulation techniques, multiple recent studies have examined whether such stimulation may enhance cognitive abilities such as vWM, but the findings to date remain unclear in terms of both behavior and critical brain regions. In the current study, we applied high-definition direct current stimulation to the left and right parietal cortices of 39 healthy adults in three separate sessions (left anodal, right anodal, and sham). Following stimulation, participants completed a vWM task during high-density magnetoencephalography (MEG). Significant neural responses at the sensor-level were imaged using a beamformer and whole-brain ANOVAs were used to identify the specific neuromodulatory effects of the stimulation conditions on neural responses serving distinct phases of vWM. We found that right stimulation had a faciliatory effect relative to left stimulation and sham on theta oscillations during encoding in the right inferior frontal, while the opposite pattern was observed for left supramarginal regions. Stimulation also had a faciliatory effect on theta in occipital regions and alpha in temporal regions regardless of the laterality of stimulation. In summary, our data suggest that parietal HD-tDCS both facilitates and interferes with neural responses underlying both the encoding and maintenance phases of vWM. Future studies are warranted to determine whether specific tDCS parameters can be tuned to accentuate the facilitation responses and attenuate the interfering aspects.
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Magnetoencefalografia , Memória de Curto Prazo , Lobo Parietal , Estimulação Transcraniana por Corrente Contínua , Humanos , Estimulação Transcraniana por Corrente Contínua/métodos , Memória de Curto Prazo/fisiologia , Lobo Parietal/fisiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Lateralidade Funcional/fisiologia , Mapeamento EncefálicoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Cannabis is the most widely used psychoactive drug in the United States. While multiple studies have associated acute cannabis consumption with alterations in cognitive function (e.g., visual and spatial attention), far less is known regarding the effects of chronic consumption on the neural dynamics supporting these cognitive functions. METHODS: We used magnetoencephalography (MEG) and an established visuospatial processing task to elicit multi-spectral neuronal responses in 44 regular cannabis users and 53 demographically matched non-user controls. To examine the effects of chronic cannabis use on the oscillatory dynamics underlying visuospatial processing, neural responses were imaged using a time-frequency resolved beamformer and compared across groups. RESULTS: Neuronal oscillations serving visuospatial processing were identified in the theta (4-8 Hz), alpha (8-14 Hz), and gamma range (56-76 Hz), and these were imaged and examined for group differences. Our key results indicated that users exhibited weaker theta oscillations in occipital and cerebellar regions and weaker gamma responses in the left temporal cortices compared to non-users. Lastly, alpha oscillations did not differ, but alpha connectivity among higher-order attention areas was weaker in cannabis users relative to non-users and correlated with performance. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, these results suggest that chronic cannabis users have alterations in the oscillatory dynamics and neural connectivity serving visuospatial attention. Such alterations were observed across multiple cortical areas critical for higher-order processing and may reflect compensatory activity and/or the initial emergence of aberrant dynamics. Future work is needed to fully understand the implications of altered multispectral oscillations and neural connectivity in cannabis users.
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Atenção , Magnetoencefalografia , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Atenção/efeitos dos fármacos , Atenção/fisiologia , Percepção Visual/fisiologia , Percepção Visual/efeitos dos fármacos , Encéfalo/fisiopatologia , Encéfalo/efeitos dos fármacos , Cognição/efeitos dos fármacos , Cognição/fisiologiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: Multiple fixation methods with or without vascularized graft have been described to treat scaphoid nonunions. This study aimed to assess the incidence of carpal malalignment and the degree of ulnar carpal translocation after scaphoid volar plate fixation with pedicled vascularized bone graft in scaphoid waist nonunions with humpback deformity. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of individuals with recalcitrant scaphoid fracture nonunion treated with volar scaphoid plating and vascularized bone graft was analyzed. All patients had radiographs with the wrist at neutral with clinical follow-up of at least 3 months after surgery. Ulnar subluxation of the carpus was assessed by the change in lunate uncovering and carpal-radial distance before and after surgery. RESULTS: Seventeen patients were included for analysis. Average age was 26 years with an average follow-up interval of 11.0 months. After surgery, 16 patients (94.1%) had fracture union. Between preoperative and initial postoperative imaging, there was an increase in lunate uncovering (mean difference: 8.8%; 95% confidence interval, 4.6% to 13.1%) and carpal-radial distance (mean difference: 3.3% ulnar shift; 95% confidence interval, 1.1% to 5.4%). After surgery, there was minimal change in lunate uncovering and carpal-radial distance from immediately after surgery to final follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative lunate uncovering was lower than normal values, suggesting an abnormal radial shift of the carpus with a collapsed scaphoid. Postoperative lunate uncovering was similar to normal values, reflecting an ulnar shift of the carpus after operative intervention. TYPE OF STUDY/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic IV.
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Facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy (FSHD) affects roughly 1 in 7500 individuals. While at the population level there is a general pattern of affected muscles, there is substantial heterogeneity in muscle expression across- and within-patients. There can also be substantial variation in the pattern of fat and water signal intensity within a single muscle. While quantifying individual muscles across their full length using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) represents the optimal approach to follow disease progression and evaluate therapeutic response, the ability to automate this process has been limited. The goal of this work was to develop and optimize an artificial intelligence-based image segmentation approach to comprehensively measure muscle volume, fat fraction, fat fraction distribution, and elevated short-tau inversion recovery signal in the musculature of patients with FSHD. Intra-rater, inter-rater, and scan-rescan analyses demonstrated that the developed methods are robust and precise. Representative cases and derived metrics of volume, cross-sectional area, and 3D pixel-maps demonstrate unique intramuscular patterns of disease. Future work focuses on leveraging these AI methods to include upper body output and aggregating individual muscle data across studies to determine best-fit models for characterizing progression and monitoring therapeutic modulation of MRI biomarkers.
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Inteligência Artificial , Progressão da Doença , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Distrofia Muscular Facioescapuloumeral , Humanos , Distrofia Muscular Facioescapuloumeral/diagnóstico por imagem , Distrofia Muscular Facioescapuloumeral/patologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Músculo Esquelético/diagnóstico por imagem , Músculo Esquelético/patologia , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodosRESUMO
Regular cannabis use is associated with cortex-wide changes in spontaneous and oscillatory activity, although the functional significance of such changes remains unclear. We hypothesized that regular cannabis use would suppress spontaneous gamma activity in regions serving cognitive control and scale with task performance. Participants (34 cannabis users, 33 nonusers) underwent an interview regarding their substance use history and completed the Eriksen flanker task during magnetoencephalography (MEG). MEG data were imaged in the time-frequency domain and virtual sensors were extracted from the peak voxels of the grand-averaged oscillatory interference maps to quantify spontaneous gamma activity during the pre-stimulus baseline period. We then assessed group-level differences in spontaneous and oscillatory gamma activity, and their relationship with task performance and cannabis use metrics. Both groups exhibited a significant behavioral flanker interference effect, with slower responses during incongruent relative to congruent trials. Mixed-model ANOVAs indicated significant gamma-frequency neural interference effects in the left frontal eye fields (FEF) and left temporoparietal junction (TPJ). Further, a group-by-condition interaction was detected in the left FEF, with nonusers exhibiting stronger gamma oscillations during incongruent relative to congruent trials and cannabis users showing no difference. In addition, spontaneous gamma activity was sharply suppressed in cannabis users relative to nonusers in the left FEF and TPJ. Finally, spontaneous gamma activity in the left FEF and TPJ was associated with task performance across all participants, and greater cannabis use was associated with weaker spontaneous gamma activity in the left TPJ of the cannabis users. Regular cannabis use was associated with weaker spontaneous gamma in the TPJ and FEF. Further, the degree of use may be proportionally related to the degree of suppression in spontaneous activity in the left TPJ.
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Cognição , Ritmo Gama , Magnetoencefalografia , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Ritmo Gama/fisiologia , Cognição/fisiologia , Mapeamento Encefálico , Testes Neuropsicológicos , Encéfalo/fisiopatologia , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagem , Uso da MaconhaRESUMO
Estimates of the number of vascular plant species currently under threat of extinction are shockingly high, with the highest extinction rates reported for narrow-range, woody plants, especially in biodiversity hotspots with Mediterranean and tropical climates. The large genus Erica is a prime example, as a large proportion of its 851 species, all shrubs or small trees, are endemic to the Cape Floristic Region (CFR) of South Africa. Almost two hundred are known to be threatened and a further hundred are 'Data Deficient'. We need to target conservation efforts and research to fill the most problematic knowledge gaps. This can be especially challenging in large genera, such as Erica, with numerous threatened species that are closely related. One approach involves combining knowledge of phylogenetic diversity with that of IUCN threat status to identify the most Evolutionarily Distinct and Globally Endangered (EDGE) species. We present an expanded and improved phylogenetic hypothesis for Erica (representing 65% of described species diversity) and combine this with available threat and distribution data to identify species and geographic areas that could be targeted for conservation effort to maximise preservation of phylogenetic diversity (PD). The resulting 39 EDGE taxa include 35 from the CFR. A further 32 high PD, data deficient taxa are mostly from outside the CFR, reflecting the low proportion of assessed taxa outside South Africa. The most taxon-rich areas are found in the south-western CFR. They are not the most phylogenetically diverse, but do include the most threatened PD. These results can be cross-referenced to existing living and seed-banked ex situ collections and used to target new and updated threat assessments and conservation action.
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Objective.To evaluate the inter- and intra-rater reliability for the identification of bad channels among neurologists, EEG Technologists, and naïve research personnel, and to compare their performance with the automated bad channel detection (ABCD) algorithm for detecting bad channels.Approach.Six Neurologists, ten EEG Technologists, and six naïve research personnel (22 raters in total) were asked to rate 1440 real intracranial EEG channels as good or bad. Intra- and interrater kappa statistics were calculated for each group. We then compared each group to the ABCD algorithm which uses spectral and temporal domain features to classify channels as good or bad.Main results.Analysis of channel ratings from our participants revealed variable intra-rater reliability within each group, with no significant differences across groups. Inter-rater reliability was moderate among neurologists and EEG Technologists but minimal among naïve participants. Neurologists demonstrated a slightly higher consistency in ratings than EEG Technologists. Both groups occasionally misclassified flat channels as good, and participants generally focused on low-frequency content for their assessments. The ABCD algorithm, in contrast, relied more on high-frequency content. A logistic regression model showed a linear relationship between the algorithm's ratings and user responses for predominantly good channels, but less so for channels rated as bad. Sensitivity and specificity analyses further highlighted differences in rating patterns among the groups, with neurologists showing higher sensitivity and naïve personnel higher specificity.Significance.Our study reveals the bias in human assessments of intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG) data quality and the tendency of even experienced professionals to overlook certain bad channels, highlighting the need for standardized, unbiased methods. The ABCD algorithm, outperforming human raters, suggests the potential of automated solutions for more reliable iEEG interpretation and seizure characterization, offering a reliable approach free from human biases.
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Algoritmos , Humanos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Variações Dependentes do Observador , Eletrocorticografia/métodos , Eletrocorticografia/normas , Eletroencefalografia/métodos , Eletroencefalografia/normas , Neurologistas/estatística & dados numéricos , Neurologistas/normasRESUMO
Visual entrainment is a powerful and widely used research tool to study visual information processing in the brain. While many entrainment studies have focused on frequencies around 14-16 Hz, there is renewed interest in understanding visual entrainment at higher frequencies (e.g., gamma-band entrainment). Notably, recent groundbreaking studies have demonstrated that gamma-band visual entrainment at 40 Hz may have therapeutic effects in the context of Alzheimer's disease (AD) by stimulating specific neural ensembles, which utilize GABAergic signaling. Despite such promising findings, few studies have investigated the optimal parameters for gamma-band visual entrainment. Herein, we examined whether visual stimulation at 32, 40, or 48 Hz produces optimal visual entrainment responses using high-density magnetoencephalography (MEG). Our results indicated strong entrainment responses localizing to the primary visual cortex in each condition. Entrainment responses were stronger for 32 and 40 Hz relative to 48 Hz, indicating more robust synchronization of neural ensembles at these lower gamma-band frequencies. In addition, 32 and 40 Hz entrainment responses showed typical patterns of habituation across trials, but this effect was absent for 48 Hz. Finally, connectivity between visual cortex and parietal and prefrontal cortices tended to be strongest for 40 relative to 32 and 48 Hz entrainment. These results suggest that neural ensembles in the visual cortex may resonate at around 32 and 40 Hz and thus entrain more readily to photic stimulation at these frequencies. Emerging AD therapies, which have focused on 40 Hz entrainment to date, may be more effective at lower relative to higher gamma frequencies, although additional work in clinical populations is needed to confirm these findings. PRACTITIONER POINTS: Gamma-band visual entrainment has emerged as a therapeutic approach for eliminating amyloid in Alzheimer's disease, but its optimal parameters are unknown. We found stronger entrainment at 32 and 40 Hz compared to 48 Hz, suggesting neural ensembles prefer to resonate around these relatively lower gamma-band frequencies. These findings may inform the development and refinement of innovative AD therapies and the study of GABAergic visual cortical functions.
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Ritmo Gama , Magnetoencefalografia , Estimulação Luminosa , Córtex Visual , Humanos , Ritmo Gama/fisiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Estimulação Luminosa/métodos , Adulto , Córtex Visual/fisiologia , Adulto Jovem , Percepção Visual/fisiologiaRESUMO
The yeasts Cryptococcus neoformans and Cryptococcus gattii are fungal pathogens that can be isolated from the environment, including the surfaces of many plants. Cryptococcus gattii caused an outbreak on Vancouver Island, British Columbia beginning in 1999 that has since spread to the Pacific Northwest of the United States. Coastal Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) is an important lumber species and a major component of the ecosystems in this area. Previous research has explored Cryptococcus survival and mating on Douglas fir plants and plant-derived material, but no studies have been done on the production of cryptococcal virulence factors by cells grown on those media. Here, we investigated the effects of growth on Douglas fir-derived media on the production of the polysaccharide capsule and melanin, two of the most important cryptococcal virulence factors. We found that while the capsule was mostly unchanged by growth in Douglas fir media compared to cells grown in defined minimal media, Cryptococcus spp. can use substrates present in Douglas fir to synthesize functional and protective melanin. These results suggest mechanisms by which Cryptococcus species may survive in the environment and emphasize the need to explore how association with Douglas fir trees could affect its epidemiology for human cryptococcosis.
Cryptococcus gattii is a fungal pathogen that can be found in the environment. It is responsible for causing an outbreak in British Columbia, Canada, in the late 90s. In our study, we created media from Douglas fir, a tree commonly found in the affected areas. We examined the production of virulence factors by Cryptococcus cells grown in this media.
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Cryptococcus neoformans , Meios de Cultura , Melaninas , Fatores de Virulência , Melaninas/biossíntese , Melaninas/metabolismo , Cryptococcus neoformans/patogenicidade , Cryptococcus neoformans/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Cryptococcus neoformans/efeitos dos fármacos , Cryptococcus neoformans/metabolismo , Meios de Cultura/química , Cryptococcus gattii/patogenicidade , Cryptococcus gattii/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Cryptococcus gattii/efeitos dos fármacos , Cápsulas Fúngicas/metabolismo , Viabilidade Microbiana , Criptococose/microbiologia , HumanosRESUMO
The 2013-2016 Ebola virus disease epidemic and the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic galvanized tremendous growth in models for emerging zoonotic and vector-borne viruses. Therefore, we have reviewed the main goals and methods of models to guide scientists and decision-makers. The elements of models for emerging viruses vary across spectrums: from understanding the past to forecasting the future, using data across space and time, and using statistical versus mechanistic methods. Hybrid/ensemble models and artificial intelligence offer new opportunities for modeling. Despite this progress, challenges remain in translating models into actionable decisions, particularly in areas at highest risk for viral disease outbreaks. To address this issue, we must identify gaps in models for specific viruses, strengthen validation, and involve policymakers in model development.
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Zoonoses , Animais , Humanos , Zoonoses/virologia , Zoonoses/transmissão , Zoonoses/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Vetores/virologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Vetores/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Vetores/transmissão , COVID-19/virologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Viroses/virologia , Viroses/transmissão , Viroses/epidemiologia , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/virologia , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/transmissão , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Vetores de Doenças , Surtos de Doenças , Vírus/patogenicidade , Vírus/genéticaRESUMO
If two haplotypes share the same alleles for an extended gene tract, these haplotypes are likely to derive identical-by-descent from a recent common ancestor. Identity-by-descent segment lengths are correlated via unobserved tree and recombination processes, which commonly presents challenges to the derivation of theoretical results in population genetics. Under interpretable regularity conditions, we show that the proportion of detectable identity-by-descent segments at a locus is normally distributed for large sample size and large scaled population size. We use efficient and exact simulations to study the distributional behavior of the detectable identity-by-descent rate in finite samples. One consequence of non-normality in finite samples is that genome-wide scans based on identity-by-descent rates may be subject to anti-conservative Type 1 error control. Highlights: We show the asymptotic normality of the identity-by-descent rate, a mean of correlated binary random variables that arises in population genetics studies.We describe an efficient algorithm capable of simulating long identity-by-descent segments around a locus in large sample sizes.In enormous simulation studies, we use this algorithm to characterize the distributional properties of the identity-by-descent rate.In finite samples, we reject the null hypothesis of normality more often than the nominal significance level, indicating that genome-wide scans based on identity-by-descent rates may be anti-conservative.
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This article presents a risk analysis of large language models (LLMs), a type of "generative" artificial intelligence (AI) system that produces text, commonly in response to textual inputs from human users. The article is specifically focused on the risk of LLMs causing an extreme catastrophe in which they do something akin to taking over the world and killing everyone. The possibility of LLM takeover catastrophe has been a major point of public discussion since the recent release of remarkably capable LLMs such as ChatGPT and GPT-4. This arguably marks the first time when actual AI systems (and not hypothetical future systems) have sparked concern about takeover catastrophe. The article's analysis compares (A) characteristics of AI systems that may be needed for takeover, as identified in prior theoretical literature on AI takeover risk, with (B) characteristics observed in current LLMs. This comparison reveals that the capabilities of current LLMs appear to fall well short of what may be needed for takeover catastrophe. Future LLMs may be similarly incapable due to fundamental limitations of deep learning algorithms. However, divided expert opinion on deep learning and surprise capabilities found in current LLMs suggests some risk of takeover catastrophe from future LLMs. LLM governance should monitor for changes in takeover characteristics and be prepared to proceed more aggressively if warning signs emerge. Unless and until such signs emerge, more aggressive governance measures may be unwarranted.
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INTRODUCTION: Typical first-line management of children with intussusception is enema reduction; however, failure necessitates surgical intervention. The number of attempts varies by clinician, and predictors of failed nonoperative management are not routinely considered in practice. The purpose of this study is to create a scoring system that predicts risk of nonoperative failure and need for surgical intervention. METHODS: Children diagnosed with intussusception upon presentation to the emergency department of a tertiary children's hospital between 2019 and 2022 were retrospectively identified. Univariable logistic regression identified predictors of nonoperative failure used as starting covariates for multivariable logistic regression with final model determined by backwards elimination. Regression coefficients for final predictors were used to create the scoring system and optimal cut-points were delineated. RESULTS: We identified 143 instances of ultrasound-documented intussusception of which 28 (19.6%) required operative intervention. Predictors of failed nonoperative management included age ≥4 y (odds ratio [OR] 32.83, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.91-564.23), ≥1 failed enema reduction attempts (OR 189.53, 95% CI: 19.07-1884.11), presenting heart rate ≥128 (OR 3.38, 95% CI: 0.74-15.36), presenting systolic blood pressure ≥115 mmHg (OR 6.59, 95% CI: 0.93-46.66), and trapped fluid between intussuscepted loops on ultrasound (OR 17.54, 95% CI: 0.77-397.51). Employing these factors, a novel risk scoring system was developed (area under the curve 0.96, 95% CI: 0.93-0.99). Scores range from 0 to 8; ≤2 have low (1.1%), 3-4 moderate (50.0%), and ≥5 high (100%) failure risk. CONCLUSIONS: Using known risk factors for enema failure, we produced a risk scoring system with outstanding discriminate ability for children with intussusception necessitating surgical intervention. Prospective validation is warranted prior to clinical integration.
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Intussuscepção , Falha de Tratamento , Humanos , Intussuscepção/terapia , Intussuscepção/diagnóstico , Intussuscepção/diagnóstico por imagem , Estudos Retrospectivos , Feminino , Masculino , Lactente , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Medição de Risco/métodos , Enema , Ultrassonografia , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Delivery of therapeutic stem cells to treat bone tissue damage is a promising strategy that faces many hurdles to clinical translation. Among them is the design of a delivery vehicle which promotes desired cell behavior for new bone formation. In this work, we describe the use of an injectable microporous hydrogel, made of crosslinked gelatin microgels, for the encapsulation and delivery of human mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) and compared it to a traditional nonporous injectable hydrogel. MSCs encapsulated in the microporous hydrogel showed rapid cell spreading with direct cell-cell connections whereas the MSCs in the nonporous hydrogel were entrapped by the surrounding polymer mesh and isolated from each other. On a per-cell basis, encapsulation in microporous hydrogel induced a 4 × increase in alkaline phosphatase (ALP) activity and calcium mineral deposition in comparison to nonporous hydrogel, as measured by ALP and calcium assays, which indicates more robust osteogenic differentiation. RNA-seq confirmed the upregulation of the genes and pathways that are associated with cell spreading and cell-cell connections, as well as the osteogenesis in the microporous hydrogel. These results demonstrate that microgel-based injectable hydrogels can be useful tools for therapeutic cell delivery for bone tissue repair.