Detection of fetal cardiac anomalies: cost-effectiveness of increased number of cardiac views.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the recommended three-view fetal heart screening method to detect major congenital heart disease (CHD) with more elaborate screening strategies to determine the cost-effective strategy in unselected (low-risk) pregnancies. METHODS: A decision-analytic model was designed to compare four screening strategies to identify fetuses with major CHD in a theoretical cohort of 4 000 000 births in the USA. The four strategies were: (1) three views: four-chamber view (4CV) and views of the left (LVOT) and right (RVOT) ventricular outflow tracts; (2) five views: 4CV, LVOT, RVOT and longitudinal views of the ductal arch and aortic arch; (3) five axial views: 4CV, LVOT, RVOT, three-vessel (3V) view and three-vessels-and-trachea view; and (4) six views: 4CV, LVOT, RVOT and 3V views and longitudinal views of the ductal arch and aortic arch. Outcomes related to neonatal mortality and neurodevelopmental disability were evaluated. The analysis was performed from a healthcare-system perspective, with a cost-effectiveness willingness-to-pay threshold set at $100 000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Baseline analysis, one-way sensitivity analysis and Monte-Carlo simulation were performed. RESULTS: In our baseline model, screening with five axial views was the optimal strategy, detecting 3520 more CHDs, and resulting in 259 fewer children with neurodevelopmental disability, 40 fewer neonatal deaths and only slightly higher costs, compared with screening with the currently recommended three views. Screening with six views was more effective, but also cost considerably more, compared with screening with five axial views, and had an incremental cost of $490 023/QALY, which was over the willingness-to-pay threshold. The five-view strategy was dominated by the other three strategies, i.e. it was more costly and less effective in comparison. The data were robust when tested with Monte-Carlo and one-way sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSION: Although current guidelines recommend a minimum of three views for detecting CHD during the mid-trimester anatomy scan, screening with five axial views is a cost-effective strategy that may lead to improved outcome compared with three-view screening. Copyright © 2020 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Impact of maternal obesity on fetal cardiac screening: which follow-up strategy is cost-effective?

OBJECTIVE: To perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of different follow-up strategies for non-obese and obese women who had incomplete fetal cardiac screening for major congenital heart disease (CHD). METHODS: Three decision-analytic models, one each for non-obese, obese and Class-III-obese women, were developed to compare five follow-up strategies for initial suboptimal fetal cardiac screening. The five strategies were: (1) no follow-up ultrasound (US) examination but direct referral to fetal echocardiography (FE); (2) one follow-up US, then FE if fetal cardiac views were still suboptimal; (3) up to two follow-up US, then FE if fetal cardiac views were still suboptimal; (4) one follow-up US and no FE; and (5) up to two follow-up US and no FE. The models were designed to identify fetuses with major CHD in a theoretical cohort of 4 000 000 births in the USA. Outcomes related to neonatal mortality and neurodevelopmental disability were evaluated. A cost-effectiveness willingness-to-pay threshold was set at US$100 000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Base-case and sensitivity analysis and Monte-Carlo simulation were performed. RESULTS: In our base-case models for all body mass index (BMI) groups, no follow-up US, but direct referral to FE led to the best outcomes, detecting 7%, 25% and 82% more fetuses with CHD in non-obese, obese and Class-III-obese women, respectively, compared with the baseline strategy of one follow-up US and no FE. However, no follow-up US, but direct referral to FE was above the US$100 000/QALY threshold and therefore not cost-effective. The cost-effective strategy for all BMI groups was one follow-up US and no FE. Both up to two follow-up US with no FE and up to two follow-up US with FE were dominated (being more costly and less effective), while one follow-up US with FE was over the cost-effectiveness threshold. One follow-up US and no FE was the optimal strategy in 97%, 93% and 86% of trials in Monte-Carlo simulation for non-obese, obese and Class-III-obese models, respectively. CONCLUSION: For both non-obese and obese women with incomplete fetal cardiac screening, the optimal CHD follow-up screening strategy is no further US and immediate referral to FE; however, this strategy is not cost-effective. Considering costs, one follow-up US and no FE is the preferred strategy. For both obese and non-obese women, Monte-Carlo simulations showed clearly that one follow-up US and no FE was the optimal strategy. Both non-obese and obese women with initial incomplete cardiac screening examination should therefore be offered one follow-up US. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

The effect of exercise and rehabilitation on anterior-posterior knee displacements after anterior cruciate ligament autograft reconstruction.

We studied the effect of rehabilitation strength training and return to activities on anterior-posterior knee displacements after patellar tendon autogenous anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. A total of 938 measurements were sequentially collected for 142 patients with the KT-2000 arthrometer. Rehabilitation included immediate knee motion and early weightbearing, light sports at 6 months, and competitive sports at 8 months or later. At a minimum of 2 years after surgery, 121 patients (85%) had normal displacements (less than 3 mm of increase at 134 N), 14 (10%) had 3 to 5.5 mm of increase (partial function), and 7 (5%) had more than 5.5 mm of increase (failed). There was no association found between the initial onset of the abnormal displacements in the 21 knees and either the amount of time after surgery or the rehabilitation program. Six of the seven grafts that failed did so in the 1st postoperative year. Serial displacement measurements allow early detection of graft stretching and subsequent modification of rehabilitation or delay in return to strenuous activities. These measurements showed that the rehabilitation program used in this study was not itself injurious and resulted in an acceptable failure rate of 5%.

Reproducibility of the knee signature system.

To assess trial-to-trial, installation-to-installation, and day-to-day effects of the Knee Signature System, we studied anterior/posterior translation measurements in six normal subjects. The protocol consisted of testing both knees on 6 days with three installations per day and three trials per installation. We recorded anterior, posterior, and total anterior/posterior translation at +/- 20 and +/- 40 pounds of force at 30 degrees of flexion. Additionally, after measuring anterior/posterior translation during passive knee extension, active extension, and active extension with 15 pounds of weight at the ankle, we calculated the difference in anterior translation at 30 degrees of flexion between each of these three conditions. We analyzed the size of the effects and computed 90% confidence limits using analysis of variance. Means and 90% confidence limits for total anterior/posterior translation measured at +/- 20 pounds of force were: right knee, 6.8 +/- 2.3; left knee, 8.2 +/- 2.0; and right/left difference, 1.5 +/- 2.7 mm. Left knee translation means were significantly greater than right knee means in all tests. Day-to-day effects, while statistically significant for right and left knee measurements, showed no significant effects for right/left differences. Trial-to-trial and installation-to-installation effects were not significant for any parameter. Right/left differences during knee extension testing were smaller than for the stress test, measuring 0.1 mm or less, but confidence limits were larger, being +/- 3.7 mm for active extension-passive knee extension, +/- 1.5 mm for 15 pounds of weight at the ankle-active extension, and +/- 4.6 mm for 15 pounds of weight at the ankle-passive knee extension. Active extension produced 6.3 mm more anterior translation at 30 degrees of flexion than passive extension.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Repeatability of the KT-1000 arthrometer in a normal population.

Despite its popularity, the MEDmetric KT-1000 arthrometer's reliability remains inadequately documented. We conducted this study to determine the magnitude of trial-to-trial (within installation), installation-to-installation (within day), and day-to-day (between day) variability of anterior/posterior translation measurements in normal knees. We selected six normal subjects, three males and three females, and tested each on 6 consecutive days with three separate installations per day. We recorded the total anterior/posterior translation at +/- 89 and +/- 134 N force at 25 degrees of flexion during three consecutive trials in a single installation. Analysis of variance showed that no significant difference existed between trials (within installation) or between installations (within day) for all parameters. However, we did find a significant difference between days for individual right and left knee translation measurements at 89 and 134 N force. More importantly, no significant difference existed between days for right to left differences at both force levels. The magnitude of the expected measurement variability was expressed by computing 90% confidence limits for total anterior/posterior translation at +/- 89 N force. These were +/- 1.5 mm for the right knees, +/- 1.4 mm for the left knees, and +/- 1.6 mm for the right-left differences. Fischer's protected least significant difference post hoc test revealed that for all parameters, the 1st day measurements were significantly less than those on following days, suggesting that patient and examiner adjust to the testing procedure. We conclude that the standard KT-1000 evaluation should report paired differences rather than individual knee measurements. Additionally, initial evaluation should be supplemented by follow-up examinations for verifying translation values.