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Background: Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is a common and clinically heterogeneous arrythmia. Machine learning (ML) algorithms can define data-driven disease subtypes in an unbiased fashion, but whether the AF subgroups defined in this way align with underlying mechanisms, such as high polygenic liability to AF or inflammation, and associate with clinical outcomes is unclear. Methods: We identified individuals with AF in a large biobank linked to electronic health records (EHR) and genome-wide genotyping. The phenotypic architecture in the AF cohort was defined using principal component analysis of 35 expertly curated and uncorrelated clinical features. We applied an unsupervised co-clustering machine learning algorithm to the 35 features to identify distinct phenotypic AF clusters. The clinical inflammatory status of the clusters was defined using measured biomarkers (CRP, ESR, WBC, Neutrophil %, Platelet count, RDW) within 6 months of first AF mention in the EHR. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for AF and cytokine levels were used to assess genetic liability of clusters to AF and inflammation, respectively. Clinical outcomes were collected from EHR up to the last medical contact. Results: The analysis included 23,271 subjects with AF, of which 6,023 had available genome-wide genotyping. The machine learning algorithm identified 3 phenotypic clusters that were distinguished by increasing prevalence of comorbidities, particularly renal dysfunction, and coronary artery disease. Polygenic liability to AF across clusters was highest in the low comorbidity cluster. Clinically measured inflammatory biomarkers were highest in the high comorbid cluster, while there was no difference between groups in genetically predicted levels of inflammatory biomarkers. Subgroup assignment was associated with multiple clinical outcomes including mortality, stroke, bleeding, and use of cardiac implantable electronic devices after AF diagnosis. Conclusion: Patient subgroups identified by unsupervised clustering were distinguished by comorbidity burden and associated with risk of clinically important outcomes. Polygenic liability to AF across clusters was greatest in the low comorbidity subgroup. Clinical inflammation, as reflected by measured biomarkers, was lowest in the subgroup with lowest comorbidities. However, there were no differences in genetically predicted levels of inflammatory biomarkers, suggesting associations between AF and inflammation is driven by acquired comorbidities rather than genetic predisposition.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Sequencing Mendelian arrhythmia genes in individuals without an indication for arrhythmia genetic testing can identify carriers of pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants. However, the extent to which these variants are associated with clinically meaningful phenotypes before or after return of variant results is unclear. In addition, the majority of discovered variants are currently classified as variants of uncertain significance, limiting clinical actionability. METHODS: The eMERGE-III study (Electronic Medical Records and Genomics Phase III) is a multicenter prospective cohort that included 21 846 participants without previous indication for cardiac genetic testing. Participants were sequenced for 109 Mendelian disease genes, including 10 linked to arrhythmia syndromes. Variant carriers were assessed with electronic health record-derived phenotypes and follow-up clinical examination. Selected variants of uncertain significance (n=50) were characterized in vitro with automated electrophysiology experiments in HEK293 cells. RESULTS: As previously reported, 3.0% of participants had P/LP variants in the 109 genes. Herein, we report 120 participants (0.6%) with P/LP arrhythmia variants. Compared with noncarriers, arrhythmia P/LP carriers had a significantly higher burden of arrhythmia phenotypes in their electronic health records. Fifty-four participants had variant results returned. Nineteen of these 54 participants had inherited arrhythmia syndrome diagnoses (primarily long-QT syndrome), and 12 of these 19 diagnoses were made only after variant results were returned (0.05%). After in vitro functional evaluation of 50 variants of uncertain significance, we reclassified 11 variants: 3 to likely benign and 8 to P/LP. CONCLUSIONS: Genome sequencing in a large population without indication for arrhythmia genetic testing identified phenotype-positive carriers of variants in congenital arrhythmia syndrome disease genes. As the genomes of large numbers of people are sequenced, the disease risk from rare variants in arrhythmia genes can be assessed by integrating genomic screening, electronic health record phenotypes, and in vitro functional studies. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier; NCT03394859.
