Association of Biomarkers for Human Papillomavirus With Survival Among Adults With Barrett High-grade Dysplasia and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma.

Importance: The presence of high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) has been associated with a favorable outcome in Barrett high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Nevertheless, the prognostic significance of other HPV-related biomarkers (ie, retinoblastoma protein [pRb], cyclin D1 [CD1], minichromosome maintenance protein [MCM2] and Ki-67) is unknown. Objective: To examine the association between HPV-related biomarkers and survival in adult patients with Barrett HGD and EAC. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective case-control study examined the hypothesis that the HPV-related cell cycle markers (pRb, CD1, and Ki-67) and the viral surrogate marker (MCM2) may be associated with a favorable prognosis in Barrett HGD and EAC. Pretreatment biopsies were used for HPV DNA determination via polymerase chain reaction and immunohistochemistry for the HPV-related biomarkers. Recruitment of patients occurred in secondary and tertiary referral centers, with 151 patients assessed for eligibility. The study period was from December 1, 2002, to November 28, 2017, and the dates of analysis were from September 9, 2011, to November 28, 2017. Main Outcomes and Measures: Disease-free survival and overall survival. Results: Of 151 patients assessed for eligibility, 9 were excluded. Among the 142 patients with Barrett HGD or EAC (126 [88.7%] men; mean [SD] age, 66.0 [12.1] years; 142 [100%] white), 37 were HPV positive and 105 were HPV negative. No association with disease-free survival was noted for pRb, CD1, Ki-67, and MCM2. In regard to overall survival, only low expression of CD1 had a favorable prognosis (hazard ratio [HR], 0.53; 95% CI, 0.30-0.95; adjusted P = .03). All the biomarkers stratified by HPV status showed significant associations with survival. Patients with HPV-positive, low-expression pRb esophageal tumors were associated with a significantly improved disease-free survival compared with the HPV-negative, high-expression Rb tumors (HR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.12-0.93; adjusted P = .04). Similarly, HPV-positive, low-expression CD1 was associated with a significantly favorable disease-free survival (HR, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.09-0.76; adjusted P = .01), as was HPV-positive, high-expression MCM2 (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.09-0.78; adjusted P = .02). In regard to overall survival, HPV was significantly associated only with low CD1 (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.15-0.94; adjusted P = .04). Conclusions and Relevance: This study's findings suggest that low expression of CD1 appears to be an independent prognostic marker in Barrett HGD and EAC. Human papillomavirus positivity in combination with pRb, CD1, MCM2, and Ki-67 was associated with a survival benefit in esophageal tumors. These findings suggest the possibility of personalization of therapy for Barrett HGD and EAC based on viral status.

Survival Rates for Patients With Barrett High-grade Dysplasia and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma With or Without Human Papillomavirus Infection.

Importance: High-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) has been associated with Barrett dysplasia and esophageal adenocarcinoma. Nevertheless, the prognostic significance of esophageal tumor HPV status is unknown. Objective: To determine the association between HPV infection and related biomarkers in high-grade dysplasia or esophageal adenocarcinoma and survival. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective case-control study. The hypothesis was that HPV-associated esophageal tumors would show a favorable prognosis (as in viral-positive head and neck cancers). Pretreatment biopsies were used for HPV DNA determination via polymerase chain reaction, in situ hybridization for E6 and E7 messenger RNA (mRNA), and immunohistochemistry for the proteins p16INK4A and p53. Sequencing of TP53 was also undertaken. The study took place at secondary and tertiary referral centers, with 151 patients assessed for eligibility and 9 excluded. The study period was from December 1, 2002, to November 28, 2017. Main Outcomes and Measures: Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: Among 142 patients with high-grade dysplasia or esophageal adenocarcinoma (126 [88.7%] male; mean [SD] age, 66.0 [12.1] years; 142 [100%] white), 37 were HPV positive and 105 were HPV negative. Patients who were HPV positive mostly had high p16INK4A expression, low p53 expression, and wild-type TP53. There were more Tis, T1, and T2 tumors in HPV-positive patients compared with HPV-negative patients (75.7% vs 54.3%; difference, 21.4%; 95% CI, 4.6%-38.2%; P = .02). Mean DFS was superior in the HPV-positive group (40.3 vs 24.1 months; difference, 16.2 months; 95% CI, 5.7-26.8; P = .003) as was OS (43.7 vs 29.8 months; difference, 13.9 months; 95% CI, 3.6-24.3; P = .009). Recurrence or progression was reduced in the HPV-positive cohort (24.3% vs 58.1%; difference, -33.8%; 95% CI, -50.5% to -17.0%; P < .001) as was distant metastasis (8.1% vs 27.6%; difference, -19.5%; 95% CI, -31.8% to -7.2%; P = .02) and death from esophageal adenocarcinoma (13.5% vs 36.2%; difference, -22.7%; 95% CI, -37.0% to -8.3%; P = .01). Positive results for HPV and transcriptionally active virus were both associated with a superior DFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.33; 95% CI, 0.16-0.67; P = .002 and HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.22-0.88; P = .02, respectively [log-rank test]). Positivity for E6 and E7 mRNA, high p16INK4A expression, and low p53 expression were not associated with improved DFS. On multivariate analysis, superior DFS was demonstrated for HPV (HR, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.18-0.85; P = .02), biologically active virus (HR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.15-0.86; P = .02), E6 and E7 mRNA (HR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.14-0.96; P = .04), and high p16 expression (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.27-0.89; P = .02). Conclusions and Relevance: Barrett high-grade dysplasia and esophageal adenocarcinoma in patients who are positive for HPV are distinct biological entities with a favorable prognosis compared with viral-negative esophageal tumors. Confirmation of these findings in larger cohorts with more advanced disease could present an opportunity for treatment de-escalation in the hope of reducing toxic effects without deleteriously affecting survival.