Advanced Age and Increased Risk for Severe Outcomes of Dengue Infection, Taiwan, 2014-2015.

Dengue, a mosquitoborne flavivirus infection, is increasingly a disease of older adults who are more likely to have chronic diseases that confer risk for severe outcomes of dengue infection. In a population-based study in Taiwan, adjusted risks for dengue-related hospitalization, intensive care unit admission, and death increased progressively with age.

Population-based assessment of factors influencing antibiotic prescribing for adults with dengue infection in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Antibiotic treatment for dengue is likely considerable and potentially avoidable but has not been well characterized. This study aimed to assess antibiotic prescribing for confirmed dengue cases in outpatient and inpatient settings and to identify associated patient, physician and contextual factors. METHODS: 57,301 adult dengue cases reported in Taiwan between 2008-2015 were analyzed. We assessed both outpatient and inpatient claims data of dengue patients from a week before to a week after their dengue infections were confirmed under Taiwan's National Health Insurance program. A multivariable logistic regression with generalized estimating equations was used to estimate the probability of antibiotic prescribing in dengue patients. RESULTS: Overall, 24.6% of dengue patients were prescribed an antibiotic during the 14 day-assessment period. Antibiotics were prescribed in 6.1% and 30.1% of outpatient visits and inpatient admissions, respectively. Antibiotic prescriptions were reduced by ~50% in epidemic years. Among inpatients, advanced age, females, and major comorbidities were risk factors for receipt of an antibiotic; antibiotics were used in 26.0% of inpatients after dengue was diagnosed. Significant differences in antibiotic prescribing practices were observed among physicians in outpatient settings but not in inpatient settings. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to patient and physician demographic characteristics, contextual factors such as care setting and during epidemics significantly influenced prescription of antibiotics. Characterization of prescribing patterns should help direct programs to curb antibiotic prescribing.

A Population-Based Cohort Study on Chronic Comorbidity Risk Factors for Adverse Dengue Outcomes.

The global burden of dengue is increasing against a background of rising global prevalence of chronic noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) and an epidemiological shift of dengue toward older age groups. The contribution of NCDs toward risk for adverse clinical and healthcare utilization outcomes was assessed in a national linked-database study. About 51,433 adult dengue cases between 2014 and 2015 were assessed for outpatient and inpatient claims data in Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database for the 30 days after their dengue diagnosis. A multivariable logistic regression with generalized estimating equations was used to estimate the probability of adverse dengue outcomes in patients with NCDs compared with dengue patients without underlying diseases. Rheumatoid arthritis and related disease were associated with the highest risk of hospitalization after dengue diagnosis (odds ratio: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.37-2.30), followed by stroke, chronic kidney disease (CKD), liver cirrhosis, asthma, coronary artery disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, congestive heart failure, hypertension, and malignancy. Chronic kidney disease and diabetes were associated with higher risks of hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) use, and all-cause mortality. After adjusting for socioeconomic status and other variables, the number of coexisting chronic diseases was associated with increasing risk of adverse dengue outcomes. Specific NCDs were associated with longer hospitalizations, ICU admission, and higher healthcare costs. Quantifying the risks of adverse dengue outcomes and health expenditures among dengue patients with preexisting NCDs provides insights for improved clinical management and essential inputs for health economic analyses on the cost-benefit of risk-based routine or catch-up immunization programs.

Do patients bypass primary care for common health problems under a free-access system? Experience of Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: A common challenge for free-access systems is that people may bypass primary care and seek secondary care through self-referral. Taiwan's government has undertaken various initiatives to mitigate bypass; however, little is known about whether the bypass trend has decreased over time. This study examined the extent to which patients bypass primary care for treatment of common diseases and factors associated with bypass under Taiwan's free-access system. METHODS: This repeated cross-sectional study analyzed data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. A random sample of 1 million enrollees was drawn repeatedly from the insured population during 2000-2017. To capture visits beyond the community level, the bypass rate was defined as the proportion of self-referred visits to the top two levels of providers, namely academic medical centers and regional hospitals, among all visits to all providers. Subgroup analyses were conducted for visits with a single diagnosis. Logistic regressions were used to investigate factors associated with bypass. RESULTS: The standardized bypass rate for all diseases analyzed exhibited a decreasing trend. In 2017, it was low for common cold (0.7-1.3%), moderate for hypertension (14.0-29.5%), but still high for diabetes (32.0-47.0%). Moreover, the likelihood of bypass was higher for male, patients with higher salaries or comorbidities, and in areas with more physicians practicing in large hospitals or less physicians working in primary care facilities. CONCLUSIONS: Although the bypass trend has decreased over time, continuing efforts may be required to reduce bypass associated with chronic diseases. Both patient sociodemographic and market characteristics were associated with the likelihood of bypass. These results may help policymakers to develop strategies to mitigate bypass.

Cigarette Smoking, Alcohol Consumption, and Risk of Alopecia Areata: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: The effects of cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption on the risk of alopecia areata (AA) are unclear. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to examine the association of cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption with AA. METHODS: We collected participants from four rounds (2001, 2005, 2009, and 2013) of the Taiwan National Health Interview Survey. Incident AA cases were identified from the National Health Insurance database. RESULTS: Of the 60,055 participants, 154 developed AA during the 647,902 person-years of follow-up. After controlling for confounders, current smokers had a higher risk of incident AA than never smokers [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.88; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22-2.88]. There was a trend toward an increased risk of AA with increasing numbers of years of smoking and cumulative pack-years of smoking among current smokers. The aHRs (95% CIs) of current smokers of > 5 and ≤ 15 cigarettes per day, > 10 and ≤ 20 years of smoking, ≤ 10, and > 10 and ≤ 20 pack-years of smoking were 2.03 (1.17-3.51), 2.25 (1.21-4.18), 1.86 (1.12-3.09), and 2.04 (1.04-4.01), respectively. Conversely, social and regular drinkers had significantly lower risks of AA than never drinkers [aHRs (95% CIs) 0.65 (0.43-0.98) and 0.49 (0.26-0.93), respectively]. CONCLUSION: Current smokers had an increased risk of developing AA, while alcohol consumption was associated with a decreased risk of AA.

Obesity, but Not Metabolic Diseases, Is Associated with Risk of Psoriasis: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Obesity and metabolic diseases including diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and hypertension are reportedly associated with an increased risk of psoriasis. However, few prospective studies have investigated the association of obesity and metabolic diseases with the risk of psoriasis. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether obesity or metabolic diseases increase the risk of psoriasis. METHODS: Participants were collected from 4 rounds (2001, 2005, 2009, and 2013) of the Taiwan National Health Interview Survey. Incident cases of psoriasis were identified from the National Health Insurance database. Participants were followed from the time of the National Health Interview Survey interview until December 31, 2017, or until a diagnosis of psoriasis was made or the participant died. The Cox regression model was used for the analyses. RESULTS: Of 60,136 participants, 406 developed psoriasis during 649,506 person-years of follow-up. Compared to participants with a BMI of 18.5-22.9, the adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) of psoriasis were 1.34 (95% CI 1.05-1.71) for a BMI of 25.0-29.9 and 2.70 (95% CI 1.95-3.72) for a BMI ≥30. Neither individual nor multiple metabolic diseases were associated with incident psoriasis. Participants with a BMI ≥30 were at significantly higher risk of both psoriasis without arthritis (aHR 2.60; 95% CI 1.85-3.67) and psoriatic arthritis (aHR 3.96; 95% CI 1.45-10.82). CONCLUSION: Obesity, but not metabolic diseases, significantly increased the risk of psoriasis.

Reducing low value services in surgical inpatients in Taiwan: Does diagnosis-related group payment work?

Reducing low-value care is a top priority in health care. However, how prospective payment methods such as diagnosis-related group (DRG) payment scheme reduce the use of low-value services is unclear. This study aimed to assess frequency of low-value preoperative testing services among surgical inpatients over time and to investigate whether the 2010 Tw-DRG policy has reduced utilization of these services under the National Health Insurance program in Taiwan. The nationwide National Health Insurance claims data in Taiwan from 2008 to 2013 were used. The difference-in-differences (DID) method was adopted. Utilization of three low-value preoperative testing services (chest x-ray, echocardiogram, and stress testing) were assessed. The prevalence of the three preoperative tests ranged from 0.13 per 100 admissions (preoperative stress testing) to 78.12 per 100 admissions (preoperative chest x-ray). Following the implementation of the Tw-DRG policy, the predicted probability of low-value care use was significantly reduced from 67.91% to 64.93% in the DRG group but remained relatively stable in the comparison group (from 69.44% to 68.43%) in 2010. The use of three selected preoperative tests had only a minor temporary reduction in 2010, but later increased over time. The 2010 Tw-DRG policy did not significantly moderate the growth of low-value preoperative use. Hospital financial incentives alone may be insufficient for reducing the provision of low-value care.