The application of high temporal resolution data in river catchment modelling and management strategies.

Modelling changes in river water quality, and by extension developing river management strategies, has historically been reliant on empirical data collected at relatively low temporal resolutions. With access to data collected at higher temporal resolutions, this study investigated how these new dataset types could be employed to assess the precision and accuracy of two phosphorus (P) load apportionment models (LAMs) developed on lower resolution empirical data. Predictions were made of point and diffuse sources of P across ten different sampling scenarios. Sampling resolution ranged from hourly to monthly through the use of 2000 newly created datasets from high frequency P and discharge data collected from a eutrophic river draining a 9.48 km2 catchment. Outputs from the two LAMs were found to differ significantly in the P load apportionment (51.4% versus 4.6% from point sources) with reducing precision and increasing bias as sampling frequency decreased. Residual analysis identified a large deviation from observed data at high flows. This deviation affected the apportionment of P from diffuse sources in particular. The study demonstrated the potential problems in developing empirical models such as LAMs based on temporally relatively poorly-resolved data (the level of resolution that is available for the majority of catchments). When these models are applied ad hoc and outside an expert modelling framework using extant datasets of lower resolution, interpretations of their outputs could potentially reduce the effectiveness of management decisions aimed at improving water quality.

Identifying contrasting influences and surface water signals for specific groundwater phosphorus vulnerability.

Two groundwater dominated catchments with contrasting land use (Grassland and Arable) and soil chemistry were investigated for influences on P transfer below the rooting zone, via the aquifer and into the rivers. The objective was to improve the understanding of hydrochemical process for best management practise and determine the importance of P transfer via groundwater pathways. Despite the catchments having similar inorganic P reserves, the iron-rich soils of the Grassland catchment favoured P mobilisation into soluble form and transfer to groundwater. Sites in that catchment had elevated dissolved reactive P concentrations in groundwater (>0.035 mg l(-1)) and the river had flow-weighted mean TRP concentrations almost three times that of the aluminium-rich Arable catchment (0.067 mg l(-1) compared to 0.023 mg l(-1)). While the average annual TRP flux was low in both catchments (although three times higher in the Grassland catchment; 0.385 kg ha(-1) compared to 0.128 kg ha(-1)), 50% and 59% of TRP was lost via groundwater, respectively, during winter periods that were closed for fertiliser application. For policy reviews, slow-flow pathways and associated time-lags between fertiliser application, mobilisation of soil P reserves and delivery to the river should be carefully considered when reviewing mitigating strategies and efficacy of mitigating measures in groundwater fed catchments. For example, while the Grassland catchment indicated a soil-P chemistry susceptibility, the Arable catchment indicated a transient point source control; both resulted in sustained or transient periods of elevated low river-flow P concentrations, respectively.

The seasonality of phosphorus transfers from land to water: implications for trophic impacts and policy evaluation.

The Nitrates Directive regulations are a Programme of Measures under the EU Water Framework Directive to protect waters from agricultural transfers of nitrogen and phosphorus. Soil phosphorus management to an agronomic optimum and closed winter periods for organic and inorganic fertiliser amendments are among a suite of policy measures to curtail diffuse pollution at catchment scale. In this investigation, two intensive grassland and two arable catchments (7-12 km(2)) in the Republic of Ireland were studied to link a high resolution spatial survey (≤2 ha) of soil P availability with P delivery in receiving rivers; monitored on a sub-hourly basis over one year. Data indicated that source risk, as defined by soil P availability and organic P loading, was less important than mobilisation and hydrological transfer potential which increased delivery due to runoff flashiness as described by a hydrological metric during the winter. Overall, however, annual TP loads were low to moderate (0.175 to 0.785 kg ha(-1) yr(-1)). The data also highlighted, without exception, the influences of summer background P loading and subsequent ecologically significant P concentrations from persistent point sources. This may have implications for expected ecological status and recovery in these catchments, which appeared more at risk in catchments with little buffering in terms of summer base flow dilution. Wetter winters and drier summers under climate change scenarios would likely increase stream P concentrations both during storms and during baseflows and would be particularly magnified in those catchments with flashy runoff and suppressed baseflow. These seasonal insights into source-to-delivery functions and risk (re)assessment were only possible with high resolution (spatial and temporal) data collection and will be important in influencing expectations of policies that are evaluated at larger scales but with coarser resolution sampling.