RESUMO
BACKGROUND: In addition to other stroke-related deficits, the risk of seizures may impact driving ability after stroke. METHODS: We analysed data from a multicentre international cohort, including 4452 adults with acute ischaemic stroke and no prior seizures. We calculated the Chance of Occurrence of Seizure in the next Year (COSY) according to the SeLECT2.0 prognostic model. We considered COSY<20% safe for private and <2% for professional driving, aligning with commonly used cut-offs. RESULTS: Seizure risks in the next year were mainly influenced by the baseline risk-stratified according to the SeLECT2.0 score and, to a lesser extent, by the poststroke seizure-free interval (SFI). Those without acute symptomatic seizures (SeLECT2.0 0-6 points) had low COSY (0.7%-11%) immediately after stroke, not requiring an SFI. In stroke survivors with acute symptomatic seizures (SeLECT2.0 3-13 points), COSY after a 3-month SFI ranged from 2% to 92%, showing substantial interindividual variability. Stroke survivors with acute symptomatic status epilepticus (SeLECT2.0 7-13 points) had the highest risk (14%-92%). CONCLUSIONS: Personalised prognostic models, such as SeLECT2.0, may offer better guidance for poststroke driving decisions than generic SFIs. Our findings provide practical tools, including a smartphone-based or web-based application, to assess seizure risks and determine appropriate SFIs for safe driving.
Assuntos
Condução de Veículo , AVC Isquêmico , Convulsões , Humanos , Convulsões/etiologia , Convulsões/complicações , AVC Isquêmico/complicações , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Prognóstico , Estudos de Coortes , AdultoRESUMO
Importance: Acute symptomatic seizures occurring within 7 days after ischemic stroke may be associated with an increased mortality and risk of epilepsy. It is unknown whether the type of acute symptomatic seizure influences this risk. Objective: To compare mortality and risk of epilepsy following different types of acute symptomatic seizures. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study analyzed data acquired from 2002 to 2019 from 9 tertiary referral centers. The derivation cohort included adults from 7 cohorts and 2 case-control studies with neuroimaging-confirmed ischemic stroke and without a history of seizures. Replication in 3 separate cohorts included adults with acute symptomatic status epilepticus after neuroimaging-confirmed ischemic stroke. The final data analysis was performed in July 2022. Exposures: Type of acute symptomatic seizure. Main Outcomes and Measures: All-cause mortality and epilepsy (at least 1 unprovoked seizure presenting >7 days after stroke). Results: A total of 4552 adults were included in the derivation cohort (2547 male participants [56%]; 2005 female [44%]; median age, 73 years [IQR, 62-81]). Acute symptomatic seizures occurred in 226 individuals (5%), of whom 8 (0.2%) presented with status epilepticus. In patients with acute symptomatic status epilepticus, 10-year mortality was 79% compared with 30% in those with short acute symptomatic seizures and 11% in those without seizures. The 10-year risk of epilepsy in stroke survivors with acute symptomatic status epilepticus was 81%, compared with 40% in survivors with short acute symptomatic seizures and 13% in survivors without seizures. In a replication cohort of 39 individuals with acute symptomatic status epilepticus after ischemic stroke (24 female; median age, 78 years), the 10-year risk of mortality and epilepsy was 76% and 88%, respectively. We updated a previously described prognostic model (SeLECT 2.0) with the type of acute symptomatic seizures as a covariate. SeLECT 2.0 successfully captured cases at high risk of poststroke epilepsy. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, individuals with stroke and acute symptomatic seizures presenting as status epilepticus had a higher mortality and risk of epilepsy compared with those with short acute symptomatic seizures or no seizures. The SeLECT 2.0 prognostic model adequately reflected the risk of epilepsy in high-risk cases and may inform decisions on the continuation of antiseizure medication treatment and the methods and frequency of follow-up.
Assuntos
Epilepsia , AVC Isquêmico , Estado Epiléptico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Prognóstico , AVC Isquêmico/complicações , Epilepsia/tratamento farmacológico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/complicações , Estado Epiléptico/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to identify risk factors for acute symptomatic seizures and post-stroke epilepsy after acute ischemic stroke and evaluate the effects of reperfusion treatment. METHODS: We assessed the risk factors for post-stroke seizures using logistic or Cox regression in a multicenter study, including adults from 8 European referral centers with neuroimaging-confirmed ischemic stroke. We compared the risk of post-stroke seizures between participants with or without reperfusion treatment following propensity score matching to reduce confounding due to treatment selection. RESULTS: In the overall cohort of 4,229 participants (mean age 71 years, 57% men), a higher risk of acute symptomatic seizures was observed in those with more severe strokes, infarcts located in the posterior cerebral artery territory, and strokes caused by large-artery atherosclerosis. Strokes caused by small-vessel occlusion carried a small risk of acute symptomatic seizures. 6% developed post-stroke epilepsy. Risk factors for post-stroke epilepsy were acute symptomatic seizures, more severe strokes, infarcts involving the cerebral cortex, and strokes caused by large-artery atherosclerosis. Electroencephalography findings within 7 days of stroke onset were not independently associated with the risk of post-stroke epilepsy. There was no association between reperfusion treatments in general or only intravenous thrombolysis or mechanical thrombectomy with the time to post-stroke epilepsy or the risk of acute symptomatic seizures. INTERPRETATION: Post-stroke seizures are related to stroke severity, etiology, and location, whereas an early electroencephalogram was not predictive of epilepsy. We did not find an association of reperfusion treatment with risks of acute symptomatic seizures or post-stroke epilepsy. ANN NEUROL 2021;90:808-820.
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Isquemia Encefálica/complicações , Epilepsia/complicações , Convulsões/complicações , Convulsões/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/complicações , Adulto , Idoso , Epilepsia/fisiopatologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Convulsões/fisiopatologia , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Stroke is one of the leading causes of acquired epilepsy in adults. An instrument to predict whether people are at high risk of developing post-stroke seizures is not available. We aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model of late (>7 days) seizures after ischaemic stroke. METHODS: In this multivariable prediction model development and validation study, we developed the SeLECT score based on five clinical predictors in 1200 participants who had an ischaemic stroke in Switzerland using backward elimination of a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. We externally validated this score in 1169 participants from three independent international cohorts in Austria, Germany, and Italy, and assessed its performance with the concordance statistic and calibration plots. FINDINGS: Data were complete for 99·2% of the predictors (99·2% for Switzerland, 100% for Austria, 97% for Germany, and 99·7% for Italy) and 100% of the outcome parameters. Overall, the risk of late seizures was 4% (95% CI 4-5) 1 year after stroke and 8% (6-9) 5 years after stroke. The final model included five variables and was named SeLECT on the basis of the first letters of the included parameters (severity of stroke, large-artery atherosclerotic aetiology, early seizures, cortical involvement, and territory of middle cerebral artery involvement). The lowest SeLECT value (0 points) was associated with a 0·7% (95% CI 0·4-1·0) risk of late seizures within 1 year after stroke (1·3% [95% CI 0·7-1·8] within 5 years), whereas the highest value (9 points) predicted a 63% (42-77) risk of late seizures within 1 year (83% [62-93] within 5 years). The model had an overall concordance statistic of 0·77 (95% CI 0·71-0·82) in the validation cohorts. Calibration plots indicated high agreement of predicted and observed outcomes. INTERPRETATION: This easily applied instrument was shown to be a good predictor of the risk of late seizures after stroke in three external validation cohorts and is freely available as a smartphone app. The SeLECT score has the potential to identify individuals at high risk of seizures and is a step towards more personalised medicine. It can inform the selection of an enriched population for antiepileptogenic treatment trials and will guide the recruitment for biomarker studies of epileptogenesis. FUNDING: None.
Assuntos
Isquemia Encefálica/complicações , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Convulsões/etiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/complicações , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Áustria , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Alemanha , Humanos , Itália , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
The establishment of stroke networks is an approach to forward guideline driven stroke care to hospitals without full-time neurological service. Tele- stroke networks are evidence based for remote neurological support of acute stroke patients, administration of thrombolysis safely as well as increasing thrombolysis rates. Since 2011 the district hospital in Grabs was linked to the stroke center at the cantonal hospital St. Gallen which provided teleconsultations with full-scale audiovisual communication and access to brain images 24 hours per day 7 days per week. Regarding quality and safety issues the experiences were promising including the selection of patients for appropriate treatment with allocation to systemic thrombolysis or en dovascular reperfusion therapy. As perspective it may definitely contribute to better supply of rural areas with acute stroke therapy but also other specializations and neurological indications may benefit from telemedical support
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Medicina Baseada em Evidências , Consulta Remota/métodos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/tratamento farmacológico , Telemedicina/organização & administração , Terapia Trombolítica , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Humanos , Seleção de Pacientes , Serviços de Saúde Rural , SuíçaRESUMO
Other isotype-selective estrogen receptor (ER) agonists, the selective ERalpha agonist 3,17-dihydroxy-19-nor-17alpha-pregna-1,3,5 (10)-triene-21,16alpha-lactone and the selective ERbeta agonist 8-vinylestra-1,3,5 (10)-triene-3,17beta-diol, were used in hypophysectomized rats, gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist-treated mice, as well as intact rats to elucidate the effects of isotype-selective estrogens on the physiology of folliculogenesis and ovulation. In hypophysectomized rats and gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist-treated mice, the ERbeta agonist caused stimulation of early folliculogenesis, a decrease in follicular atresia, induction of ovarian gene expression, and stimulation of late follicular growth, accompanied by an increase in the number of ovulated oocytes similar to 17beta-estradiol (E2). In contrast, the ERalpha agonist had little or no effect on these parameters, implying that direct estrogen effects on ovarian follicular development are mediated by ERbeta. In intact rats, E2 and the ERalpha agonist dose-dependently inhibited ovulation, in contrast to the ERbeta agonist. On the other hand, the ERbeta agonist did not stimulate uterine weight in intact rats, in contrast to E2 and the ERalpha agonist. This finding is in line with the assumption that estrogen mediated ovulation inhibition and stimulation of uterine growth are mediated by ERalpha but not by ERbeta