Left atrial appendage strain predicts subclinical atrial fibrillation in embolic strokes of undetermined source.

Aims: Left atrial (LA) strain is promising in prediction of clinical atrial fibrillation (AF) in stroke patients. However, prediction of subclinical AF is critical in patients with embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). The aim of this prospective study was to investigate novel LA and left atrial appendage (LAA) strain markers in prediction of subclinical AF in ESUS patients. Methods and results: A total of 185 patients with ESUS, mean age 68 ± 13years, 33% female, without diagnosed AF, were included. LAA and LA function by conventional echocardiographic parameters and reservoir strain (Sr), conduit strain (Scd), contraction strain (Sct), and mechanical dispersion (MD) of Sr were assessed with transoesophageal and transthoracic echocardiography. Subclinical AF was detected by insertable cardiac monitors during follow-up. LAA strain was impaired in 60 (32%) patients with subclinical AF compared to those with sinus rhythm: LAA-Sr, 19.2 ± 4.5% vs. 25.6 ± 6.5% (P < 0.001); LAA-Scd, -11.0 ± 3.1% vs. -14.4 ± 4.5% (P < 0.001); and LAA-Sct, -7.9 ± 4.0% vs. -11.2 ± 4% (P < 0.001), respectively, while LAA-MD was increased, 34 ± 24 ms vs. 26 ± 20 ms (P = 0.02). However, there was no significant difference in phasic LA strain or LA-MD. By ROC analyses, LAA-Sr was highly significant in prediction of subclinical AF and showed the best AUC of 0.80 (95% CI 0.73-0.87) with a sensitivity of 80% and a specificity of 73% (P < 0.001). LAA-Sr and LAA-MD were both independent and incremental markers of subclinical AF in ESUS patients. Conclusion: LAA function by strain and mechanical dispersion predicted subclinical AF in ESUS patients. These novel echocardiographic markers may improve risk stratification in ESUS patients.

Prediction of occult atrial fibrillation in patients after cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack: PROACTIA.

AIMS: Studies with implantable cardiac monitors (ICMs) show that one-third of patients with cryptogenic stroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA) have episodes of subclinical atrial fibrillation (SCAF) and benefit switching from antiplatelet- to anticoagulant therapy. However, ICMs are costly and resource demanding. We aimed to build a score based on participant's baseline characteristics that could assess individual risk of SCAF. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective study, 236 eligible patients with a final diagnosis of cryptogenic stroke/TIA had an ICM implantated during the index hospitalization. Pre-specified evaluated variables were: CHA2DS2-VASc, P-wave duration, P-wave morphology, premature atrial beats (PAC)/24 h, supraventricular tachycardia/24 h, left atrial end-systolic volume index (LAVI), Troponin-T, NT-proBNP, and D-dimer. SCAF was detected in 84 patients (36%). All pre-specified variables were significantly associated with SCAF detection in univariate analysis. P-wave duration, followed by PAC/24 h, NT-proBNP, and LAVI, had the largest ratio of SCAF prevalence between its upper and lower quartiles (3.3, vs. 3.2, vs. 3.1 vs. 2.8, respectively). However, in a multivariate analysis, only PAC/24t, P-wave duration, P-wave morphology, and LAVIs remained significant predictors and were included in the PROACTIA score. Subclinical atrial fibrillation prevalence was 75% in the highest vs. 10% in the lowest quartile of the PROACTIA score with a 10-fold higher number of patients with an atrial fibrillation burden >6 h in the highest vs. the lowest quartile. CONCLUSION: The PROACTIA score can identify patients with cryptogenic stroke/TIA at risk of subsequent SCAF detection. The large difference in SCAF prevalence between groups may provide a basis for future tailored therapy. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov; NCT02725944.