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BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether adding 4Kscore as a reflex test to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) could improve the screening algorithm for prostate cancer (PC). METHODS: In the GÖTEBORG-2 PC screening trial, 38 000men (50-60 yr) were invited to PSA testing and, if elevated, followed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). For 571 men with PSA ≥3.0 ng/ml and evaluable outcomes, 4Kscore was calculated. The performance using a prespecified 4Kscore cutoff of 7.5% was evaluated. KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS: The area under the curve for 4Kscore to identify intermediate- and high-risk PC was 0.84 (95% confidence interval 0.79-0.89), and the positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 15% (0.12-0.20) and 99% (97-100%), respectively. Of the 54 men diagnosed with intermediate- or high-grade PC, two had a 4Kscore cutoff below 7.5%, both with organ-confined intermediate-risk PC. Per 1000 men with elevated PSA, adding 4Kscore would have resulted in avoidance of MRI for 408 (41%) men, biopsies for 95 (28% reduction) men, and diagnosis of 23 low-grade cancers (23% reduction) while delaying the diagnosis of four men with intermediate-grade cancers (4%). CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: Including 4Kscore as a reflex test for men with elevated PSA reduces the need for MRI and biopsy markedly, and results in less overdiagnosis of low-grade PC at the cost of delaying the diagnosis of intermediate-grade PC in a few men. These results add further evidence for including new blood-based biomarkers in addition to PSA to improve the harm and benefit ratio of PC screening and reduce the need for resource-demanding MRI and biopsies. PATIENT SUMMARY: In this study, 4Kscore, a blood-based biomarker, as a reflex test for men with elevated prostate-specific antigen (PSA), reduces the need for magnetic resonance imaging and biopsy. These results support the inclusion of new blood-based biomarkers in addition to PSA.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: For metastatic hormone naïve prostate cancer patients, androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) with escalation therapy including docetaxel and/or androgen targeting drugs is the standard therapy. However, de-escalation is preferable to avoid unnecessary side effects, especially from docetaxel, but markers to identify these patients are lacking. The purpose of the present study was to investigate the potential of PSA and Ki67 immunoreactive scores as prognostic and treatment-predictive markers. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Prostate biopsies from 92 patients with metastatic hormone naïve PC (PSA > 80 ng/mL or clinical metastases) were immunohistochemically evaluated for PSA and Ki67. Gene expression analysis was performed with Clariom D microarrays to identify the phenotypic profile associated with the immunohistochemistry scores of biopsies. Cox regression analysis for progression free survival after ADT adjustment for age, ISUP, and serum PSA and Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed to assess prognostic values of Ki67, PSA, and the Ki67/PSA ratio. RESULTS: The immunohistochemical score for PSA was the strongest prognostic factor for progression-free and overall survival after ADT. Consequently, the ratio between Ki67 and PSA displayed a stronger prognostic value than Ki67 itself. Further, mRNA expression data analysis showed an association between high Ki67/PSA ratio, cell-cycle regulation, and DNA damage repair. In an exploratory sub-analysis of 12 patients treated with early docetaxel as addition to ADT and matched controls, a high Ki67/PSA ratio showed potential to identify those who benefit from docetaxel. CONCLUSION: PSA and Ki67 immunoreactive scores are prognostic in the metastatic hormone-sensitive setting, with PSA being superior. The combination of Ki67 and PSA did not give additional prognostic value. The results suggest immunohistochemical scoring of PSA to have potential to improve identification of patients responding well to ADT alone.