The Prediction of In-Hospital Mortality in Decompensated Cirrhosis with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a condition in cirrhosis associated with organ failure (OF) and high short-term mortality. Both the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) and North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) ACLF definitions have been shown to predict ACLF prognosis. The aim of this study was to compare the ability of the EASL-CLIF versus NACSELD systems over baseline clinical and laboratory parameters in the prediction of in-hospital mortality in admitted patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Five NACSELD centers prospectively collected data to calculate EASL-CLIF and NACSELD-ACLF scores for admitted patients with cirrhosis who were followed for the development of OF, hospital course, and survival. Both the number of OFs and the ACLF grade or presence were used to determine the impact of NACSELD versus EASL-CLIF definitions of ACLF above baseline parameters on in-hospital mortality. A total of 1031 patients with decompensated cirrhosis (age, 57 ± 11 years; male, 66%; Child-Pugh-Turcotte score, 10 ± 2; Model for End-Stage Liver Disease [MELD] score, 20 ± 8) were enrolled. Renal failure prevalence (28% versus 9%, P < 0.001) was more common using the EASL-CLIF versus NACSELD definition, but the prevalence rates for brain, circulatory, and respiratory failures were similar. Baseline parameters including age, white cell count on admission, and MELD score reasonably predicted in-hospital mortality (area under the curve, 0.76). The addition of number of OFs according to either system did not improve the predictive power of the baseline parameters for in-hospital mortality, but the presence of NACSELD-ACLF did. However, neither system was better than baseline parameters in the prediction of 30- or 90-day outcomes. The presence of NACSELD-ACLF is equally effective as the EASL-CLIF ACLF grade, and better than baseline parameters in the prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with cirrhosis, but not superior in the prediction of longer-term 30- or 90-day outcomes.

Psychological contributors to the frail phenotype: The association between resilience and frailty in patients with cirrhosis.

We examined whether a key psychological trait-resilience, defined as one's ability to recover quickly from difficulties-contributes to the frail phenotype in patients with cirrhosis. Included were 300 adult patients with cirrhosis who underwent outpatient physical frailty testing using the Liver Frailty Index and resilience testing using the Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale (CD-RISC). The Liver Frailty Index was categorized as robust, prefrail-robust, prefrail-frail, and frail; CD-RISC was categorized using population norms as: least, less, more, and most resilient. Linear regression was used to assess factors associated with frailty (by the Liver Frailty Index per 0.1 unit change). Among the most resilient, only 10% were frail; among the least resilient, 29% were frail. In univariable analysis, resilience was strongly associated with the Liver Frailty Index (coef = -0.13 per point increase; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.20 to -0.60; P < .001) and remained significantly associated with frailty in multivariable adjustment (coef = -0.13, 95% CI -0.19 to -0.07; P < .001). Low resilience is strongly associated with the frail phenotype in patients with cirrhosis. Given that resilience is modifiable, our data suggest that effective interventions to mitigate frailty should include strategies to build resilience in patients with low baseline resilience.

Hospitalized Women With Cirrhosis Have More Nonhepatic Comorbidities and Associated Complications Than Men.

Gender differences in the natural history of chronic liver disease have been well-described. Women have lower rates of chronic liver disease and slower fibrosis progression, yet higher rates of waitlist mortality.1,2 Although previous studies have identified several clinical factors including height and creatinine that explain some of this transplant disparity, most have used data from administrative records, which are limited in their ability to identify clinically relevant differences and opportunities for intervention to reduce disparities.3-5 Additionally, most studies have focused on the period between waitlist and transplant, failing to capture gender differences in access to transplant.3,6 In the present study, we took advantage of a multicenter inpatient cohort with granular clinical data to characterize how women and men with cirrhosis differ, to stimulate future research aimed at reducing the well-established gender disparity in liver transplantation.