Strategies for building robust prediction models using data unavailable at prediction time.

OBJECTIVE: Hospital-acquired infections (HAIs) are associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and prolonged hospital length of stay. Risk prediction models based on pre- and intraoperative data have been proposed to assess the risk of HAIs at the end of the surgery, but the performance of these models lag behind HAI detection models based on postoperative data. Postoperative data are more predictive than pre- or interoperative data since it is closer to the outcomes in time, but it is unavailable when the risk models are applied (end of surgery). The objective is to study whether such data, which is temporally unavailable at prediction time (TUP) (and thus cannot directly enter the model), can be used to improve the performance of the risk model. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An extensive array of 12 methods based on logistic/linear regression and deep learning were used to incorporate the TUP data using a variety of intermediate representations of the data. Due to the hierarchical structure of different HAI outcomes, a comparison of single and multi-task learning frameworks is also presented. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: The use of TUP data was always advantageous as baseline methods, which cannot utilize TUP data, never achieved the top performance. The relative performances of the different models vary across the different outcomes. Regarding the intermediate representation, we found that its complexity was key and that incorporating label information was helpful. CONCLUSIONS: Using TUP data significantly helped predictive performance irrespective of the model complexity.

Association of BMI, comorbidities and all-cause mortality by using a baseline mortality risk model.

OBJECTIVE: The association of body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality is controversial, frequently referred to as a paradox. Whether the cause is metabolic factors or statistical biases is still controversial. We assessed the association of BMI and all-cause mortality considering a wide range of comorbidities and baseline mortality risk. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of Olmsted County residents with at least one BMI measurement between 2000-2005, clinical data in the electronic health record and minimum 8 year follow-up or death within this time. The cohort was categorized based on baseline mortality risk: Low, Medium, Medium-high, High and Very-high. All-cause mortality was assessed for BMI intervals of 5 and 0.5 Kg/m2. RESULTS: Of 39,739 subjects (average age 52.6, range 18-89; 38.1% male) 11.86% died during 8-year follow-up. The 8-year all-cause mortality risk had a "U" shape with a flat nadir in all the risk groups. Extreme BMI showed higher risk (BMI <15 = 36.4%, 15 to <20 = 15.4% and ≥45 = 13.7%), while intermediate BMI categories showed a plateau between 10.6 and 12.5%. The increased risk attributed to baseline risk and comorbidities was more obvious than the risk based on BMI increase within the same risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: There is a complex association between BMI and all-cause mortality when evaluated including comorbidities and baseline mortality risk. In general, comorbidities are better predictors of mortality risk except at extreme BMIs. In patients with no or few comorbidities, BMI seems to better define mortality risk. Aggressive management of comorbidities may provide better survival outcome for patients with body mass between normal and moderate obesity.

A Computational Method for Learning Disease Trajectories From Partially Observable EHR Data.

Diseases can show different courses of progression even when patients share the same risk factors. Recent studies have revealed that the use of trajectories, the order in which diseases manifest throughout life, can be predictive of the course of progression. In this study, we propose a novel computational method for learning disease trajectories from EHR data. The proposed method consists of three parts: first, we propose an algorithm for extracting trajectories from EHR data; second, three criteria for filtering trajectories; and third, a likelihood function for assessing the risk of developing a set of outcomes given a trajectory set. We applied our methods to extract a set of disease trajectories from Mayo Clinic EHR data and evaluated it internally based on log-likelihood, which can be interpreted as the trajectories' ability to explain the observed (partial) disease progressions. We then externally evaluated the trajectories on EHR data from an independent health system, M Health Fairview. The proposed algorithm extracted a comprehensive set of disease trajectories that can explain the observed outcomes substantially better than competing methods and the proposed filtering criteria selected a small subset of disease trajectories that are highly interpretable and suffered only a minimal (relative 5%) loss of the ability to explain disease progression in both the internal and external validation.

Development and Validation of a Risk Stratification Model Using Disease Severity Hierarchy for Mortality or Major Cardiovascular Event.

Importance: Clinical domain knowledge about diseases and their comorbidities, severity, treatment pathways, and outcomes can facilitate diagnosis, enhance preventive strategies, and help create smart evidence-based practice guidelines. Objective: To introduce a new representation of patient data called disease severity hierarchy that leverages domain knowledge in a nested fashion to create subpopulations that share increasing amounts of clinical details suitable for risk prediction. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study included 51 969 patients aged 45 to 85 years, with 10 674 patients who received primary care at the Mayo Clinic between January 2004 and December 2015 in the training cohort and 41 295 patients who received primary care at Fairview Health Services from January 2010 to December 2017 in the validation cohort. Data were analyzed from May 2018 to December 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: Several binary classification measures, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Gini score, sensitivity, and positive predictive value, were used to evaluate models predicting all-cause mortality and major cardiovascular events at ages 60, 65, 75, and 80 years. Results: The mean (SD) age and proportions of women and white individuals were 59.4 (10.8) years, 6324 (59.3%) and 9804 (91.9%), respectively, in the training cohort and 57.4 (7.9) years, 21 975 (53.1%), and 37 653 (91.2%), respectively, in the validation cohort. During follow-up, 945 patients (8.9%) in the training cohort died, while 787 (7.4%) had major cardiovascular events. Models using the new representation achieved AUCs for predicting death in the training cohort at ages 60, 65, 75, and 80 years of 0.96 (95% CI, 0.94-0.97), 0.96 (95% CI, 0.95-0.98), 0.97 (95% CI, 0.96-0.98), and 0.98 (95% CI, 0.98-0.99), respectively, while standard methods achieved modest AUCs of 0.67 (95% CI, 0.55-0.80), 0.66 (95% CI, 0.56-0.79), 0.64 (95% CI, 0.57-0.71), and 0.63 (95% CI, 0.54-0.70), respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, the proposed patient data representation accurately predicted the age at which a patient was at risk of dying or developing major cardiovascular events substantially better than standard methods. The representation uses known relationships contained in electronic health records to capture disease severity in a natural and clinically meaningful way. Furthermore, it is expressive and interpretable. This novel patient representation can help to support critical decision-making, develop smart guidelines, and enhance health care and disease management by helping to identify patients with high risk.

Predicting diabetes clinical outcomes using longitudinal risk factor trajectories.

BACKGROUND: The ubiquity of electronic health records (EHR) offers an opportunity to observe trajectories of laboratory results and vital signs over long periods of time. This study assessed the value of risk factor trajectories available in the electronic health record to predict incident type 2 diabetes. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Analysis was based on a large 13-year retrospective cohort of 71,545 adult, non-diabetic patients with baseline in 2005 and median follow-up time of 8 years. The trajectories of fasting plasma glucose, lipids, BMI and blood pressure were computed over three time frames (2000-2001, 2002-2003, 2004) before baseline. A novel method, Cumulative Exposure (CE), was developed and evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression to assess risk of incident type 2 diabetes. We used the Framingham Diabetes Risk Scoring (FDRS) Model as control. RESULTS: The new model outperformed the FDRS Model (.802 vs .660; p-values <2e-16). Cumulative exposure measured over different periods showed that even short episodes of hyperglycemia increase the risk of developing diabetes. Returning to normoglycemia moderates the risk, but does not fully eliminate it. The longer an individual maintains glycemic control after a hyperglycemic episode, the lower the subsequent risk of diabetes. CONCLUSION: Incorporating risk factor trajectories substantially increases the ability of clinical decision support risk models to predict onset of type 2 diabetes and provides information about how risk changes over time.

Discovering genetic interactions bridging pathways in genome-wide association studies.

Genetic interactions have been reported to underlie phenotypes in a variety of systems, but the extent to which they contribute to complex disease in humans remains unclear. In principle, genome-wide association studies (GWAS) provide a platform for detecting genetic interactions, but existing methods for identifying them from GWAS data tend to focus on testing individual locus pairs, which undermines statistical power. Importantly, a global genetic network mapped for a model eukaryotic organism revealed that genetic interactions often connect genes between compensatory functional modules in a highly coherent manner. Taking advantage of this expected structure, we developed a computational approach called BridGE that identifies pathways connected by genetic interactions from GWAS data. Applying BridGE broadly, we discover significant interactions in Parkinson's disease, schizophrenia, hypertension, prostate cancer, breast cancer, and type 2 diabetes. Our novel approach provides a general framework for mapping complex genetic networks underlying human disease from genome-wide genotype data.

Evaluating the Impact of Data Representation on EHR-Based Analytic Tasks.

Different analytic techniques operate optimally with different types of data. As the use of EHR-based analytics expands to newer tasks, data will have to be transformed into different representations, so the tasks can be optimally solved. We classified representations into broad categories based on their characteristics, and proposed a new knowledge-driven representation for clinical data mining as well as trajectory mining, called Severity Encoding Variables (SEVs). Additionally, we studied which characteristics make representations most suitable for particular clinical analytics tasks including trajectory mining. Our evaluation shows that, for regression, most data representations performed similarly, with SEV achieving a slight (albeit statistically significant) advantage. For patients at high risk of diabetes, it outperformed the competing representation by (relative) 20%. For association mining, SEV achieved the highest performance. Its ability to constrain the search space of patterns through clinical knowledge was key to its success.

A Framework for Visualizing Data Quality for Predictive Models and Clinical Quality Measures.

The ability to assess data quality is essential for secondary use of EHR data and an automated Healthcare Data Quality Framework (HDQF) can be used as a tool to support a healthcare organization's data quality initiatives. Use of a general purpose HDQF provides a method to assess and visualize data quality to quickly identify areas for improvement. The value of the approach is illustrated for two analytics use cases: 1) predictive models and 2) clinical quality measures. The results show that data quality issues can be efficiently identified and visualized. The automated HDQF is much less time consuming than a manual approach to data quality and the framework can be rerun repeatedly on additional datasets without much effort.

Neurodevelopmental heterogeneity and computational approaches for understanding autism.

In recent years, the emerging field of computational psychiatry has impelled the use of machine learning models as a means to further understand the pathogenesis of multiple clinical disorders. In this paper, we discuss how autism spectrum disorder (ASD) was and continues to be diagnosed in the context of its complex neurodevelopmental heterogeneity. We review machine learning approaches to streamline ASD's diagnostic methods, to discern similarities and differences from comorbid diagnoses, and to follow developmentally variable outcomes. Both supervised machine learning models for classification outcome and unsupervised approaches to identify new dimensions and subgroups are discussed. We provide an illustrative example of how computational analytic methods and a longitudinal design can improve our inferential ability to detect early dysfunctional behaviors that may or may not reach threshold levels for formal diagnoses. Specifically, an unsupervised machine learning approach of anomaly detection is used to illustrate how community samples may be utilized to investigate early autism risk, multidimensional features, and outcome variables. Because ASD symptoms and challenges are not static within individuals across development, computational approaches present a promising method to elucidate subgroups of etiological contributions to phenotype, alternative developmental courses, interactions with biomedical comorbidities, and to predict potential responses to therapeutic interventions.

Frequent Causal Pattern Mining: A Computationally Efficient Framework For Estimating Bias-Corrected Effects.

Our aging population increasingly suffers from multiple chronic diseases simultaneously, necessitating the comprehensive treatment of these conditions. Finding the optimal set of drugs for a combinatorial set of diseases is a combinatorial pattern exploration problem. Association rule mining is a popular tool for such problems, but the requirement of health care for finding causal, rather than associative, patterns renders association rule mining unsuitable. To address this issue, we propose a novel framework based on the Rubin-Neyman causal model for extracting causal rules from observational data, correcting for a number of common biases. Specifically, given a set of interventions and a set of items that define subpopulations (e.g., diseases), we wish to find all subpopulations in which effective intervention combinations exist and in each such subpopulation, we wish to find all intervention combinations such that dropping any intervention from this combination will reduce the efficacy of the treatment. A key aspect of our framework is the concept of closed intervention sets which extend the concept of quantifying the effect of a single intervention to a set of concurrent interventions. Closed intervention sets also allow for a pruning strategy that is strictly more efficient than the traditional pruning strategy used by the Apriori algorithm. To implement our ideas, we introduce and compare five methods of estimating causal effect from observational data and rigorously evaluate them on synthetic data to mathematically prove (when possible) why they work. We also evaluated our causal rule mining framework on the Electronic Health Records (EHR) data of a large cohort of 152000 patients from Mayo Clinic and showed that the patterns we extracted are sufficiently rich to explain the controversial findings in the medical literature regarding the effect of a class of cholesterol drugs on Type-II Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM).

Delay Within the 3-Hour Surviving Sepsis Campaign Guideline on Mortality for Patients With Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock.

OBJECTIVES: To specify when delays of specific 3-hour bundle Surviving Sepsis Campaign guideline recommendations applied to severe sepsis or septic shock become harmful and impact mortality. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: One health system composed of six hospitals and 45 clinics in a Midwest state from January 01, 2011, to July 31, 2015. PATIENTS: All adult patients hospitalized with billing diagnosis of severe sepsis or septic shock. INTERVENTIONS: Four 3-hour Surviving Sepsis Campaign guideline recommendations: 1) obtain blood culture before antibiotics, 2) obtain lactate level, 3) administer broad-spectrum antibiotics, and 4) administer 30 mL/kg of crystalloid fluid for hypotension (defined as "mean arterial pressure" < 65) or lactate (> 4). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: To determine the effect of t minutes of delay in carrying out each intervention, propensity score matching of "baseline" characteristics compensated for differences in health status. The average treatment effect in the treated computed as the average difference in outcomes between those treated after shorter versus longer delay. To estimate the uncertainty associated with the average treatment effect in the treated metric and to construct 95% CIs, bootstrap estimation with 1,000 replications was performed. From 5,072 patients with severe sepsis or septic shock, 1,412 (27.8%) had in-hospital mortality. The majority of patients had the four 3-hour bundle recommendations initiated within 3 hours. The statistically significant time in minutes after which a delay increased the risk of death for each recommendation was as follows: lactate, 20.0 minutes; blood culture, 50.0 minutes; crystalloids, 100.0 minutes; and antibiotic therapy, 125.0 minutes. CONCLUSIONS: The guideline recommendations showed that shorter delays indicates better outcomes. There was no evidence that 3 hours is safe; even very short delays adversely impact outcomes. Findings demonstrated a new approach to incorporate time t when analyzing the impact on outcomes and provide new evidence for clinical practice and research.

Secondary Analysis of an Electronic Surveillance System Combined with Multi-focal Interventions for Early Detection of Sepsis.

To conduct an independent secondary analysis of a multi-focal intervention for early detection of sepsis that included implementation of change management strategies, electronic surveillance for sepsis, and evidence based point of care alerting using the POC AdvisorTM application. METHODS: Propensity score matching was used to select subsets of the cohorts with balanced covariates. Bootstrapping was performed to build distributions of the measured difference in rates/means. The effect of the sepsis intervention was evaluated for all patients, and High and Low Risk subgroups for illness severity. A separate analysis was performed patients on the intervention and non-intervention units (without the electronic surveillance). Sensitivity, specificity, and the positive predictive values were calculated to evaluate the accuracy of the alerting system for detecting sepsis or severe sepsis/ septic shock. RESULTS: There was positive effect on the intervention units with sepsis electronic surveillance with an adjusted mortality rate of -6.6%. Mortality rates for non-intervention units also improved, but at a lower rate of -2.9%. Additional outcomes improved for patients on both intervention and non-intervention units for home discharge (7.5% vs 1.1%), total length of hospital stay (-0.9% vs -0.3%), and 30 day readmissions (-6.6% vs -1.6%). Patients on the intervention units showed better outcomes compared with non-intervention unit patients, and even more so for High Risk patients. The sensitivity was 95.2%, specificity of 82.0% and PPV of 50.6% for the electronic surveillance alerts. CONCLUSION: There was improvement over time across the hospital for patients on the intervention and non-intervention units with more improvement for sicker patients. Patients on intervention units with electronic surveillance have better outcomes; however, due to differences in exclusion criteria and types of units, further study is needed to draw a direct relationship between the electronic surveillance system and outcomes.

Estimating Disease Onset Time by Modeling Lab Result Trajectories via Bayes Networks.

The true onset time of a disease, particularly slow-onset diseases like Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), is rarely observable in electronic health records (EHRs). However, it is critical for analysis of time to events and for studying sequences of diseases. The aim of this study is to demonstrate a method for estimating the onset time of such diseases from intermittently observable laboratory results in the specific context of T2DM. A retrospective observational study design is used. A cohort of 5,874 non-diabetic patients from a large healthcare system in the Upper Midwest United States was constructed with a three-year follow-up period. The HbA1c level of each patient was collected from earliest and the latest follow-up. We modeled the patients' HbA1c trajectories through Bayesian networks to estimate the onset time of diabetes. Due to non-random censoring and interventions unobservable from EHR data (such as lifestyle changes), naïve modeling of HbA1c through linear regression or modeling time-to-event through proportional hazard model leads to a clinically infeasible model with no or limited ability to predict the onset time of diabetes. Our model is consistent with clinical knowledge and estimated the onset of diabetes with less than a six-month error for almost half the patients for whom the onset time could be clinically ascertained. To our knowledge, this is the first study of modeling long-term HbA1c progression in non-diabetic patients and estimating the onset time of diabetes.

A Data Mining Approach to Determine Sepsis Guideline Impact on Inpatient Mortality and Complications.

Sepsis incidents have doubled from 2000 through 2008, and hospitalizations for these diagnoses have increased by 70%. The use of the Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) guidelines can lead to earlier diagnosis and treatment; however, the effectiveness of the SSC guidelines in preventing complications for this population is unclear. The overall purpose of this study was to apply SSC guideline recommendations to EHR data for patients with severe sepsis or septic shock and determine guideline compliance as well as its impact on inpatient mortality and sepsis complications. Propensity Score Matching in conjuction with Bootstrap Simulation were used to match patients with and without exposure to the SSC recommendations. Findings showed that EHR data could be used to estimate compliance with SSC recommendations as well as the effect of compliance on outcomes. Compliance with guideline recommendations ranged from 9% to 100%. For individual recommendations with sufficient data, association with outcomes varied. Checking lactate influenced four outcomes; however, two were negative and two positive. Use of a ventilator for patients with respiratory distress had a positive association with three outcomes.

Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Trajectories and Associated Risks.

Disease progression models, statistical models that assess a patient's risk of diabetes progression, are popular tools in clinical practice for prevention and management of chronic conditions. Most, if not all, models currently in use are based on gold standard clinical trial data. The relatively small sample size available from clinical trial limits these models only considering the patient's state at the time of the assessment and ignoring the trajectory, the sequence of events, that led up to the state. Recent advances in the adoption of electronic health record (EHR) systems and the large sample size they contain have paved the way to build disease progression models that can take trajectories into account, leading to increasingly accurate and personalized assessment. To address these problems, we present a novel method to observe trajectories directly. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method by studying type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) trajectories. Specifically, using EHR data for a large population-based cohort, we identified a typical trajectory that most people follow, which is a sequence of diseases from hyperlipidemia (HLD) to hypertension (HTN), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and T2DM. In addition, we also show that patients who follow different trajectories can face significantly increased or decreased risk.

Proteome Profiling in Lung Injury after Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation.

Pulmonary complications due to infection and idiopathic pneumonia syndrome (IPS), a noninfectious lung injury in hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) recipients, are frequent causes of transplantation-related mortality and morbidity. Our objective was to characterize the global bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) protein expression of IPS to identify proteins and pathways that differentiate IPS from infectious lung injury after HSCT. We studied 30 BALF samples from patients who developed lung injury within 180 days of HSCT or cellular therapy transfusion (natural killer cell transfusion). Adult subjects were classified as having IPS or infectious lung injury by the criteria outlined in the 2011 American Thoracic Society statement. BALF was depleted of hemoglobin and 14 high-abundance proteins, treated with trypsin, and labeled with isobaric tagging for relative and absolute quantification (iTRAQ) 8-plex reagent for two-dimensional capillary liquid chromatography (LC) and data dependent peptide tandem mass spectrometry (MS) on an Orbitrap Velos system in higher-energy collision-induced dissociation activation mode. Protein identification employed a target-decoy strategy using ProteinPilot within Galaxy P. The relative protein abundance was determined with reference to a global internal standard consisting of pooled BALF from patients with respiratory failure and no history of HSCT. A variance weighted t-test controlling for a false discovery rate of ≤5% was used to identify proteins that showed differential expression between IPS and infectious lung injury. The biological relevance of these proteins was determined by using gene ontology enrichment analysis and Ingenuity Pathway Analysis. We characterized 12 IPS and 18 infectious lung injury BALF samples. In the 5 iTRAQ LC-MS/MS experiments 845, 735, 532, 615, and 594 proteins were identified for a total of 1125 unique proteins and 368 common proteins across all 5 LC-MS/MS experiments. When comparing IPS to infectious lung injury, 96 proteins were differentially expressed. Gene ontology enrichment analysis showed that these proteins participate in biological processes involved in the development of lung injury after HSCT. These include acute phase response signaling, complement system, coagulation system, liver X receptor (LXR)/retinoid X receptor (RXR), and farsenoid X receptor (FXR)/RXR modulation. We identified 2 canonical pathways modulated by TNF-α, FXR/RXR activation, and IL2 signaling in macrophages. The proteins also mapped to blood coagulation, fibrinolysis, and wound healing-processes that participate in organ repair. Cell movement was identified as significantly over-represented by proteins with differential expression between IPS and infection. In conclusion, the BALF protein expression in IPS differed significantly from infectious lung injury in HSCT recipients. These differences provide insights into mechanisms that are activated in lung injury in HSCT recipients and suggest potential therapeutic targets to augment lung repair.

Mining Patterns Associated With Mobility Outcomes in Home Healthcare.

BACKGROUND: Mobility is critical for self-management. Understanding factors associated with improvement in mobility during home healthcare can help nurses tailor interventions to improve mobility outcomes and keep patients safely at home. OBJECTIVES: The aims were to (a) identify patient and support system factors associated with mobility improvement during home care, (b) evaluate consistency of factors across groups defined by mobility status at the start of home care, and (c) identify patterns of factors associated with improvement and no improvement in mobility within each group. METHODS: Outcome and Assessment Information Set data extracted from a national convenience sample of 270,634 patient records collected from October 1, 2008 to December 31, 2009 from 581 Medicare-certified, home healthcare agencies were used. Patients were placed into groups based on mobility scores at admission. Odds ratios were used to index associations of factors with improvement at discharge. Discriminative pattern mining was used to discover patterns associated with improvement of mobility. RESULTS: Overall, mobility improved for 49.4% of patients; improvement occurred most frequently (80%) among patients who were able, at admission, to walk only with the supervision or assistance of another person at all times. Numerous factors associated with improvement in mobility outcome were similar across the groups (except for those who were chairfast but were able to wheel themselves independently); however, the number, strength, and direction of associations varied. In most groups, data mining-discovered patterns of factors associated with the mobility outcome were composed of combinations of functional and cognitive status and the type and amount of help required at home. DISCUSSION: This study provides new data mining-based information about how factors associated with improvement in mobility group together and vary by mobility at admission. These approaches have potential to provide new insights for clinicians to tailor interventions for improvement of mobility.

Transposon Mutagenesis Screen Identifies Potential Lung Cancer Drivers and CUL3 as a Tumor Suppressor.

UNLABELLED: Non-small cell lung cancers (NSCLC) harbor thousands of passenger events that hide genetic drivers. Even highly recurrent events in NSCLC, such as mutations in PTEN, EGFR, KRAS, and ALK, are detected, at most, in only 30% of patients. Thus, many unidentified low-penetrant events are causing a significant portion of lung cancers. To detect low-penetrance drivers of NSCLC, a forward genetic screen was performed in mice using the Sleeping Beauty (SB) DNA transposon as a random mutagen to generate lung tumors in a Pten-deficient background. SB mutations coupled with Pten deficiency were sufficient to produce lung tumors in 29% of mice. Pten deficiency alone, without SB mutations, resulted in lung tumors in 11% of mice, whereas the rate in control mice was approximately 3%. In addition, thyroid cancer and other carcinomas, as well as the presence of bronchiolar and alveolar epithelialization, in mice deficient for Pten were also identified. Analysis of common transposon insertion sites identified 76 candidate cancer driver genes. These genes are frequently dysregulated in human lung cancers and implicate several signaling pathways. Cullin3 (Cul3), a member of a ubiquitin ligase complex that plays a role in the oxidative stress response pathway, was identified in the screen and evidence demonstrates that Cul3 functions as a tumor suppressor. IMPLICATIONS: This study identifies many novel candidate genetic drivers of lung cancer and demonstrates that CUL3 acts as a tumor suppressor by regulating oxidative stress.

Connectivity cluster analysis for discovering discriminative subnetworks in schizophrenia.

In this manuscript, we present connectivity cluster analysis (CoCA), a novel computational framework that takes advantage of structure of the brain networks to magnify reproducible signals and quash noise. Resting state functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) data that is used in estimating functional brain networks is often noisy, leading to reduced power and inconsistent findings across independent studies. There is a need for techniques that can unearth signals in noisy datasets, while addressing redundancy in the functional connections that are used for testing association. CoCA is a data driven approach that addresses the problems of redundancy and noise by first finding groups of region pairs that behave in a cohesive way across the subjects. These cohesive sets of functional connections are further tested for association with the disease. CoCA is applied in the context of patients with schizophrenia, a disorder characterized as a disconnectivity syndrome. Our results suggest that CoCA can find reproducible sets of functional connections that behave cohesively. Applying this technique, we found that the connectivity clusters joining thalamus to parietal, temporal, and visuoparietal regions are highly discriminative of schizophrenia patients as well as reproducible using retest data and replicable in an independent confirmatory sample.

Proteomic profiles in acute respiratory distress syndrome differentiates survivors from non-survivors.

Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) continues to have a high mortality. Currently, there are no biomarkers that provide reliable prognostic information to guide clinical management or stratify risk among clinical trial participants. The objective of this study was to probe the bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) proteome to identify proteins that differentiate survivors from non-survivors of ARDS. Patients were divided into early-phase (1 to 7 days) and late-phase (8 to 35 days) groups based on time after initiation of mechanical ventilation for ARDS (Day 1). Isobaric tags for absolute and relative quantitation (iTRAQ) with LC MS/MS was performed on pooled BALF enriched for medium and low abundance proteins from early-phase survivors (n = 7), early-phase non-survivors (n = 8), and late-phase survivors (n = 7). Of the 724 proteins identified at a global false discovery rate of 1%, quantitative information was available for 499. In early-phase ARDS, proteins more abundant in survivors mapped to ontologies indicating a coordinated compensatory response to injury and stress. These included coagulation and fibrinolysis; immune system activation; and cation and iron homeostasis. Proteins more abundant in early-phase non-survivors participate in carbohydrate catabolism and collagen synthesis, with no activation of compensatory responses. The compensatory immune activation and ion homeostatic response seen in early-phase survivors transitioned to cell migration and actin filament based processes in late-phase survivors, revealing dynamic changes in the BALF proteome as the lung heals. Early phase proteins differentiating survivors from non-survivors are candidate biomarkers for predicting survival in ARDS.