Association between direct transport to a cardiac arrest centre and survival following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A propensity-matched Aotearoa New Zealand study.

Background and Objectives: Direct transport to a cardiac arrest centre following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest may be associated with higher survival. However, there is limited evidence available to support this within the New Zealand context. This study used a propensity score-matched cohort to investigate whether direct transport to a cardiac arrest centre improved survival in New Zealand. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the Aotearoa New Zealand Paramedic Care Collection (ANZPaCC) database for adults treated for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest of presumed cardiac aetiology between 1 July 2018 to 30 June 2023. Propensity score-matched analysis was used to investigate survival at 30-days post-event according to the receiving hospital being a cardiac arrest centre versus a non-cardiac arrest centre. Results: There were 2,297 OHCA patients included. Propensity matching resulted in 554 matched pairs (n = 1108). Thirty-day survival in propensity score-matched patients transported directly to a cardiac arrest centre (56%) versus a non-cardiac arrest centre (45%) was not significantly different (adjusted Odds Ratio 0.78 95%CI 0.54, 1.13, p = 0.19). Shockable presenting rhythm, bystander CPR, and presence of STEMI were associated with a higher odds of 30 day survival (p < 0.05). Maori or Pacific Peoples ethnicity and older age were associated with lower survival (p < 0.05). Conclusions: This study found no statistically significant difference in outcomes for OHCA patients transferred to a cardiac arrest compared to a non-cardiac arrest centre. However, the odds ratio of 0.78, equivalent to a 22% decrease in 30-day mortality, is consistent with benefit associated with management by a cardiac arrest centre. Further research in larger cohorts with detailed information on known outcome predictors, or large randomised clinical trials are needed.

Development and validation of a quantitative Proximity Extension Assay instrument with 21 proteins associated with cardiovascular risk (CVD-21).

BACKGROUND: Treatment of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) is a substantial burden to healthcare systems worldwide. New tools are needed to improve precision of treatment by optimizing the balance between efficacy, safety, and cost. We developed a high-throughput multi-marker decision support instrument which simultaneously quantifies proteins associated with CVD. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Candidate proteins independently associated with different clinical outcomes were selected from clinical studies by the screening of 368 circulating biomarkers. We then custom-designed a quantitative PEA-panel with 21 proteins (CVD-21) by including recombinant antigens as calibrator samples for normalization and absolute quantification of the proteins. The utility of the CVD-21 tool was evaluated in plasma samples from a case-control cohort of 4224 patients with chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) using multivariable Cox regression analyses and machine learning techniques. The assays in the CVD-21 tool gave good precision and high sensitivity with lower level of determination (LOD) between 0.03-0.7 pg/ml for five of the biomarkers. The dynamic range for the assays was sufficient to accurately quantify the biomarkers in the validation study except for troponin I, which in the modeling was replaced by high-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-TnT). We created seven different multimarker models, including a reference model with NT-proBNP, hs-TnT, GDF-15, IL-6, and cystatin C and one model with only clinical variables, for the comparison of the discriminative value of the CVD-21 tool. All models with biomarkers including hs-TnT provided similar discrimination for all outcomes, e.g. c-index between 0.68-0.86 and outperformed models using only clinical variables. Most important prognostic biomarkers were MMP-12, U-PAR, REN, VEGF-D, FGF-23, TFF3, ADM, and SCF. CONCLUSIONS: The CVD-21 tool is the very first instrument which with PEA simultaneously quantifies 21 proteins with associations to different CVD. Novel pathophysiologic and prognostic information beyond that of established biomarkers were identified by a number of proteins.

Ethnicity Is Associated With Differing Presentation and Outcomes of Patients Undergoing Aortic Valve Replacement for Calcific Aortic Stenosis in Aotearoa New Zealand.

AIM: Surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) has been the gold standard for treatment of severe symptomatic aortic stenosis (AS) for decades. We examined whether ethnic differences exist in the presentation and outcomes of patients undergoing aortic valve replacement (AVR) for AS in New Zealand. METHODS: Patients of New Zealand European, Maori, and Pacific Island ethnicities undergoing SAVR with or without other procedures in New Zealand public hospitals from 2017 to 2019 were included. Major postoperative outcomes were compared between ethnic groups, with 30-day mortality being the primary outcome. RESULTS: A total of 1,175 patients were included: 1,085 European, 50 Maori, and 40 Pacific. The mean age was 71.1±9.4 years, and men accounted for more than half of all patients (69.9%). Maori (64.7±9.4 years) and Pacific (65.4±10.1 years) patients were younger when undergoing SAVR compared with European patients (71.7±9.2; analysis of variance p<0.001). Maori and Pacific patients had a higher prevalence of diabetes, poorer renal function, and worse left ventricular function; 30-day mortality was higher in Maori and Pacific compared with European patients (6% and 10% vs 2.4%, respectively; Fisher's exact test p=0.011), with odds ratio of 3.06 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.88-10.66) for Maori patients after adjustment for EuroSCORE II and odds ratio of 5.23 (95% CI 1.79-16.07) for Pacific patients. CONCLUSIONS: There are significant differences in presentation and outcomes of patients undergoing AVR in New Zealand. Maori and Pacific patients undergo SAVR at a younger age, have more preoperative comorbidities, and have higher rates of 30-day mortality than European patients.

A study protocol for a cluster-randomised controlled trial of smartphone-activated first responders with ultraportable defibrillators in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: The First Responder Shock Trial (FIRST).

Objective: To describe the First Responder Shock Trial (FIRST), which aims to determine whether equipping frequently responding, smartphone-activated (GoodSAM) first responders with an ultraportable AED can increase 30-day survival rates in OHCA. Methods: The FIRST trial is an investigator-initiated, bi-national (Victoria, Australia and New Zealand), registry-nested cluster-randomised controlled trial where the unit of randomisation is the smartphone-activated (GoodSAM) first responder. High-frequency GoodSAM responders are randomised 1:1 to receive an ultraportable, single-use AED or standard alert procedures using the GoodSAM app.The primary outcome is survival to 30 days. The secondary outcome measures (shockable rhythm, return of spontaneous circulation, event survival, and time to first shock delivery) are routinely collected by OHCA registries in both regions. The trial was registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR) (Registration: ACTRN12622000448741) on 22 March 2022. Results: The trial started in November 2022 and the last patient is expected to be enrolled in November 2024. We aim to detect a 7% increase in the proportion of 30-day survivors, from 9% in patients attended by control responders to 16% in patients attended by responders randomised to the ultraportable AED intervention arm. With 80% power, an alpha of 0.05, a cluster size of 1.5 and a coefficient of variation for cluster sizes of 1, the sample size required to detect this difference is 714 (357 per arm). Conclusion: The FIRST study will increase our understanding of the potential role of portable AED use by smartphone-activated community responders and their impact on survival outcomes.

Atrial fibrillation and anticoagulation in patients hospitalised for stroke in the REGIONS Care Study.

AIM: To describe atrial fibrillation (AF) patient characteristics and anticoagulation patterns in stroke patients in Aotearoa. METHODS: Reducing Ethnic and Geographic Inequities to Optimise New Zealand Stroke (REGIONS) Care study is a prospective, nation-wide observational study of consecutive adult stroke patients admitted to hospital between 1 May and 31 October 2018. AF and anticoagulation prescribing, intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) and differences by Maori ethnicity and hospital location are described. RESULTS: Of 2,379 patients, 807 (34.3%) had a diagnosis of AF. AF patients were older than non-AF patients (mean 79.9 [SD 11] versus 72.5 [14.2], p<0.0001). AF was diagnosed before stroke in 666 patients (82.5%), of whom 442 (66.4%) were taking an anticoagulant. The most common documented reasons for non-anticoagulation were prior bleeding (20.5%), patient preference (18.1%), frailty, comorbidities/side effects (13.2%) and falls (6.8%). The ICH rate was similar for AF patients on versus not on an anticoagulant (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.55-1.80). Rates and reasons for oral anticoagulant non-prescribing were similar for Maori, non-Maori, urban and non-urban populations. CONCLUSIONS: Although anticoagulation prescribing in AF has improved, one third of stroke patients with known AF were not taking an anticoagulant prior to admission and the majority did not appear to have an absolute contraindication offering a multidisciplinary opportunity for improvement. There were no significant differences for Maori and non-urban populations in anticoagulant prescribing.

Paired risk scores to predict ischaemic and bleeding risk twenty-eight days to one year after an acute coronary syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: The recommended duration of dual anti-platelet therapy (DAPT) following acute coronary syndrome (ACS) varies from 1 month to 1 year depending on the balance of risks of ischaemia and major bleeding. We designed paired ischaemic and major bleeding risk scores to inform this decision. METHODS: New Zealand (NZ) patients with ACS investigated with coronary angiography are recorded in the All NZ ACS Quality Improvement registry and linked to national health datasets. Patients were aged 18-84 years (2012-2020), event free at 28 days postdischarge and without atrial fibrillation. Two 28-day to 1-year postdischarge multivariable risk prediction scores were developed: (1) cardiovascular mortality/rehospitalisation with myocardial infarction or ischaemic stroke (ischaemic score) and (2) bleeding mortality/rehospitalisation with bleeding (bleeding score). FINDINGS: In 27 755 patients, there were 1200 (4.3%) ischaemic and 548 (2.0%) major bleeding events. Both scores were well calibrated with moderate discrimination performance (Harrell's c-statistic 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74 to 0.77) and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.67 to 0 .71), respectively). Applying these scores to the 2020 European Society of Cardiology ACS antithrombotic treatment algorithm, the 31% of the cohort at elevated (>2%) bleeding and ischaemic risk would be considered for an abbreviated DAPT duration. For those at low bleeding risk, but elevated ischaemic risk (37% of the cohort), prolonged DAPT may be appropriate, and for those with low bleeding and ischaemic risk (29% of the cohort) short duration DAPT may be justified. CONCLUSION: We present a pair of ischaemic and bleeding risk scores specifically to assist clinicians and their patients in deciding on DAPT duration beyond the first month post-ACS.

Vascular endothelial growth factor-D plasma levels and VEGFD genetic variants are independently associated with outcomes in patients with cardiovascular disease.

AIMS: The vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) family is involved in pathophysiological mechanisms underlying cardiovascular (CV) diseases. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between circulating VEGF ligands and/or soluble receptors and CV outcome in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and chronic coronary syndrome (CCS). METHODS AND RESULTS: Levels of VEGF biomarkers, including bFGF, Flt-1, KDR (VEGFR2), PlGF, Tie-2, VEGF-A, VEGF-C, and VEGF-D, were measured in the PLATO ACS cohort (n = 2091, discovery cohort). Subsequently, VEGF-D was also measured in the STABILITY CCS cohort (n = 4015, confirmation cohort) to verify associations with CV outcomes. Associations between plasma VEGF-D and outcomes were analysed by multiple Cox regression models with hazard ratios (HR [95% CI]) comparing the upper vs. the lower quartile of VEGF-D. Genome-wide association study (GWAS) of VEGF-D in PLATO identified SNPs that were used as genetic instruments in Mendelian randomization (MR) meta-analyses vs. clinical endpoints. GWAS and MR were performed in patients with ACS from PLATO (n = 10 013) and FRISC-II (n = 2952), and with CCS from the STABILITY trial (n = 10 786). VEGF-D, KDR, Flt-1, and PlGF showed significant association with CV outcomes. VEGF-D was most strongly associated with CV death (P = 3.73e-05, HR 1.892 [1.419, 2.522]). Genome-wide significant associations with VEGF-D levels were identified at the VEGFD locus on chromosome Xp22. MR analyses of the combined top ranked SNPs (GWAS P-values; rs192812042, P = 5.82e-20; rs234500, P = 1.97e-14) demonstrated a significant effect on CV mortality [P = 0.0257, HR 1.81 (1.07, 3.04) per increase of one unit in log VEGF-D]. CONCLUSION: This is the first large-scale cohort study to demonstrate that both VEGF-D plasma levels and VEGFD genetic variants are independently associated with CV outcomes in patients with ACS and CCS. Measurements of VEGF-D levels and/or VEGFD genetic variants may provide incremental prognostic information in patients with ACS and CCS.

A Risk Model to Predict Statin Non-Adherence Following an Acute Coronary Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Patients at risk of statin non-adherence are often not identified during hospital admission with an acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: In 19,942 patients hospitalised for ACS, statin dispensing was determined from the national pharmaceutical dispensing database. A risk score for non-adherence was developed from a multivariable Poisson regression model of associations between risk factors and the statin Medication Possession Ratio (MPR) <0.8 6-18 months after hospital discharge. RESULTS: Statin MPR was <0.8 in 4,736 (24%) patients. MPR <0.8 was more likely in patients with a history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) (RR 3.79, CI 95% 3.42-4.20) and those without known CVD (RR 2.25, 95% CI 2.04-2.48) who were not taking a statin on ACS admission, compared to patients with low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol <2 mmol/L who were on a statin. For patients taking a statin on admission, higher LDL was associated with MPR <0.8 (≥3 versus <2 mmol/L, RR 1.96, 95%CI 1.72-2.24). Other independent risk factors for MPR <0.8 were age <45 years, female, disadvantaged ethnic groups, and no coronary revascularisation during the ACS admission. The risk score, which included nine variables, had a C-statistic of 0.67. MPR was <0.8 in 12% of 5,348 patients with a score ≤5 (lowest quartile) and 45% of 5,858 patients with a score ≥11 (highest quartile). CONCLUSION: A risk score generated from routinely collected data predicts statin non-adherence in patients hospitalised with ACS. This may be used to target inpatient and outpatient interventions to improve medication adherence.

Prognostic modelling of clinical outcomes after first-time acute coronary syndrome in New Zealand.

OBJECTIVE: The Multi-Ethnic New Zealand Study of Acute Coronary Syndromes (MENZACS) was established to investigate the drivers of secondary events after first-time acute coronary syndrome (ACS), including addressing inequitable outcomes by ethnicity. Herein, the first clinical outcomes and prognostic modelling approach are reported. METHODS: First, in 28 176 New Zealanders with first-time ACS from a national registry, a clinical summary score for predicting 1-year death/cardiovascular readmission was created using Cox regression of 20 clinical variables. This score was then calculated in the 2015 participant MENZACS study to represent clinical risk. In MENZACS, Cox regression was used to assess N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) as a prognostic marker for death/cardiovascular readmission in four models, adjusting for (1) age and sex; (2) age, sex, ethnicity; (3) clinical summary score; (4) clinical summary score and ethnicity. RESULTS: Of the 2015 MENZACS participants (mean age 61 years, 79% male, 73% European, 14% Maori, 5% Pacific people), 2003 were alive at discharge. Of the 2003, 416 (20.8%) experienced all-cause death/cardiovascular readmission over a median of 3.5 years. In a simple model, age, male sex, Maori ethnicity and NT-proBNP levels were significant predictors of outcome. After adjustment for the clinical summary score, which includes age and sex, NT-proBNP and ethnicity were no longer statistically significant: log2(NT-proBNP) hazard ratio (HR) 1.03, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.98 to 1.08, p=0.305; Maori ethnicity HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.62, p=0.084. CONCLUSIONS: In 2015 patients with first-time ACS, recurrent events were common (20.8%). Increasing NT-proBNP levels and Maori ethnicity were predictors of death/cardiovascular readmission, but not after adjustment for the 20 clinical risk factors represented by the clinical summary score. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12615000676516.

Sex Differences in Blood Pressure and Potential Implications for Cardiovascular Risk Management.

BACKGROUND: Accurate blood pressure (BP) measurement is critical for optimal cardiovascular risk management. Age-related trajectories for cuff-measured BP accelerate faster in women compared with men, but whether cuff BP represents the intraarterial (invasive) aortic BP is unknown. This study aimed to determine the sex differences between cuff BP, invasive aortic BP, and the difference between the 2 measurements. METHODS: Upper-arm cuff BP and invasive aortic BP were measured during coronary angiography in 1615 subjects from the Invasive Blood Pressure Consortium Database. This analysis comprised 22 different cuff BP devices from 28 studies. RESULTS: Subjects were 64±11 years (range 40-89) and 32% women. For the same cuff systolic BP (SBP), invasive aortic SBP was 4.4 mm Hg higher in women compared with men. Cuff and invasive aortic SBP were higher in women compared with men, but the sex difference was more pronounced from invasive aortic SBP, was the lowest in younger ages, and the highest in older ages. Cuff diastolic blood pressure overestimated invasive diastolic blood pressure in both sexes. For cuff and invasive diastolic blood pressure separately, there were sex*age interactions in which diastolic blood pressure was higher in younger men and lower in older men, compared with women. Cuff pulse pressure underestimated invasive aortic pulse pressure in excess of 10 mm Hg for both sexes in older age. CONCLUSIONS: For the same cuff SBP, invasive aortic SBP was higher in women compared with men. How this translates to cardiovascular risk prediction needs to be determined, but women may be at higher BP-related risk than estimated by cuff measurements.

The unexpected benefits of sodium glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) Inhibitors.

The sodium glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor empagliflozin is currently funded in New Zealand for management of patients with type 2 diabetes who have an HbA1c >53mmol/mol and a high cardiovascular (CV) risk. Large clinical trials now provide strong evidence that SGLT2 inhibitors decrease the risk of cardiovascular death, heart failure, progressive kidney dysfunction, myocardial infarction, stroke and gout. Patients with or without diabetes who have a history of heart failure, including those with a preserved left ventricular ejection fraction and patients with chronic kidney impairment are likely to benefit most from treatment with an SGLT2 inhibitor. These findings make a strong case for extending funding of SGLT2 inhibitors to include patients with heart failure or kidney dysfunction without diabetes, so many more New Zealanders could benefit.

Case report: mRNA COVID-19 vaccine-related acute pericarditis with evolution to myopericarditis.

Background: Both acute pericarditis and myocarditis have been reported as rare complications following vaccination with the Pfizer-Biotech and Moderna mRNA COVID-19 vaccines. Case summary: An 18-year-old man presented with clinical and electrocardiographic changes of acute pericarditis 2 days after receiving the second dose of the BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) vaccine. His electrocardiogram also showed an incomplete right bundle branch block. Troponin T on presentation was normal (reference <14 ng/L) but subsequently increased to a peak 1080 ng/L by day 4 post vaccination. Evolving electrocardiographic changes and cardiac MRI findings were consistent with acute myopericarditis. Discussion: This patient's clinical course was uncomplicated, which is consistent with studies indicating that post-COVID vaccine myocarditis usually has a mild course with a low chance of arrhythmia or heart failure. Troponin elevation is a part of the diagnostic criteria for myocarditis. This case is consistent with another report demonstrating that troponin levels can be within the normal range early in the clinical course of post-COVID vaccine myopericarditis. The incomplete right bundle branch block resolved by day 4 post-vaccination and thus may have represented early myocardial involvement at presentation. Further testing and monitoring should be considered in patients who present soon after COVID-19 mRNA vaccination with pericarditis features or minor conduction delays, in order to rule out progression to myopericarditis. Identifying myocardial involvement is clinically relevant as it indicates a risk of developing arrhythmia or heart failure, as well as having implications for physical activity advice and future booster vaccination.

B-Type Natriuretic Peptide and Long-Term Cardiovascular Mortality in Patients With Coronary Heart Disease.

Background The plasma concentration of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a strong predictor of adverse cardiovascular events. The aim of this study was to determine whether the association between plasma BNP concentration and cardiovascular mortality is sustained or diminishes with increasing time after BNP is measured. Methods and Results Six thousand seven hundred forty patients with a history of myocardial infarction or unstable angina who participated in the LIPID (Long-Term Intervention with Pravastatin in Ischemic Disease) trial had plasma BNP concentration measured at baseline and after 1 year. Associations with cardiovascular mortality were evaluated in landmark analyses 1 to <5, 5 to <10, and 10 to 16 years after randomization. There were 1640 cardiovascular deaths. The cardiovascular mortality rate increased progressively from 10.2 to 19.1 to 26.3/1000 patient-years from 1 to <5, 5 to <10, and 10 to 16 years after baseline, respectively. The average of baseline and 1-year BNP concentration was more strongly associated with cardiovascular mortality compared with baseline or 1-year BNP only. The hazard ratio (HR) for cardiovascular death associated with each doubling of average BNP concentration was similar during years 1 to <5 (HR, 1.53 [95% CI, 1.44-1.63]), years 5 to <10 (HR, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.44-1.60]), and years 10-16 (HR, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.36-1.50]), P<0.0001 for all. Conclusions BNP concentration remains an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality more than a decade after it is measured. Because of random variation in plasma concentrations, the average of >1 BNP measurement improves long-term risk prediction.

Circulating Cystatin C Is an Independent Risk Marker for Cardiovascular Outcomes, Development of Renal Impairment, and Long-Term Mortality in Patients With Stable Coronary Heart Disease: The LIPID Study.

Background Elevated plasma cystatin C levels reflect reduced renal function and increased cardiovascular risk. Less is known about whether the increased risk persists long-term or is independent of renal function and other important biomarkers. Methods and Results Cystatin C and other biomarkers were measured at baseline (in 7863 patients) and 1 year later (in 6106 patients) in participants in the LIPID (Long-Term Intervention with Pravastatin in Ischemic Disease) study, who had a previous acute coronary syndrome. Outcomes were ascertained during the study (median follow-up, 6 years) and long-term (median follow-up, 16 years). Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was estimated using Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equations (first GFR-creatinine, then GFR-creatinine-cystatin C). Over 6 years, in fully adjusted multivariable time-to-event models, with respect to the primary end point of coronary heart disease mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction, for comparison of Quartile 4 versus 1 of baseline cystatin C, the hazard ratio was 1.37 (95% CI, 1.07-1.74; P=0.01), and for major cardiovascular events was 1.47 (95% CI, 1.19-1.82; P<0.001). Over 16 years, the association of baseline cystatin C with coronary heart disease, cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality persisted (each P<0.001) and remained significant after adjustment for estimated GFR-creatinine-cystatin C. Cystatin C also predicted the development of chronic kidney disease for 6 years (odds ratio, 6.61; 95% CI, 4.28-10.20) independently of estimated GFR-creatinine and other risk factors. However, this association was no longer significant after adjustment for estimated GFR-creatinine-cystatin C. Conclusions Cystatin C independently predicted major cardiovascular events, development of chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Prediction of long-term mortality was independent of improved estimation of GFR. Registration URL: https://anzctr.org.au; Unique identifier: ACTRN12616000535471.

Body Mass Index and Association With Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Stable Coronary Heart Disease - A STABILITY Substudy.

BACKGROUND The obesity paradox states that patients with higher body mass index (BMI) and cardiovascular disease may experience better prognosis. However, this is less clear in patients with coronary heart disease. METHODS AND RESULTS The prospective STABILITY (Stabilization of Atherosclerotic Plaque by Initiation of Darapladib Therapy) trial included 15 828 patients with stable coronary heart disease with 3 to 5 years' follow-up on optimal secondary preventive treatment. BMI was measured at baseline (n=15 785). Associations between BMI and cardiovascular outcomes were evaluated by Cox regression analyses with multivariable adjustments. Mean age was 64±9 years and 19% women. Most risk markers (diabetes, hypertension, inflammatory biomarkers, triglycerides) showed a graded association with higher BMI. The frequency of smoking, levels of high-density lipoprotein, growth differentiation factor 15, and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) were higher at lower BMI. Low BMI (<20 kg/m2; n=244 [1.5%]) was associated with doubled risk of total death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.27; 95% CI, 1.60-3.22), cardiovascular death (HR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.46-3.49), and heart failure (HR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.35-4.68) compared with BMI of 25 to <30 kg/m2 (n=6752 [42.8%]) as reference. Similarly, high BMI of ≥35 kg/m2 (n=1768 [11.2%]) was associated with increased risk of the same outcomes. A BMI between 20 and <25 kg/m2 was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular death (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.03-1.54) and total death (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.03-1.42). CONCLUSIONS Patients with stable coronary heart disease showed a graded increase in cardiometabolic and inflammatory risk factors with increasing BMI category >25 kg/m2. All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were lowest at BMI of 25 to 35 kg/m2. Underweight with BMI of <20 kg/m2 and very high BMI of ≥35 kg/m2 were strong risk markers for poor prognosis. REGISTRATION URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/; Unique identifier NCT00799903.

First Identified Case of Fatal Fulminant Necrotizing Eosinophilic Myocarditis Following the Initial Dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine (BNT162b2, Comirnaty): an Extremely Rare Idiosyncratic Hypersensitivity Reaction.

RATIONALE: Transient myopericarditis has been recognised as an uncommon and usually mild adverse event predominantly linked to mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccines. These have mostly occurred in young males after the second dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines. OBJECTIVES: Fulminant necrotising eosinophilic myocarditis triggered by a variety of drugs or vaccines is an extremely rare hypersensitivity reaction carrying a substantial mortality risk. Early recognition of this medical emergency may facilitate urgent hospital admission for investigation and treatment. Timely intervention can lead to complete cardiac recovery, but the non-specific clinical features and rarity make early diagnosis challenging. FINDINGS: The clinical and pathological observations from a case of fatal fulminant necrotising myocarditis in a 57-year-old woman, following the first dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine, are described. Other causes have been discounted with reasonable certainty. CONCLUSION: These extremely rare vaccine-related adverse events are much less common than the risk of myocarditis and other lethal complications from COVID-19 infection. The benefits of vaccination far exceed the risks of COVID-19 infection.

Prehospital identification of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and mortality (ANZACS-QI 61).

BACKGROUND: Early recognition of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is needed for timely cardiac monitoring and reperfusion therapy. METHODS: Three anonymously linked New Zealand national datasets (July 2016-November 2018) were used to assess the utilisation of ambulance transport in STEMI cases, the concordance between ambulance initial clinical impressions and hospital STEMI diagnoses, and the association between initial paramedic clinical impressions and 30-day mortality. The St John Ambulance electronic record captures community call-outs and paramedic initial clinical impressions. The national cardiac (ANZACS-QI) registry and national administrative datasets capture all New Zealand public hospital admission diagnoses and mortality data. RESULTS: Of 5465 patients with STEMI, 73% were transported to hospital by ambulance. For these patients, the initial paramedic impression was STEMI in 50.7%, another acute coronary syndrome (ACS) diagnosis in 19.9% and non-ACS diagnosis in 29.7%. Only 37% of the 5465 patients with STEMI were both transported by ambulance and clinically suspected of STEMI by paramedics. Compared with patients with paramedic-'suspected STEMI', 30-day mortality was over threefold higher for patients thought to have a non-ACS condition (10.9% and 34.9%, respectively), but after adjustment for available covariates, this was substantially ameliorated (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.80). CONCLUSIONS: In this national data linkage study, only 4 out of every 10 patients with STEMI were both transported by ambulance and had STEMI suspected by paramedics. Although patients with STEMI not suspected of an ACS diagnosis by paramedics had the highest mortality rate, this is largely explained by the different risk profile of these patients.

Atrial fibrillation detection in primary care during blood pressure measurements and using a smartphone cardiac monitor.

Improved atrial fibrillation (AF) screening methods are required. We detected AF with pulse rate variability (PRV) parameters using a blood pressure device (BP+; Uscom, Sydney, Australia) and with a Kardia Mobile Cardiac Monitor (KMCM; AliveCor, Mountain View, CA). In 421 primary care patients (mean (range) age: 72 (31-99) years), we diagnosed AF (n = 133) from 12-lead electrocardiogram recordings, and performed PRV and KMCM measurements. PRV parameters detected AF with area under curve (AUC) values of up to 0.92. Using the mean of two sequential readings increased AUC to up to 0.94 and improved positive predictive value at a given sensitivity (by up to 18%). The KMCM detected AF with 83% sensitivity and 68% specificity. 89 KMCM recordings were "unclassified" or blank, and PRV detected AF in these with AUC values of up to 0.88. When non-AF arrhythmias (n = 56) were excluded, the KMCM device had increased specificity (73%) and PRV had higher discrimination performance (maximum AUC = 0.96). In decision curve analysis, all PRV parameters consistently achieved a positive net benefit across the range of clinical thresholds. In primary care, AF can be detected by PRV accurately and by KMCM, especially in the absence of non-AF arrhythmias or when combinations of measurements are used.