Blood Neutrophil Count and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio for Prediction of Disease Progression and Mortality in Two Independent Systemic Sclerosis Cohorts.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the predictive significance of blood neutrophil count and the ratio between neutrophil and lymphocyte count (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR]) for disease severity and mortality in systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: Neutrophil and lymphocyte counts were prospectively measured in the Genetics versus Environment in Scleroderma Outcome Study (GENISOS) and the Scleroderma Lung Study II (SLS II). Forced vital capacity percent predicted (FVC%) and modified Rodnan skin thickness score (MRSS) were used as surrogate measures for disease severity. Longitudinal analyses were performed using generalized linear mixed models. Cox proportional hazards models evaluated the predictive significance of these cell counts for mortality. RESULTS: Of the 447 SSc patients in the GENISOS cohort at the time of analysis, 377 (84.3%) had available baseline blood neutrophil and lymphocyte counts. Higher baseline neutrophil count and NLR predicted lower serially obtained FVC% (b = -4.74, P = 0.009 and b = -2.68, P = 0.028, respectively) and higher serially obtained MRSS (b = 4.07, P < 0.001 and b = 2.32, P < 0.001, respectively). Longitudinal neutrophil and NLR measurements also significantly correlated with lower concurrently obtained FVC% measurements and higher concurrently obtained MRSS. Baseline neutrophil count and NLR predicted increased risk of long-term mortality, even after adjustment for baseline demographic and clinical factors (hazard ratio [HR] 1.42, P = 0.02 and HR 1.48, P < 0.001, respectively). The predictive significance of higher baseline neutrophil count and NLR for declining FVC% and increased long-term mortality was confirmed in the SLS II. CONCLUSION: Higher blood neutrophil count and NLR are predictive of more severe disease course and increased mortality, indicating that these easily obtainable laboratory studies might be a reflection of pathologic immune processes in SSc.

False positive anti-Topoisomerase I (Scl-70) antibody results in clinical practice: A case series from a scleroderma referral center.

PURPOSE: To determine if some patients who tested positive for anti-Scl-70 antibody in clinical practice, but did not have classifiable systemic sclerosis, were negative for anti-Scl-70 antibody by the more specific immunodiffusion method of testing. METHODS: Patients evaluated by a rheumatologist at a Scleroderma referral center who had tested positive for anti-Scl-70 antibody prior to referral, but did not have classifiable SSc based on clinical criteria, were invited to undergo testing for anti-Scl-70 antibody by immunodiffusion. Patient demographics and clinical features were recorded at the time of their evaluation, and diagnostic testing results were reviewed using the medical records. RESULTS: 52 patients were enrolled over an 8-year period, with 48 (92.3%) testing negative and 4 (7.7%) testing positive for anti-Scl-70 antibody by immunodiffusion. Of the 48 patients who tested negative, 18 (37.5%) tested negative for ANA by indirect immunofluorescence, 33 (68.8%) did not have Raynaud's phenomenon, and 43 (89.6%) had ≤1 clinical criteria items based on the 2013 ACR/EULAR SSc classification criteria. Nevertheless, 21 (43.8%) patients who were negative for anti-Scl-70 antibody by immunodiffusion had undergone a chest CT and 14 (29.2%) had undergone an echocardiogram. A total of 23 patients had at least one follow up clinic visit. 3 out of 4 patients who were positive for anti-Scl-70 antibody by immunodiffusion, but none of the 19 patients who tested negative by immunodiffusion, developed sufficient criteria during follow up to be classified as SSc. CONCLUSION: Assays for anti-Scl-70 antibody in commercial laboratories that are commonly utilized in clinical practice can produce false positive results. These results can lead to angst for patients, as well as unnecessary referrals and diagnostic evaluations.