Competing-risks model for prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonate at 36 weeks' gestation.

OBJECTIVES: To develop further a competing-risks model for the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate by including sonographically estimated fetal weight (EFW) and biomarkers of impaired placentation at 36 weeks' gestation, and to compare the performance of the new model with that of the traditional EFW < 10th percentile cut-off. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study in 29 035 women with a singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. A competing-risks model for the prediction of a SGA neonate was used. The parameters included in the prior-history model were provided in previous studies. An interaction continuous model was used for the EFW likelihood. A folded plane regression model was fitted to describe likelihoods of biomarkers of impaired placentation. Stratification plans were also developed. The new model was evaluated and compared with EFW percentile cut-offs. RESULTS: The performance of the model was better for predicting SGA neonates delivered closer to the point of assessment. The prediction provided by maternal factors alone was improved significantly by the addition of EFW, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and placental growth factor (PlGF) but not by mean arterial pressure or soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1. At a 10% false-positive rate, maternal factors and EFW predicted 77.6% and 65.8% of SGA neonates < 10th percentile delivered before 38 and 42 weeks, respectively. The respective figures for SGA < 3rd percentile were 85.5% and 74.2%. Addition of UtA-PI and PlGF resulted in marginal improvement in prediction of SGA < 3rd percentile requiring imminent delivery. A competing-risks approach that combines maternal factors and EFW performed better when compared with fixed EFW percentile cut-offs at predicting a SGA neonate, especially with increasing time interval between assessment and delivery. The new model was well-calibrated. CONCLUSIONS: A competing-risks model provides effective risk stratification for a SGA neonate at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation and is superior to EFW percentile cut-offs. The use of biomarkers of impaired placentation in addition to maternal factors and fetal biometry results in small improvement of the predictive performance for a neonate with severe SGA. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Incidence and morphometry of caroticoclinoid foramina in Greek dry human skulls.

BACKGROUND: Ossification of the caroticoclinoid ligament (CCL) and formation of a caroticoclinoid foramen (CCF) may impose significant risk to neurosurgeons by impeding mobilization of the cavernous segment of the internal carotid artery. Although safe surgical access to the clinoidal space is related to understanding the CCF anatomical and ethnic variants, there remains a paucity of studies of the morphology and bony relationships. The current study provides a systematic morphological and morphometric analysis of the CCF, the ossification of the CCL extending between the anterior and middle clinoid processes, and their relations in a Greek population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The incidence of unilateral and bilateral CCF, types (complete, incomplete, and contact) of ossified CCLs, and foramina diameter according to side and gender were determined in 76 Greek adult dry skulls. Findings were correlated with the morphology of optic strut (OS) (presulcal, sulcal, postsulcal, and asymmetric). RESULTS: A CCF was detected in 74% of the specimens. The majority of skulls (51.4%) had bilateral CCF, whereas 22.3% of the skulls had unilateral foramina. Incomplete CCF were observed in 69.3%, complete in 19.8%, and contact type in 10.9%. The mean CCF diameter was 0.55 ± 0.07 cm on the left and 0.54 ± 0.08 cm on the right side. Side symmetry existed, although there were no significant differences according to gender. The CCF were more prominent in skulls with a sulcal type of OS. CONCLUSIONS: The results of the present study augment the current knowledge on the morphology of key anatomical landmarks, CCF, and CCL ossification in the sellar area, indicating population differences. A significant side asymmetry in caroticoclinoid osseous bridging and foramina is highlighted. These findings are necessary for a safe surgical access to the clinoidal area.