Mortality in Patients Treated for Tuberculous Pericarditis in Sub-Saharan Africa

Objective: To determine the mortality rate and its predictors in patients with a presumptive diagnosis of tuberculous pericarditis in sub-Saharan Africa. Design: Between 1 March 2004 and 31 October 2004; we enrolled 185 consecutive patients with presumed tuberculous pericarditis from 15 referral hospitals in Cameroon; Nigeria; and South Africa; and observed them during the 6-month course of antituberculosis treatment for the major outcome of mortality. This was an observational study; with the diagnosis and management of each patient left at the discretion of the attending physician. Using Cox regression; we have assessed the effect of clinical and therapeutic characteristics (recorded at baseline) on mortality during follow-up. Results: We obtained the vital status of 174 (94) patients (median age 33; range 14-87 years). The overall mortality rate was 26. Mortality was higher in patients who had clinical features of HIV infection than in those who did not (40versus 17; P=0.001). Independent predictors of death during follow-up were: (1) a proven non-tuberculosis final diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] 5.35; 95confidence interval 1.76 to 16.25); (2) the presence of clinical signs of HIV infection (HR 2.28; 1.14-4.56); (3) co-existent pulmonary tuberculosis (HR 2.33; 1.20-4.54); and (4) older age (HR 1.02; 1.01-1.05). There was also a trend towards an increase in death rate in patients with haemodynamic instability (HR 1.80; 0.90-3.58) and a decrease in those who underwent pericardiocentesis (HR 0.34; 0.10-1.19). Conclusion : A presumptive diagnosis of tuberculous pericarditis is associated with a high mortality in sub-Saharan Africans. Attention to rapid aetiological diagnosis of pericardial effusion and treatment of concomitant HIV infection may reduce the high mortality associated with the disease

Tuberculosis at Edendale Hospital in Pietermaritzburg, Kwazulu Natal, South Africa.

SETTING: Edendale Hospital, Pietermaritzburg, KwaZulu Natal, South Africa, a 1275-bed hospital that serves a mainly ethnic African population of 1.6 million. OBJECTIVE: To describe the demographic and clinical characteristics of hospitalised active tuberculosis (TB) cases, and correlates of their in-hospital survival. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of adult TB cases admitted to the medical wards, 16 November to 13 December 2001. RESULTS: Of 760 (28%) admissions, 215 had active TB, of whom 26.5% died in hospital. Patients were mostly young, first diagnosed on admission, and had pulmonary TB. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) co-infection was common and predicted by lower absolute lymphocyte count (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.05-1.38). Extra-pulmonary TB, including pleural and pericardial, was significantly associated with not having HIV infection. In-hospital death was predicted by TB diagnosed prior to admission (OR 3.18, 95% CI 1.67-6.07), acquired immune-deficiency syndrome (AIDS) associated disease, and higher total leukocyte count--by higher leukocytes only in patients without AIDS (OR 8.52, 95% CI 2.67-27.13). CONCLUSION: Active TB was common in in-patients at an acute care hospital. TB patients presented late in disease and had high in-hospital mortality. Early detection and effective treatment of active TB in the community is likely to reduce hospitalisation and improve survival.