Elucidating the risk of cardiopulmonary consequences of an exacerbation of COPD: results of the EXACOS-CV study in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) represent a period of vulnerability. This study explored the association between time periods following an exacerbation and the risk of severe cardiovascular (CV) events or death in Germany. METHODS: A longitudinal cohort study was conducted using routinely collected healthcare data. Individuals with COPD were identified between 2014 and 2018. Exposure was moderate or severe exacerbation of COPD. Periods at risk were the 1-7, 8-14, 15-30, 31-180 and 181-365 days following each exacerbation onset occurring after cohort entry. The main outcome of interest was the first hospitalisation for a CV event or all-cause death. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models estimated the HR for the association between subperiods versus periods outside exacerbations, and the risk of outcome. RESULTS: Among 126 795 patients, 58 720 (46.3%) exacerbated at least once and 48 982 (38.6%) experienced at least one CV event or died during a median follow-up of 36 months. The rate of outcome was increased during 1-7 days following a severe exacerbation onset (HR 15.84, 95% CI 15.26 to 16.45), and remained elevated for up to a year (181-365 days HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.23). In the 1-7 days following a moderate exacerbation onset, the increased rate was HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.31). CONCLUSION: The risk of a CV event or death increased in time periods following both moderate and severe exacerbations of COPD, emphasising the need to promptly manage the risk of CV events following the onset of an exacerbation, to prevent exacerbations of any severity, and more generally, to address the cardiopulmonary risk in patients with COPD.

[The effectiveness of digital care applications in people with need of home care: A systematic review]. / Effektivität digitaler Pflegeanwendungen bei Pflegebedürftigen im häuslichen Umfeld.

The effectiveness of digital care applications in people with need of home care: A systematic review Abstract: Background: The growing need for long-term care poses challenges for healthcare systems. In June 2021, digital care applications (DiPA) were introduced as a new service in the statutory long-term care insurance in Germany. Their aim is to counteract the increased care need and/or support independence in the home. Aim: This project systematically identified and reported on national and international evidence on DiPA effectiveness, as described by the Federal Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices (BfArM). Methods: The systematic review was conducted in accordance with the PRISMA statement by means of systematic searches in the databases Medline and Cinahl, and supplemented by an extensive manual search (08/2022). Study quality was assessed using the Risk of Bias Tool (RoB2). The results were synthesized narratively. Results: Eight randomized controlled studies were included; improvements in cognition, activities of daily living, and mobility in home care patients, were reported. Study quality was low to moderate, due to mostly unblinded study designs and low case numbers. Conclusions: The currently available evidence fails to provide a reliable basis for assessing the benefits of DiPA, to neither DiPA manufacturers, nor to responsible parties in the healthcare system. Further research on DiPA effectiveness, particularly with high-quality studies, are necessary to assess its potential in the German care sector.

Impact of COPD on mortality: An 8-year observational retrospective healthcare claims database cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality. Here we present a large observational study on the association of COPD and exacerbations with mortality (AvoidEx Mortality). METHODS: A real-world, observational cohort study with longitudinal analyses of German healthcare claims data in patients ≥40 years of age with a COPD diagnosis from 2011 to 2018 (n = 250,723) was conducted. Patients entered the cohort (index date) upon the first COPD diagnosis. To assess the impact of COPD on all-cause death, a propensity score-matched control group of non-COPD patients was constructed. The number and severity of exacerbations during a 12-month pre-index period were used to form subgroups. For each exacerbation subgroup the exacerbations during 12 months prior to death were analysed. RESULTS: COPD increases the all-cause mortality risk by almost 60% (HR 1.57 (95% CI 1.55-1.59)) in comparison to matched non-COPD controls, when controlling for other baseline covariates. The cumulative risk of death after 8 years was highest in patients with a history of more than one moderate or severe exacerbation. Among all deceased COPD patients, 17.2% had experienced a severe, and 34.8% a moderate exacerbation, within 3 months preceding death. Despite increasing exacerbation rates towards death, more than the half of patients were not receiving any recommended pharmacological COPD therapy in the year before death. CONCLUSION: Our study illustrates the impact of COPD on mortality risk and highlights the need for consequent COPD management comprising exacerbation assessment and treatment.

Effectiveness of Digital Health Interventions Containing Game Components for the Self-management of Type 2 Diabetes: Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: Games and game components have become a major trend in the realm of digital health research and practice as they are assumed to foster behavior change and thereby improve patient-reported and clinical outcomes for patients with type 2 diabetes. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this systematic review was to summarize and evaluate the current evidence on the effectiveness of digital health interventions containing game components on behavioral, patient-reported, and clinical outcomes for patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: An electronic search was conducted in MEDLINE and PsycINFO in April 2020; updated in April 2022; and supplemented by additional searches via Google Scholar, Web of Science (which was used for forward citation tracking), and within the references of the included records. Articles were identified using predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. In total, 2 reviewers independently conducted title, abstract, and full-text screening and then individually performed a critical appraisal of all the included studies using the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool version 2. A consensus was reached through discussion. RESULTS: Of 2325 potentially relevant titles (duplicates excluded), 10 (0.43%) randomized controlled trials were included in this review. Quality assessment revealed a high risk of bias for all randomized controlled trials except for 10% (1/10), with performance bias due to the lack of blinding being the major source of bias. There is evidence suggesting that digital health interventions containing game components can substantially improve motivation for physical activity (1/1, 100% of the studies dealing with PA motivation), exercise intensity (3/5, 60%), dietary behavior (4/4, 100%), health literacy (1/3, 33%), mental quality of life (2/2, 100%), glycated hemoglobin level (2/6, 33%), BMI (1/3, 33%), fasting plasma glucose level (1/2, 50%), waist circumference (1/1, 100%), and aerobic capacity (1/1, 100%). CONCLUSIONS: Published studies indicated that digital health interventions containing game components might improve health behavior patterns, quality of life, and clinical outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes. However, the intervention types and outcomes studied were heterogeneous, and study quality was mostly low, which translates to ambiguous results. Future research should focus on sound methodology and reporting as well as on identifying game components that contribute to significant positive effects. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42020209706; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=209706.

Evidence requirements of permanently listed digital health applications (DiGA) and their implementation in the German DiGA directory: an analysis.

BACKGROUND: With its digital health application (DiGA)-system, Germany is considered one of Europe's pioneers in the field of evidence-based digital health. Incorporating DiGA into standard medical care must be based on evidence-based success factors; however, a comprehensive overview of the evidence required of scientific studies for their approval is lacking. OBJECTIVE: The study aims to, (1) identify specific requirements defined by the Federal Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices (German: Bundesinstitut für Arzneimittel- und Medizinprodukte; BfArM) to design adequate studies, proving a positive healthcare effect, and (2) to assess the evidence given for applications permanently listed in the DiGA directory. METHODS: A multi-step approach was used: (1) identification of the evidence requirements for applications permanently listed in the DiGA directory, (2) identification of the evidence available supporting them. RESULTS: All DiGA permanently listed in the DiGA directory (13 applications) are included in the formal analysis. Most DiGA addressed mental health (n = 7), and can be prescribed for one or two indications (n = 10). All permanently listed DiGA have demonstrated their positive healthcare effect through a medical benefit, and most of them provide evidence for one defined primary endpoint. All DiGA manufacturers conducted a randomized controlled trial. DISCUSSION: It is striking that- although patient-relevant structural and procedural improvements show high potential for improving care, especially in terms of processes - all DiGA have provided a positive care effect via a medical benefit. Although BfArM accepts study designs with a lower level of evidence for the proof of a positive healthcare effect, all manufacturers conducted a study with a high level of evidence. CONCLUSION: The results of this analysis indicate that permanently listed DiGA meet higher standards than required by the guideline.

[Development, Evaluation and Implementation of Digital Health Interventions (Part 1) - Discussion Paper of the Digital Health Working Group of the German Network for Health Services Research (DNVF)]. / Digitale Gesundheitsinterventionen entwickeln, evaluieren und implementieren (Teil I) ­ Diskussionspapier der Arbeitsgruppe Digital Health des Deutschen Netzwerk Versorgungsforschung (DNVF).

The development and application of digital interventions in health-related topics are gaining momentum in health service research. Digital interventions are often complex and need to be evaluated and implemented in complex settings. Due to their characteristics, this poses methodological challenges for health services research that have to be identified and addressed. Hence, the Working Group on Digital Health of the German Network for Health Services Research (DNVF) has prepared a discussion paper. This paper discusses methodological, practical and theoretical challenges associated with the development and evaluation of digital interventions from the perspective of health services research. Possible solutions are suggested and future research needs to address these methodological challenges are identified.

[Developing, Evaluating and Implementing Digital Health Interventions Part II - Discussion Paper of the Digital Health Working Group of the German Network for Health Services Research (DNVF)]. / Digitale Gesundheitsinterventionen entwickeln, evaluieren und implementieren Teil II ­ Diskussionspapier der Arbeitsgruppe Digital Health des Deutschen Netzwerk Versorgungsforschung (DNVF).

The methodological challenges of evaluating digital interventions (DI) for health services research are omnipresent. The Digital Health Working Group of the German Network for Health Services Research (DNVF) presented and discussed these challenges in a two-part discussion paper. The first part addressed challenges in definition, development and evaluation of DI. In this paper, which represents the second part, the definition of outcomes, reporting of results, synthesis of evidence, and implementation are addressed as methodological challenges of DI. Potential solutions are presented and the need to address these challenges in future research are discussed.

Design of the DAVOS Study: Diabetes Smartphone App, a Fully Automatic Transmission of Data From the Blood Glucose Meter and Insulin Pens Using Wireless Technology to Enhance Diabetes Self-Management-A Study Protocol for a Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: In the treatment of diabetes mellitus, the challenge is to integrate adequate self-management into clinical care. Customization including goal setting, monitoring, and feedback could be achieved through digitization. Digital linking between different devices could simplify and promote self-management. The aim of this study is to evaluate the outcome of diabetes treatment assisted by a digital health application compared with standard diabetes therapy. METHODS: The DAVOS study is a 6-month-period prospective, multicentric, randomized controlled trial. In total, 154 diabetes patients (age ≥18; treated with insulin) will be recruited and randomized into control group or intervention group. Both groups will receive standard diabetes care. The intervention group will additionally use a diabetes app. HbA1c value will be monitored on three separate defined visits. Primary endpoint is the overall reduction of HbA1c value. Secondary endpoints (eg, usability of the app) will be determined through patient-reported outcome questionnaires. DISCUSSION: Through enhanced interaction of health care professionals, providers of the app, and patients, the study aims to demonstrate improvement in the self-management of diabetes. As part of the closure management, all patients will be invited to use the examined application after completion of the study. The DAVOS study will be conducted in accordance with the valid version of the present study protocol and the internationally recognized International Conference on Harmonization-Good Clinical Practice (ICH-GCP) Guidelines. Special attention will be paid to European, national, and regional requirements for the approval, provision, and use of medical devices. The study was registered in the German Register of Clinical Trials (DRKS) with number DRKS00025996.

Impact of a Digital Lifestyle Intervention on Diabetes Self-Management: A Pilot Study.

The aim of this study was to provide preliminary evidence on the impact of the digital health application Vitadio on improving glycemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. This was a 3-month, prospective, multicenter, open-label trial with an intraindividual control group. Participants received a digital lifestyle intervention. HbA1c levels were observed at 3 time points: retrospectively, at 3 months before app use; at baseline, at the start of usage; and 3 months after the start of use. In addition, changes in other metabolic parameters (fasting glucose, body weight, and waist circumference), patient reported outcomes (quality of life, self-efficacy, and depression), and data generated within the app (frequency of use, steps, and photos of meals) were evaluated. Repeated measures analysis of variance with the Bonferroni correction was used to assess the overall difference in HbA1c values between the intervention and the intraindividual control group, with p < 0.05 considered significant. Participants (n = 42) were 57 ± 7.4 years old, 55% male, and with a mean baseline HbA1c of 7.9 ± 1.0%. An average HbA1c reduction of −0.9 ± 1.1% (p < 0.001) was achieved. The digital health application was effective in significantly reducing body weight (−4.3 ± 4.5 kg), body mass index (−1.4 ± 1.5 kg/m2), waist circumference (−5.7 ± 15 cm), and fasting glucose (−0.6 ± 1.3 mmol/L). The digital therapy achieved a clinically meaningful and significant HbA1c reduction as well as a positive effect on metabolic parameters. These results provide preliminary evidence that Vitadio may be effective in supporting patient diabetes management by motivating patients to adopt healthier lifestyles and improving their self-management.

Parental insulin resistance is associated with unhealthy lifestyle behaviours independently of body mass index in children: The Feel4Diabetes study.

Parental health is associated with children's health and lifestyles. Thus, the aim of the present study was to assess lifestyle behaviours of children of parents with insulin resistance (IR) and at risk of type 2 diabetes. 2117 European families from the Feel4Diabetes-study were identified as being at risk for diabetes with the FINDRISC questionnaire and included in the present study. One parent and one child per family were included. Parental IR was considered when homeostasis model assessment (HOMA) was equal or higher than 2.5. Children's screen-time, physical activity and diet were assessed and clustered by K-means. Weight and height were measured and children's body mass index (BMI) was calculated. For children, a Healthy Diet Score (HDS) was calculated. Linear regression and multilevel logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the associations between parental IR and children's lifestyle behaviours in 2021. Children of parents with IR had higher BMI (p < 0.001) and spent more screen time (p = 0.014) than those of non-IR parents. Children of parents with IR had a lower value in the breakfast and vegetable components of the HDS (p = 0.008 and p = 0.05). Four lifestyle clusters were found. Children of IR parents had higher odds of being in a non-healthy cluster (OR: 1.19; 95%CI: 1.001-1.437). CONCLUSION: Having an IR parent was associated with a high screen time and an increased probability of having an unhealthy lifestyle pattern in children. These data point out that children's lifestyles should be assessed in families with IR parents to provide tailored interventions. WHAT IS KNOWN: • Children with diabetic or insulin-resistant parents could also develop this condition. • Unhealthy lifestyles are directly related with insulin resistance even in children. WHAT IS NEW: • Children from parents with insulin resistance have higher chances of unhealthy lifestyles. • A higher BMI was found for those children with an insulin-resistant parent.

[Treatment practice of patients with Parkinson's disease in Saxony : A secondary data-based analysis of utilization in the observation period 2011-2019]. / Versorgungssituation von Parkinson-Patienten in Sachsen : Eine sekundärdatenbasierte Analyse der Inanspruchnahme im Beobachtungszeitraum 2011 bis 2019.

BACKGROUND: The consequences of demographic change are already noticeable in Saxony, the federal state with the highest average age in Germany and predominantly rural areas. In order to improve medical care for patients with Parkinson's disease (PwP), a status quo analysis of current care practice is required. OBJECTIVE: To what extent does the utilization of medical services by PwP differ a) between urban and rural areas in Saxony and b) between PwP with and without neurologist contact in the observation period from 2011 to 2019? MATERIAL AND METHODS: The cohort study was based on extensive routine data for Saxony from the health insurance company AOK PLUS from 2010 to 2019. A cohort of 15,744 PwP (n = 67,448 patient-years) was compared to a matched cohort (n = 674,480 patient-years; criteria: year of birth, gender, year of insurance, place of residence: urban/rural) without an ICD-10 coding of a movement disorder. RESULTS: Overall, there was a steady increase in the number of PwP in the dynamic cohort from 2011 (n = 6829) to 2019 (n = 8254). Urban-rural differences included a smaller proportion of patients being seen by a neurologist in rural areas. The PwP had a 3.5 to 4­fold higher risk of dying compared to those in the comparison cohort. Changes in drug therapy for Parkinson's disease (i.e., increases in COMT and MAO inhibitors) and in remedy delivery (i.e., increases in occupational therapy and speech therapy) over the observation period were primarily seen in PwP who were seen by a neurologist. DISCUSSION: The study identified increased morbidity and mortality in PwP who are suitable targets for innovative care concepts. The increasing number of patients and the described differences document the need for this. At the same time, changes in prescription practice show that innovative forms of treatment are being used by neurologists in outpatient care.

Video-based smartphone app ('VIDEA bewegt') for physical activity support in German adults: a single-armed observational study.

OBJECTIVES: The primary objective of this study was to investigate the effect of the video-based smartphone app 'VIDEA bewegt' over eight programme weeks on physical activity in German adults. DESIGN: The study used a single-arm observational design, assessing the app's effectiveness under real-life conditions. Data were collected from July 2019 to July 2020. SETTING: The app is enabling users to access video-based educational content via their smartphone. A clinical visit or in-person contact was not required. PARTICIPANTS: All individuals registered in the freely available app were invited to take part in the study. INTERVENTIONS: The app aims to increase physical activity in everyday life. It combines educative videos on lifestyle-related benefits and instructional videos of strength and endurance exercises to do at home with motivational components like goal setting, documentation of progress and personalised messages. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes were physical activity based one MET minutes per week (metabolic equivalent) and step numbers.Secondary outcomes included physical self-efficacy (motivational, maintenance, recovery self-efficacy), health-related quality of life: Mental Health Component Summary score and Physical Health Component Summary score. RESULTS: Of 97 people included in the data analysis, 55 successfully completed the programme and all questionnaires. Significant increases over eight programme weeks (between T0 and T2) were observed in physical activity based on MET minutes per week, health-related quality of life, and recovery self-efficacy. Time spent sitting and body mass index significantly decreased for those completing the programme. CONCLUSIONS: Although significant benefits of physical activity were observed following a complete-case analysis, results should be dealt with caution. Studies with a larger and less heterogeneous sample and robust study designs able to measure causal effects would be desirable. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: DRKS00017392.

Long-Term Effects of a Video-Based Smartphone App ("VIDEA Bewegt") to Increase the Physical Activity of German Adults: A Single-Armed Observational Follow-Up Study.

As physical inactivity is one of the four leading risk factors for mortality, it should be intensively treated. Therefore, this one-year follow-up study aimed to evaluate the long-term effects of a preventive app to increase physical activity in German adults under real-life circumstances. Data collection took place from July 2019 to July 2021 and included six online questionnaires. Physical activity was studied as the primary outcome based on MET-minutes per week (metabolic equivalent). Secondary outcomes included health-related quality of life based on a mental (MCS) and physical health component summary score (PCS). At the time of publication, 46/65 participants completed the study (median 52 years, 81.5% women). A significant increase of physical activity was observed in people with a low/moderate baseline activity during the first four months of follow-up (median increase by 490 MET-minutes per week, p < 0.001, r = 0.649). Both MCS (median increase by 2.8, p = 0.006, r = 0.344) and PCS (median increase by 2.6, p < 0.001, r = 0.521) significantly increased during the first two months and the BMI significantly decreased during the first six months after the intervention (median decrease by 0.96 kg/m2, p < 0.001, r = 0.465). Thus, this study provides evidence for the medium-term impact of the app, since the effects decreased over time. However, due to the chosen study design and a sizeable loss to follow-up, the validity of these findings is limited.

Effectiveness of digital primary prevention interventions targeting physical activity, motor skills and nutrition in children aged 3-10 years in the setting of day care and primary school: protocol for a systematic review.

INTRODUCTION: Available evidence points to an association of increased screen time and the availability of digital tools during childhood with negative health outcomes in later life. For many years, public discourse focused on restricting access and use of digital technologies below certain ages. However, little is known about the specific benefit of a responsible use of digital primary prevention in the setting of (early) childhood education. The objective of this evidence synthesis is to investigate the effectiveness of digital primary prevention interventions targeting physical activity, motor skills and/or nutrition in children aged 3-10 years in day-care facilities and (pre-) schools. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We present the rationale and methodological steps of a systematic review in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses procedures. Automated searches will be conducted by applying a pretested search strategy to the databases MEDLINE/PubMed, EMBASE and PsycInfo to identify relevant interventional (randomised controlled trials, controlled trials, crossover trials and pilot and feasibility) and observational (case-control, cohort) studies in English or German, with no date restrictions. The overall search will be complemented by backward, forward and additional hand searches. Two researchers will independently screen titles/abstracts and assess full texts by applying predefined eligibility criteria. Data extraction will be conducted by using a pretested data extraction sheet. The assessment of methodological quality will be performed independently by two review authors using the Critical Appraisals Skills Programme relevant to the study design applied in the given study. Additionally, qualitative content analysis will be conducted to analyse priorities for future research extracted from the discussion sections and conclusions of included studies. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42020207682.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of a school- and community-based intervention to promote a healthy lifestyle and prevent type 2 diabetes in vulnerable families across Europe: the Feel4Diabetes-study.

The Feel4Diabetes-study implemented a school- and community-based intervention to promote healthy lifestyle and prevent type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in six European countries. The intervention included a special focus on families at increased T2DM risk. The current study evaluates the intervention's cost-effectiveness. A Markov-type health economic model was developed to predict the incidence of T2DM and its complications. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (lifetime horizon, societal perspective) were calculated based on the overall intervention effect on health behaviour, and stratified for low- and high-risk families. Sensitivity analyses captured input parameters uncertainty. A budget impact analysis was performed. The increase in children's water consumption and physical activity led to a modest gain in quality adjusted life years (QALYs) at a low intervention cost and budget impact. Medical cost savings due to avoided illness could only be achieved on the very long-term (>30 years). The intervention in its entirety was cost-effective (more QALYs at a reasonable investment) in Belgium, Finland, Bulgaria, and Hungary, while being dominant (net savings and more QALYs) in Greece and Spain. Results were cost-effective for the low-risk families, who only received the school- and community-based intervention component. Results for the high-risk families were only cost-effective (with considerable uncertainty) in Greece and Spain, but not when the intervention would need to be repeated. The Feel4Diabetes-intervention is potentially cost-effective, especially in countries with a high overweight and obesity prevalence, at a limited budget impact. The incremental financial investments to reach and support high-risk families did not result in the hoped-for health benefits.

Evaluation is Key: Providing Appropriate Evaluation Measures for Participatory and User-Centred Design Processes of Healthcare IT.

INTRODUCTION: The increasing availability of healthcare IT has the potential to improve the integration of health services. Existing projects developing healthcare IT mostly disregard the potential and importance of incorporating user feedback and proper evaluation measures to gain user feedback throughout the development process. We therefore provide methodological guidance for evaluation in a stepwise user-centred design process. METHODS: Based on a literature review we propose adequate methods for data collection in each phase of participatory and user-centred healthcare IT development. In order to provide an orientation within the plethora of development processes used in practice, we consolidate a generic blueprint process from the literature review. The applicability of our methodological guidance is shown in three diverse use cases from the field of integrated care. RESULTS: From 14 literature items, we identified common evaluation methods including, among others, interviews, focus groups, and surveys. These methods can be associated to six typical development phases that could be derived from research: State of the Art Research, Requirement Analysis, Conceptual Prototype, Preliminary Prototype, Full Prototype, Full Application. The use cases demonstrate the value of qualitative methods and mixed methods designs. DISCUSSION: Our methodological guidance has proven applicable for designing healthcare IT solutions from scratch - both for patient and professional settings - and to develop a platform for combining existing component-based solutions. In integrated care settings, where a wide range of stakeholders with multiple needs exist, we thus provide methodological guidance on how to involve users in the development process. CONCLUSION: Our stepwise methodological guidance helps to design and properly evaluate healthcare IT solutions, which meet the user needs and requirements, for integrated care settings.

European Childhood Obesity Risk Evaluation (CORE) index based on perinatal factors and maternal sociodemographic characteristics: the Feel4Diabetes-study.

The aim of this study was to develop and examine the predictive accuracy of an index that estimates obesity risk in childhood based on perinatal factors and maternal sociodemographic characteristics. Analysis was conducted by using cross-sectional and retrospective data collected from a European cohort of 2775 schoolchildren and their families participating in the Feel4Diabetes-study. The cohort was randomly divided by using two-thirds of the sample for the development of the index and the remaining one third for assessing its predictive accuracy. Logistic regression analyses determined a prediction model for childhood obesity. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV) were calculated. Cut-off analysis was applied to identify the optimal value of the index score that predicts obesity with the highest possible sensitivity and specificity. Eight factors were found to be significantly associated with obesity and were included as components in the European "Childhood Obesity Risk Evaluation" (CORE) index: region of residence, maternal education, maternal pre-pregnancy weight status, gestational weight gain, maternal smoking during pregnancy, birth weight for gestational age, infant growth velocity, and exclusive breastfeeding during the first 6 months. Risk score ranged from 0 to 22 corresponding to a risk from 0.9 to 54.6%. The AUC-ROC was 0.725 with optimal cut-off ≥9 (sensitivity = 74.1%, specificity = 61.0%, PPV = 11.3%, NPV = 97.2%).Conclusion: The European CORE index can be used as a screening tool for the identification of infants at high-risk for becoming obese at 6-9 years. This tool could assist healthcare professionals in initiating preventive measures from the early life.Trial registration: The Feel4Diabetes-intervention is registered at https://clinicaltrials.gov/ ; number, CT02393872; date, March 20, 2015. What is Known: • As prevention of obesity should start early in life, there is a compelling rationale for the early identification of high-risk children to facilitate targeted intervention. What is New: • This study developed and assessed the predictive accuracy of an index for the Childhood Obesity Risk Evaluation (CORE), combining certain perinatal factors and maternal sociodemographic characteristics in a large European cohort. • The European CORE index can be used as a screening tool for identifying infants at high-risk for becoming obese at 6-9 years and assist health professionals in initiating early prevention strategies.