Machine Learning Modeling to Predict Atrial Fibrillation Detection in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source Patients.

BACKGROUND: In patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), occult atrial fibrillation (AF) has been implicated as a key source of cardioembolism. However, only a minority acquire implantable cardiac loop recorders (ILRs) to detect occult paroxysmal AF, partly due to financial cost and procedural inconvenience. Without the initiation of appropriate anticoagulation, these patients are at risk of increased ischemic stroke recurrence. Hence, cost-effective and accurate methods of predicting AF in ESUS patients are highly sought after. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to incorporate clinical and echocardiography data into machine learning (ML) algorithms for AF prediction on ILRs in ESUS. METHODS: This was a single-center cohort study that included 157 consecutive patients diagnosed with ESUS from October 2014 to October 2017 who had ILR evaluation. We developed four ML models, with hyperparameters tuned, to predict AF detection on an ILR. RESULTS: The median age of the cohort was 67 (IQR 59-74) years old and the median monitoring duration was 1051 (IQR 478-1287) days. Of the 157 patients, 32 (20.4%) had occult AF detected on the ILR. Support vector machine predicted for AF with a 95% confidence interval area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.736-0.737, multilayer perceptron with an AUC of 0.697-0.708, XGBoost with an AUC of 0.697-0.697, and random forest with an AUC of 0.663-0.674. ML feature importance found that age, HDL-C, and admitting heart rate were important non-echocardiography variables, while peak mitral A-wave velocity and left atrial volume were important echocardiography parameters aiding this prediction. CONCLUSION: Machine learning modeling incorporating clinical and echocardiographic variables predicted AF in ESUS patients with moderate accuracy.

Left Ventricular Diastolic Dysfunction Is Associated with Poor Functional Outcomes after Endovascular Thrombectomy.

INTRODUCTION: With the advent of endovascular thrombectomy (ET), patients with acute ischaemic strokes (AIS) with large vessel occlusion (LVO) have seen vast improvements in treatment outcomes. Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) has been shown to herald poorer prognosis in conditions such as myocardial infarction. However, whether LVDD is related to functional recovery and outcomes in ischaemic stroke remains unclear. We studied LVDD for possible relation with clinical outcomes in patients with LVO AIS who underwent ET. METHODS: We studied a retrospective cohort of 261 LVO AIS patients who had undergone ET at a single comprehensive stroke centre and correlated LVDD to short-term mortality (in-hospital death) as well as good functional recovery defined as modified Rankin Scale of 0-2 at 3 months. RESULTS: The study population had a mean age of 65-years-old and were predominantly male (54.8%). All of the patients underwent ET with 206 (78.9%) achieving successful reperfusion. Despite this, 25 (9.6%) patients demised during the hospital admission and 149 (57.1%) did not have good function recovery at 3 months. LVDD was present in 82 (31.4%) patients and this finding indicated poorer outcomes in terms of functional recovery at 3 months (OR 2.18, 95% CI 1.04-4.54, p = 0.038) but was not associated with increased in-hospital mortality (OR 2.18, 95% CI 0.60-7.99, p = 0.240) after adjusting for various confounders. CONCLUSION: In addition to conventional echocardiographic indices such as left ventricular ejection fraction, LVDD may portend poorer outcomes after ET, and this relationship should be investigated further.

Structural volumetric and Periodic Table DTI patterns in Complex Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus-Toward the principles of a translational taxonomy.

Introduction: We previously proposed a novel taxonomic framework to describe the diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) profiles of white matter tracts by their diffusivity and neural properties. We have shown the relevance of this strategy toward interpreting brain tissue signatures in Classic Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus vs. comparator cohorts of mild traumatic brain injury and Alzheimer's disease. In this iteration of the Periodic Table of DTI Elements, we examined patterns of tissue distortion in Complex NPH (CoNPH) and validated the methodology against an open-access dataset of healthy subjects, to expand its accessibility to a larger community. Methods: DTI measures for 12 patients with CoNPH with multiple comorbidities and 45 cognitively normal controls from the ADNI database were derived using the image processing pipeline on the brainlife.io open cloud computing platform. Using the Periodic Table algorithm, DTI profiles for CoNPH vs. controls were mapped according to injury patterns. Results: Structural volumes in most structures tested were significantly lower and the lateral ventricles higher in CoNPH vs. controls. In CoNPH, significantly lower fractional anisotropy (FA) and higher mean, axial, and radial diffusivities (MD, L1, and L2 and 3, respectively) were observed in white matter related to the lateral ventricles. Most diffusivity measures across supratentorial and infratentorial structures were significantly higher in CoNPH, with the largest differences in the cerebellum cortex. In subcortical deep gray matter structures, CoNPH and controls differed most significantly in the hippocampus, with the CoNPH group having a significantly lower FA and higher MD, L1, and L2 and 3. Cerebral and cerebellar white matter demonstrated more potential reversibility of injury compared to cerebral and cerebellar cortices. Discussion: The findings of widespread and significant reductions in subcortical deep gray matter structures, in comparison to healthy controls, support the hypothesis that Complex NPH cohorts retain imaging features associated with Classic NPH. The use of the algorithm of the Periodic Table allowed for greater consistency in the interpretation of DTI results by focusing on patterns of injury rather than an over-reliance on the interrogation of individual measures by statistical significance alone. Our aim is to provide a prototype that could be refined for an approach toward the concept of a "translational taxonomy."

Risk of Liver Fibrosis Is Associated with More Severe Strokes, Increased Complications with Thrombolysis, and Mortality.

The Fibrosis (FIB)-4 index is an established non-invasive test to detect liver fibrosis. Liver fibrosis is postulated to be one of the predictors of the risk of symptomatic Intracranial Haemorrhage (SICH) after intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (IV tPA) therapy, the mainstay of treatment following acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, SICH is a feared complication of thrombolytic therapy. We aimed to evaluate the association of FIB-4 with outcomes of AIS after IV tPA. Consecutive AIS patients receiving IV tPA from 2006 to 2018 at a single stroke centre were studied in a retrospective cohort study. Multivariable adjusted logistic regression was performed to assess associations of FIB-4 with outcomes. The primary outcome was SICH, and secondary outcomes included functional independence (mRS of 0−2) and mortality measured at 90 days. Among 887 patients (median age: 67 (IQR: 57−77)), 342 had FIB-4 < 1.3 and 161 had FIB-4 > 2.67. A greater proportion of moderate to severe strokes (NIHSS ≥10) occurred in the FIB-4 > 2.67 group (n = 142, 88.8%) compared to the FIB-4 < 1.3 group (n = 208, 61.2%). Amongst the different stroke subtypes, median FIB-4 was highest in cardioembolic stroke (CES) compared to the 3 other non-CES stroke subtypes (1.90 (IQR: 1.41−2.69)). Following IV tPA, having FIB-4 > 2.67 was associated with an increased rate of SICH (adjusted OR: 4.09, 95% CI: 1.04−16.16, p = 0.045) and increased mortality (adjusted OR 3.05, 95% CI: 1.28−7.26, p = 0.012). Advanced liver fibrosis was associated with an increased rate of SICH and increased 90-day mortality after IV tPA. The FIB-4 score may be useful for prognostication after IV tPA.

Impact of Traditional and Non-Traditional Lipid Parameters on Outcomes after Intravenous Thrombolysis in Acute Ischemic Stroke.

Contradicting evidence exists regarding the role of lipids in outcomes following intravenous (IV) thrombolysis with tissue plasminogen activator (tPA). Restricted cubic spline curves and adjusted logistic regression were used to evaluate associations of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and LDL-C/HDL-C ratio with poor functional outcome, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (SICH) and 90-day mortality, among 1004 acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients who received IV tPA in a comprehensive stroke center. Quartile (Q) 1, Q2 and Q3 of HDL-C were associated with increased odds of poor functional outcome (adjusted odds ratio (adjOR) 1.66, 95% CI 1.06-2.60, p = 0.028, adjOR 1.63, 95% CI 1.05-2.53, p = 0.027, adjOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.01-2.44, p = 0.048) compared to Q4. Q2 and Q4 of non-HDL-C were associated with increased odds of SICH (adjOR 4.28, 95% CI 1.36-18.90, p = 0.025, adjOR 5.17, 95% CI 1.64-22.81, p = 0.011) compared to Q3. Q1 and Q2 of LDL-C was associated with increased odds of mortality (adjOR 2.57, 95% CI 1.27-5.57, p = 0.011 and adjOR 2.28, 95% CI 1.10-5.02, p = 0.032) compared to Q3. In AIS patients who received IV tPA, low LDL-C was associated with increased odds of mortality while HDL-C may be protective against poor functional outcome.

Clinical Outcomes of 3D-Printed Bioresorbable Scaffolds for Bone Tissue Engineering-A Pilot Study on 126 Patients for Burrhole Covers in Subdural Hematoma.

Burrhole craniostomy is commonly performed for subdural hematoma (SDH) evacuation, but residual scalp depressions are often cosmetically suboptimal for patients. OsteoplugTM, a bioresorbable polycaprolactone burrhole cover, was introduced by the National University Hospital, Singapore, in 2006 to cover these defects, allowing osseous integration and vascular ingrowth. However, the cosmetic and safety outcomes of OsteoplugTM-C-the latest (2017) iteration, with a chamfered hole for subdural drains-remain unexplored. Data were collected from a single institution from April 2017 to March 2021. Patient-reported aesthetic outcomes (Aesthetic Numeric Analog (ANA)) and quality of life (EQ-5D-3L including Visual Analog Scale (VAS)) were assessed via telephone interviews. Clinical outcomes included SDH recurrence, postoperative infections, and drain complications. OsteoplugTM-C patients had significantly higher satisfaction and quality of life compared to those without a burrhole cover (ANA: 9 [7, 9] vs. 7 [5, 8], p = 0.019; VAS: 85 [75, 90] vs. 70 [50, 80], p = 0.021), and the absence of a burrhole cover was associated with poorer aesthetic outcomes after multivariable adjustment (adjusted OR: 4.55, 95% CI: 1.09-22.68, p = 0.047). No significant differences in other clinical outcomes were observed between OsteoplugTM-C, OsteoplugTM, or no burrhole cover. Our pilot study supports OsteoplugTM-C and its material polycaprolactone as suitable adjuncts to burrhole craniostomy, improving cosmetic outcomes while achieving comparable safety outcomes.

International electronic health record-derived post-acute sequelae profiles of COVID-19 patients.

The risk profiles of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) have not been well characterized in multi-national settings with appropriate controls. We leveraged electronic health record (EHR) data from 277 international hospitals representing 414,602 patients with COVID-19, 2.3 million control patients without COVID-19 in the inpatient and outpatient settings, and over 221 million diagnosis codes to systematically identify new-onset conditions enriched among patients with COVID-19 during the post-acute period. Compared to inpatient controls, inpatient COVID-19 cases were at significant risk for angina pectoris (RR 1.30, 95% CI 1.09-1.55), heart failure (RR 1.22, 95% CI 1.10-1.35), cognitive dysfunctions (RR 1.18, 95% CI 1.07-1.31), and fatigue (RR 1.18, 95% CI 1.07-1.30). Relative to outpatient controls, outpatient COVID-19 cases were at risk for pulmonary embolism (RR 2.10, 95% CI 1.58-2.76), venous embolism (RR 1.34, 95% CI 1.17-1.54), atrial fibrillation (RR 1.30, 95% CI 1.13-1.50), type 2 diabetes (RR 1.26, 95% CI 1.16-1.36) and vitamin D deficiency (RR 1.19, 95% CI 1.09-1.30). Outpatient COVID-19 cases were also at risk for loss of smell and taste (RR 2.42, 95% CI 1.90-3.06), inflammatory neuropathy (RR 1.66, 95% CI 1.21-2.27), and cognitive dysfunction (RR 1.18, 95% CI 1.04-1.33). The incidence of post-acute cardiovascular and pulmonary conditions decreased across time among inpatient cases while the incidence of cardiovascular, digestive, and metabolic conditions increased among outpatient cases. Our study, based on a federated international network, systematically identified robust conditions associated with PASC compared to control groups, underscoring the multifaceted cardiovascular and neurological phenotype profiles of PASC.

Association of triglyceride-glucose index with clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke receiving intravenous thrombolysis.

Intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) remains the cornerstone of recanalization therapy for acute ischemic stroke (AIS), albeit with varying degrees of response. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a novel marker of insulin resistance, but association with outcomes among AIS patients who have received tPA has not been well elucidated. We studied 698 patients with AIS who received tPA from 2006 to 2018 in a comprehensive stroke centre. TyG index was calculated using the formula: ln[fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. TyG index was significantly lower in patients that survived at 90-days than those who died (8.61 [Interquartile Range: 8.27-8.99] vs 8.76 [interquartile range: 8.39-9.40], p = 0.007). In multivariate analysis, TyG index was significantly associated with 90-day mortality (OR: 2.12, 95% CI: 1.39-3.23, p = 0.001), poor functional outcome (OR: 1.41 95% CI: 1.05-1.90, p = 0.022), and negatively associated with early neurological improvement (ENI) (OR: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.52-0.89, p = 0.004). There was no association between TyG index and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. 'High TyG' (defined by TyG index ≥ 9.15) was associated with mortality, poor functional outcomes and no ENI. In conclusion, the TyG index, a measure of insulin resistance, was significantly associated with poorer clinical outcomes in AIS patients who received tPA.