Association between pathologic response in metastatic lymph nodes after preoperative chemoradiotherapy and risk of distant metastases in rectal cancer: An analysis of outcomes in a randomized trial.

PURPOSE: To compare 5 x 5 Gy preoperative radiotherapy with immediate surgery vs. preoperative chemoradiotherapy (50.4 Gy, 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin) with delayed surgery in a randomized trial for cT3-T4 low-lying rectal cancer. Despite the downstaging effect of chemoradiotherapy, similar long-term outcomes were observed in both groups. METHODS: The Cox model was used to evaluate the prognostic value of ypTN ("yp" denotes that pathologic classification was performed after initial multimodality therapy) categories and the surgical margin status in 291 patients. RESULTS: Disease-free survival (DFS) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.73-1.51), distant metastases (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.77-1.78), and local control (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 0.74-2.84) were similar in both arms. The ypN status was the only independent prognostic factor for DFS (p < 0.001). An interaction (p = 0.016) between N stage and the assigned treatment was demonstrated. For ypN-negative patients, DFS was similar in both arms (HR, 0.83, 95% CI, 0.47-1.48); however, for ypN-positive patients, DFS was worse in the chemoradiotherapy arm (HR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.07-2.77). The 4-year (median follow-up) DFS rate in N-positive patients was 51% in the 5 x 5-Gy arm vs. 25% in the chemoradiotherapy arm. The corresponding 4-year rates for the incidence of local recurrence and distant metastases were 14% vs. 27% (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 0.78-4.86) and 38% vs. 68% (HR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.21-3.48). CONCLUSION: N-positive disease after chemoradiotherapy indicates radiochemoresistance. N-positive disease after 5 x 5 Gy RT includes both radiosensitive and radioresistant tumors, because the interval between radiotherapy and surgery was too short for radiosensitive cancer to undergo necrosis. Thus, the greater risk of distant metastases recorded in the chemoradiotherapy arm suggests that radiochemoresistance of nodal metastases from rectal cancer is associated with a high potential for developing distant metastases.

Prediction of mesorectal nodal metastases after chemoradiation for rectal cancer: results of a randomised trial: implication for subsequent local excision.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: For patients with rectal cancer treated with full thickness local excision the risk of mesorectal nodal metastases has to be very low. The aim was to assess this risk after preoperative radiotherapy in relation to pathological T-category. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Three hundred sixteen patients with resectable cT3-4 low rectal carcinoma were randomised to receive either pre-operative 5 x 5 Gy irradiation with subsequent surgery performed within 7 days or chemoradiation (50.4, 1.8 Gy per fraction plus bolus 5-fluorouracil and leucovorin) followed by surgery after 4-6 weeks. The pathological reports of patients who fulfilled entry criteria and had preoperative irradiation followed by transabdominal surgery were analysed. RESULTS: Significant downstaging of primary tumour (P<0.001) and of nodal disease (P=0.007) was observed after chemoradiation in comparison with short-course irradiation. In chemoradiation group, for patients with complete pathological response and for ypT1 category, the rate of nodal metastases was low - 5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0-14%) and 8% (95% CI 0-24%), respectively. The rate of ypN-positive disease in chemoradiation group was similar to that recorded in short-course irradiation group for ypT2 category 26% (95% CI 14-38%) vs. 28% (95% CI 16-40%), P=0.83 and for ypT3-4 category 55% (95% CI 41-69%) vs. 64% (95% CI 54-74%), respectively, P=0.37. For ypT2 category after chemoradiation, the rate of nodal disease remained high even in subgroup with low residual cancer cells density (20%, 95% CI 4-36%). CONCLUSIONS: For patients with tumours downstaged by chemoradiation to ypT0 and ypT1 full thickness local excision may be considered as an acceptable approach, because the risk of mesorectal lymph nodes metastases is low. The selection criteria for preoperative radio(chemo)therapy and local excision are discussed.