Using Repeated Measurements to Predict Cardiovascular Risk in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

The QRISK cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment model is not currently optimized for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We aim to identify if the abundantly available repeatedly measured data for patients with T2D improves the predictive capability of QRISK to support the decision-making process regarding CVD prevention in patients with T2DM. We identified patients with T2DM aged 25 to 85, not on statin treatment and without pre-existing CVD from the IQVIA Medical Research Data United Kingdom primary care database and then followed them up until the first diagnosis of CVD, ischemic heart disease, or stroke/transient ischemic attack. We included traditional, nontraditional risk factors and relevant treatments for our analysis. We then undertook a Cox's hazards model accounting for time-dependent covariates to estimate the hazard rates for each risk factor and calculated a 10-year risk score. Models were developed for males and females separately. We tested the performance of our models using validation data and calculated discrimination and calibration statistics. The study included 198,835 (180,143 male with 11,976 outcomes and 90,466 female with 8,258 outcomes) patients. The 10-year predicted survival probabilities for females was 0.87 (0.87 to 0.87), whereas the observed survival estimates from the Kaplan-Meier curve for all female models was 0.87 (0.86 to 0.87). The predicted and observed survival estimates for males were 0.84 (0.84 to 0.84) and 0.84 (0.83 to 0.84) respectively. The Harrell's C-index of all female models and all male models were 0.71 and 0.69 respectively. We found that including time-varying repeated measures, only mildly improved CVD risk prediction for T2DM patients in comparison to the current practice standard. We advocate for further research using time-varying data to identify if the involvement of further covariates may improve the accuracy of currently accepted prediction models.

Socioeconomic Deprivation and the Risk of Sight-Threatening Diabetic Retinopathy: A Population-Based Cohort Study in the U.K.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the associations between socioeconomic deprivation and sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR) in individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and type 2 diabetes (T2D). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Data from 175,628 individuals with diabetes in the Health Improvement Network were used to assess the risk of STDR across Townsend Deprivation Index quantiles using Cox proportional hazard regression. RESULTS: Among individuals with T1D, the risk of STDR was three times higher (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.67, 95% CI 1.05-7.78) in the most deprived quintile compared with the least deprived quintile. In T2D, the most deprived quintile had a 28% higher risk (aHR 1.28; 95% CI 1.15-1.43) than the least deprived quintile. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing socioeconomic deprivation is associated with a higher risk of developing STDR in people with diabetes. This underscores persistent health disparities linked to poverty, even within a country offering free universal health care. Further research is needed to address health equity concerns in socioeconomically deprived regions.

A Methodological Framework for Meta-analysis and Clinical Interpretation of Subgroup Data: The Case of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events With GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and SGLT2 Inhibitors in Type 2 Diabetes.

We present a methodological framework for conducting and interpreting subgroup meta-analyses. Methodological steps comprised evaluation of clinical heterogeneity regarding the definition of subpopulations, credibility assessment of subgroup meta-analysis, and translation of relative into absolute treatment effects. We used subgroup data from type 2 diabetes cardiovascular outcomes trials (CVOTs) with glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors for patients with established cardiovascular disease and those at high cardiovascular risk without manifest cardiovascular disease. First, we evaluated the variability in definitions of the subpopulations across CVOTs using major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) incidence in the placebo arm as a proxy for baseline cardiovascular risk. As baseline risk did not differ considerably across CVOTs, we conducted subgroup meta-analyses of hazard ratios (HRs) for MACE and assessed the credibility of a potential effect modification. Results suggested using the same overall relative effect for each of the two subpopulations (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80-0.90, for GLP-1 receptor agonists and HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.85-0.97, for SGLT2 inhibitors). Finally, we calculated 5-year absolute treatment effects (number of fewer patients with event per 1,000 patients). Treatment with GLP-1 receptor agonists resulted in 30 fewer patients with event in the subpopulation with established cardiovascular disease and 14 fewer patients with event in patients without manifest cardiovascular disease. For SGLT2 inhibitors, the respective absolute effects were 18 and 8 fewer patients with event per 1,000 patients. This framework can be applied to subgroup meta-analyses regardless of outcomes or modification variables.

Clinical Aspects in Subacute Thyroiditis: A Real-Life Study on 226 Cases in Greece Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to evaluate various therapeutic approaches, identify potential predictive factors for the recurrence and development of hypothyroidism, and examine specific clinical and laboratory characteristics of patients with subacute thyroiditis (SAT) due to SARS-CoV-2 infection. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 226 patients with confirmed SAT diagnosed from January 2020 to November 2022. RESULTS: The mean age was 48.01 ± 0.75 years, and the F/M ratio was 2.3/1. At the end of the follow-up period, 69 patients (32.1%) had developed hypothyroidism. Treatment duration was significantly shorter with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) (17.40 ± 2.56 days), while time-to-symptom relief was shorter with glucocorticoids (CGs). Recurrence was observed only in those treated with corticosteroid preparations (14.1%). C-reactive protein levels at treatment discontinuation were higher in patients who experienced SAT recurrence, while the coexistence of Hashimoto's thyroiditis was a significant predictive factor for the development of hypothyroidism. The TSH value at the time of treatment withdrawal >4.12 µIU/mL showed optimal sensitivity and specificity for the prediction of permanent hypothyroidism. Regarding COVID-19, 34 patients (15%) experienced related SAT, with similar clinical manifestations of the disease but a higher BMI and shorter time-to-symptom relief. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, GCs administration alleviated acute symptoms earlier during the onset of SAT, whereas NSAIDs had a shorter treatment duration, and both regimens could not prevent the development of delayed hypothyroidism. The clinical characteristics of SAT due to COVID-19 infections were similar to those of typical SAT disease.

Prognostic models for heart failure in patients with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To provide a systematic review, critical appraisal, assessment of performance and generalisability of all the reported prognostic models for heart failure (HF) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: We performed a literature search in Medline, Embase, Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and Scopus (from inception to July 2022) and grey literature to identify any study developing and/or validating models predicting HF applicable to patients with T2D. We extracted data on study characteristics, modelling methods and measures of performance, and we performed a random-effects meta-analysis to pool discrimination in models with multiple validation studies. We also performed a descriptive synthesis of calibration and we assessed the risk of bias and certainty of evidence (high, moderate, low). RESULTS: Fifty-five studies reporting on 58 models were identified: (1) models developed in patients with T2D for HF prediction (n=43), (2) models predicting HF developed in non-diabetic cohorts and externally validated in patients with T2D (n=3), and (3) models originally predicting a different outcome and externally validated for HF (n=12). RECODe (C-statistic=0.75 95% CI (0.72, 0.78), 95% prediction interval (PI) (0.68, 0.81); high certainty), TRS-HFDM (C-statistic=0.75 95% CI (0.69, 0.81), 95% PI (0.58, 0.87); low certainty) and WATCH-DM (C-statistic=0.70 95% CI (0.67, 0.73), 95% PI (0.63, 0.76); moderate certainty) showed the best performance. QDiabetes-HF demonstrated also good discrimination but was externally validated only once and not meta-analysed. CONCLUSIONS: Among the prognostic models identified, four models showed promising performance and, thus, could be implemented in current clinical practice.

The Role of Somatostatin Analogues in the Control of Diarrhea and Flushing as Markers of Carcinoid Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Somatostatin analogues (SSAs) are the cornerstone of treatment for carcinoid syndrome (CS)-related symptoms. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to evaluate the percentage of patients achieving partial (PR) or complete response (CR) with the use of long-acting SSAs in patients with CS. METHODS: A systematic electronic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Cochrane, and Scopus to identify eligible studies. Any clinical trials reporting data on the efficacy of SSAs to alleviate symptoms in adult patients were considered as potentially eligible. RESULTS: A total of 17 studies reported extractable outcomes (PR/CR) for quantitative synthesis. The pooled percentage of patients with PR/CR for diarrhea was estimated to be 0.67 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.52-0.79, I2 = 83%). Subgroup analyses of specific drugs provided no evidence of a differential response. With regards to flushing, the pooled percentage of patients with PR/CR was estimated to be 0.68 (95% CI: 0.52-0.81, I2 = 86%). Similarly, no evidence of a significant differential response in flushing control was documented. CONCLUSIONS: We estimate there is a 67-68% overall reduction in symptoms of CS associated with SSA treatment. However, significant heterogeneity was detected, possibly revealing differences in the disease course, in management and in outcome definition.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors and the risk of gout in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A propensity-score-matched, new-user design study with an active comparator using the IQVIA Medical Research Data UK database.

AIM: To conduct a pharmacoepidemiological study to explore the association between sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and gout in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective open cohort study using the IQVIA Medical Research Data UK database was performed between November 1, 2012 and December 31, 2018, estimating the risk of gout in patients with T2DM who were new users of SGLT2 inhibitors, compared to propensity-score-matched new users of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors. RESULTS: A total of 85 incident cases of gout were recorded over 30 389 person-years of observation in 13 617 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors and 29 426 new users of DPP-4 inhibitors. Crude incidence rates (IRs) per 1000 person-years were 2.90 and 2.47 for new users of SGLT2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors, respectively. The unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) was 1.18 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.76-1.83). The adjusted HR was 1.20 (95% CI 0.77-1.86). In the at-treatment analysis, crude IRs per 1000 person-years were found to be 2.68 and 2.53 for SGLT2 inhibitor and DPP-4 inhibitor users, respectively. In the adjusted model, the adjusted HR was 1.3 (95% CI 0.90-2.29). Sensitivity analyses did not change the findings. CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide study, no difference in the incidence of gout was documented in patients treated with SGLT2 inhibitors compared to DPP-4 inhibitor users. This neutral finding remained consistent in sensitivity analyses.

Associations of antidiabetic drugs with diabetic retinopathy in people with type 2 diabetes: an umbrella review and meta-analysis.

Background: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is the most frequent complication of type 2 diabetes and remains the leading cause of preventable blindness. Current clinical decisions regarding the administration of antidiabetic drugs do not sufficiently incorporate the risk of DR due to the inconclusive evidence from preceding meta-analyses. This umbrella review aimed to systematically evaluate the effects of antidiabetic drugs on DR in people with type 2 diabetes. Methods: A systematic literature search was undertaken in Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library (from inception till 17th May 2022) without language restrictions to identify systematic reviews and meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials or longitudinal studies that examined the association between antidiabetic drugs and DR in people with type 2 diabetes. Two authors independently extracted data and assessed the quality of included studies using the AMSTAR-2 (A MeaSurement Tool to Assess Systematic Reviews) checklist, and evidence assessment was performed using the GRADE (Grading of recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation). Random-effects models were applied to calculate relative risk (RR) or odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022332052). Results: With trial evidence from 11 systematic reviews and meta-analyses, we found that the use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA), sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i), or dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) was not statistically associated with the risk of DR, compared to either placebo (RR: GLP-1 RA, 0.98, 0.89-1.08; SGLT-2i, 1.00, 95% CI 0.79-1.27; DPP-4i, 1.17, 0.99-1.39) or other antidiabetic drugs. Compared to other antidiabetic drugs, meglitinides (0.34, 0.01-8.25), SGLT-2i (0.73, 0.10-5.16), thiazolidinediones (0.92, 0.67-1.26), metformin (1.15, 0.81-1.63), sulphonylureas (1.24, 0.93-1.65), and acarbose (4.21, 0.44-40.43) were not statistically associated with the risk of DR. With evidence from longitudinal studies only, insulin was found to have a higher risk of DR than other antidiabetic drugs (OR: 2.47, 95% CI: 2.04-2.99). Conclusion: Our results indicate that antidiabetic drugs are generally safe to prescribe regarding the risk of DR among people with type 2 diabetes. Further robust and large-scale trials investigating the effects of insulin, meglitinides, and acarbose on DR are warranted. Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=332052, identifier CRD42022332052.

Polycystic ovary syndrome and risk of adverse obstetric outcomes: a retrospective population-based matched cohort study in England.

BACKGROUND: Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) affects up to one in five women of childbearing age. Observational studies assessing the association between maternal PCOS and adverse obstetric outcomes have reported varying results, depending on patient population, diagnostic criteria for PCOS and covariates accounted for in their analyses. We aimed to assess the risk of obstetric outcomes among a population-based representative cohort of women with PCOS compared to an age-matched cohort of women without PCOS. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted of pregnancies of women in England aged 15-49 years identified from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD pregnancy register and linked Hospital Episodes Statistic (HES) data between March 1997 and March 2020. Pregnancies from the register that had a linked HES delivery record were included. Linked CPRD primary care data was used to ascertain maternal PCOS exposure prior to pregnancy. To improve detection of PCOS, in addition to PCOS diagnostic codes, codes for (1) polycystic ovaries or (2) hyperandrogenism and anovulation together were also considered. Sensitivity analysis was limited to only pregnant women with a diagnostic code for PCOS. Primary outcomes ascertained from linked HES data were (1) preterm delivery (gestation < 37 weeks), (2) mode of delivery, (3) high (> 4000 g) or low birthweight (< 2500 g) and (4) stillbirth. Secondary outcomes were (1) very preterm delivery (< 32 weeks), (2) extremely preterm delivery (< 28 weeks), (3) small and (4) large for gestational age. Conditional logistic regression models were performed adjusting for age, ethnicity, deprivation, dysglycaemia, hypertension, thyroid disorders, number of babies born at index pregnancy, and pre-gravid BMI. Multiple imputation was performed for missing outcome data. RESULTS: 27,586 deliveries with maternal PCOS were matched for age (± 1 year) to 110,344 deliveries without PCOS. In the fully adjusted models, maternal PCOS was associated with an increased risk of (1) preterm birth [aOR: 1.11 (95% CI 1.06-1.17)], and (2) emergency caesarean, elective caesarean and instrumental vaginal compared to spontaneous delivery [aOR: 1.10 (1.05-1.15), 1.07 (1.03-1.12) and 1.04 (1.00-1.09), respectively]. There was absence of association with low birthweight, high birthweight and stillbirth. In the sensitivity analysis, the association with preterm birth [aOR: 1.31 (95% CI 1.13-1.52)], emergency caesarean [aOR: 1.15 (95% CI 1.02-1.30)], and elective caesarean [aOR: 1.03 (95% CI 1.02-1.03)] remained. While there was no significant association with any of the secondary outcomes in the primary analysis, in the sensitivity analysis maternal PCOS was associated with increased risk of extremely preterm delivery [aOR: 1.86 (95% CI 1.31-2.65)], and lower risk of small for gestational age babies [aOR: 0.74 (95% CI 0.59-0.94)]. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal PCOS was associated with increased risk of preterm and caesarean delivery. Association with low birthweight may be largely mediated by lower gestational age at birth.

Hobnail Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma, A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Although papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is considered to have an excellent prognosis, some recently identified more aggressive variants show reduced overall survival rates. Hobnail PTC (HPTC) was newly recognized as one of these aggressive forms, affecting recurrence, metastasis, and overall survival rates. Herein, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies including cases or case series with patients with HPTC. Furthermore, we included our individual case series consisting of six patients. The pooled mortality rate in the cohort, consisting of 290 patients, was 3.57 (95% CI 1.67−7.65) per 100 person/years. No sex differences could be observed concerning mortality (p = 0.62), but older age and tumor size significantly affected mortality (p = 0.004 and p = 0.02, respectively). The percentage of hobnail cells did not affect mortality (p = 0.97), neither did the presence of BRAF mutations. Classical characteristics such as the presence of extrathyroidal extension (p = 0.001), distant metastases (p < 0.001), and lymph node metastases (p < 0.001) all had a significant impact on mortality. Thus, HPTC appears to correlate with worse overall survival, and all PTC cases should be carefully assessed for this variant.

Translation of the Pasieka's Parathyroid Assessment of Symptoms Questionnaire (PAS-Q) for Use in the Greek Population.

Introduction: In Europe, primary hyperparathyroidism is mainly considered an asymptomatic disorder, although there is evidence that patients' health-related quality of life is impaired. This aspect is mostly evaluated using Pasieka's Questionnaire: a disease-specific diagnostic tool. The purpose of this study was to translate the Pasieka's Questionnaire into the Greek language and adapt it to the Greek population. Materials and Methods: Pasieka's Questionnaire consists of 13 questions. Two bilingual, native Greek experts were selected for step one, each of whom offered a blinded Greek version of the questionnaire. In the second step, these two versions were merged into one which was retranslated back into the English language (step three) by two bilingual translators (English native speakers). In the fourth step, a committee was formed to draft the pre-final version of the questionnaire which was then submitted to the co-authors for final approval. Finally, after the approval of the final version, 50 patients with primary hyperparathyroidism were recruited for the pilot study of the questionnaire. Results: All 13 questions of the Pasieka's Questionnaire were translated without any major discrepancy. A high level of internal consistency was achieved (Cronbach's alpha was 0.904) and agreement between test-retest was excellent for every question. Conclusion: The Greek version of Pasieka's Questionnaire was validated and can be applied to evaluate the health-related quality of life of patients with primary hyperparathyroidism in Greek-speaking populations.

Autosomal dominant pseudohypoparathyroidism type 1B due to STX16 deletion: a case presentation and literature review.

INTRODUCTION: Pseudohypoparathyroidism (PHP) is a heterogeneous group of rare, genetically related, endocrine disorders, characterized by end-organ resistance to parathyroid hormone (PTH) action and other G protein-coupled receptors (GPCRs) related hormones. The clinical variants of PHP are classified according to the presence of features of Albright's Hereditary Osteodystrophy (AHO) and in vivo response to exogenous PTH. Autosomal dominant PHP1b is often caused by a deletion in the Syntaxin-16 (STX16) gene, leading to a loss of methylation in the A/B exon of the guanine nucleotide-binding protein a-stimulating polypeptide (GNAS) complex. Herein, we present a case of a 41-year-old man with familiar PHP1b due to a maternal inherited 3-kb STX16 deletion, who was referred to us for consultation by artificial reproductive technology specialists. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION: A bibliographic search was performed in electronic databases (PubMed and Cochrane Library) to identify similar cases. EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS: Twenty studies (case-series or reports) were eligible. These studies included collectively 120 patients; 46 patients (38.3%) presented with symptoms of hypocalcemia; 38 were asymptomatic (31.7%); data for 36 patients (30%) were unavailable. Thyroid-Stimulating hormone (TSH) resistance was documented in 25 occasions (21%); growth hormone deficiency in 2 (1.7%); 3 patients shared features of the AHO (2.5%); 6 had abnormal bone mineral density test (5%). Notable is the development of tertiary hyperparathyroidism in 3 individuals (2.5%). CONCLUSIONS: The present review confirms the heterogeneity in the clinical spectrum of familiar PHP1b. Future research should focus on the molecular characterization of the GNAS disorders, leading to a facile diagnosis and appropriate genetic counseling.

The clinical profile and associated mortality in people with and without diabetes with Coronavirus disease 2019 on admission to acute hospital services.

INTRODUCTION: To assess if in adults with COVID-19, whether those with diabetes and complications (DM+C) present with a more severe clinical profile and if that relates to increased mortality, compared to those with diabetes with no complications (DM-NC) and those without diabetes. METHODS: Service-level data was used from 996 adults with laboratory confirmed COVID-19 who presented to the Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, UK, from March to June 2020. All individuals were categorized into DM+C, DM-NC, and non-diabetes groups. Physiological and laboratory measurements in the first 5 days after admission were collated and compared among groups. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate associations between diabetes status and the risk of mortality. RESULTS: Among the 996 individuals, 104 (10.4%) were DM+C, 295 (29.6%) DM-NC and 597 (59.9%) non-diabetes. There were 309 (31.0%) in-hospital deaths documented, 40 (4.0% of total cohort) were DM+C, 99 (9.9%) DM-NC and 170 (17.0%) non-diabetes. Individuals with DM+C were more likely to present with high anion gap/metabolic acidosis, features of renal impairment, and low albumin/lymphocyte count than those with DM-NC or those without diabetes. There was no significant difference in mortality rates among the groups: compared to individuals without diabetes, the adjusted HRs were 1.39 (95% CI 0.95-2.03, p = 0.093) and 1.18 (95% CI 0.90-1.54, p = 0.226) in DM+C and DM-C, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Those with COVID-19 and DM+C presented with a more severe clinical and biochemical profile, but this did not associate with increased mortality in this study.

Polycystic Ovary Syndrome, Combined Oral Contraceptives, and the Risk of Dysglycemia: A Population-Based Cohort Study With a Nested Pharmacoepidemiological Case-Control Study.

OBJECTIVE: Irregular menstrual cycles are associated with increased cardiovascular mortality. Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is characterized by androgen excess and irregular menses; androgens are drivers of increased metabolic risk in women with PCOS. Combined oral contraceptive pills (COCPs) are used in PCOS both for cycle regulation and to reduce the biologically active androgen fraction. We examined COCP use and risk of dysglycemia (prediabetes and type 2 diabetes) in women with PCOS. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Using a large U.K. primary care database (The Health Improvement Network [THIN]; 3.7 million patients from 787 practices), we carried out a retrospective population-based cohort study to determine dysglycemia risk (64,051 women with PCOS and 123,545 matched control subjects), as well as a nested pharmacoepidemiological case-control study to investigate COCP use in relation to dysglycemia risk (2,407 women with PCOS with [case subjects] and without [control subjects] a diagnosis of dysglycemia during follow-up). Cox models were used to estimate the unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratio, and conditional logistic regression was used to obtain adjusted odds ratios (aORs). RESULTS: The adjusted hazard ratio for dysglycemia in women with PCOS was 1.87 (95% CI 1.78-1.97, P < 0.001; adjustment for age, social deprivation, BMI, ethnicity, and smoking), with increased rates of dysglycemia in all BMI subgroups. Women with PCOS and COCP use had a reduced dysglycemia risk (aOR 0.72, 95% CI 0.59-0.87). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, limited by its retrospective nature and the use of routinely collected electronic general practice record data, which does not allow for exclusion of the impact of prescription-by-indication bias, women with PCOS exposed to COCPs had a reduced risk of dysglycemia across all BMI subgroups. Future prospective studies should be considered for further understanding of these observations and potential causality.

Disease burden of diabetes, diabetic retinopathy and their future projections in the UK: cross-sectional analyses of a primary care database.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the current disease burden, trends and future projections for diabetes mellitus (DM) and diabetic retinopathy (DR) in the IQVIA Medical Research Data (IMRD). PARTICIPANTS/DESIGN/SETTING: We performed a cross-sectional study of patients aged 12 and above to determine the prevalence of DM and DR from the IMRD database (primary care database) in January 2017, involving a total population of 1 80 824 patients with DM. We also carried out a series of cross-sectional studies to investigate prevalence trends, and then applied a double exponential smoothing model to forecast the future burden of DM and DR in the UK. RESULTS: The crude DM prevalence in 2017 was 5.2%. The DR, sight-threatening retinopathy (STR) and diabetic maculopathy prevalence figures in 2017 were 33.78%, 12.28% and 7.86%, respectively, in our IMRD cross-sectional study. There were upward trends in the prevalence of DM, DR and STR, most marked and accelerating in STR in type 1 DM but slowing in type 2 DM, and in the overall prevalence of DR. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest differential rising trends in the prevalence of DM and DR. Preventive strategies, as well as treatment services planning, can be based on these projected prevalence estimates. Improvements that are necessary for the optimisation of care pathways, and preparations to meet demand and capacity challenges, can also be based on this information. The limitations of the study can be overcome by a future collaborative study linking DR screening and hospital eye services data.

Teriparatide Treatment in Patients with Pregnancy- and Lactation-Associated Osteoporosis.

Pregnancy- and lactation-associated osteoporosis (PLO) is a rare disease, presenting in most cases with severe back pain due to low energy vertebral fractures (VFs). Our purpose was to assess the effect of teriparatide (TPTD) vs. conventional management on areal bone mineral density (aBMD) and trabecular bone score (TBS) in patients with PLO. A multicenter retrospective cohort study concerning premenopausal women with PLO. Nineteen women were treated with TPTD (20 µg/day) (group A) plus calcium and vitamin D and eight women with calcium and vitamin D only (group B) for up to 24 months. The primary end-point was between group differences in lumbar spine (LS) and total hip (TH) aBMD, and TBS at 12 and 24 months. Patients in group A had sustained a median of 4.0 VFs (3-9) vs. 2.5 VFs (1-10) in group B (p = 0.02). At 12 months, patients on TPTD vs. controls achieved a mean aBMD increase of 20.9  ±  11.9% vs. 6.2  ±  4.8% at the LS (p < 0.001), 10.0  ±  11.6% vs. 5.8  ±  2.8% at the TH (p = 0.43), and 6.7  ±  6.9% vs. 0.9  ±  3.7% in TBS (p = 0.09), respectively. At 24 months, seven patients on TPTD and six controls achieved a mean LS aBMD increase of 32.9  ±  13.4% vs. 12.2  ±  4.2% (p = 0.001). P1NP levels during the first month of TPTD treatment were positively correlated with the 1-year LS aBMD change (r = 0.68, p = 0.03). No new clinical fractures occurred while on-treatment. In patients with PLO, TPTD treatment resulted in significantly greater increases in LS aBMD compared with calcium and vitamin D supplementation at 12 and 24 months.

Benefits and Limitations of TKIs in Patients with Medullary Thyroid Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) have been used in patients with advanced medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC); however, data on their effectiveness and safety are limited. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to document clinical response and toxicities of TKIs in advanced MTC. METHODS: We systematically searched major databases for articles or abstracts on TKI use in MTC patients until May 2018. Objective response (OR), defined as the sum of complete + partial response, expressed as percentage, was our primary endpoint, while disease stability, disease progression (DP), median progression-free survival (PFS), and drug discontinuation rate due to adverse events (AEs) were secondary endpoints. Pooled percentages, PFS time, and 95% CIs were reported. RESULTS: Thirty-three publications were finally included in the analysis: 1 phase IV, 2 phase III trials evaluating vandetanib and cabozantinib, respectively, 20 phase I or II studies, and the remaining 10 studies of retrospective-observational nature. OR was documented in 28.6% (95% CI 25.9-31.9) of patients. Stable disease was recorded in 46.2% (95% CI 43.3-49.1). Overall, DP was observed in 22.9% (95% CI 20.4-27.6). Grade 3 or more AEs occurred in 48.5% (95% CI 45.5-51.5) of patients, and drug discontinuation was reported in 44.7% (95% CI 41.7-47.6). In general, use of TKIs conferred a PFS of 23.3 months (95% CI 21.07-25.5). In particular, vandetanib induced an OR in 33.8% (95% CI 29.6-38.0) of patients and cabozantinib in 27.7% (95% CI 22.05-33.4). DP occurred in 23.7% (95% CI 19.9-27.6) with vandetanib use and in 22.6% (95% CI 17.4-27.9) in cabozantinib-treated patients. Sorafenib, the third most frequently studied drug, showed intermediate efficacy, but higher discontinuation rates. CONCLUSION: Treatment with TKIs in MTC patients with progressive disease is associated with a moderate therapeutic benefit, with achievement of either disease stability or partial response in 73%. The toxicity of these drugs is not negligible, but it is, nonetheless, manageable.

Incident atrial fibrillation in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer: a meta-analysis.

Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) represents the most common form of thyroid neoplasms and is becoming increasingly prevalent. Evidence suggests a possible relationship between DTC diagnosis and subsequent atrial fibrillation (AF). If confirmed, this may present an alarming health risk (AF) in an otherwise condition with a relatively good prognosis (DTC). The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to provide for the first time a pooled estimate of AF incidence in DTC patients in comparison to healthy controls. A detailed search in electronic databases, clinical trial registries and grey literature was performed to identify studies reporting the incidence of AF in DTC patients. Newcastle-Ottawa quality assessment scale was used to assess study quality. We used a random effects (RE) generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) in pooling of individual studies and also calculated a prediction interval for the estimate of a new study. Six observational studies met the eligibility criteria, which included totally 187,754 patients with DTC and 199,770 healthy controls. The median follow-up period was 4.3 to 18.8 years; the incidence rate of AF was 4.86 (95% CI, 3.29 to 7.17, I2 = 96%) cases per 1000 person-years, while the incidence rate ratio was 1.54 (95% CI, 1.44 to 1.65, I2 = 0%, 95% PI, 1.33 to 1.78).This is the first meta-analysis to confirm that patients with DTC are at a high risk for developing AF, which may be attributed to a state of iatrogenic hyperthyroidism due to long-term thyrotropin suppression therapy.

Quality of Life in Patients With Asymptomatic Primary Hyperparathyroidism After Parathyroidectomy: A 3-Year Longitudinal Study.

OBJECTIVE: Impaired quality of life (QoL) is considered as a nonclassical manifestation of primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT). This study aimed to detect and compare changes in the QoL of patients with asymptomatic PHPT who had successful curative parathyroidectomy (PTX) 3 months and 3 years after the procedure. METHODS: Patients with diagnosed PHPT were eligible for the study. There were 2 groups: the PTX group, with patients who underwent PTX, and the non-PTX group, with patients who were treated conservatively. QoL was assessed using Pasieka's Parathyroid Assessment of Symptoms Questionnaire (PAS-Q) at baseline, 3 months, and 3 years. RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients were included in the study: 18 in the PTX group and 20 in the non-PTX group. In the PTX group, the mean PAS-Q total score before PTX was 518, which was reduced significantly at the 3-month (P = .003) and 3-year assessments (P = .001). However, in the non-PTX group, the mean PAS-Q total score was 326 at baseline and increased continuously for 3 years (P = .019). At the 3-year evaluation, the mean total score was significantly higher compared to that of the PTX group (P = .021). Finally, there was a positive correlation between total serum calcium and PAS-Q score in the non-PTX group (r = 0.524, P = .018). CONCLUSION: QoL of patients with PHPT improved significantly compared to that in conservative surveillance as early as 3 months after successful, curative PTX, and remained improved for 3 years. This finding strengthens, even more, the hypothesis that PTX contributes to better QoL, suggesting that the derangement of QoL may be considered as an individual indication for surgery.

Increased COVID-19 infections in women with polycystic ovary syndrome: a population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: Several recent observational studies have linked metabolic comorbidities to an increased risk from COVID-19. Here we investigated whether women with PCOS are at an increased risk of COVID-19 infection. DESIGN: Population-based closed cohort study between 31 January 2020 and 22 July 2020 in the setting of a UK primary care database (The Health Improvement Network, THIN). METHODS: The main outcome was the incidence of COVID-19 coded as suspected or confirmed by the primary care provider. We used Cox proportional hazards regression model with stepwise inclusion of explanatory variables (age, BMI, impaired glucose regulation, androgen excess, anovulation, vitamin D deficiency, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease) to provide unadjusted and adjusted hazard risks (HR) of COVID-19 infection among women with PCOS compared to women without PCOS. RESULTS: We identified 21 292 women with a coded diagnosis of PCO/PCOS and randomly selected 78 310 aged and general practice matched control women. The crude COVID-19 incidence was 18.1 and 11.9 per 1000 person-years among women with and without PCOS, respectively. Age-adjusted Cox regression analysis suggested a 51% higher risk of COVID-19 among women with PCOS compared to women without PCOS (HR: 1.51 (95% CI: 1.27-1.80), P < 0.001). After adjusting for age and BMI, HR reduced to 1.36 (1.14-1.63)], P = 0.001. In the fully adjusted model, women with PCOS had a 28% increased risk of COVID-19 (aHR: 1.28 (1.05-1.56), P = 0.015). CONCLUSION: Women with PCOS are at an increased risk of COVID-19 infection and should be specifically encouraged to adhere to infection control measures during the COVID-19 pandemic. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) have an increased risk of cardio-metabolic disease, which have been identified as a risk factor for COVID-19. To investigate whether the increased metabolic risk in PCOS translates into an increased risk of COVID-19 infection, we carried out a population-based closed cohort study in the UK during its first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic (January to July 2020), including 21 292 women with PCOS and 78 310 controls matched for sex, age and general practice location. Results revealed a 52% increased risk of COVID-19 infection in women with PCOS, which remained increased at 28% above controls after adjustment for age, BMI, impaired glucose regulation and other explanatory variables.