Integrase strand-transfer inhibitor use and cardiovascular events in adults with HIV: an emulation of target trials in the HIV-CAUSAL Collaboration and the Antiretroviral Therapy Cohort Collaboration.

BACKGROUND: A recent observational study suggested that the risk of cardiovascular events could be higher among antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naive individuals with HIV who receive integrase strand-transfer inhibitor (INSTI)-based ART than among those who receive other ART regimens. We aimed to emulate target trials separately in ART-naive and ART-experienced individuals with HIV to examine the effect of using INSTI-based regimens versus other ART regimens on the 4-year risk of cardiovascular events. METHODS: We used routinely recorded clinical data from 12 cohorts that collected information on cardiovascular events, BMI, and blood pressure from two international consortia of cohorts of people with HIV from Europe and North America. For the target trial in individuals who had previously never used ART (ie, ART-naive), eligibility criteria were aged 18 years or older, a detectable HIV-RNA measurement while ART-naive (>50 copies per mL), and no history of a cardiovascular event or cancer. Eligibility criteria for the target trial in those with previous use of non-INSTI-based ART (ie, ART-experienced) were the same except that individuals had to have been on at least one non-INSTI-based ART regimen and be virally suppressed (≤50 copies per mL). We assessed eligibility for both trials for each person-month between January, 2013, and January, 2023, and assigned individuals to the treatment strategy that was compatible with their data. We estimated the standardised 4-year risks of cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, or invasive cardiovascular procedure) via pooled logistic regression models adjusting for time and baseline covariates. In per-protocol analyses, we censored individuals if they deviated from their assigned treatment strategy for more than 2 months and weighted uncensored individuals by the inverse of their time-varying probability of remaining uncensored. The denominator of the weight was estimated via a pooled logistic model that included baseline and time-varying covariates. FINDINGS: The analysis in ART-naive individuals included 10 767 INSTI initiators and 8292 non-initiators of INSTI. There were 43 cardiovascular events in INSTI initiators (median follow-up of 29 months; IQR 15-45) and 52 in non-initiators (39 months; 18-47): standardised 4-year risks were 0·76% (95% CI 0·51 to 1·04) in INSTI initiators and 0·75% (0·54 to 0·98) in non-INSTI initiators; risk ratio 1·01 (0·57 to 1·57); risk difference 0·0089% (-0·43 to 0·36). The analysis in ART-experienced individuals included 7875 INSTI initiators and 373 965 non-initiators. There were 56 events in INSTI initiators (median follow-up 18 months; IQR 9-29) and 3103 events (808 unique) in non-INSTI initiators (26 months; 15-37) in non-initiators: standardised 4-year risks 1·41% (95% CI 0·88 to 2·03) in INSTI initiators and 1·48% (1·28 to 1·71) in non-initiators; risk ratio 0·95 (0·60 to 1·36); risk difference -0·068% (-0·60 to 0·52). INTERPRETATION: We estimated that INSTI use did not result in a clinically meaningful increase of cardiovascular events in ART-naive and ART-experienced individuals with HIV. FUNDING: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism.

Semi-supervised mixture multi-source exchangeability model for leveraging real-world data in clinical trials.

The traditional trial paradigm is often criticized as being slow, inefficient, and costly. Statistical approaches that leverage external trial data have emerged to make trials more efficient by augmenting the sample size. However, these approaches assume that external data are from previously conducted trials, leaving a rich source of untapped real-world data (RWD) that cannot yet be effectively leveraged. We propose a semi-supervised mixture (SS-MIX) multisource exchangeability model (MEM); a flexible, two-step Bayesian approach for incorporating RWD into randomized controlled trial analyses. The first step is a SS-MIX model on a modified propensity score and the second step is a MEM. The first step targets a representative subgroup of individuals from the trial population and the second step avoids borrowing when there are substantial differences in outcomes among the trial sample and the representative observational sample. When comparing the proposed approach to competing borrowing approaches in a simulation study, we find that our approach borrows efficiently when the trial and RWD are consistent, while mitigating bias when the trial and external data differ on either measured or unmeasured covariates. We illustrate the proposed approach with an application to a randomized controlled trial investigating intravenous hyperimmune immunoglobulin in hospitalized patients with influenza, while leveraging data from an external observational study to supplement a subgroup analysis by influenza subtype.

Remdesivir: Effectiveness and Safety in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19 (ReEs-COVID-19)-Analysis of Data from Daily Practice.

Remdesivir was the first antiviral approved for treating COVID-19. We investigated its patterns of use, effectiveness and safety in clinical practice in Greece. This is a retrospective observational study of hospitalized adults who received remdesivir for COVID-19 in September 2020-February 2021. The main endpoints were the time to recovery (hospital discharge within 30 days from admission) and safety. The "early" (remdesivir initiation within 24 h since hospitalization) and "deferred" (remdesivir initiation later on) groups were compared. One thousand and four patients (60.6% male, mean age 61 years, 74.3% with severe disease, 70.9% with ≥1 comorbidities) were included, and 75.9% of them were on a 5-day regimen, and 86.8% were in the early group. Among those with a baseline mild/moderate disease, the median (95% CI) time to recovery was 8 (7-9) and 12 (11-14) days for the early and deferred groups, respectively (p < 0.001). The corresponding estimates for those with a severe disease were 10 (9-10) and 13 (11-15) days, respectively (p = 0.028). After remdesivir initiation, increased serum transaminases and an acute kidney injury were observed in 6.9% and 2.1%, respectively. Nine (0.9%) patients discontinued the treatment due to adverse events. The effectiveness of remdesivir was increased when it was taken within 24 h since admission regardless of the disease severity. Remdesivir's safety profile is similar to that described in clinical trials and other real-world cohorts.

Contribution of alcohol use in HIV/hepatitis C virus co-infection to all-cause and cause-specific mortality: A collaboration of cohort studies.

Among persons with HIV (PWH), higher alcohol use and having hepatitis C virus (HCV) are separately associated with increased morbidity and mortality. We investigated whether the association between alcohol use and mortality among PWH is modified by HCV. Data were combined from European and North American cohorts of adult PWH who started antiretroviral therapy (ART). Self-reported alcohol use data, collected in diverse ways between cohorts, were converted to grams/day. Eligible PWH started ART during 2001-2017 and were followed from ART initiation for mortality. Interactions between the associations of baseline alcohol use (0, 0.1-20.0, >20.0 g/day) and HCV status were assessed using multivariable Cox models. Of 58,769 PWH, 29,711 (51%), 23,974 (41%) and 5084 (9%) self-reported alcohol use of 0 g/day, 0.1-20.0 g/day, and > 20.0 g/day, respectively, and 4799 (8%) had HCV at baseline. There were 844 deaths in 37,729 person-years and 2755 deaths in 443,121 person-years among those with and without HCV, respectively. Among PWH without HCV, adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for mortality were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.08-1.29) for 0.0 g/day and 1.84 (1.62-2.09) for >20.0 g/day compared with 0.1-20.0 g/day. This J-shaped pattern was absent among those with HCV: aHRs were 1.00 (0.86-1.17) for 0.0 g/day and 1.64 (1.33-2.02) for >20.0 g/day compared with 0.1-20.0 g/day (interaction p < .001). Among PWH without HCV, mortality was higher in both non-drinkers and heavy drinkers compared with moderate alcohol drinkers. Among those with HCV, mortality was higher in heavy drinkers but not non-drinkers, potentially due to differing reasons for not drinking (e.g. illness) between those with and without HCV.

CASCADE protocol: exploring current viral and host characteristics, measuring clinical and patient-reported outcomes, and understanding the lived experiences and needs of individuals with recently acquired HIV infection through a multicentre mixed-methods observational study in Europe and Canada.

INTRODUCTION: Despite the availability of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and antiretroviral therapy (ART), 21 793 people were newly diagnosed with HIV in Europe in 2019. The Concerted action on seroconversion to AIDS and death in Europe study aims to understand current drivers of the HIV epidemic; factors associated with access to, and uptake of prevention methods and ART initiation; and the experiences, needs and outcomes of people with recently acquired HIV. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This longitudinal observational study is recruiting participants aged ≥16 years with documented laboratory evidence of HIV seroconversion from clinics in Canada and six European countries. We will analyse data from medical records, self-administered questionnaires, semistructured interviews and participatory photography. We will assess temporal trends in transmitted drug resistance and viral subtype and examine outcomes following early ART initiation. We will investigate patient-reported outcomes, well-being, and experiences of, knowledge of, and attitudes to HIV preventions, including PrEP. We will analyse qualitative data thematically and triangulate quantitative and qualitative findings. As patient public involvement is central to this work, we have convened a community advisory board (CAB) comprising people living with HIV. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: All respective research ethics committees have approval for data to contribute to international collaborations. Written informed consent is required to take part. A dissemination strategy will be developed in collaboration with CAB and the scientific committee. It will include peer-reviewed publications, conference presentations and accessible summaries of findings on the study's website, social media and via community organisations.

Impact of hepatitis C cure on risk of mortality and morbidity in people with HIV after antiretroviral therapy initiation.

OBJECTIVE: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) co-infection is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in people with HIV (PWH). Sustained virological response (SVR) decreases the risk of HCV-associated morbidity. We compared mortality, risk of AIDS-defining events, and non-AIDS nonliver (NANL) cancers between HCV-co-infected PWH who reached SVR and mono-infected PWH. DESIGN: Adult PWH from 21 cohorts in Europe and North America that collected HCV treatment data were eligible if they were HCV-free at the time of ART initiation. METHODS: Up to 10 mono-infected PWH were matched (on age, sex, date of ART start, HIV acquisition route, and being followed at the time of SVR) to each HCV-co-infected PWH who reached SVR. Cox models were used to estimate relative hazards (hazard ratio) of all-cause mortality, AIDS-defining events, and NANL cancers after adjustment. RESULTS: Among 62 495 PWH, 2756 acquired HCV, of whom 649 reached SVR. For 582 of these, at least one mono-infected PWH could be matched, producing a total of 5062 mono-infected PWH. The estimated hazard ratios comparing HCV-co-infected PWH who reached SVR with mono-infected PWH were 0.29 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.12-0.73] for mortality, 0.85 [0.42-1.74] for AIDS-defining events, and 1.21 [0.86-1.72] for NANL cancer. CONCLUSION: PWH who reached SVR a short time after HCV acquisition were not at higher risk of overall mortality compared with mono-infected PWH. However, the apparent higher risk of NANL cancers in HCV-co-infected PWH who reached SVR after a DAA-based treatment compared with mono-infected PWH, though compatible with a null association, suggests a need for monitoring of those events following SVR.

Issues with the expected information matrix of linear mixed models provided by popular statistical packages under missingness at random dropout.

Likelihood-based methods ignoring missingness at random (MAR) produce consistent estimates provided that the whole likelihood model is correct. However, the expected information matrix (EIM) depends on the missingness mechanism. It has been shown that calculating the EIM by considering the missing data pattern as fixed (naive EIM) is incorrect under MAR, but the observed information matrix (OIM) is valid under any MAR missingness mechanism. In longitudinal studies, linear mixed models (LMMs) are routinely applied, often without any reference to missingness. However, most popular statistical packages currently provide precision measures for the fixed effects by inverting only the corresponding submatrix of the OIM (naive OIM), which is effectively equivalent to the naive EIM. In this paper, we analytically derive the correct form of the EIM of LMMs under MAR dropout to compare its differences with the naive EIM, which clarifies why the naive EIM fails under MAR. The asymptotic coverage rate of the naive EIM is numerically calculated for two parameters (population slope and slope difference between two groups) under various dropout mechanisms. The naive EIM can severely underestimate the true variance, especially when the degree of MAR dropout is high. Similar trends emerge under misspecified covariance structure, where, even the full OIM may lead to incorrect inferences and sandwich/bootstrap estimators are generally required. Results from simulation studies and application to real data led to similar conclusions. In LMMs, the full OIM should be preferred to the naive EIM/OIM, though if misspecified covariance structure is suspected, robust estimators should be used.

The Effect of HIV Treatment Interruption on Subsequent Immunological Response.

Recovery of CD4-positive T lymphocyte count after initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been thoroughly examined among people with human immunodeficiency virus infection. However, immunological response after restart of ART following care interruption is less well studied. We compared CD4 cell-count trends before disengagement from care and after ART reinitiation. Data were obtained from the East Africa International Epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) Collaboration (2001-2011; n = 62,534). CD4 cell-count trends before disengagement, during disengagement, and after ART reinitiation were simultaneously estimated through a linear mixed model with 2 subject-specific knots placed at the times of disengagement and treatment reinitiation. We also estimated CD4 trends conditional on the baseline CD4 value. A total of 10,961 patients returned to care after disengagement from care, with the median gap in care being 2.7 (interquartile range, 2.1-5.4) months. Our model showed that CD4 cell-count increases after ART reinitiation were much slower than those before disengagement. Assuming that disengagement from care occurred 12 months after ART initiation and a 3-month treatment gap, CD4 counts measured at 3 years since ART initiation would be lower by 36.5 cells/µL than those obtained under no disengagement. Given that poorer CD4 restoration is associated with increased mortality/morbidity, specific interventions targeted at better retention in care are urgently required.

Low pre-ART CD4 count is associated with increased risk of clinical progression or death even after reaching 500 CD4 cells/µL on ART.

INTRODUCTION: Clinical disadvantages of initiating ART at low CD4 counts have been clearly demonstrated but whether any excess risk remains even after reaching relatively high/safe CD4 levels remains unclear. We explore whether individuals starting ART with <500 CD4 cells/µL who increased their CD4 count above this level, have, from this point onwards, similar risk of clinical progression to serious AIDS/non-AIDS events or death with individuals starting ART with ≥500 CD4 cells/µL. METHODS: Data were derived from a multicenter cohort (AMACS). Adults, starting PI, NNRTI or INSTI based ART, in or after 2000 were eligible, provided they started ART with ≥500 ("High CD4") or started with CD4 <500 cells/µL but surpassed this threshold while on ART ("Low CD4"). Baseline was the date of ART initiation ("High CD4") or of first reaching 500 CD4 cells/µL ("Low CD4"). Survival analysis, allowing for competing risks, was used to explore the risk of progression to study's endpoints. RESULTS: The study included 694 persons in the "High CD4" and 3,306 in the "Low CD4" group. Median (IQR) follow-up was 66 (36, 106) months. In total, 257 events (40 AIDS related, 217 SNAEs) were observed. Rates of progression did not differ significantly between the two groups but the subgroup of those initiating ART with <200 CD4 cells/µL had significantly higher risk of progression after baseline, compared to those in the "High CD4" group. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals starting ART with <200 cells/µL remain on increased risk even after reaching 500 CD4 cells/µL. These patients should be closely followed.

Prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis in Greece: results from the national health examination survey EMENO.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is considered the most common form of autoimmune arthritis. The disease's prevalence is around 0.5-1% worldwide, but it seems to vary among different populations. The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence of self-reported diagnosed RA in the general adult population in Greece. The data were derived from the Greek Health Examination Survey EMENO, a population-based survey performed between 2013 and 2016. Of the 6006 participants (response rate 72%), 5884 were eligible for this study. Prevalence estimates were calculated according to the study design. Prevalence of self-reported RA was estimated to be overall 0.5% (95% CI 0.4-0.7) being approximately three times higher in women than in men (0.7% vs 0.2%, p value = 0.004). A decrease in the prevalence of RA was observed in urban areas of the country. In contrast, higher disease rates were reported in individuals with lower socioeconomic status. Multivariable regression analysis showed that gender, age, and income were related to the occurrence of the disease. Osteoporosis and thyroid disease were the two comorbidities observed at statistically significant higher rates in individuals with self-reported RA. The prevalence of self-reported RA in Greece is similar to that reported in other European countries. Gender, age, and income are the main factors related to the disease's prevalence in Greece.

Life expectancy after 2015 of adults with HIV on long-term antiretroviral therapy in Europe and North America: a collaborative analysis of cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: The life expectancy of people with HIV taking antiretroviral therapy (ART) has increased substantially over the past 25 years. Most previous studies of life expectancy were based on data from the first few years after starting ART, when mortality is highest. However, many people with HIV have been successfully treated with ART for many years, and up-to-date prognosis data are needed. We aimed to estimate life expectancy in adults with HIV on ART for at least 1 year in Europe and North America from 2015 onwards. METHODS: We used data for people with HIV taking ART from the Antiretroviral Therapy Cohort Collaboration and the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort Study. Included participants started ART between 1996 and 2014 and had been on ART for at least 1 year by 2015, or started ART between 2015 and 2019 and survived for at least 1 year; all participants were aged at least 16 years at ART initiation. We used Poisson models to estimate the associations between mortality and demographic and clinical characteristics, including CD4 cell count at the start of follow-up. We also estimated the remaining years of life left for people with HIV aged 40 years who were taking ART, and stratified these estimates by variables associated with mortality. These estimates were compared with estimates for years of life remaining in a corresponding multi-country general population. FINDINGS: Among 206 891 people with HIV included, 5780 deaths were recorded since 2015. We estimated that women with HIV at age 40 years had 35·8 years (95% CI 35·2-36·4) of life left if they started ART before 2015, and 39·0 years (38·5-39·5) left if they started ART after 2015. For men with HIV, the corresponding estimates were 34·5 years (33·8-35·2) and 37·0 (36·5-37·6). Women with CD4 counts of fewer than 49 cells per µL at the start of follow-up had an estimated 19·4 years (18·2-20·5) of life left at age 40 years if they started ART before 2015 and 24·9 years (23·9-25·9) left if they started ART after 2015. The corresponding estimates for men were 18·2 years (17·1-19·4) and 23·7 years (22·7-24·8). Women with CD4 counts of at least 500 cells per µL at the start of follow-up had an estimated 40·2 years (39·7-40·6) of life left at age 40 years if they started ART before 2015 and 42·0 years (41·7-42·3) left if they started ART after 2015. The corresponding estimates for men were 38·0 years (37·5-38·5) and 39·2 years (38·7-39·7). INTERPRETATION: For people with HIV on ART and with high CD4 cell counts who survived to 2015 or started ART after 2015, life expectancy was only a few years lower than that in the general population, irrespective of when ART was started. However, for people with low CD4 counts at the start of follow-up, life-expectancy estimates were substantially lower, emphasising the continuing importance of early diagnosis and sustained treatment of HIV. FUNDING: US National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism and UK Medical Research Council.

Twenty-first century epidemiology of dyslipidemia in Greece: EMENO national epidemiological study.

BACKGROUND: Greece was recently reclassified from low- to medium-risk country in terms of cardiovascular disease, with 27% of cardiovascular deaths attributed to hypercholesterolemia. EMENO nationwide survey (2013-2016) assessed the epidemiology of dyslipidemia in the general population in Greece. METHODS: A random sample of adults was drawn by multistage stratified random sampling based on 2011 census. Standardized questionnaires and blood tests for total cholesterol (TC), low-density (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides were used. Hypercholesterolemia was defined as TC ≥ 240/200 mg/dL and/or the use of lipid-lowering drugs, hyper-LDL-cholesterolemia as LDL-C ≥160/130/100 mg/dL and/or the use of drugs, hypo-HDL-cholesterolemia as HDL-C <40 mg/dL, and hypertriglyceridemia as triglycerides ≥150 mg/dL. Weighted analysis was applied to adjust for study design, age/sex distribution discrepancies between sample and population and nonresponse. RESULTS: Of 6,006 individuals recruited, 4,298 were analyzed (mean [SD] age 49.2 [18.5] years, men 48.5%, BMI 28.2 [5.7] kg/m2). Mean TC, LDL-C, HDL-C, and TG were 193.9 [44.4], 118.5 [37.6], 49.1 [14.9], and 130.8 [94.4] mg/dL, respectively. The prevalence of hypercholesterolemia was 27.6/52.4% for thresholds ≥240/200 mg/dL, and of hyper-LDL-cholesterolemia was 26.3/46.7/74% for thresholds ≥160/130/100 mg/dL, with no differences between sexes. The prevalence of hypo-HDL-cholesterolemia was 27.5% (men/women 38.1/17.5%, p < 0.001) and of hypertriglyceridemia was 27.8% (men/women 32.6/23.4%, p < 0.001). Lipid-lowering drugs were used by 14.1% of the participants (men/women 12.6/15.6%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: More than 50% of adults in Greece have some type of dyslipidemia (mainly TC ≥ 200 mg/dL) and 14% are treated. Nationwide programmes are needed to manage dyslipidemia and halt the increasing rate of cardiovascular disease in Greece.

[Epidemiological indicators and correlations of adolescent aggression in an urban student population].

Adolescent aggression has received a wide and longtime attention in scientific research, because of the extent of the phenomenon in this age group and of the negative consequences it inflicts on affected adolescents, and their human environments. The aim of this cross-sectional study was to determine the proportion (of high levels) of aggressive behaviors (physical, verbal, and direct aggression, anger, and hostility) in an urban sample of adolescent students, as well as to investigate associations between the occurrence of these behaviors, and adolescents' characteristics and mental health problems. The sample consisted of 2050 students attending the second grade of 49 random selected High Schools and Senior High Schools of the Regional Unit of the Central Sector of Attica and Piraeus. The Buss- Perry Aggression Questionnaire was administered to measure participants' aggression behaviors, while the Strength and Difficulties Questionnaire was also used to estimate their mental health and behavioral difficulties. Information about adolescents' individual, family, and school characteristics, was also collected. Results of the statistical analysis showed that the occurrence rates of high levels of participants' aggressive behaviors ranged between 2.2 (for total aggression) and 10.5% (for anger). Among individual characteristics, gender (with boys predominating in physical and direct aggression and girls in anger), (older) age, and sports activity (to direct aggression) were related to participants' aggressive behaviors. On the other hand, non-intact family structure and household insecurity food intake were positive correlated with specific aggressive behaviors, while pocket money allowance was positive associated with all of them. Concerning participants' mental health and behavioral issues, conduct problems and hyperactivity/ inattention were positive correlated with all investigated aggressive behaviors. In conclusion, the vast majority of the Central Sector of Attica and Piraeus adolescents did not seem to show high levels of aggressive behaviors (except anger). Nevertheless, considering this study outcomes (such as the "aggressive" burden of older adolescents, the role of family structure and pocket money allowance, as well as the co-occurrence with mental and behavioral problems), further longitudinal study is required to better understand the mechanisms that facilitate adolescent aggression.

Individual risk prediction: Comparing random forests with Cox proportional-hazards model by a simulation study.

With big data becoming widely available in healthcare, machine learning algorithms such as random forest (RF) that ignores time-to-event information and random survival forest (RSF) that handles right-censored data are used for individual risk prediction alternatively to the Cox proportional hazards (Cox-PH) model. We aimed to systematically compare RF and RSF with Cox-PH. RSF with three split criteria [log-rank (RSF-LR), log-rank score (RSF-LRS), maximally selected rank statistics (RSF-MSR)]; RF, Cox-PH, and Cox-PH with splines (Cox-S) were evaluated through a simulation study based on real data. One hundred eighty scenarios were investigated assuming different associations between the predictors and the outcome (linear/linear and interactions/nonlinear/nonlinear and interactions), training sample sizes (500/1000/5000), censoring rates (50%/75%/93%), hazard functions (increasing/decreasing/constant), and number of predictors (seven, 15 including noise variables). Methods' performance was evaluated with time-dependent area under curve and integrated Brier score. In all scenarios, RF had the worst performance. In scenarios with a low number of events (⩽70), Cox-PH was at least noninferior to RSF, whereas under linearity assumption it outperformed RSF. Under the presence of interactions, RSF performed better than Cox-PH as the number of events increased whereas Cox-S reached at least similar performance with RSF under nonlinear effects. RSF-LRS performed slightly worse than RSF-LR and RSF-MSR when including noise variables and interaction effects. When applied to real data, models incorporating survival time performed better. Although RSF algorithms are a promising alternative to conventional Cox-PH as data complexity increases, they require a higher number of events for training. In time-to-event analysis, algorithms that consider survival time should be used.

Sustained virological response after treatment with direct antiviral agents in individuals with HIV and hepatitis C co-infection.

INTRODUCTION: Randomized trials and observational studies have consistently reported rates of sustained virological response (SVR), equivalent to hepatitis C virus (HCV) cure, as high as 95% following treatment with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment in individuals with HIV and HCV co-infection. However, large studies assessing whether SVR rates differ according to demographic and clinical strata are lacking. Additionally, the SVR rates reported in the literature were typically computed in non-random samples of individuals with available post-DAA HCV-RNA measures. Here, we aimed to estimate the probability of SVR after DAA treatment initiation in persons with HIV and HCV co-infection overall and by demographic and clinical characteristics with and without adjustment for missing HCV-RNA testing. METHODS: We included adults with HIV-HCV co-infection who received DAA treatment between 2014 and 2020 in HepCAUSAL, an international collaboration of cohorts from Europe and North America. We estimated the proportions of DAA recipients who had documented SVR (defined as an undetectable HCV-RNA at least 12 weeks after the end of DAA treatment) overall and by strata defined by age, sex, presence of cirrhosis, calendar period, mode of HIV acquisition, CD4 cell count and HCV genotype at DAA treatment. We then compared these rates with those obtained using the parametric g-formula to impute SVR status for individuals with no SVR assessment. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: A total of 4527 individuals who initiated DAA treatment (88% males, median [IQR] age 56 [50, 62] years) were included. Of the total of 642 (14%) individuals had no HCV-RNA test on or after 12 weeks after the end of treatment. The overall observed and g-formula imputed SVR rates were 93% (95% CI 93, 94) and 94% (95% CI 92, 95), respectively. SVR estimates were similarly high across all strata. A substantial proportion of individuals who received DAA treatment were never assessed for SVR post-DAA and strategies for more systematic routine HCV-RNA testing should be considered. CONCLUSIONS: Our estimates with and without adjustment for missing HCV-RNA testing indicate SVR rates of approximately 95%, like those reported in clinical trials.

D313Y Variant in Fabry Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: There is accumulating evidence in the literature indicating a strong correlation between Fabry disease (FD) phenotypes and specific sequence variations in the Galactosidase Alpha (GLA) gene. Among them, the potential pathogenicity and clinical relevance of D313Y variation in patients with FD remain debated. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting D313Y as single occurring variant in the GLA gene and sought to evaluate (1) the prevalence of D313Y variation in different populations with or without clinical manifestations of FD, (2) the clinical FD phenotype in D313Y-positive patients, and (3) the proportion of D313Y-positive patients presenting abnormal laboratory findings (alpha-galactosidase-A deficiency or globotriaosylceramide accumulation). RESULTS: Forty cohorts comprising 211 individuals with D313Y variation among 42,723 participants with available GLA gene-sequencing data were included. Patients highly suspected for FD had a higher prevalence of D313Y variation (4.9%, 95% CI 1.6%-9.9%; I2 = 95.5%) compared with the general population (0%, 95% CI 0%-0.1%; I2 = 1.9%; p = 0.004). The prevalence of D313Y variation was 0.6% (95% CI 0.3%-1%; I2 = 74.1%), 0.4% (95% CI 0.2%-0.7%; I2 = 0%), and 0.3% (95% CI 0.2%-0.4%; I2 = 0%) in patients presenting with neurologic, cardiac, or renal manifestations, respectively. D313Y was associated with a milder, late-onset FD phenotype, as indicated by the mean patient age of 51 years (95% CI 44-59; I2 = 94%) and the evidence of alpha-galactosidase A deficiency and globotriaosylceramide accumulation in 26.7% (95% CI 15.3%-40%; I2 = 34%) and 16.2% (95% CI 8%-26.4%; I2 = 35%) of cases, respectively. D313Y-positive patients displayed predominantly neurologic FD manifestations (58.1%, 95% CI 37.7%-77.1%; I2 = 78%), with central and peripheral nervous system (CNS/PNS) involvement noted in 28.2% (95% CI 15.4%-43.2%; I2 = 51%) and 28.5% (95% CI 17.8%-40.5%; I2 = 61%) of cases, respectively. DISCUSSION: D313Y variation seems to correlate with an atypical, mild late-onset phenotype with predominantly neurologic FD manifestations. Monitoring for CNS/PNS involvement is thus paramount to identify D313Y-positive patients with latent or early-FD pathology, which may qualify for enzyme-replacement therapy or chaperone treatment.

Joint modeling of longitudinal and competing-risk data using cumulative incidence functions for the failure submodels accounting for potential failure cause misclassification through double sampling.

Most of the literature on joint modeling of longitudinal and competing-risk data is based on cause-specific hazards, although modeling of the cumulative incidence function (CIF) is an easier and more direct approach to evaluate the prognosis of an event. We propose a flexible class of shared parameter models to jointly model a normally distributed marker over time and multiple causes of failure using CIFs for the survival submodels, with CIFs depending on the "true" marker value over time (i.e., removing the measurement error). The generalized odds rate transformation is applied, thus a proportional subdistribution hazards model is a special case. The requirement that the all-cause CIF should be bounded by 1 is formally considered. The proposed models are extended to account for potential failure cause misclassification, where the true failure causes are available in a small random sample of individuals. We also provide a multistate representation of the whole population by defining mutually exclusive states based on the marker values and the competing risks. Based solely on the assumed joint model, we derive fully Bayesian posterior samples for state occupation and transition probabilities. The proposed approach is evaluated in a simulation study and, as an illustration, it is fitted to real data from people with HIV.

Hepatitis B, C and human immunodeficiency virus knowledge among the general greek population: results from the Hprolipsis nationwide survey.

BACKGROUND: Although several studies on hepatitis B (HBV), C (HCV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection have been conducted in Greece, little is known on the knowledge level of the Greek population towards these three infections. Our aim was to assess the knowledge level of the adult Greek general population about the HBV, HCV and HIV. METHODS: Data were derived from the first general population health survey, Hprolipsis. The sample was selected by multistage stratified random sampling. A standardized questionnaire was administered by trained interviewers during home visits. A knowledge score was constructed based on responses to 17 per infection selected items and categorized in three levels; high (12-17 correct replies) medium (6-11) and low (0-5). Among 8,341 eligible individuals, 6,006 were recruited (response rate: 72%) and 5,878 adults (≥ 18 years) were included in the analysis. The statistical analysis accounted for the study design. RESULTS: Only 30.4%, 21.6%, and 29.6% of the participants had a high overall knowledge level of HBV, HCV and HIV, respectively. These low percentages were mainly attributed to the high levels of misconception about transmission modes (65.9%, 67.2%, and 67.9%, respectively). Results showed that increasing age and living out of the big metropolitan cities were associated with decreased odds of having higher knowledge. Female gender, higher education level, higher monthly family income, higher medical risk score, history of testing and being born in Greece or Cyprus, were associated with increased odds of having higher knowledge. CONCLUSIONS: There are significant knowledge gaps in the Greek general population regarding modes of transmission, preventive measures and treatment availability for HBV, HCV and HIV. There is an urgent need for large scale but also localized awareness activities targeted to less privileged populations, to fill the gaps in knowledge and increase population engagement in preventive measures.

Changes in Body Mass Index after Initiation of Antiretroviral Treatment: Differences by Class of Core Drug.

Recent research on antiretroviral treatment (ART) for HIV suggests that integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTIs) cause faster weight gain compared to other drug classes. Here, we investigated changes in body mass index (BMI) and obesity prevalence after treatment initiation and corresponding differences between drug classes. Data were derived from a large collaborative cohort in Greece. Included individuals were adults who started ART, in or after 2010, while previously ART naïve and achieved virologic response within the first year of ART. Data were analysed using mixed fractional polynomial models. INSTI regimens led to the more pronounced BMI increases, followed by boosted PI and NNRTI based regimens. Individuals with normal initial BMI are expected to gain 6 kg with an INSTI regimen compared to 4 kg with a boosted PI and less than 3 kg with a NNRTI regimen after four years of treatment. Prevalence of obesity was 5.7% at ART initiation and 12.2%, 14.2% and 18.1% after four years of treatment with NNRTIs, PIs, and INSTIs, respectively. Dolutegravir or Raltegravir were associated with marginally faster BMI increase compared to Elvitegravir. INSTIs are associated with faster weight gain. INSTIs' increased risk of treatment emergent obesity and, possibly, weight-related co-morbidities should be judged against their improved efficacy and tolerability but increased clinical attention is required.

Validation of the Patient Health Questionnaire-4 (PHQ-4) to screen for depression and anxiety in the Greek general population.

OBJECTIVE: The Patient Health Questionnaire-4 (PHQ-4) is an ultra-brief self-report screening scale for depression and anxiety with promising psychometric properties; however, its reliability and validity have not been investigated in Greece yet. The objective of the current study was to investigate the reliability and validity of the PHQ-4 and to establish a cut-off score to identify depression and anxiety in the Greek general population. METHODS: The reliability of the PHQ-4 was assessed using a random sample of 204 students from Athens, Greece. The internal consistency (Cronbach's α) was evaluated whereas the test-retest reliability was measured over a one-week period with intra-class correlation (ICC). The scale's validity was assessed in a cross-sectional study of 591 adults living in Greece using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA). Cut-offs were determined using the Mini International Neuropsychiatric Interview (MINI) as the gold standard. RESULTS: Cronbach's α of the PHQ-4 was 0.80 and the overall ICC 0.96. CFA yielded a two-factor model, structurally invariant by age and gender. A GAD-2 score of 2 was the optimal cut-off point to detect any anxiety disorder (sensitivity = 0.82, specificity = 0.75) and 3 to detect generalized anxiety disorder (sensitivity = 0.77, specificity = 0.82). As for PHQ-2, a score of 2 was the optimal cut-off point to detect any depressive disorder (sensitivity = 0.87, specificity = 0.85) and 3 to detect major depressive disorder (sensitivity = 0.77, specificity = 0.94). CONCLUSIONS: The PHQ-4 is a reliable and valid screening scale for depression and anxiety in the Greek general population.