Reliability assessment of the OMERACT whole-body magnetic resonance imaging scoring system for juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

Inter-reader reliability of a new scoring system for evaluating joint inflammation and enthesitis in whole body MRI (WBMRI) in juvenile idiopathic arthritis was tested. The scoring system grades 732 item-region combinations of bone marrow and soft tissue changes for commonly involved joints and entheseal sites. Five radiologists rated 17 WBMRI scans through an online rating platform. Item-wise reliability was calculated for 117 items with non-zero scores in >10 % of readings. Interquartile ranges of the five-reader Kappa reliability coefficients were 0.58-0.73 (range: 0.36-0.88) for the joints, 0.65-0.81 (range: 0.39-0.95) for the entheses, and 0.62-0.75 (range: 0.60-0.76) for chronic nonbacterial osteomyelitis-like lesions.

Lengthening sleep reduces pain in childhood arthritis: a crossover randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) is a common chronic childhood disease and chronic pain is a debilitating feature. A strong link has been shown between poor sleep and pain in JIA. However, the causal direction is unknown. This study's aim was to determine if, in adolescents with JIA, a recommended healthful sleep duration leads to reductions in pain when compared with the restricted sleep (RS) duration that is commonly seen. METHODS: Patients with JIA (12-18 years old; pain score of ≥1 on a visual analogue scale) participated in a randomised, crossover sleep manipulation protocol. The 3-week protocol comprised a baseline week (BL), a week with healthy sleep duration (HSD; 9.5 hours in bed/night) and a RS week (RS; 6.5 hours in bed/night). After BL, participants were randomly assigned to either HSD or RS, and then crossed over to the other condition. Pain was self-assessed using the iCanCope with Pain app. We used Bayesian hierarchical models to estimate the effect of sleep duration on pain. RESULTS: Participants (n=31; mean age=15.0±1.8 years) averaged 1.4 (95% credible interval (CrI) 1.2-1.6) more hours of sleep per night during HSD relative to RS. Compared with RS, HSD resulted in a favourable effect on pain scores (OR 0.61, 95% CrI 0.39-0.95). CONCLUSION: It is possible to have adolescents with childhood arthritis get a healthier sleep duration, and this longer sleep results in reduced pain. These findings complement prior correlational studies and confirm a causal relationship between reduced sleep duration and increased pain. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04133662.

Determination of Relative Weightings for Sacroiliac Joint Pathologies in the OMERACT Juvenile Arthritis Magnetic Resonance Imaging Sacroiliac Joint Score.

This study aims to determine the relative weights (point value) of items of the juvenile idiopathic arthritis magnetic resonance imaging-sacroiliac joint scoring system (JAMRIS-SIJ). An adaptive multicriteria decision analysis was performed using the 1000Minds web application to determine the relative weights of the items in the JAMRIS-SIJ inflammation and damage domains. Experts in imaging and rheumatology independently completed a conjoint analysis survey (CAS) to determine the point value of the measurement items of the JAMRIS-SIJ. Each CAS survey question asked the expert to compare two hypothetical patient profiles, which were otherwise similar but different at two items at a time, and to select which item showed a more severe stage of inflammation or osteochondral damage. In addition, experts ranked 14 JAMRIS-SIJ grade only or image + grade patient vignettes while blinded to the CAS-derived weights. The validity of the weighted JAMRIS-SIJ was tested by comparing the expert CAS-weighted score and the image + grade ranking method. Seventeen experts completed the CAS (11 radiologists and 6 rheumatologists). Considering the point value for inflammation domain items, osteitis (24.7%) and bone marrow edema (24.3%) had higher group-averaged percentage weights compared to inflammation in erosion cavity (16.9%), joint space enhancement (13.1%), joint space fluid (9.1%), capsulitis (7.3%), and enthesitis (4.6%). Similarly, concerning the damage domain, ankylosis (41.3%) and erosion (25.1%) showed higher group-averaged weights compared to backfill (13.9%), sclerosis (10.7%), and fat metaplasia lesion (9.1%). The Spearman correlation coefficients of the CAS-weighted vignette order and unweighted JAMRIS-SIJ grade only order vignettes for all experts were 0.79 for inflammation and 0.80 for damage. The correlations of image vignettes among imaging experts to CAS were 0.75 for inflammation and 0.90 for damage. The multicriteria decision analysis identified differences in relative weights among the JAMRIS-SIJ measurement items. The determination of the relative weights provided expert-driven score scaling and face validity for the JAMRIS-SIJ, enabling the future evaluation of its longitudinal construct validity.

Reliability of the Preliminary OMERACT Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis MRI Score (OMERACT JAMRIS-SIJ).

This study reports the reliability of the juvenile idiopathic arthritis magnetic resonance imaging scoring system (JAMRIS-SIJ). The study comprised of eight raters-two rheumatologists and six radiologists-and 30 coronal T1 and Short-Tau Inversion Recovery (STIR) MRI scans of patients with enthesitis-related juvenile spondylarthritis. The median age of patients was 15 years with a mean disease duration of 5 years and 22 (73.3%) of the sample were boys. The inter-rater agreement of scores for each of the JAMRIS-SIJ items was calculated using a two-way random effect, absolute agreement, and single rater intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC 2.1). The ICC was interpreted together with kurtosis, since the ICC is also affected by the distribution of scores in the sample. The eight-rater, single measure inter-rater ICC (and kurtosis) values for JAMRIS-SIJ inflammation and damage components were the following: bone marrow edema (BME), 0.76 (1.2); joint space inflammation, 0.60 (1.8); capsulitis, 0.58 (9.2); enthesitis, 0.20 (0.1); ankylosis, 0.89 (35); sclerosis, 0.53 (4.6); erosion, 0.50 (6.5); fat lesion, 0.40 (21); backfill, 0.38 (38). The inter-rater reliability for BME and ankylosis scores was good and met the a priori set ICC threshold, whereas for the other items it was variable and below the selected threshold. Future directives should focus on refinement of the scores, definitions, and methods of interpretation prior to validation of the JAMRIS-SIJ through the assessment of its measurement properties.

Consensus-driven conceptual development of a standardized whole body-MRI scoring system for assessment of disease activity in juvenile idiopathic arthritis: MRI in JIA OMERACT working group.

OBJECTIVES: Whole body-MRI is helpful in directing diagnostic and treatment approaches, and as a research outcome measure. We describe our initial consensus-driven phase towards developing a whole body-MRI scoring system for juvenile idiopathic arthritis. METHODS: An iterative approach using three rounds of anonymous Delphi surveys followed by a consensus meeting was used to draft the structure of the whole body-MRI scoring system, including the relevant anatomic joints and entheses for assessment, diagnostic item selection, definition and grading, and selection of appropriate MRI planes and sequences. The surveys were completed independently by an international expert group consisting of pediatric radiologists and rheumatologists. RESULTS: Twenty-two experts participated in at least one of three rounds of Delphi surveys and a concluding consensus meeting. A first iteration scoring system was developed which ultimately included the assessment of 100 peripheral, 23 chest, and 76 axial joints, and 64 entheses, with 2-4 diagnostic items graded in each of the items, using binary (presence/absence) and 2-3-level ordinal scores. Recommendations on anatomic MRI planes and sequences were specified as the minimally necessary imaging protocol for the scoring system. CONCLUSION: A novel whole body-MRI scoring system for juvenile idiopathic arthritis was developed by consensus among members of MRI in JIA OMERACT working group. Further iterative refinements, reliability testing, and responsiveness are warranted in upcoming studies.

Higher concentrations of vitamin D in Canadian children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis compared to healthy controls are associated with more frequent use of vitamin D supplements and season of birth.

A number of studies have demonstrated that patients with autoimmune disease have lower levels of vitamin D prompting speculation that vitamin D might suppress inflammation and immune responses in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).  The objective of this study was to compare vitamin D levels in children with JIA at disease onset with healthy children. We hypothesized that children and adolescents with JIA have lower vitamin D levels than healthy children and adolescents. Data from a Canadian cohort of children with new-onset JIA (n= 164, data collection 2007-2012) were compared to Canadian Health Measures Survey (CHMS) data (n=4027, data collection 2007-2011). We compared 25-hydroxy vitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations with measures of inflammation, vitamin D supplement use, milk intake, and season of birth. Mean 25(OH)D level was significantly higher in patients with JIA (79 ± 3.1 nmol/L) than in healthy controls (68 ± 1.8 nmol/L P <.05). Patients with JIA more often used vitamin D containing supplements (50% vs. 7%; P <.05). The prevalence of 25(OH)D deficiency (<30 nmol/L) was 6% for both groups. Children with JIA with 25(OH)D deficiency or insufficiency (<50 nmol/L) had higher C-reactive protein levels. Children with JIA were more often born in the fall and winter compared to healthy children. In contrast to earlier studies, we found vitamin D levels in Canadian children with JIA were higher compared to healthy children and associated with more frequent use of vitamin D supplements. Among children with JIA, low vitamin D levels were associated with indicators of greater inflammation.

Clinical and psychosocial stress factors are associated with decline in physical activity over time in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Physical activity (PA) patterns in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) over time are not well described. The aim of this study was to describe associations of physical activity (PA) with disease activity, function, pain, and psychosocial stress in the 2 years following diagnosis in an inception cohort of children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). METHODS: In 82 children with newly diagnosed JIA, PA levels, prospectively determined at enrollment, 12 and 24 months using the Physical Activity Questionnaire for Children (PAQ-C) and Adolescents (PAQ-A) raw scores, were evaluated in relation to disease activity as reflected by arthritis activity (Juvenile Arthritis Disease Activity Score (JADAS-71)), function, pain, and psychosocial stresses using a linear mixed model approach. Results in the JIA cohort were compared to normative Pediatric Bone Mineral Accrual Study data derived from healthy children using z-scores. RESULTS: At enrollment, PA z-score levels of study participants were lower than those in the normative population (median z-score - 0.356; p = 0.005). At enrollment, PA raw scores were negatively associated with the psychosocial domain of the Juvenile Arthritis Quality of Life Questionnaire (r = - 0.251; p = 0.023). There was a significant decline in PAQ-C/A raw scores from baseline (median and IQR: 2.6, 1.4-3.1) to 24 months (median and IQR: 2.1, 1.4-2.7; p = 0.003). The linear mixed-effect model showed that PAQ-C/A raw scores in children with JIA decreased as age, disease duration, and ESR increased. The PAQ-C/A raw scores of the participants was also negatively influenced by an increase in disease activity as measured by the JADAS-71 (p <  0.001). CONCLUSION: Canadian children with newly diagnosed JIA have lower PA levels than healthy children. The decline in PA levels over time was associated with disease activity and higher disease-specific psychosocial stress.

Causal pathways to health-related quality of life in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis: results from the ReACCh-Out cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Structural equation modelling was applied to data from the Research in Arthritis in Canadian Children emphasizing Outcomes (ReACCh-Out) cohort to help elucidate causal pathways to decreased health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in children with JIA. METHODS: Based on published literature and clinical plausibility, a priori models were constructed with explicit root causes (disease activity, treatment intensity) and mediators (pain, disease symptoms, functional impairments) leading to HRQoL [measured by the Quality of my Life (QoML) scale and the Juvenile Arthritis Quality of Life Questionnaire (JAQQ)] at five disease stages: (i) diagnosis, (ii) 3-9 months after diagnosis, (iii) flare, (iv) remission on medications, (v) remission off medications. Following structural equation modelling, a posteriori models were selected based on data fit and clinical plausibility. RESULTS: We included 561, 887, 137, 186 and 182 patients at each stage, respectively. In a posteriori models for active disease stages, paths from disease activity led through pain, functional impairments, and disease symptoms, directly or through restrictions in participation, to decreased QoML scores. Treatment intensity had detrimental effects through psychosocial domains; while treatment side effects had a lesser role. Pathways were similar for QoML and JAQQ, but JAQQ models provided greater specificity. Models for remission stages were not supported by the data. CONCLUSION: Our findings support disease activity and treatment intensity as being root causes of decreased HRQoL in children with JIA, with pain, functional impairments, and participation restrictions being mediators for disease activity; they support psychosocial effects and side effects as being mediators for treatment intensity.

Toward Developing a Semiquantitative Whole Body-MRI Scoring for Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis: Critical Appraisal of the State of the Art, Challenges, and Opportunities.

With powerful new therapies available for management of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA), early diagnosis leading to appropriate treatment may prevent long-term structural joint damage. Although magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is typically used to assess individual body parts, indications for whole body (WB) MRI are increasing. Its utility as a diagnostic and monitoring tool has already been widely investigated in adult rheumatology patients, but less so in pediatric rheumatologic patients. This paper is a comprehensive review of scoring systems and a proposal for the conceptual development of a WB-MRI scoring system for the evaluation of JIA. In this review we identify, summarize, and critically appraise the available literature on the use of WB-MRI in inflammatory arthritis, addressing relevant considerations on components of a classification system that can lead to the development of a future pediatric WB-MRI scoring system for use in children with JIA. We also discuss advantages and challenges of developing such a WB-MRI scoring system for assessment of JIA and outline next steps toward the conceptual development of this scoring system.

Soluble Low-density Lipoprotein Receptor-related Protein 1 in Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to expand knowledge about soluble low-density lipoprotein receptor-related protein 1 (sLRP1) in juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) by determining associations of sLRP1 levels in nonsystemic JIA patients with clinical and inflammatory biomarker indicators of disease activity. METHODS: Plasma sLRP1 and 44 inflammation-related biomarkers were measured at enrollment and 6 months later in a cohort of 96 newly diagnosed Canadian patients with nonsystemic JIA. Relationships between sLRP1 levels and indicators of disease activity and biomarker levels were analyzed at both visits. RESULTS: At enrollment, sLRP1 levels correlated negatively with age and active joint counts. Children showed significantly higher levels of sLRP1 than adolescents (mean ranks: 55.4 and 41.9, respectively; P = 0.02). Participants with 4 or fewer active joints, compared to those with 5 or more active joints, had significantly higher sLRP1 levels (mean ranks: 56.2 and 40.7, respectively; P = 0.006). At enrollment, considering the entire cohort, sLRP1 correlated negatively with the number of active joints (r = -0.235, P = 0.017). In the entire cohort, sLRP1 levels at enrollment and 6 months later correlated with 13 and 6 pro- and antiinflammatory biomarkers, respectively. In JIA categories, sLRP1 correlations with inflammatory markers were significant in rheumatoid factor-negative polyarticular JIA, oligoarticular JIA, enthesitis-related arthritis, and psoriatic arthritis at enrollment. Higher sLRP1 levels at enrollment increased the likelihood of absence of active joints 6 months later. CONCLUSION: Plasma sLRP1 levels correlate with clinical and biomarker indicators of short-term improvement in JIA disease activity, supporting sLRP1 as an upstream biomarker of potential utility for assessing JIA disease activity and outcome prediction.

Whole-body MRI Quantification for Assessment of Bone Lesions in Chronic Nonbacterial Osteomyelitis Patients Treated With Pamidronate: A Prevalence, Reproducibility, and Responsiveness Study.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was (1) to assess the interreader reliability in detecting and scoring the inflammatory bone lesions in pediatric patients with chronic nonbacterial osteomyelitis (CNO) by using whole-body magnetic resonance imaging (WB-MRI), and (2) to evaluate the responsiveness of the MRI-detected CNO lesions to pamidronate therapy. METHODS: Eighty-eight WB-MRI examinations were independently reviewed and scored by 2 radiologists blinded to clinical details in 32 retrospectively enrolled pediatric patients with CNO. Inflammatory bone lesions, soft tissue abnormality, and bony structural changes were scored before and after pamidronate therapy. Lesion responsiveness was calculated by using standardized response mean and interreader reliability was assessed by k statistics. RESULTS: There was good to excellent interreader agreement for the detection and quantification of bone lesions. After the first cycle of pamidronate in all 32 patients, 96 of the 279 lesions (34%; after excluding 108 lesions of hand and feet) resolved, whereas in a subset of 11 patients with 2 or more cycles, 76% of lesions resolved after the second cycle. Twenty-one (7.5%) lesions worsened and 46 (16.4%) new lesions developed after 1 cycle in all 32 patients. In these 11 patients, the number of worsened lesions reduced to 2 (2%) and new lesions to 14 (14.9%) after the second cycle as detected on MRI. Vertebral lesions had the highest response to treatment. CONCLUSION: WB-MRI is a reliable tool for objective quantification and assessment of response to treatment of pediatric CNO bone lesions and could be used to monitor disease activity for clinical and research purposes.

"It's Not Just About Getting Along": Exploring Learning Through the Discourse and Practice of Interprofessional Collaboration.

PURPOSE: Interprofessional collaboration (IPC) is a necessary competency for all professionals. However, IPC can be fraught with politics leading to variable uptake and execution. The authors set out to understand how trainees come to appreciate the value of the "team" in their learning and to describe the type of learning related to IPC afforded to trainees in a highly collaborative complex care context. METHOD: The authors conducted 72 hours of observations of pediatric rheumatology settings at a large pediatric hospital across 18 months. They interviewed 10 health professionals and analyzed an archive of texts to ascertain how the field of pediatric rheumatology conceptualizes the role of IPC. They used the concept of governmentality and critical discourse analysis to describe how values of collaboration enabled learning and theories of expertise to understand how learning was enacted and perceived. RESULTS: Collaboration was perceived to be a product of providing good rheumatological care, which in this case, aligned well with hospital model of IPC. This alignment afforded trainees learning opportunities beyond preparing them to get along with other health professionals. IPC, when role modeled during problem solving, created the conditions for learning "why" collaboration is important for clinical expertise. CONCLUSIONS: By critically examining the relationship between discourse, practice, and learning, the authors have described how practices that underpin collaboration as a clinical competency are distinct from collaboration as cultural work contributing to civility within teams and across the organization.

Teens Taking Charge: A Randomized Controlled Trial of a Web-Based Self-Management Program With Telephone Support for Adolescents With Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) is a serious and potentially debilitating pediatric illness. Improved disease self-management may help to improve health outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of the Teens Taking Charge Web-based self-management intervention in reducing symptoms and improving health-related quality of life (HRQL) in adolescents with JIA compared with a Web-based education control condition. METHODS: Adolescents with JIA aged 12 to 18 years were recruited from 11 Canadian pediatric rheumatology centers. Caregivers were invited to participate along with their child. In addition to standard medical care, participants were randomized to receive either (1) the Teens Taking Charge self-management intervention or (2) a Web-based education control condition for a period of 12 weeks. Adolescents in the intervention group completed website modules addressing cognitive behavioral coping skills, stress management, and other self-management topics, while also receiving monthly telephone calls from a trained health coach. Adolescents in the education control group were instructed to view a series of preselected public JIA educational websites and received monthly calls from a coach who asked about their own best efforts at managing JIA. Caregivers in the intervention group completed website modules related to promoting independence and disease self-management in their child. Caregivers in the education control group were instructed to view a series of preselected public JIA educational websites. Outcome assessment occurred at baseline, 12 weeks (posttreatment), and at 6 and 12 months postrandomization. The primary outcomes were pain intensity, pain interference, and HRQL. Secondary outcomes were emotional symptoms, adherence, coping, knowledge, and self-efficacy. RESULTS: In total, 333 adolescents and 306 caregivers were enrolled. Significant overall reductions in pain intensity (P=.02) and pain interference (P=.007) were observed for intervention group participants compared with those in the education control group, after adjusting for baseline levels. There was a significant overall improvement in HRQL related to problems with pain (P=.02) and problems with daily activities (P=.01). There was also a significant difference in the intervention group over time (P=.008) for HRQL related to treatment problems, with the intervention group participants demonstrating improved HRQL by 12 months compared with education control group participants. Both groups showed nonsignificant improvements compared with baseline in other primary outcomes. There were no significant differences between the groups in any secondary outcomes or caregiver-reported outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this randomized trial suggest that the Teens Taking Charge Web-based intervention is effective at reducing both pain intensity and pain interference, as well as improving HRQL in adolescents with JIA, compared with education control. These effects are sustained for up to 12 months following program completion. The Teens Taking Charge program is now publicly available at no cost. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01572896; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01572896.

Image guided sacroiliac joint corticosteroid injections in children: an 18-year single-center retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Sacroiliitis is commonly seen in enthesitis-related arthritis (ERA), a subtype of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). Sacroiliitis is characterized by the inflammation of the sacroiliac (SI) joints (+/- adjacent tissues). The treatment options include systemic therapy with or without corticosteroid SI joint injections. Image guided SI joint injections are frequently requested in pediatric patients with sacroiliitis. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the feasibility and efficacy of SI joint injections in children with sacroiliitis. METHODS: A retrospective study of patients referred to Interventional Radiology (IR) for SI joint corticosteroid injections (2000-2018). Clinical information was collected from Electronic Patient Charts and procedural details from PACS. Efficacy was determined clinically, by MRI, or both when available. RESULTS: 50 patients (13.8 years; M:F = 35:15) underwent image-guided SI joint corticosteroid injections. Most common indications were JIA (84%) and inflammatory bowel disease (14%). 80% had bilateral injections. 80% were performed under general anesthesia and 20% under sedation. The corticosteroid of choice was triamcinolone hexacetonide in 98% of patients. Needle guidance and confirmation was performed using CT and fluoroscopy (54%), Cone Beam CT (CBCT, 46%), with initial ultrasound assistance in 34%. All procedures were technically successful without any complications. 32/50 patients had long-term follow-up (2 years); 21/32 (66%) had clinical improvement within 3-months. Of 15 patients who had both pre- and post-procedure MRIs, 93% showed short-term improvement. At 2 years, 6% of patients were in remission, 44% continued the same treatment and 47% escalated treatment. CONCLUSION: Image-guided SI joint injections are safe and technically feasible in children. Imaging modalities for guidance have evolved, with CBCT being the current first choice. Most patients showed short-term clinical and imaging improvement, requiring long-term maintenance or escalation of medical treatment.

Associations of clinical and inflammatory biomarker clusters with juvenile idiopathic arthritis categories.

OBJECTIVE: To identify discrete clusters comprising clinical features and inflammatory biomarkers in children with JIA and to determine cluster alignment with JIA categories. METHODS: A Canadian prospective inception cohort comprising 150 children with JIA was evaluated at baseline (visit 1) and after six months (visit 2). Data included clinical manifestations and inflammation-related biomarkers. Probabilistic principal component analysis identified sets of composite variables, or principal components, from 191 original variables. To discern new clinical-biomarker clusters (clusters), Gaussian mixture models were fit to the data. Newly-defined clusters and JIA categories were compared. Agreement between the two was assessed using Kruskal-Wallis analyses and contingency plots. RESULTS: Three principal components recovered 35% (three clusters) and 40% (five clusters) of the variance in patient profiles in visits 1 and 2, respectively. None of the clusters aligned precisely with any of the seven JIA categories but rather spanned multiple categories. Results demonstrated that the newly defined clinical-biomarker lustres are more homogeneous than JIA categories. CONCLUSION: Applying unsupervised data mining to clinical and inflammatory biomarker data discerns discrete clusters that intersect multiple JIA categories. Results suggest that certain groups of patients within different JIA categories are more aligned pathobiologically than their separate clinical categorizations suggest. Applying data mining analyses to complex datasets can generate insights into JIA pathogenesis and could contribute to biologically based refinements in JIA classification.

Clinical and associated inflammatory biomarker features predictive of short-term outcomes in non-systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To identify early predictors of disease activity at 18 months in JIA using clinical and biomarker profiling. METHODS: Clinical and biomarker data were collected at JIA diagnosis in a prospective longitudinal inception cohort of 82 children with non-systemic JIA, and their ability to predict an active joint count of 0, a physician global assessment of disease activity of ≤1 cm, and inactive disease by Wallace 2004 criteria 18 months later was assessed. Correlation-based feature selection and ReliefF were used to shortlist predictors and random forest models were trained to predict outcomes. RESULTS: From the original 112 features, 13 effectively predicted 18-month outcomes. They included age, number of active/effused joints, wrist, ankle and/or knee involvement, ESR, ANA positivity and plasma levels of five inflammatory biomarkers (IL-10, IL-17, IL-12p70, soluble low-density lipoprotein receptor-related protein 1 and vitamin D), at enrolment. The clinical plus biomarker panel predicted active joint count = 0, physician global assessment ≤ 1, and inactive disease after 18 months with 0.79, 0.80 and 0.83 accuracy and 0.84, 0.83, 0.88 area under the curve, respectively. Using clinical features alone resulted in 0.75, 0.72 and 0.80 accuracy, and area under the curve values of 0.81, 0.78 and 0.83, respectively. CONCLUSION: A panel of five plasma biomarkers combined with clinical features at the time of diagnosis more accurately predicted short-term disease activity in JIA than clinical characteristics alone. If validated in external cohorts, such a panel may guide more rationally conceived, biologically based, personalized treatment strategies in early JIA.

Real-World Effectiveness of Common Treatment Strategies for Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis: Results From a Canadian Cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Undervaluing the effectiveness of conventional treatments may lead to overtreatment with biologic medications in children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA). Using data from a nationwide inception cohort and strict methods to control bias, the aim of our study was to estimate the real-world effectiveness of simple JIA treatment strategies recommended in current guidelines. METHODS: Children with JIA who were recruited at 16 Canadian centers from 2005 to 2010 were followed for up to 5 years. For each child, all observed treatment changes over time were assessed by independent physicians using prospectively collected data and published response criteria. Success was defined as attainment of inactive disease or maintenance of this state when stepping down treatment; minimally active disease was deemed acceptable for children with polyarticular JIA. Success rates were calculated for treatments tried ≥25 times, and logistic regression analysis identified features associated with success. RESULTS: A total of 4,429 treatment episodes were observed in 1,352 children. Nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drug (NSAID) monotherapy was attempted 697 times, mostly as initial treatment when <5 joints were involved, with a 54.4% success rate (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 50.3-58.6). NSAIDs plus joint injections had a 64.7% success rate (95% CI 59.8-69.7). Adding methotrexate to NSAIDs and/or joint injections (attempted 566 times) had a 60.5% success rate (95% CI 55.7-65.3). In adjusted analyses, each additional active joint reduced chances of success for treatment with NSAIDs (odds ratio [OR] 0.90 [95% CI 0.85-0.94]) and for methotrexate combinations (OR 0.96 [95% CI 0.94-0.99]). Each additional year after disease onset reduced chances of success for treatment with methotrexate combinations (OR 0.83 [95% CI 0.72-0.95]). CONCLUSION: These real-world effectiveness estimates show that conventional nonbiologic treatment strategies that are recommended in current guidelines are effective in achieving treatment targets in many children with JIA.