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1.
PLoS One ; 18(11): e0294959, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37988344

RESUMO

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0284811.].

2.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 30(53): 114667-114677, 2023 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37831239

RESUMO

We study the dynamic connectedness between green bonds and the cryptocurrency environmental attention index (ICEA), using the TVP-VAR methodology. The spillovers increase with the level of environmental attention, suggesting cross-market activism by green investors. Denmark, the Euro area, Hong Kong, Australia, and the US are the source of spillovers, while Japan, the UK, and Switzerland are major recipients. The return spillovers exceed volatility spillovers and rise in strength during COVID-19 and the geopolitics-induced military hostilities in Ukraine. Several imperative implications of the findings are notable for policymakers, market participants, and practitioners.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Militares , Humanos , Austrália , Hong Kong , Japão
3.
PLoS One ; 18(8): e0288377, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37535520

RESUMO

Are green investments decoupled from the dirty investment such as the fossil fuel markets? We address this issue by extending the literature on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) assets by examining the dynamic relationship between fossil fuels and digital ESG assets proxied by green cryptocurrencies using the TVP-VAR(Time-varying parameter vector auto regression) spillover framework. Furthermore, we analyze the hedging attributes of green cryptocurrencies and fossil fuels in a minimum connectedness framework. The main findings are as follows: First, green cryptocurrencies are the main shock transmitters in all asset systems. Second, the dynamic connectedness between green cryptocurrencies and fossil fuels increased during the COVID-19 and Russia-Ukraine conflicts. Third, green cryptocurrencies have shown considerable hedging effectiveness against the fossil fuels. Our study has important implications for investors, regulators, and policy makers, such as shifting to green cryptocurrencies, regulation of carbon footprint, and promoting eco-friendly assets.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Pessoal Administrativo , Pegada de Carbono , Combustíveis Fósseis , Investimentos em Saúde
4.
PLoS One ; 18(5): e0285027, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37126520

RESUMO

This paper analyzes the risk-return characteristics of socially responsible investing by employing a time-varying capital gain and Sharpe ratio analysis for various investment horizons. We employ the MSCI ESG (environmental, social and governance) leaders indices in ten markets encompassing Australia, Canada, Europe, Japan, UK, USA, China, India, Russia, and South Africa. Our sample ranges from 2007-2020. We document that ESG investments have very desirable return and hedging attributes for investors in these markets, and especially so in the USA and emerging markets.


Assuntos
Investimentos em Saúde , Organizações , China , Princípios Morais , Canadá
5.
PLoS One ; 18(4): e0284811, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37098028

RESUMO

We quantify information flows between geopolitical risk (GPR) and global financial assets such as equity, bonds, and commodities, with a focus on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. We combine transfer entropy and the I-CEEMDAN framework to measure information flows at multi-term scales. Our empirical results indicate that (i) in the short term, crude oil and Russian equity show opposite responses to GPR; (ii) in the medium and long term, GPR information increases the risk in the financial market; and (iii) the efficiency of the financial asset markets can be confirmed on a long-term scale. These findings have important implications for market participants, such as investors, portfolio managers, and policymakers.


Assuntos
Etnicidade , Petróleo , Humanos , Entropia , Federação Russa
6.
Humanit Soc Sci Commun ; 10(1): 4, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36619598

RESUMO

This study aims to examine the impact of the different waves of the COVID-19 pandemic on the connectedness of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) term structure of interest rates and its components (level, slope and curvature). For that purpose, this research applies the time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) approach in order to assess the direction of spillovers among countries and factors and measure their contribution to the connectedness system. Our results show that the total connectedness measure changes over time, and the level and curvature components show connectedness that persists longer than the slope component, both in the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brazil and South Africa would appear as net transmitters of shocks, whereas China and India are net receivers. Finally, the most significant differences in the net dynamic connectedness between transmitters and receivers were focused on before and during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. Some additional impacts were observed during the last waves of the coronavirus pandemic. To our best knowledge, this is the first study on the connectedness between the yield curves of the BRICS economies and the COVID-19 crisis uncertainty according to the coronavirus MCI, by decomposing the yield curve into its factors (level, slope, and curvature).

7.
Energy Econ ; 117: 106420, 2023 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36467867

RESUMO

This study analyzes the relationship between clean and dirty energy sources and energy metals during the COVID-19 pandemic. We document a sharp increase in connectedness after the COVID-19 pandemic, that is asymmetric at the lower and upper quantiles, with stronger dependence among the variables at the upper quantiles. Among the energy metals, cobalt is the least connected to the energy markets. Finally, our empirical results show a switch in the net connectedness indexes of energy metals and clean energy after January 2021. Our results have implication for investors and policy makers for energy and metal under various market conditions.

8.
J Econ Asymmetries ; 26: e00257, 2022 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35999865

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all sectors of the economy resulting in unprecedented challenges for market participants, policymakers, and practitioners. This study envisages this issue from the perspective of real estate investment trusts (REITs), which is a relatively less analysed segment. We examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on REIT returns for 12 top REIT regimes spread across America, Asia, and Europe under the bullish, bearish, and normal market conditions over the COVID-19 period (specifically from February 02, 2020, to January 24, 2022). We employ the quantile-on-quantile regression and causality-in-quantiles approach. We document a strong (weak) predictive power of COVID-19 cases on REIT returns within the lower (upper) conditioned quantiles. Our findings are of importance to market participants, practitioners, and regulators across REIT regimes.

9.
Ann Oper Res ; : 1-25, 2022 Jun 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35694373

RESUMO

This paper investigates the influence of oil demand, oil supply, and risk-driven shocks on the yield curve in the US between 1995 and 2020. The US term-structure shape is modeled by three structural factors, the level, slope, and curvature. Their empirical analysis is performed according to the Diebold-Li modified variant of the widely used Nelson-Siegel model. The technique of wavelet analysis allows investigating the interrelation of shocks in oil prices and the US yield curve along time and frequency domains, simultaneously. We report on low, medium, and high coherence zones, relative to the oil price movements and the changes in the three yield-curve factors. The low coherence intervals indicate the potential for the three latent factors to be used for creating diversification strategies capable of hedging adverse dynamics in the oil market, potentially workable through global crises. We document the variability of dynamic patterns observable for the US sovereign yield factors on per-type-of-shock basis, evidencing the potential role of the US sovereign debt investments for designing cross-asset hedge strategies for commodity and fixed-income markets.

10.
Financ Res Lett ; 49: 103031, 2022 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35669177

RESUMO

We study the relationship between return and volatility of non-fungible tokens (NFT) segments and media coverage during the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in a connectedness framework. We document media coverage as a net transmitter of spillover for both the return and volatility of NFT segments. We find that NFTs representing the Utilities segment is a major transmitter of spillover. Our findings have important implications for portfolio managers, regulators, and policymakers.

11.
Financ Res Lett ; 45: 102170, 2022 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35221818

RESUMO

This study examines the dynamic connectedness between COVID-19 media coverage index (MCI) and ESG leader indices. Our findings provide evidence that MCI plays a role in facilitating the transmission of contagion to advanced and emerging equity markets during the pandemic. The connectedness between MCI and ESG leader indices is more pronounced around March and April 2020 at the peak of the pandemic. The US is a net receiver of shocks reaffirming that it was the most affected country during the pandemic. Our results provide implications for investors, portfolio managers, and policymakers in mitigating financial risks during the pandemic.

12.
Financ Res Lett ; 44: 102042, 2022 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35013673

RESUMO

We explore the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the term structure of interest rates. Using data from developed and emerging countries, we demonstrate that the expansion of the disease significantly affects sovereign bond markets. The growth of confirmed cases significantly widens the term spreads of government bonds. The effect is independent of government policy and monetary responses to COVID-19 and robust to many considerations.

13.
Technol Forecast Soc Change ; 172: 121025, 2021 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34658451

RESUMO

This research explores the impact of COVID-19-related media coverage on the dynamic return and volatility connectedness of the three dominant cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP)) and the fiat currencies of the euro, GBP and Chinese yuan. The sample period covers the first and second devasting waves of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis and ranges from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020. The dynamic return and volatility connectedness measures are estimated using the time varying parameter-VAR approach. Our return connectedness analysis shows that the media coverage index (only before the first wave) and the cryptocurrencies are the net transmitters of shocks while the fiat currencies are the net receivers of shocks. Similar results are obtained in terms of volatility, except for the euro, which shows a clear net receiver profile in January and February. This fiat currency (the euro) became a net transmitter in March and during the first wave of the COVID-19 crisis, which possibly shows the virulence of the pandemic on the European continent. Moreover, the most relevant differences between the net dynamic (return and volatility) connectedness of these two groups of currencies are focused on the beginning of the sample period, just before the first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic crisis, although some differences are observed during the first and second waves of the coronavirus outbreak.

14.
Res Int Bus Finance ; 58: 101493, 2021 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34518718

RESUMO

We apply wavelet analyses to study how the Covid-19 fueled panic influenced the volatility of ESG (environmental, social and governance) leaders' indices encompassing the World, the USA, Europe, China, and the Emerging Markets. We document intervals of the low, medium, and high coherence between the Coronavirus Panic Index and the price moves of the ESG Leaders indices. The low coherence intervals signify the diversification potential of ESG investments during a systemic pandemic such as Covid-19. We document differences in the pattern exhibited by various geographical indices highlighting their potential role for designing cross-geography hedge strategies, both now and in the future.

15.
PLoS One ; 16(7): e0253791, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34197524

RESUMO

This paper analyses the influence of the Covid-19 coverage by the social media upon the shape of the sovereign yield curves of the five major developing countries, namely Federative Republic of B razil, Russian Federation, Republic of India, People's Republic of China, and the Republic of South Africa (BRICS). The coherenc e between the level, slope, and the curvature of the sovereign yield term structures and the Covid-19 medi a coverage is found to vary between low and high ranges, depending on the phases of the pandemic. The empirical estimations of the yield-curve factors a re performed by means of the Diebold-Li modified version of the Nelson-Siegel model. The intervals of low coherence reveal the capacity of the two latent factors, level and slope, to be used for creating cross-factor diversification strategies, workable under crisis conditions, as evidenced on the example of the ongoing pandemic. Diverse coherence patterns are reported on a per-country basis, highlighting a promising potential of sovereign debt investments for designing cross-country and cross-factor fixed-income strategies, capable of hedging downside risks.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Mídias Sociais , Brasil/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Comércio , Previsões , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Modelos Econométricos , Federação Russa/epidemiologia , África do Sul/epidemiologia
16.
PLoS One ; 16(2): e0246886, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33606770

RESUMO

This paper studies the connectedness between oil price shocks and agricultural commodities. Our sample period ranges from January 2002 to July 2020, covering the three global crises; Global Financial Crisis, the European sovereign debt crisis and Covid-19 pandemic crisis. We employ Granger causality tests, and the static and dynamic connectedness spillover index methodology. We find that the shocks in oil prices are Granger-caused mainly by price changes of grains, live cattle, and wheat, while supply shock granger causes variations mostly in grain prices. We find that, from the point of view of static connectedness, for both, price and volatility spillovers, the livestock is the largest transmitter, while the lean hogs are the major receiver. Our dynamic analysis evidences that connectedness increases during the financial crisis period. Our results are potentially useful for investors, portfolios managers and policy makers.


Assuntos
Agricultura/economia , COVID-19/economia , Comércio/economia , Petróleo/economia , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , União Europeia/economia , Humanos
17.
Financ Innov ; 7(1): 59, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35024286

RESUMO

This study examines the connectedness between the US yield curve components (i.e., level, slope, and curvature), exchange rates, and the historical volatility of the exchange rates of the main safe-haven fiat currencies (Canada, Switzerland, EURO, Japan, and the UK) and the leading cryptocurrency, the Bitcoin. Results of the static analysis show that the level and slope of the yield curve are net transmitters of shocks to both the exchange rate and its volatility. The exchange rate of the Euro and the volatility of the Euro and the Canadian dollar exchange rate are net transmitters of shocks. Meanwhile, the curvature of the yield curve and the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, and British Pound act mainly as net receivers. Our static connectedness analysis shows that Bitcoin is mainly independent of shocks from the yield curve's level, slope, and curvature, and from any main currency investigated. These findings hint that Bitcoin might provide hedging benefits. However, similar to the static analysis, our dynamic analysis shows that during different periods and particularly in stressful times, Bitcoin is far from being isolated from other currencies or the yield curve components. The dynamic analysis allows us to observe Bitcoin's connectedness in times of stress. Evidence supporting this contention is the substantially increased connectedness due to policy shocks, political uncertainty, and systemic crisis, implying no empirical support for Bitcoin's safe-haven property during stress times. The increased connectedness in the dynamic analysis compared with the static approach implies that in normal times and especially in stressful times, Bitcoin has the property of a diversifier. The results may have important implications for investors and policymakers regarding their risk monitoring and their assets allocation and investment strategies.

18.
Resour Policy ; 73: 102164, 2021 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36567729

RESUMO

We apply wavelet analyses to study how the Covid pandemic influenced the volatility of commodity prices, covering various classes of commodities. We document the intervals of low, medium, and high coherence between the coronavirus panic index and the moves of the commodity prices. The low coherence intervals indicate the diversification potential of commodity investments during a systemic pandemic such as Covid-19. We document differences in the observed patterns per commodity category and evidence their potential role for designing cross-assets hedge strategies based on investments in commodities.

19.
J Behav Exp Finance ; 28: 100404, 2020 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32983899

RESUMO

We apply wavelet analyses to examine the impact of the Covid-19 fueled panic on the volatility of major fiat and cryptocurrency markets during January-May, 2020. There is high coherence between moves of the Coronavirus Panic Index and the price moves in Euro, British pound, and Renminbi currencies as well as movements of the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index. The main conclusions for each index pair are quite similar and corroborate with our thesis that the cross-currency hedge strategies, which could work under normal market conditions, are likely to fail during the periods of global crisis, e.g., such as the Covid-19 pandemic. However, we document some important differences in currency markets behavior, which potentially could be used to design effective cross-currency hedges capable of withstanding adverse impacts of global financial and economic turmoil. Our findings could be of use for future development of financial policies and currency markets regulation rules.

20.
Econ Model ; 93: 112-124, 2020 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32834335

RESUMO

We investigate the connectedness of the most significant global equity indices that comprise companies with the highest environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance. Motivated by the rapid growth of socially responsible investing during the last two decades, we examine whether these investments are prone to similar exogenous economic and financial shocks as their conventional counterparts. Employing a variety of influential macroeconomic and financial variables over the period 10/1/2007-4/15/2020, we document statistically significant and consistent transmissions between the employed equity indices throughout the sample period. In particular, the connectedness exhibits dynamic patterns during three periods: the European sovereign debt crisis, the systemic Greek problems, and the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic. We also find that developed equity markets are the shock transmitters to Asian and other emerging markets. Our results highlight the risk of contagion and the diminishing portfolio diversification benefits of these equity indices during turbulent periods.

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