Predictive factors for immunological and virological endpoints in Thai patients receiving combination antiretroviral treatment.

BACKGROUND: Routine CD4 count and HIV viral load monitoring is a financial barrier in developing countries. METHODS: We assessed factors associated with CD4 counts < or =200 cells/microL and detectable viral load in Thai HIV-infected patients receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) at the HIV Netherlands Australia Thailand Research Collaboration and the Thai Red Cross AIDS Research Centre (HIV-NAT). Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models for multiple treatment failures were used to determine factors related to CD4 counts < or =200 cells/microL and detectable viral load. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models for CD4 counts < or =200 cells/microL were developed with and without viral load in order to build models applicable to contexts in which viral load is not available. RESULTS: Four hundred and seventeen patients were included in the study. Fifty-four per cent were male, and the median CD4 count and log(10) viral load at baseline were 283 cells/microL and 4.3 log(10) HIV-1 RNA copies/mL, respectively. Independent factors related to CD4 count < or =200 cells/microL were CD4 count at baseline [hazards ratio (HR) 0.20/100 cells/microL; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.17-0.23] and changes in CD4 count (HR 0.22/100 cells/microL; 95% CI 0.17-0.28). Factors in multivariate models (in which viral load was considered for inclusion) were CD4 count at baseline (HR 0.21/100 cells/microL; 95% CI 0.18-0.24), changes in CD4 count (HR 0.25/100 cells/microL; 95% CI 0.19-0.32) and detectable viral load (HR 1.94; 95% CI 1.20-3.13). Predictive factors (independent of viral load) were triple ART or highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) (HR 0.28; 95% CI 0.22-0.36) and detectable viral load at baseline (HR 2.96; 95% CI 2.24-3.91). Conclusions CD4 count at baseline and changes in CD4 count were important in predicting CD4 counts < or =200 cells/microL. Triple ART and detectable viral load at baseline were important in predicting detectable viral load.

Prevalence of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in HIV-infected patients over time: the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Metabolic changes caused by antiretroviral therapy (ART) may increase the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). We evaluated changes in the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) and 10-year risk of CHD in a large cohort of HIV-infected individuals. METHODS: All individuals from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS) who completed at least one CVRF questionnaire and for whom laboratory data were available for the period February 2000 to February 2006 were included in the analysis. The presence of a risk factor was determined using cut-offs based on the guidelines of the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP ATP III), the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC7), the American Diabetes Association, and the Swiss Society for Cardiology. RESULTS: Overall, 8,033 individuals completed at least one CVRF questionnaire. The most common CVRFs in the first completed questionnaire were smoking (57.0%), low high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (37.2%), high triglycerides (35.7%), and high blood pressure (26.1%). In total, 2.7 and 13.8% of patients were categorized as being at high (>20%) and moderate (10-20%) 10-year risk for CHD, respectively. Over 6 years the percentage of smokers decreased from 61.4 to 47.6% and the percentage of individuals with total cholesterol >6.2 mmol/L decreased from 21.1 to 12.3%. The prevalence of CVRFs and CHD risk was higher in patients currently on ART than in either pretreated or ART-naive patients. CONCLUSION: During the 6-year observation period, the prevalence of CVRFs remains high in the SHCS. Time trends indicate a decrease in the percentage of smokers and individuals with high cholesterol.

A randomized, open-label, comparative trial of zidovudine plus lamivudine versus zidovudine plus lamivudine plus didanosine in antiretroviral-naive HIV-1-infected Thai patients.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the efficacy and tolerability of a triple nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor combination of zidovudine, lamivudine, and didanosine therapy. DESIGN: A randomized open-label trial. PATIENTS: Antiretroviral-naive HIV-infected patients with CD4+ cell counts of 100 to 500 cells/microl. METHODS: A total of 106 patients were randomly assigned to 300 mg of zidovudine (200 mg for body weight <60 kg) twice daily plus 150 mg of lamivudine twice daily plus 200 mg of didanosine (125 mg for body weight <60 kg) twice daily (n = 53) or to zidovudine plus lamivudine (n = 53) for 48 weeks. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Degree and duration of reduction of HIV-1 RNA load and increase in CD4+ cell counts from baseline and development of drug-related toxicities. RESULTS: At 48 weeks, triple drug therapy showed greater declines in plasma HIV-RNA levels from the beginning of treatment than double drug therapy (1.86 vs. 1.15 log10 copies/ml, respectively; p <.001). The proportions of patients with HIV-RNA <50 copies/ml in an intention-to-treat analysis were 54.7% (29 of 53 patients) and 11.3% (6 of 53 patients) in the triple and double drug therapy, respectively (p =.001). There was no significant difference in increase of CD4 count. CONCLUSION: Triple drug therapy with zidovudine, lamivudine, and didanosine was significantly more effective in inducing sustained immunologic and virologic responses than the double combination of zidovudine and lamivudine.

A randomized, double-blind trial of half versus standard dose of zidovudine plus zalcitabine in Thai HIV-1-infected patients (study HIV-NAT 001). HIV Netherlands Australia Thailand Research Collaboration.

BACKGROUND: Triple combination antiretroviral therapy, recommended as standard of care, is unaffordable for much of the developing world. OBJECTIVES: To establish whether half doses of zidovudine (AZT) and zalcitabine (ddC) are as effective as standard doses in a Thai population with lower body weight than Western populations and predominantly infected with HIV-1 subtype E. METHODS: A group of 116 antiretroviral naive patients, with CD4 cell counts 100-500 x 10(6) cells/l, were randomized to: AZT 200 mg three times daily plus ddC 0.75 mg three times daily versus AZT 100 mg three times daily plus ddC 0.375 mg three times daily and followed-up regularly for 48 weeks. RESULTS: The study enrolled 111 patients: 59 men and 52 women, body weight (mean +/- standard deviation) 56.4 +/- 12.3 kg, mean CD4 cell count 324 x 10(6) cells/l, mean HIV RNA 4.7 log10 copies/ml. There were no significant differences between the two groups. Twelve patients discontinued, including two deaths that were unrelated to study medication. No significant differences in adverse events were seen. Week 48 data for the standard dose and half dose arms, respectively, were mean CD4 cell count increases of 52 and 78 x 10(6) cells/l (P = 0.34), mean plasma HIV-1 RNA reduction of 1.4 and 1.1 log10 copies/ml (P = 0.10), HIV RNA of < 400 copies/ml in 52 and 20%[ (P = 0.001). Participants with higher than mean baseline CD8 cell counts (mean 1062 x 10(6) cells/l) showed greater decline in CD8 cells on standard doses. Further analysis showed improved reduction in HIV RNA (P < 0.0001) and in the percentage with undetectable HIV RNA (P = 0.0137) in the standard dose arm, corrected for baseline HIV RNA, which if < 4.75 log10 copies/ml significantly correlated with HIV RNA < 400 copies/ml at week 48. CONCLUSION: At week 48, the proportion with HIV RNA < 400 copies/ml was significantly higher in the standard dose arm; lower baseline HIV RNA correlated with better HIV RNA outcome at 48 weeks. The arms did not differ in CD4 cell response but standard doses correlated with greater CD8 cell decline.

A randomized, dose-finding study with didanosine plus stavudine versus didanosine alone in antiviral-naive, HIV-infected Thai patients.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of four different regimens of didanosine (ddI) + stavudine (d4T) in HIV-infected Thais. DESIGN: Prospective, open-label, randomized study. METHODS: Patients were randomized to four regimens of high and low doses of ddI and d4T or to ddI alone. D4T was added to the ddI-alone arm after week 24. The duration of study was 48 weeks. RESULTS: Seventy-eight patients were randomized (mean CD4 cell count, 255 x 10(6)/l; mean plasma HIV-1 RNA; 4.3 log10 copies/ml). In the intent-to-treat analysis, 78% of patients in the pooled combination arms and 20% of the patients in the ddI alone arm (to which d4T was added after 24 weeks) showed plasma HIV-1 RNA < 500 copies/ml at week 24 (P < 0.001), and 59% versus 53% at week 48, respectively. In addition, the proportion of patients with < 50 HIV-1 RNA copies/ml was 13% versus 7% at week 24 (P = 0.5) and 17% versus 20% at week 48 respectively. At week 24, median CD4 cell count increases from baseline were 101 x 10(6)/l in the pooled combination versus 76 x 10(6)/l in the ddI alone arm (P = 0.78). Logistic regression modeling suggested a correlation between receiving high dose ddI and achieving HIV-1 RNA < 500 copies/ml at week 48 (P = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: The d4T/ddI combination was superior to ddI alone in producing HIV-1 viral suppression. At week 48, > 60% of patients treated with this combination reached HIV-1 RNA levels < 500 copies/ml. Receiving high dose ddI but not d4T may correlate with a better viral suppression.