Desarrollo y validación interna de un modelo de predicción clínica del riesgo de infección bacteriana nosocomial en pacientes con lupus eritematoso sistémico / Development and internal validation of a clinical prediction model of the risk of nosocomial bacterial infection in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

RESUMEN Introducción: Los pacientes con lupus eritematoso sistémico (LES) tienen un riesgo aumen tado de padecer infecciones tanto adquiridas en la comunidad como asociadas con el cuidado de la salud. Las infecciones bacterianas son las más frecuentes y graves durante la hospitalización de estos pacientes. Objetivo: Desarrollar y validar internamente un modelo de predicción clínica de pronóstico del riesgo de infección bacteriana adquirida en el hospital en pacientes con LES, usando datos clínicos y de laboratorio obtenidos durante las primeras horas de hospitalización. Métodos: Se analizó una cohorte retrospectiva de pacientes con LES mayores de 16 arios, hos pitalizados por motivos diferentes a infección bacteriana en 2 hospitales de alta complejidad de Medellín entre 2011 y 2016. Se compararon las características de los pacientes que des arrollaron el desenlace de infección bacteriana entre el día 3 y el día 15 de hospitalización con aquellos que no lo presentaron. Las variables significativas en el análisis bivariado fueron consideradas para la construcción del modelo por medio de regresión logística multivariada. Resultados: Se incluyeron 765 episodios, de los cuales 98 (12,8%) presentaron el desenlace de interés. Se consideraron 35 predictores candidatos. Las variables incorporadas en el modelo final fueron: edad, recuento de neutrófilos, puntaje de actividad lúpica SLEDAI, uso de sonda vesical, uso de catéter venoso central en las primeras 72 h, dosis de glucocorticoides en el mes previo y el uso de un antimalárico en los 3 meses previos. La capacidad de discrimi nación del modelo fue aceptable a buena (AUC-ROC 0,74; IC 95% 0,69-0,80). La prueba de bondad de ajuste de Hosmer-Lemeshow (p = 0,637) evidenció una adecuada calibración. Conclusión: Desarrollamos un modelo de predicción clínica de pronóstico del riesgo de infec ción bacteriana nosocomial en pacientes con LES. El modelo desarrollado está compuesto por variables clínicas y de laboratorio simples disponibles en el momento del ingreso al hospital. Se requieren estudios de validación externa y de impacto clínico antes de su implementación rutinaria.

ABSTRACT Introduction: Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have an increased risk of developing community-acquired infections, as well as those associated with health care. Bacterial infections are the most common and serious while these patients are in hospital. Objective: To develop, and internally validate, a clinical prediction model for the prognosis of the risk of hospital-acquired bacterial infection in SLE patients using clinical and laboratory data obtained during the first hours of hospital admission. Methods: An analysis was performed on retrospective cohort of patients with SLE older than 16 years and admitted for reasons other than bacterial infection in 2 highly complex hospitals in Medellín between 2011 and 2016. The characteristics of the patients who developed a bacterial infection were compared between day 3 and day 15 of hospital admission with those who did not develop one. The significant variables in the bivariate analysis were used for the construction of the model using multivariate logistic regression. Results: A total of 765 episodes were included, of which 98 (12.8%) presented the outcome of interest. Thirty-five candidate predictors were considered. The variables incorporated in the final model were: age, neutrophil count, SLEDAI lupus activity score, use of a bladder catheter, use of a central venous catheter in the first 72 h, glucocorticoid doses in the previous month, and use of an antimalarial drug in the 3 previous months. The discrimination capacity of the model was acceptable to good (AUC-ROC 0.74; 95% CI 0.69-0.80). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test (P = .637) suggested adequate calibration. Conclusion: A clinical prediction model of prognostic risk of nosocomial bacterial infection in patients with SLE has been developed. This model is made up of simple clinical and laboratory variables available at the time of hospital admission. External validation and clinical impact studies are required before routine implementation.

Transferrina y ceruloplasmina en orina de pacientes con lupus eritematoso sistémico. ¿Son útiles para diferenciar pacientes con nefritis lúpica? / Utility of urinary transferrin and ceruloplasmin in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus for differentiating patients with lupus nephritis

ANTECEDENTES Y OBJETIVO: El diagnóstico de la nefritis lúpica (NL) se suele hacer con la biopsia renal, que es una técnica invasiva que conlleva múltiples riesgos. Por lo tanto, han surgido diferentes biomarcadores en orina como posibles alternativas para el diagnóstico de la NL. Sin embargo, los estudios de biomarcadores en orina de pacientes latinoamericanos con lupus eritematoso sistémico (LES) son escasos; por lo tanto, el objetivo del presente estudio fue determinar el valor diagnóstico de la transferrina (TF) y la ceruloplasmina (CP) en orina, para diferenciar los pacientes que tienen compromiso renal de aquellos que no. MATERIALES Y MÉTODOS: Se incluyeron prospectivamente pacientes con diagnóstico de LES de acuerdo a los criterios del American College of Rheumatology (ACR). Se excluyeron los pacientes con otra enfermedad autoinmune concomitante, infección activa (de vías urinarias o sistémica), terapia de reemplazo renal, infección por virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana y embarazo. A cada paciente se le tomó una muestra de orina. El diagnóstico de NL se realizó mediante los criterios ACR para la definición de NL. La actividad y la cronicidad de la NL en la biopsia renal fueron medidas con el índice de Austin. La determinación de los niveles de TF y CP se realizó con kits comerciales de ELISA. Se utilizó la prueba t de Student y la prueba U de Mann Whitney para comparar los datos. Para determinar las asociaciones entre las variables se utilizaron los coeficientes de correlación de Spearman. Por último, se construyeron curvas ROC. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 120 pacientes con LES, de los cuales el 85% fueron de sexo femenino. El 76% fueron de raza mestiza. Presentaron una edad media de 32,8+/-12,1años, y una media del SLEDAI de 8,4+/-8,9, y un 64% presentaron compromiso renal. Los niveles de ambos biomarcadores fueron significativamente mayores en pacientes con NL comparados con aquellos sin NL. De igual manera, los niveles de ambos biomarcadores fueron significativamente mayores en pacientes con NL activa comparados con aquellos con NL inactiva. Los niveles de TF fueron significativamente mayores en pacientes afro-latinoamericanos. Por otro lado, las concentraciones de TF se correlacionaron con el SLEDAI y el rango de proteinuria, y las concentraciones de TF y CP se correlacionaron entre sí. Las curvas ROC para ambos biomarcadores mostraron un buen valor diagnóstico de la NL. CONCLUSIONES: En nuestra cohorte de pacientes con LES encontramos que la TF y la CP son potenciales biomarcadores para el diagnóstico de la NL e, incluso, de la actividad de la NL

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Diagnosis of lupus nephritis (LN) is usually based on renal biopsy, which is an invasive technique that involves multiple risks. Therefore, different biomarkers have emerged as alternatives for the diagnosis of LN. Nonetheless, studies regarding urinary biomarkers in Latin American patients are limited. The objective of this study was to assess the diagnostic value of urinary transferrin and ceruloplasmin to differentiate patients who have renal involvement from those who do not. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients that met the revised American College of Rheumatology (ACR) classification criteria were recruited. Patients with another autoimmune disease, active infection (urinary tract or systemic infection), renal replacement therapy, human immunodeficiency virus infection or pregnancy were excluded. A urine sample was collected from each patient. LN was diagnosed according to ACR criteria. The activity and chronicity of LN were measured using the Austin indices. Urinary transferrin and ceruloplasmin levels were measured using commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) kits. Mann-Whitney U test and Student's t-test were used to compare data. Spearman's rank correlation was used to determine associations. Lastly, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were created. RESULTS: The study involved 120 SLE patients. In all, 85% were female, 76% mestizo, the mean age was 32.8+/-12.1years and mean systemic lupus erythematosus disease activity index (SLEDAI) was 8.4+/-8.9; 64% had renal involvement. Urinary levels of the two biomarkers were significantly higher in patients with LN compared to those without LN. Similarly, urinary levels of both biomarkers were significantly higher in patients with active LN compared to those with inactive LN. Furthermore, urinary transferrin levels were significantly higher in Afro-Latin American patients. On the other hand, urinary transferrin levels correlated with SLEDAI and proteinuria, and transferrin and ceruloplasmin levels correlated with each other. The diagnostic value of ROC curves for these urinary biomarkers for LN were good. CONCLUSIONS: In our cohort of SLE patients, we found that transferrin and ceruloplasmin were potential biomarkers for LN, and can even differentiate active LN

Utility of urinary transferrin and ceruloplasmin in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus for differentiating patients with lupus nephritis. / Transferrina y ceruloplasmina en orina de pacientes con lupus eritematoso sistémico. ¿Son útiles para diferenciar pacientes con nefritis lúpica?

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Diagnosis of lupus nephritis (LN) is usually based on renal biopsy, which is an invasive technique that involves multiple risks. Therefore, different biomarkers have emerged as alternatives for the diagnosis of LN. Nonetheless, studies regarding urinary biomarkers in Latin American patients are limited. The objective of this study was to assess the diagnostic value of urinary transferrin and ceruloplasmin to differentiate patients who have renal involvement from those who do not. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients that met the revised American College of Rheumatology (ACR) classification criteria were recruited. Patients with another autoimmune disease, active infection (urinary tract or systemic infection), renal replacement therapy, human immunodeficiency virus infection or pregnancy were excluded. A urine sample was collected from each patient. LN was diagnosed according to ACR criteria. The activity and chronicity of LN were measured using the Austin indices. Urinary transferrin and ceruloplasmin levels were measured using commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) kits. Mann-Whitney U test and Student's t-test were used to compare data. Spearman's rank correlation was used to determine associations. Lastly, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were created. RESULTS: The study involved 120 SLE patients. In all, 85% were female, 76% mestizo, the mean age was 32.8±12.1years and mean systemic lupus erythematosus disease activity index (SLEDAI) was 8.4±8.9; 64% had renal involvement. Urinary levels of the two biomarkers were significantly higher in patients with LN compared to those without LN. Similarly, urinary levels of both biomarkers were significantly higher in patients with active LN compared to those with inactive LN. Furthermore, urinary transferrin levels were significantly higher in Afro-Latin American patients. On the other hand, urinary transferrin levels correlated with SLEDAI and proteinuria, and transferrin and ceruloplasmin levels correlated with each other. The diagnostic value of ROC curves for these urinary biomarkers for LN were good. CONCLUSIONS: In our cohort of SLE patients, we found that transferrin and ceruloplasmin were potential biomarkers for LN, and can even differentiate active LN.

Anti C1q antibodies. A promising biomarker for cocaine-levamisole induced vasculitis / Anticuerpos anti C1q. Un biomarcador prometedor para la vasculitis inducida por cocaína-levamisol

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[Relationship between Obesity, Adipokines and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus]. / Obesidad, adipoquinas y lupus eritematoso sistémico.

Obesity is a pro-inflammatory state characterized by phenotypic changes in macrophages, alterationson cytokines balance, and increasing expression of regulatory molecules of the immune system derived from adipocytes and adipose tissue macrophages - also known as adipokines. Currently, leptin, adiponectin and resistin are, among others, one of the most known adipokines. Theseadipokinesmight play a possible role in systemic lupus erythematosus pathogenesis, by promotingdifferent pro-inflammatory conditions. Adipokines represent a possible treatment target in patients with lupus.