A forecasting model to estimate the drop in blood supplies during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Italy.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the number of actually Severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infected blood donors applying a statistical forecasting model. BACKGROUND: Following the outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic, a drop in blood donation has been observed. It is crucial to determine the actual number of potential SARS-CoV-2-positive donors to define the measures and ensure adequate blood supply. METHODS: The cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 positivity, calculated on the general population, was applied to the donor population by estimating the number of positive subjects. The calculation model was validated by the linear interpolation method. The number of blood units actually discarded based on post-donation information was also taken into account. RESULTS: Three months after the outbreak, 5322 donors were estimated to be positive for SARS-CoV-2 and were therefore potentially excluded from donation. A total of units of blood components were discarded following post donation information. The estimated number of donors deceased (180) and the number of clinically recovered individuals in the same period was also considered. CONCLUSION: This forecasting model can be used to obtain information on blood donors' involvement during future SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks, especially in case of changes concerning epidemiology, incidence by age bracket and geographical distribution and also for new outbreaks of emerging viruses.

Prevalence, incidence and residual risk of transfusion-transmitted hepatitis B virus infection in Italy from 2009 to 2018.

BACKGROUND: In Italy, the use of nucleic acid testing for hepatitis B virus (HBV) in donor screening has allowed the detection of infections in the window phase, as well as the presence of occult infections which could potentially be transmitted. The aim of this study was to analyse the trends of epidemiological data focused on HBV infection in blood donors and to estimate the residual risk of transmitting HBV from both the window phase and occult infection over a 10-year period in Italy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were obtained from the Italian Haemovigilance System which includes the results of screening tests for transfusion transmissible infections. During the period of this survey (2009-2018), the molecular methods used for HBV screening were transcription-mediated amplification and polymerase chain reaction tests. Prevalence and incidence were calculated. The residual risk was estimated by applying the incidence-window period model for acute cases and a more recently reported model for estimating the risk due to occult infections. RESULTS: A total of 17,424,535 blood donors and 30,842,794 donations were tested for HBV. Altogether, 6,250 donors tested positive for HBV markers: 4,782 (175.6×105) were first time donors and 1,468 (10.0×105) were repeat donors. The prevalence of HBV markers in first time donors was 275.9×105 in 2009, declining to 143.6×105 in 2018. The incidence of new infections was 3.37×105 in 2009 and 2.17×105 in 2018. The overall residual risk for HBV amounted to 1 in 2,566,854 donations calculated as the sum of risks of both acute infections in the window period (1 in 5,835,306 donations) and occult infections (1 in 4,582,270 blood units). DISCUSSION: In Italy, the residual risk of transfusing a blood unit infected with HBV, both from window phase and occult infections, is currently very low, amounting to levels that can be considered tolerable.

Pathogen reduction of blood components during outbreaks of infectious diseases in the European Union: an expert opinion from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control consultation meeting.

Pathogen reduction (PR) of selected blood components is a technology that has been adopted in practice in various ways. Although they offer great advantages in improving the safety of the blood supply, these technologies have limitations which hinder their broader use, e.g. increased costs. In this context, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), in co-operation with the Italian National Blood Centre, organised an expert consultation meeting to discuss the potential role of pathogen reduction technologies (PRT) as a blood safety intervention during outbreaks of infectious diseases for which (in most cases) laboratory screening of blood donations is not available. The meeting brought together 26 experts and representatives of national competent authorities for blood from thirteen European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) Member States (MS), Switzerland, the World Health Organization, the European Directorate for the Quality of Medicines and Health Care of the Council of Europe, the US Food and Drug Administration, and the ECDC. During the meeting, the current use of PRTs in the EU/EEA MS and Switzerland was verified, with particular reference to emerging infectious diseases (see Appendix). In this article, we also present expert discussions and a common view on the potential use of PRT as a part of both preparedness and response to threats posed to blood safety by outbreaks of infectious disease.

Prevalence, incidence and residual risk of transfusion-transmitted hepatitis C virus and human immunodeficiency virus after the implementation of nucleic acid testing in Italy: a 7-year (2009-2015) survey.

BACKGROUND: In Italy nucleic acid testing (NAT) became mandatory for hepatitis C virus (HCV) in 2002 and for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatitis B virus in 2008. The aim of this study was to monitor the incidence and prevalence of HIV and HCV infections in Italian blood donors and the current residual risk of these infections after the introduction of NAT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Italian national blood surveillance system includes data from tests used to screen for transfusion-transmissible infections. During the period of this survey (2009-2015), the NAT methods used were the transcription-mediated amplification test, for individual donor testing, and polymerase chain reaction analysis, mainly for pools of six donors. Prevalence and incidence were calculated. Three published formulae were applied to estimate the residual risk (the window period ratio model and the formulae recommended by the European Medicines Agency and the World Health Organization). RESULTS: Overall, 12,258,587 blood donors and 21,808,352 donations were tested for HCV and HIV. The prevalence of HCV decreased from 110.3×105 to 58.9×105 in years 2009 and 2015, respectively, while that of HIV remained stable over time (15.5×105 vs 15.4×105). The incidence of HCV decreased from 3.19×105 in 2009 to 1.58×105 in 2015, while the incidence of HIV did not show any significant fluctuations (average incidence 4.39×105). The residual risk of a viraemic unit entering the blood supply was estimated to be 0.077×106 or 1 in 12,979,949 donations for HCV and 0.521×106 or 1 in 1,917,250 for HIV, according to the window period ratio model, and lower with the other two formulae. DISCUSSION: HCV infection has declined over time in both first-time and repeat donors, while the data for HIV infection are stable. All three methods employed in this study showed that the residual risk of transmitting HCV or HIV through an infected blood unit is currently very low in Italy, but there are considerable differences in estimates between methods. Thus, harmonisation of these methods is advisable.

Efficacy of 2-Month Treatment With Cord Blood Serum Eye Drops in Ocular Surface Disease: An In Vivo Confocal Microscopy Study.

PURPOSE: To investigate the morphological changes of corneal epithelium and subbasal nerves by in vivo confocal microscopy in patients with ocular surface disease (OSD) treated with cord blood serum (CBS) eye drops. METHODS: Twenty patients with OSD (mean age 61.1 ± 12.6 years) were included in this prospective 1-arm study and treated with CBS eye drops for 2 months. Corneal sensitivity, Schirmer test score, breakup time, subjective symptoms [Ocular Surface Disease Index (OSDI) and Visual Analogue Scale (VAS)], and corneal staining were evaluated before (T0) and after (T1) treatment. In vivo confocal microscopy analyzed giant epithelial cells, subbasal nerve number and tortuosity, neuromas, beading, and dendritic cells (DCs) in the central cornea. RESULTS: OSDI, Visual Analogue Scale, and Oxford grading values significantly decreased at T1 versus T0 (respectively, 44.1 ± 18.9 vs. 74.2 ± 13.9; 3.7 ± 1.5 vs. 8.9 ± 0.9; and 2.4 ± 1.1 vs. 3.3 ± 1.3; P < 0.0001), whereas corneal sensitivity, Schirmer test score, and breakup time significantly increased (respectively, 49.5 ± 2.6 vs. 47.9 ± 2.9; 3.2 ± 2.0 vs. 2.4 ± 2.2; 4.6 ± 3.1 vs. 3.8 ± 2.1; P < 0.0001). Corneal nerve morphology improved at T1 versus T0 with a higher total nerve number (3.4 ± 1.6 vs. 2.5 ± 1.6 per frame) and lower tortuosity (3.0 ± 0.7 vs. 3.5 ± 0.6) (P < 0.01). The number of patients presenting with giant epithelial cells, beading, and neuromas decreased at T1. DC density did not change after treatment. The detection of neuromas and higher DC density at T0 were associated with greater OSDI reduction at T1 (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: CBS eye drops significantly improved corneal nerve morphology and subjective symptoms in patients with severe OSD. The presence of neuromas and higher dendritic cell density at baseline were associated with greater reduction of discomfort symptoms after treatment.

Persistence of immunity 18-19 years after vaccination against hepatitis B in 2 cohorts of vaccinees primed as infants or as adolescents in Italy.

This study was aimed at assessing the anti-HBs persistence and immune memory 18-19 y after vaccination against hepatitis B in healthy individuals primed as infants or adolescents. We enrolled 405 teenagers (Group A) vaccinated as infants, and 409 young adults (Group B) vaccinated as adolescents. All vaccinees were tested for anti-HBs and anti-HBc antibodies; those found anti-HBc positive were further tested for HBsAg and HBV DNA. Eight individuals belonging to Group B were positive for anti-HBc alone, and were excluded from analysis. Individuals with anti-HBs concentration ≥ 10 mIU/ml were considered protected while those with anti-HBs concentration <10 mIU/ml were offered a booster dose and re-tested 2 weeks later. Overall, 67.9% individuals showed anti-HBs concentrations ≥ 10 mIU/ml (48.9% in Group A vs 87.0% in Group B, p < 0.001). The antibody geometric mean concentration (GMC) was higher in Group B than in Group A (102.5 mIU/ml vs 6.9 mIU/ml; p < 0.001). When boosted, 94.2% of vaccinees with anti-HBs <10 mIU/ml belonging to Group A and 94.7% to Group B showed an anamnestic response. Post-booster GMCs were similar in both groups (477.9 mIU/ml for Group A vs 710.0 mIU/ml for Group B, p = n.s.). Strong immunological memory persists for at least 18-19 y after immunization of infants or adolescents with a primary course of vaccination. Thus, booster doses are not needed at this time, but additional follow up is required to assess the long-life longevity of protection.

HIV-1 gp120 impairs the differentiation and survival of cord blood CD34+ HPCs induced to the erythroid lineage.

Anemia is the most common hematological abnormality in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients. Besides chronic disease, opportunistic infections, nutritional deficiencies and antiretroviral drug toxicity, the direct role of HIV in the development of anemia has not yet been fully investigated. To explore the HIV-related mechanisms involved in the genesis of anemia, we used two experimental designs. In the first, HPCs purified from cord blood were challenged with HIV-1IIIb or recombinant gp120 (rgp120) and then committed to erythrocyte differentiation (EPO-post-treated HPCs). In the second, HPCs were first committed to differentiate towards the erythroid lineage and only afterwards challenged with HIV-1IIIb or rgp120 (EPO-pre-treated HPCs). Our results showed that HPCs and EPO-induced HPCs were not susceptible to HIV-1 infection. In addition, the two experimental designs (EPO post or pre-treated HPCs) independently showed that HIV-1IIIb or rgp120 were able to induce the impairment of survival, proliferation, and differentiation albeit differing in kinetics and extent. Interestingly, the gp120 interaction with CD4 and CXCR4 played a pivotal role in the impairment of erythrocyte differentiation by inducing TGF-b1 expression. These observations reveal an important additional mechanism involved in the genesis of anemia suggesting a complex competition between EPO-positive regulation and HIV-negative priming regarding erythrocyte survival, proliferation and maturation.

AISF-SIMTI position paper: the appropriate use of albumin in patients with liver cirrhosis.

The use of human albumin is common in hepatology since international scientific societies support its administration to treat or prevent severe complications of cirrhosis, such as the prevention of post-paracentesis circulatory dysfunction after large-volume paracentesis and renal failure induced by spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, and the treatment of hepatorenal syndrome in association with vasoconstrictors. However, these indications are often disregarded, mainly because the high cost of human albumin leads health authorities and hospital administrations to restrict its use. On the other hand, physicians often prescribe human albumin in patients with advanced cirrhosis for indications that are not supported by solid scientific evidence and/or are still under investigation in clinical trials.In order to implement appropriate prescription of human albumin and to avoid its futile use, the Italian Association for the Study of the Liver (AISF) and the Italian Society of Transfusion Medicine and Immunohaematology (SIMTI) nominated a panel of experts, who reviewed the available clinical literature and produced practical clinical recommendations for the use of human albumin in patients with cirrhosis.

The Antibiotic Polymyxin B Impairs the Interactions between Shiga Toxins and Human Neutrophils.

Hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS) is the life-threatenig sequela of intestinal infections by Shiga toxin (Stx)-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) in children. Human neutrophils specifically bind Stx through TLR4, the receptor of LPS. The binding could be considered protective (Stx sequestration) or harmful (toxin delivery to target organs). The amount of Stx on neutrophils is in equilibrium with the amount of Stx present in the gut, and it is also related to renal and neurologic symptoms. The TLR4-mediated interaction of LPS with innate immune cells is hampered by the well-known antibiotic polymyxin B. In this study, we show that the same antibiotic impairs the binding of Stx to neutrophils, also blocking their functional effects (release of CXCL8, formation of neutrophil/platelet aggregates) involved in HUS pathogenesis. Controls for contaminating LPS in Stx-induced neutrophil responses inhibited by polymyxin B were performed. Stx interact with human neutrophils through their A chain, since these leukocytes do not express globotriaosylceramide, the specific receptor for Stx B chains. Consistently, polymyxin B blocked the enzymatic activity of Stx1, Stx2, Stx1 A chain, and the analogous plant protein gelonin, whereas the antibiotic did not show any protective effect on Stx-induced cytotoxicity in globotriaosylceramide-expressing Raji cells. Antibiotic administration is not recommended in human STEC infections during the prodromal intestinal phase, and the toxicity of polymyxin B could further discourage its therapeutic use. However, nontoxic, nonbactericidal polymyxin derivatives have been developed and might be used in animal models of STEC infection to study their efficacy in preventing the onset of HUS during the systemic blood phase of Stx.