Pulmonary Hypertension and Anastrozole (PHANTOM): A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial.

RATIONALE: Inhibition of aromatase with anastrozole reduces pulmonary hypertension in experimental models. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine whether anastrozole improved six-minute walk distance (6MWD) at six months in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). METHODS: We performed a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase II clinical trial of anastrozole in subjects with PAH at seven centers. Eighty-four post-menopausal women and men with PAH were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive anastrozole 1 mg or placebo by mouth daily, stratified by sex using permuted blocks of variable sizes. All subjects and study staff were masked. The primary outcome was the change from baseline in 6MWD at six months. Using intent-to-treat analysis, we estimated the treatment effect of anastrozole using linear regression models adjusted for sex and baseline 6MWD. Assuming 10% loss to follow-up, we anticipated having 80% power to detect a difference in the change in 6MWD of 22 meters. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Forty-one subjects were randomized to placebo and 43 to anastrozole and all received the allocated treatment. Three subjects in the placebo group and two in the anastrozole group discontinued study drug. There was no significant difference in the change in 6MWD at six months (placebo-corrected treatment effect -7.9 m, 95%CI -32.7 - 16.9, p = 0.53). There was no difference in adverse events between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: Anastrozole did not show a significant effect on 6MWD compared to placebo in post-menopausal women and men with PAH. Anastrozole was safe and did not show adverse effects. Clinical trial registration available at www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov, ID: NCT03229499.

Investigating the "sex paradox" in pulmonary arterial hypertension: Results from the Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry (PHAR).

BACKGROUND: Female sex is a significant risk factor for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), yet males with PAH have worse survival - a phenomenon referred to as the "sex paradox" in PAH. METHODS: All adult PAH patients in the Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry (PHAR) with congruent sex and gender were included. Baseline differences in demographics, hemodynamics, functional parameters, and quality of life were assessed by sex. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate survival by sex. Mediation analysis was conducted with Cox proportional hazards regression by comparing the unadjusted hazard ratios for sex before and after adjustment for covariates. The plausibility of collider-stratification bias was assessed by modeling how large an unmeasured factor would have to be to generate the observed sex-based mortality differences. Subgroup analysis was performed on idiopathic and incident patients. RESULTS: Among the 1,891 patients included, 75% were female. Compared to men, women had less favorable hemodynamics, lower 6-minute walk distance, more PAH therapies, and worse functional class; however, sex-based differences were less pronounced when accounting for body surface area or expected variability by gender. On multivariate analysis, women had a 48% lower risk of death compared to men (Hazard Ratio 0.52, 95% Confidence interval 0.36 - 0.74, p < 0.001). Modeling found that under reasonable assumptions collider-stratification could account for sex-based differences in mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In this large registry of PAH patients new to a care center, men had worse survival than women despite having more favorable baseline characteristics. Collider-stratification bias could account for the observed greater mortality among men.

Pulmonary arterial hypertension treatment: an individual participant data network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Effective therapies that target three main signalling pathways are approved to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). However, there are few large patient-level studies that compare the effectiveness of these pathways. The aim of this analysis was to compare the effectiveness of the treatment pathways in PAH and to assess treatment heterogeneity. METHODS: A network meta-analysis was performed using individual participant data of 6811 PAH patients from 20 Phase III randomized clinical trials of therapy for PAH that were submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration. Individual drugs were grouped by the following treatment pathways: endothelin, nitric oxide, and prostacyclin pathways. RESULTS: The mean (±standard deviation) age of the sample was 49.2 (±15.4) years; 78.4% were female, 59.7% had idiopathic PAH, and 36.5% were on background PAH therapy. After covariate adjustment, targeting the endothelin + nitric oxide pathway {ß: 43.7 m [95% confidence interval (CI): 32.9, 54.4]}, nitric oxide pathway [ß: 29.4 m (95% CI: 22.6, 36.3)], endothelin pathway [ß: 25.3 m (95% CI: 19.8, 30.8)], and prostacyclin pathway [oral/inhaled ß: 19.1 m (95% CI: 14.2, 24.0), intravenous/subcutaneous ß: 24.4 m (95% CI: 15.1, 33.7)] significantly increased 6 min walk distance at 12 or 16 weeks compared with placebo. Treatments also significantly reduced the likelihood of having clinical worsening events. There was significant heterogeneity of treatment effects by age, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, and coronary artery disease. CONCLUSIONS: Drugs targeting the three traditional treatment pathways significantly improve outcomes in PAH, with significant treatment heterogeneity in patients with some comorbidities. Randomized clinical trials are warranted to identify the most effective treatment strategies in a personalized approach.

Predicting Acute Brain Injury in Venoarterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Patients with Tree-Based Machine Learning: Analysis of the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization Registry.

Objective: To determine if machine learning (ML) can predict acute brain injury (ABI) and identify modifiable risk factors for ABI in venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) patients. Design: Retrospective cohort study of the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization (ELSO) Registry (2009-2021). Setting: International, multicenter registry study of 676 ECMO centers. Patients: Adults (≥18 years) supported with VA-ECMO or extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR). Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: Our primary outcome was ABI: central nervous system (CNS) ischemia, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), brain death, and seizures. We utilized Random Forest, CatBoost, LightGBM and XGBoost ML algorithms (10-fold leave-one-out cross-validation) to predict and identify features most important for ABI. We extracted 65 total features: demographics, pre-ECMO/on-ECMO laboratory values, and pre-ECMO/on-ECMO settings.Of 35,855 VA-ECMO (non-ECPR) patients (median age=57.8 years, 66% male), 7.7% (n=2,769) experienced ABI. In VA-ECMO (non-ECPR), the area under the receiver-operator characteristics curves (AUC-ROC) to predict ABI, CNS ischemia, and ICH was 0.67, 0.67, and 0.62, respectively. The true positive, true negative, false positive, false negative, positive, and negative predictive values were 33%, 88%, 12%, 67%, 18%, and 94%, respectively for ABI. Longer ECMO duration, higher 24h ECMO pump flow, and higher on-ECMO PaO2 were associated with ABI.Of 10,775 ECPR patients (median age=57.1 years, 68% male), 16.5% (n=1,787) experienced ABI. The AUC-ROC for ABI, CNS ischemia, and ICH was 0.72, 0.73, and 0.69, respectively. The true positive, true negative, false positive, false negative, positive, and negative predictive values were 61%, 70%, 30%, 39%, 29% and 90%, respectively, for ABI. Longer ECMO duration, younger age, and higher 24h ECMO pump flow were associated with ABI. Conclusions: This is the largest study predicting neurological complications on sufficiently powered international ECMO cohorts. Longer ECMO duration and higher 24h pump flow were associated with ABI in both non-ECPR and ECPR VA-ECMO.

Interpretable machine learning-based predictive modeling of patient outcomes following cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: The clinical applicability of machine learning predictions of patient outcomes following cardiac surgery remains unclear. We applied machine learning to predict patient outcomes associated with high morbidity and mortality after cardiac surgery and identified the importance of variables to the derived model's performance. METHODS: We applied machine learning to the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database to predict postoperative hemorrhage requiring reoperation, venous thromboembolism (VTE), and stroke. We used permutation feature importance to identify variables important to model performance and a misclassification analysis to study the limitations of the model. RESULTS: The study dataset included 662,772 subjects who underwent cardiac surgery between 2015 and 2017 and 240 variables. Hemorrhage requiring reoperation, VTE, and stroke occurred in 2.9%, 1.2%, and 2.0% of subjects, respectively. The model performed remarkably well at predicting all 3 complications (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.92-0.97). Preoperative and intraoperative variables were not important to model performance; instead, performance for the prediction of all 3 outcomes was driven primarily by several postoperative variables, including known risk factors for the complications, such as mechanical ventilation and new onset of postoperative arrhythmias. Many of the postoperative variables important to model performance also increased the risk of subject misclassification, indicating internal validity. CONCLUSIONS: A machine learning model accurately and reliably predicts patient outcomes following cardiac surgery. Postoperative, as opposed to preoperative or intraoperative variables, are important to model performance. Interventions targeting this period, including minimizing the duration of mechanical ventilation and early treatment of new-onset postoperative arrhythmias, may help lower the risk of these complications.

Transcriptional profiles of pulmonary artery endothelial cells in pulmonary hypertension.

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is characterized by endothelial cell (EC) dysfunction. There are no data from living patients to inform whether differential gene expression of pulmonary artery ECs (PAECs) can discern disease subtypes, progression and pathogenesis. We aimed to further validate our previously described method to propagate ECs from right heart catheter (RHC) balloon tips and to perform additional PAEC phenotyping. We performed bulk RNA sequencing of PAECs from RHC balloons. Using unsupervised dimensionality reduction and clustering we compared transcriptional signatures from PAH to controls and other forms of pulmonary hypertension. Select PAEC samples underwent single cell and population growth characterization and anoikis quantification. Fifty-four specimens were analyzed from 49 subjects. The transcriptome appeared stable over limited passages. Six genes involved in sex steroid signaling, metabolism, and oncogenesis were significantly upregulated in PAH subjects as compared to controls. Genes regulating BMP and Wnt signaling, oxidative stress and cellular metabolism were differentially expressed in PAH subjects. Changes in gene expression tracked with clinical events in PAH subjects with serial samples over time. Functional assays demonstrated enhanced replication competency and anoikis resistance. Our findings recapitulate fundamental biological processes of PAH and provide new evidence of a cancer-like phenotype in ECs from the central vasculature of PAH patients. This "cell biopsy" method may provide insight into patient and lung EC heterogeneity to advance precision medicine approaches in PAH.

Novel Liver Injury Phenotypes and Outcomes in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

Background: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) are disorders of the pulmonary vasculature that cause right ventricular dysfunction. Systemic consequences of right ventricular dysfunction include damage to other solid organs, such as the liver. However, the profiles and consequences of hepatic injury due to PAH and CTEPH have not been well-studied. Methods: We aimed to identify underlying patterns of liver injury in a cohort of PAH and CTEPH patients enrolled in 15 randomized clinical trials conducted between 1998 and 2012. We used unsupervised machine learning to identify liver injury clusters in 13 trials and validated the findings in two additional trials. We then determined whether these liver injury clusters were associated with clinical outcomes or treatment effect heterogeneity. Results: Our training dataset included 4,219 patients and our validation dataset included 1,756 patients with complete liver laboratory panels (serum total bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, and albumin). Using k-means clustering paired with factor analysis, we identified four unique liver phenotypes (no liver injury, hepatocellular injury, cholestatic injury, and combined injury patterns). Patients in the cholestatic injury liver cluster had the shortest time to clinical worsening and highest chance of worsening World Health Organization functional class. Randomization to the experimental arm was associated with a transition to healthier liver clusters compared to randomization to the control arm. The cholestatic injury group experienced the greatest placebo-corrected treatment benefit in terms of six-minute walk distance. Conclusions: Liver injury patterns were associated with adverse outcomes in patients with PAH and CTEPH. Randomization to active treatment of pulmonary hypertension in these clinical trials had beneficial effects on liver health compared to placebo. The independent role of liver disease (often subclinical) in determining outcomes warrants prospective studies of the clinical utility of liver phenotyping for PAH prognosis and contribution to clinical disease.

Regional Variation in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension in the United States: The Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry.

Rationale: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a heterogeneous disease within a complex diagnostic and treatment environment. Other complex heart and lung diseases have substantial regional variation in characteristics and outcomes; however, this has not been previously described in PAH. Objectives: To identify baseline differences between U.S. census regions in the characteristics and outcomes for participants in the Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry (PHAR). Methods: Adults with PAH were divided into regional groups (Northeast, South, Midwest, and West), and baseline differences between census regions were presented. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and Cox proportional hazards were used to estimate the association between region and mortality in unadjusted and adjusted models. Results: Substantial differences by census regions were seen in age, race, ethnicity, marital status, employment, insurance payor breakdown, active smoking, and current alcohol use. Differences were also seen in PAH etiology and baseline 6-minute walk distance test results. Treatment characteristics varied by census region, and mortality appeared to be lower in PHAR participants in the West (hazard ratio, 0.60; 95% confidence interval, 0.43-0.83, P = 0.005). This difference was not readily explained by differences in demographic characteristics, PAH etiology, baseline severity, baseline medication regimen, or disease prevalence. Conclusions: The present study suggests significant regional variation among participants at accredited pulmonary vascular disease centers in multiple baseline characteristics and mortality. This variation may have implications for clinical research planning and represent an important focus for further study to better understand whether there are remediable care aspects that can be addressed in the pursuit of providing equitable care in the United States.

Pulmonary Hypertension: A Contemporary Review.

Major advances in pulmonary arterial hypertension, pulmonary hypertension (PH) associated with lung disease, and chronic thromboembolic PH cast new light on the pathogenetic mechanisms, epidemiology, diagnostic approach, and therapeutic armamentarium for pulmonary vascular disease. Here, we summarize key basic, translational, and clinical PH reports, emphasizing findings that build on current state-of-the-art research. This review includes cutting-edge progress in translational pulmonary vascular biology, with a guide to the diagnosis of patients in clinical practice, incorporating recent PH definition revisions that continue emphasis on early detection of disease. PH management is reviewed including an overview of the evolving considerations for the approach to treatment of PH in patients with cardiopulmonary comorbidities, as well as a discussion of the groundbreaking sotatercept data for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension.

Is low-risk status a surrogate outcome in pulmonary arterial hypertension? An analysis of three randomised trials.

BACKGROUND: Targeting short-term improvements in multicomponent risk scores for mortality in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) could result in improved long-term outcomes. We aimed to determine whether PAH risk scores were adequate surrogates for clinical worsening or mortality outcomes in PAH randomised clinical trials (RCTs). METHODS: We performed an individual participant data meta-analysis of RCTs selected from PAH trials provided by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA). We calculated predicted risk using the COMPERA, COMPERA 2.0, non-invasive FPHR, REVEAL 2.0, and REVEAL Lite 2 risk scores. The primary outcome of interest was time to clinical worsening, a composite endpoint composed of any of the following events: all-cause death, hospitalisation for worsening PAH, lung transplantation, atrial septostomy, discontinuation of study treatment (or study withdrawal) for worsening PAH, initiation of parenteral prostacyclin analogue therapy, or decrease of at least 15% in 6-min walk distance from baseline, combined with either worsening of WHO functional class from baseline or the addition of an approved PAH treatment. The secondary outcome of interest was time to all-cause mortality. We assessed the surrogacy of these risk scores, parameterised as attainment of low-risk status by 16 weeks, for improvement in long-term clinical worsening and survival using mediation and meta-analysis frameworks. FINDINGS: Of 28 trials received from the FDA, three RCTs (AMBITION, GRIPHON, and SERAPHIN; n=2508) had the data necessary to assess long-term surrogacy. The mean age was 49 years (SD 16), 1956 (78%) participants were women, 1704 (68%) were classified as White, and 280 (11%) were Hispanic or Latino. 1388 (55%) of 2503 participants with available data had idiopathic PAH and 776 (31%) of 2503 had PAH associated with connective tissue disease. In a mediation analysis, the proportions of treatment effects explained by attainment of low-risk status ranged only from 7% to 13%. In a meta-analysis of trial-regions, the treatment effects on low-risk status were not predictive of the treatment effects on time to clinical worsening (R2 values 0·01-0·19) nor the treatment effects on time to all-cause mortality (R2 values 0-0·2). A leave-one-out analysis suggested that the use of these risk scores as surrogates might lead to biased inferences regarding the effect of therapies on clinical outcomes in PAH RCTs. Results were similar when using absolute risk scores at 16 weeks as the potential surrogates. INTERPRETATION: Multicomponent risk scores have utility for the prediction of outcomes in patients with PAH. Clinical surrogacy for long-term outcomes cannot be inferred from observational studies of outcomes. Our analyses of three PAH trials with long-term follow-up suggest that further study is necessary before using these or other scores as surrogate outcomes in PAH RCTs or clinical care. FUNDING: Cardiovascular Medical Research and Education Fund, US National Institutes of Health.

Six-Minute walk distance predicts outcomes in liver transplant candidates.

A 6-minute walk test is a simple tool for assessing submaximal exercise capacity. We sought to determine whether a 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) predicts outcomes in patients with cirrhosis. The Pulmonary Vascular Complications of Liver Disease 2 study is a multicenter, prospective cohort study that enrolled adults with portal hypertension during liver transplantation evaluation. We excluded subjects with an incident or prevalent portopulmonary hypertension. The 6-minute walk test was performed using standardized methods. Cox proportional hazards modeling and multivariable linear regression analysis were performed to determine the relationship between baseline 6MWD and outcomes. The study sample included 352 subjects. The mean 6MWD was 391±101 m. For each 50-meter decrease in 6MWD, there was a 25% increase in the risk of death (HR 1.25, 95% CI [1.11, 1.41], p < 0.001) after adjustment for age, gender, body mass index, MELD-Na, and liver transplant as a time-varying covariate. In a multistate model, each 50-meter decrease in 6MWD was associated with an increased risk of death before the liver transplant ( p < 0.001) but not after the transplant. 6MWD was similar to MELD-Na in discriminating mortality. Each 50-meter decrease in 6MWD was associated with an increase in all-cause ( p < 0.001) and transplant-free hospitalizations ( p < 0.001) in multivariable models for time-to-recurrent events. Shorter 6MWD was associated with worse Short Form-36 physical ( p < 0.001) and mental component scores ( p = 0.05). In conclusion, shorter 6MWD is associated with an increased risk of death, hospitalizations, and worse quality of life in patients evaluated for liver transplantation. The 6-minute walk distance may be a useful adjunct for risk assessment in patients undergoing liver transplant evaluation.

Minimal Clinically Important Difference in the 6-minute-walk Distance for Patients with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

Rationale: The 6-minute-walk distance (6MWD) is an important clinical and research metric in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH); however, there is no consensus about what minimal change in 6MWD is clinically significant. Objectives: We aimed to determine the minimal clinically important difference in the 6MWD. Methods: We performed a meta-analysis using individual participant data from eight randomized clinical trials of therapy for PAH submitted to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to derive minimal clinically important differences in the 6MWD. The estimates were externally validated using the Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry. We anchored the change in 6MWD to the change in the Medical Outcomes Survey Short Form physical component score. Measurements and Main Results: The derivation (clinical trial) and validation (Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry) samples were comprised of 2,404 and 537 adult patients with PAH, respectively. The mean ± standard deviation age of the derivation sample was 50.5 ± 15.2 years, and 1,849 (77%) were female, similar to the validation sample. The minimal clinically important difference in the derivation sample was 33 meters (95% confidence interval, 27-38), which was almost identical to that in the validation sample (36 m [95% confidence interval, 29-43]). The minimal clinically important difference did not differ by age, sex, race, pulmonary hypertension etiology, body mass index, use of background therapy, or World Health Organization functional class. Conclusions: We estimated a 6MWD minimal clinically important difference of approximately 33 meters for adults with PAH. Our findings can be applied to the design of clinical trials of therapies for PAH.

Palliative care referrals in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension: The Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a life limiting disease with substantial symptom burden and healthcare utilization. Palliative care alleviates physical and emotional symptoms for patients with serious illness, and has been underutilized for these patients. OBJECTIVE: To characterize patients with PAH referred to palliative care and identify predictors of referral. METHODS: We conducted an observational study of adult patients enrolled in the Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry from January 2015 through June 2021, performing descriptive statistics on patient characteristics at baseline for all patients and the subset referred to palliative care. These characteristics were modeled in a backwards elimination Cox regression with time to referral to palliative care as the primary outcome. RESULTS: 92 of 1,578 patients were referred to palliative care (5.8%); 43% were referred at their last visit prior to death. Referrals were associated with increasing age per decade (hazard ratio 1.35 [95% confidence interval 1.16-1.58]), lower body mass index (hazard ratio 0.97 [95% confidence interval 0.94-0.998]), supplemental oxygen use (hazard ratio 2.01 [95% confidence interval 1.28-3.16]), parenteral prostanoid use (hazard ratio 2.88 [95% confidence interval 1.84-4.51]), and worse quality of life, measured via lower physical (hazard ratio 0.97 [95% confidence interval 0.95-0.99]) and mental (hazard ratio 0.98 [95% confidence interval 0.96-0.995]) scores on the 12-item Short Form Health Survey. CONCLUSION: Patients with PAH are infrequently referred to palliative care, even at centers of excellence. Referrals occur in sicker patients with lower quality of life scores, often close to the end of life.

Baseline Sex Differences in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Randomized Clinical Trials.

Rationale: Sex-based differences in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) are known, but the contribution to disease measures is understudied. Objectives: We examined whether sex was associated with baseline 6-minute-walk distance (6MWD), hemodynamics, and functional class. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of participant-level data from randomized clinical trials of investigational PAH therapies conducted between 1998 and 2014 and provided by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Outcomes were modeled as a function of an interaction between sex and age or sex and body mass index (BMI), respectively, with generalized mixed modeling. Results: We included a total of 6,633 participants from 18 randomized clinical trials. A total of 5,197 (78%) were female, with a mean age of 49.1 years and a mean BMI of 27.0 kg/m2. Among 1,436 males, the mean age was 49.7 years, and the mean BMI was 26.4 kg/m2. The most common etiology of PAH was idiopathic. Females had shorter 6MWD. For every 1 kg/m2 increase in BMI for females, 6MWD decreased 2.3 (1.6-3.0) meters (P < 0.001), whereas 6MWD did not significantly change with BMI in males (0.31 m [-0.30 to 0.92]; P = 0.32). Females had lower right atrial pressure (RAP) and mean pulmonary artery pressure, and higher cardiac index than males (all P < 0.03). Age significantly modified the sex by RAP and mean pulmonary artery pressure relationships. For every 10-year increase in age, RAP was lower in males (0.5 mm Hg [0.3-0.7]; P < 0.001), but not in females (0.13 [-0.03 to 0.28]; P = 0.10). There was a significant decrease in pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) with increasing age regardless of sex (P < 0.001). For every 1 kg/m2 increase in BMI, there was a 3% decrease in PVR for males (P < 0.001), compared with a 2% decrease in PVR in females (P < 0.001). Conclusions: Sexual dimorphism in subjects enrolled in clinical trials extends to 6MWD and hemodynamics; these relationships are modified by age and BMI. Sex, age, and body size should be considered in the evaluation and interpretation of surrogate outcomes in PAH.

Utilizing Machine Learning to Predict Neurological Injury in Venovenous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Patients: An Extracorporeal Life Support Organization Registry Analysis.

Background: Venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO) is associated with acute brain injury (ABI), including central nervous system (CNS) ischemia (defined as ischemic stroke or hypoxic-ischemic brain injury) and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). There is limited data on prediction models for ABI and neurological outcomes in VV-ECMO. Research Question: Can machine learning (ML) accurately predict ABI and identify modifiable factors of ABI in VV-ECMO? Study Design and Methods: We analyzed adult (≥18 years) VV-ECMO patients in the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization Registry (2009-2021) from 676 centers. ABI was defined as CNS ischemia, ICH, brain death, and seizures. Overall, 65 total variables were extracted including clinical characteristics and pre-ECMO and on-ECMO variables. Random Forest, CatBoost, LightGBM, and XGBoost ML algorithms (10-fold leave-one-out cross-validation) were used to predict ABI. Feature Importance Scores were used to pinpoint variables most important for predicting ABI. Results: Of 37,473 VV-ECMO patients (median age=48.1 years, 63% male), 2,644 (7.1%) experienced ABI: 610 (2%) and 1,591 (4%) experienced CNS ischemia and ICH, respectively. The median ECMO duration was 10 days (interquartile range=5-20 days). The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curves to predict ABI, CNS ischemia, and ICH were 0.67, 0.63, and 0.70, respectively. The accuracy, positive predictive, and negative predictive values for ABI were 79%, 15%, and 95%, respectively. ML identified pre-ECMO cardiac arrest as the most important risk factor for ABI while ECMO duration and bridge to transplantation as an indication for ECMO were associated with lower risk of ABI. Interpretation: This is the first study to use machine learning to predict ABI in a large cohort of VV-ECMO patients. Performance was sub-optimal due to the low reported prevalence of ABI with lack of standardization of neuromonitoring/imaging protocols and data granularity in the ELSO Registry. Standardized neurological monitoring and imaging protocols may improve machine learning performance to predict ABI.

Comparison of Retinal Imaging Techniques in Individuals with Pulmonary Artery Hypertension Using Vessel Generation Analysis.

(1) Background: Retinal vascular imaging plays an essential role in diagnosing and managing chronic diseases such as diabetic retinopathy, sickle cell retinopathy, and systemic hypertension. Previously, we have shown that individuals with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), a rare disorder, exhibit unique retinal vascular changes as seen using fluorescein angiography (FA) and that these changes correlate with PAH severity. This study aimed to determine if color fundus (CF) imaging could garner identical retinal information as previously seen using FA images in individuals with PAH. (2) Methods: VESGEN, computer software which provides detailed vascular patterns, was used to compare manual segmentations of FA to CF imaging in PAH subjects (n = 9) followed by deep learning (DL) processing of CF imaging to increase the speed of analysis and facilitate a noninvasive clinical translation. (3) Results: When manual segmentation of FA and CF images were compared using VESGEN analysis, both showed identical tortuosity and vessel area density measures. This remained true even when separating images based on arterial trees only. However, this was not observed with microvessels. DL segmentation when compared to manual segmentation of CF images showed similarities in vascular structure as defined by fractal dimension. Similarities were lost for tortuosity and vessel area density when comparing manual CF imaging to DL imaging. (4) Conclusions: Noninvasive imaging such as CF can be used with VESGEN to provide an accurate and safe assessment of retinal vascular changes in individuals with PAH. In addition to providing insight into possible future clinical translational use.

Commercial human pulmonary artery endothelial cells have in-vitro behavior that varies by sex.

It is unknown whether biological sex influences phenotypes of commercially available human pulmonary artery endothelial cells (HPAECs). Ten lots of commercial HPAECs were used (Lonza Biologics; PromoCell). Five (50%) were confirmed to be genotypically male (SRY+) and five (50%) were confirmed to be female (SRY-). Experiments were conducted between passages five and eight. HPAEC phenotype was confirmed with a panel of cell expression markers. Standard assays for proliferation, migration and tube formation were performed in triplicate with technical replicates, under three treatment conditions (EndoGRO; Sigma-Aldrich). Apoptosis was assessed by exposing cells treated with complete media or low serum media to hypoxic (1% oxygen) or normoxic (20% oxygen) conditions. Laboratory staff was blinded. The median (range) age of male and female donors from whom the HPAECs were derived was 58 (48-60) and 56 (33-67), respectively. Our results suggest decreased proliferation in genotypically female cells compared with male cells (p = 0.09). With increasing donor age, female cells were less proliferative and male cells were more proliferative (p = 0.001). Female cells were significantly more apoptotic than male cells by condition (p = 0.001). Female cells were significantly more migratory than male cells in complete media but less migratory than male cells under vascular endothelial growth factor enriched conditions (p = 0.001). There are subtle sex-based differences in the behavior of HPAECs that depend on donor sex and, less so, age. These differences may undermine rigor and reproducibility. Future studies should define whether biological sex is an important regulator of HPAEC function in health and disease.