45-day mortality after 467,779 knee replacements for osteoarthritis from the National Joint Registry for England and Wales: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the risk factors for early death after knee replacement could help to reduce the risk of mortality after this procedure. We assessed secular trends in death within 45 days of knee replacement for osteoarthritis in England and Wales, with the aim of investigating whether any change that we recorded could be explained by alterations in modifiable perioperative factors. METHODS: We took data for knee replacements done for osteoarthritis in England and Wales between April 1, 2003, and Dec 31, 2011, from the National Joint Registry for England and Wales. Patient identifiers were used to link these data to the national mortality database and the Hospital Episode Statistics database to obtain details of death, sociodemographics, and comorbidity. We assessed mortality within 45 days by Kaplan-Meier analysis and assessed the role of patient and treatment factors by Cox proportional hazards models. FINDINGS: 467,779 primary knee replacements were done to treat osteoarthritis during 9 years. 1183 patients died within 45 days of surgery, with a substantial secular decrease in mortality from 0·37% in 2003 to 0·20% in 2011, even after adjustment for age, sex, and comorbidity. The use of unicompartmental knee replacement was associated with substantially lower mortality than was total knee replacement (hazard ratio [HR] 0·32, 95% CI 0·19­0·54, p<0·0005). Several comorbidities were associated with increased mortality: myocardial infarction (HR 3·46, 95% CI 2·81­4·14, p<0·0005), cerebrovascular disease (3·35, 2·7­4·14, p<0·0005), moderate/severe liver disease (7·2, 3·93­13·21, p<0·0005), and renal disease (2·18, 1·76­2·69, p<0·0005). Modifiable perioperative risk factors, including surgical approach and thromboprophylaxis were not associated with mortality. INTERPRETATION: Postoperative mortality after knee replacement has fallen substantially between 2003 and 2011. Efforts to further reduce mortality should concentrate more on older patients, those who are male and those with specific comorbidities, such as myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular disease, liver disease, and renal disease. FUNDING: National Joint Registry for England and Wales.

90-day mortality after 409,096 total hip replacements for osteoarthritis, from the National Joint Registry for England and Wales: a retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Death within 90 days after total hip replacement is rare but might be avoidable dependent on patient and treatment factors. We assessed whether a secular decrease in death caused by hip replacement has occurred in England and Wales and whether modifiable perioperative factors exist that could reduce deaths. METHODS: We took data about hip replacements done in England and Wales between April, 2003, and December, 2011, from the National Joint Registry for England and Wales. Patient identifiers were used to link these data to the national mortality database and the Hospital Episode Statistics database to obtain details of death, sociodemographics, and comorbidity. We assessed mortality within 90 days of operation by Kaplan-Meier analysis and assessed the role of patient and treatment factors by Cox proportional hazards model. FINDINGS: 409,096 primary hip replacements were done to treat osteoarthritis. 1743 patients died within 90 days of surgery during 8 years, with a substantial secular decrease in mortality, from 0·56% in 2003 to 0·29% in 2011, even after adjustment for age, sex, and comorbidity. Several modifiable clinical factors were associated with decreased mortality according to an adjusted model: posterior surgical approach (hazard ratio [HR] 0·82, 95% CI 0·73-0·92; p=0·001), mechanical thromboprophylaxis (0·85, 0·74-0·99; p=0·036), chemical thromboprophylaxis with heparin with or without aspirin (0·79, 0·66-0·93; p=0·005), and spinal versus general anaesthetic (0·85, 0·74-0·97; p=0·019). Type of prosthesis was unrelated to mortality. Being overweight was associated with lower mortality (0·76, 0·62-0·92; p=0·006). INTERPRETATION: Postoperative mortality after hip joint replacement has fallen substantially. Widespread adoption of four simple clinical management strategies (posterior surgical approach, mechanical and chemical prophylaxis, and spinal anaesthesia) could, if causally related, reduce mortality further. FUNDING: National Joint Registry for England and Wales.

Failure rates of stemmed metal-on-metal hip replacements: analysis of data from the National Joint Registry of England and Wales.

BACKGROUND: Total hip replacement (THR) is extremely common. Some prostheses fail, particularly in younger patients, and need to be revised, most commonly for loosening secondary to wear or dislocation. Surgeons have tried to address these problems by implanting large diameter metal-on-metal bearing surfaces. Our aim was to assess if metal-on-metal bearing surfaces lead to increased implant survival compared with other bearing surfaces in stemmed THR and, additionally, if larger head sizes result in improved implant survival. METHODS: We analysed the National Joint Registry of England and Wales for primary hip replacements (402,051, of which 31,171 were stemmed metal-on-metal) undertaken between 2003 and 2011. Our analysis was with a multivariable flexible parametric survival model to estimate the covariate-adjusted cumulative incidence of revision adjusting for the competing risk of death. FINDINGS: Metal-on-metal THR failed at high rates. Failure was related to head size, with larger heads failing earlier (3·2% cumulative incidence of revision [95% CI 2·5-4·1] for 28 mm and 5·1% [4·2-6·2] for 52 mm head at 5 years in men aged 60 years). 5 year revision rates in younger women were 6·1% (5·2-7·2) for 46 mm metal-on-metal compared with 1·6% (1·3-2·1) for 28 mm metal-on-polyethylene. By contrast, for ceramic-on-ceramic articulations larger head sizes were associated with improved survival (5 year revision rate of 3·3% [2·6-4·1] with 28 mm and 2·0% [1·5-2·7] with 40 mm for men aged 60 years). INTERPRETATION: Metal-on-metal stemmed articulations give poor implant survival compared with other options and should not be implanted. All patients with these bearings should be carefully monitored, particularly young women implanted with large diameter heads. Since large diameter ceramic-on-ceramic bearings seem to do well we support their continued use. FUNDING: National Joint Registry of England and Wales.