Epidemiología de la neumonía neumocócica en adultos mayores de 50 años: estudio de cohortes en Cataluña, 2017-2018 / Epidemiology of pneumococcal pneumonia among middle-aged and older adults in Catalonia, 2017–2018

Objetivo: Analizar la incidencia y letalidad de la neumonía neumocócica (NN) en adultos tras la implementación de la vacunación universal en los niños. Diseño: Estudio de cohortes de base poblacional. Emplazamiento: Atención primaria/hospital, Cataluña. Participantes: 2.059.645 personas≥50 años afiliadas al Institut Català de la Salut, con seguimiento retrospectivo entre 01/01/2017-31/12/2018. Mediciones principales: El Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria (SIDIAP) de Cataluña fue usado para establecer las características basales de los miembros de la cohorte, clasificados en 3 estratos de riesgo: bajo (inmunocompetentes sin condiciones de riesgo), medio (inmunocompetentes con alguna condición de riesgo) y alto (inmunocompromiso/asplenia). La ocurrencia de NN entre los miembros de la cohorte fue identificada mediante Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos de los 64 hospitales catalanes de referencia. Resultados: Se registraron 3592 episodios de NN, con una incidencia de 90,7 casos por 100.000 personas-año (IC 95%: 85,2-96,5), siendo 11,9 bacteriémicas (IC 95%: 10,8-13,1) y 78,8 no bacteriémicas (IC 95%: 74,0-83,8). La incidencia aumentó sustancialmente según edad (37,3 en 50-64; 98,3 en 65-79 y 259,8 en ≥80 años) y estrato de riesgo basal (42,1; 120,7 y 238,6 en bajo, medio y alto riesgo, respectivamente). La letalidad global fue del 7,6% (10,8% en casos invasivos vs. 7,1%en no invasivos; p=0,004). En modelos multivariantes, estrato de riesgo alto y edad avanzada (>80 años) fueron los más fuertes predictores para padecer episodios invasivos y no invasivos, respectivamente. Conclusión: La incidencia y letalidad de la NN fue moderada en la población>50 años de Cataluña durante 2017-2018.(AU)

Objective: To analyse population-based incidence and lethality of pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) requiring hospitalisation among Catalonian adults after universal vaccination implementation in infants. Design: Population-based cohort study. Setting: Primary care/hospital, Catalonia. Participants: 2,059,645 individuals ≥50 years old affiliated to the Institut Catala de la Salut retrospectively followed between 01/01/2017 and 31/12/2018. Main outcome measures: The Catalonian information system for the development of research in primary care (SIDIAP, Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria) was used to establish baseline characteristics and risk-strata of cohort members at study start: low-risk (immunocompetent persons without risk conditions), intermediate-risk (immunocompetent persons with at-risk condition) and high-risk (immunocompromising conditions). PP requiring hospitalisation among cohort members across study period were collected from CMBD (Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos) discharge data of 64 reference Catalonian hospitals. Results: An amount of 3592 episodes of HPP were observed, with an incidence density of 90.7 cases per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 85.2-96.5), being 11.9 bacteremic (95% CI: 10.8-13.1) and 78.8 non-bacteremic (95% CI: 74.0-83.8). Incidence rates substantially increased by age (37.3 in 50-64 years vs. 98.3 in 65-79 years vs. 259.8 in ≥80 years) and baseline-risk stratum (42.1, 120.7 and 238.6 in low-, intermediate- and high-risk stratum, respectively). Overall case-fatality rate was 7.6% (10.8% in invasive cases vs. 7.1% in non-invasive cases; pP=.004). In multivariable analyses, high-risk stratum and oldest age were the strongest predictors for invasive and non-invasive cases, respectively. Conclusion: Incidence and lethality of PP remained moderate among adults >50 years in Catalonia during 2017–2018 (earlier period after universal vaccination introduction for infants).(AU)

Incidence and risk factors of pneumococcal pneumonia in adults: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Infection caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, mainly invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and pneumococcal pneumonia (PP), are a major public health problem worldwide. This study investigated population-based incidence and risk of PP among Catalonian persons ≥ 50 years-old with and without specific underlying conditions/comorbidities, examining the influence of single and multi-comorbidities in the risk of suffering PP. METHODS: Population-based cohort study involving 2,059,645 persons ≥ 50 years-old in Catalonia, Spain, who were retrospectively followed between 01/01/2017-31/12/2018. The Catalonian information system for development of research in primary care (SIDIAP) was used to establish baseline characteristics of the cohort (comorbidities/underlying conditions), and PP cases were collected from discharge codes (ICD-10: J13) of the 68 referral Catalonian hospitals. RESULTS: Global incidence rate (IR) was 90.7 PP cases per 100,000 person-years, with a 7.6% (272/3592) case-fatality rate (CFR). Maximum IRs emerged among persons with history of previous IPD or all-cause pneumonia, followed by haematological neoplasia (475.0), HIV-infection (423.7), renal disease (384.9), chronic respiratory disease (314.7), liver disease (232.5), heart disease (221.4), alcoholism (204.8), solid cancer (186.2) and diabetes (159.6). IRs were 42.1, 89.9, 201.1, 350.9, 594.3 and 761.2 in persons with 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and ≥ 5 comorbidities, respectively. In multivariable analyses, HIV-infection (hazard ratio [HR]: 5.16; 95% CI: 3.57-7.46), prior all-cause pneumonia (HR: 3.96; 95% CI: 3.45-4.55), haematological neoplasia (HR: 2.71; 95% CI: 2.06-3.57), chronic respiratory disease (HR: 2.66; 95% CI: 2.47-2.86) and prior IPD (HR: 2.56; 95% CI: 2.03-3.24) were major predictors for PP. CONCLUSION: Apart of increasing age and immunocompromising conditions (classically recognised as high-risk conditions), history of prior IPD/pneumonia, presence of chronic pulmonary/respiratory disease and/or co-existing multi-comorbidity (i.e., two or more underlying conditions) are major risk factors for PP in adults, with an excess risk near to immunocompromised subjects. Redefining risk categories for PP, including all the above-mentioned conditions into the high-risk category, could be necessary to improve prevention strategies in middle-aged and older adults.

[Epidemiology of pneumococcal pneumonia among middle-aged and older adults in Catalonia, 2017-2018]. / Epidemiología de la neumonía neumocócica en adultos mayores de 50 años: estudio de cohortes en Cataluña, 2017-2018.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse population-based incidence and lethality of pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) requiring hospitalisation among Catalonian adults after universal vaccination implementation in infants. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Primary care/hospital, Catalonia. PARTICIPANTS: 2,059,645 individuals ≥50 years old affiliated to the Institut Catala de la Salut retrospectively followed between 01/01/2017 and 31/12/2018. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The Catalonian information system for the development of research in primary care (SIDIAP, Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria) was used to establish baseline characteristics and risk-strata of cohort members at study start: low-risk (immunocompetent persons without risk conditions), intermediate-risk (immunocompetent persons with at-risk condition) and high-risk (immunocompromising conditions). PP requiring hospitalisation among cohort members across study period were collected from CMBD (Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos) discharge data of 64 reference Catalonian hospitals. RESULTS: An amount of 3592 episodes of HPP were observed, with an incidence density of 90.7 cases per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 85.2-96.5), being 11.9 bacteremic (95% CI: 10.8-13.1) and 78.8 non-bacteremic (95% CI: 74.0-83.8). Incidence rates substantially increased by age (37.3 in 50-64 years vs. 98.3 in 65-79 years vs. 259.8 in ≥80 years) and baseline-risk stratum (42.1, 120.7 and 238.6 in low-, intermediate- and high-risk stratum, respectively). Overall case-fatality rate was 7.6% (10.8% in invasive cases vs. 7.1% in non-invasive cases; pP=.004). In multivariable analyses, high-risk stratum and oldest age were the strongest predictors for invasive and non-invasive cases, respectively. CONCLUSION: Incidence and lethality of PP remained moderate among adults >50 years in Catalonia during 2017-2018 (earlier period after universal vaccination introduction for infants).

Evaluating clinical effectiveness and impact of anti-pneumococcal vaccination in adults after universal childhood PCV13 implementation in Catalonia, 2017-2018.

Background: At present, because of indirect effects derived from routine childhood immunisation, clinical benefits vaccinating adults with the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPsV23) and/or the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) are uncertain. This study investigated clinical effectiveness for both PPsV23/PCV13 in preventing pneumonia among Catalonian adults during an earlier 2-year period post-PCV13 free (publicly funded) approval for infants. Methods: We conducted a Population-based cohort study involving 2,059,645 adults ≥ 50 years in Catalonia, Spain, who were followed between 01/01/2017-31/12/2018. Primary outcomes were hospitalisation from pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) or all-cause pneumonia (ACP) and main explanatory variable was PCV13/PPsV23 vaccination status. Cox regression models were used to estimate vaccination effectiveness adjusted by age/sex and underlying-risk conditions. Results: Cohort members were followed for 3,958,528 person-years (32,328 PCV13-vaccinated, 1,532,186 PPsV23-vaccinated), observing 3592 PP (131 in PCV13-vaccinated vs 2476 in PPsV23-vaccinated) and 24,136 ACP (876 in PCV13-vaccinated vs 17,550 in PPsV23-vaccinated). Incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years) were 90.7 for PP (394.2 in PCV13-vaccinated vs 161.6 in PPsV23-vaccinated) and 609.7 for ACP (2636.3 in PCV13-vaccinated vs 1145.4 in PPsV23-vaccinated). The PCV13 was associated with an increased risk of PP (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.00-1.52; p = 0.046) and ACP (HR: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.28-1.49; p < 0.001) whereas the PPsV23 did not alter the risk of PP (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 0.98-1.18; p = 0.153) and slightly increased the risk of ACP (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.10-1.18; p < 0.001). In supplementary analyses focused on at-risk individuals (i.e., elderly persons, immunocompromissing and other chronic illnesses) protective effects of vaccination did not emerge either. Conclusions: Data does not support clinical benefits from pneumococcal vaccination (nor PCV13 neither PPsV23) against pneumonia among Catalonian middle-aged and older adults in the current era of universal PCV13 childhood immunisation in our setting. New extended valency PCVs are greatly needed.

Susceptibility and risk of SARS-COV-2 infection among middle-aged and older adults in Tarragona area, Spain.

Objective: To analyse susceptibility/risk of suffering COVID-19 among adults with distinct underlying medical conditions. Methods: Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (demographic, pre-existing comorbidities, chronic medications and vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and primary outcome was laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 occurred among cohort members throughout 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Risk of suffering COVID-19 was evaluated by Cox regression, estimating multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for age/sex and pre-existing comorbidities. Results: Across study period, 536 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases were observed (mean incidence: 39.5 cases per 100,000 persons-week). In multivariable-analysis, increasing age/years (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00-1.02), nursing-home (HR: 20.19; 95% CI: 15.98-25.51), neurological disease (HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.03-1.77), taking diuretics (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.10-1.75), antiplatelet (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.05-1.76) and benzodiazepines (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.00-1.53) increased risk; conversely, taking angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.61-1.00), angiotensin-receptor-blockers (HR: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.51-0.96) and statins (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58-0.96) were associated with reduced risk. Among community-dwelling individuals, pre-existing cancer, renal and cardiac disease appeared also related with an increased risk, whereas influenza vaccination was associated with reduced risk. Conclusion: In a setting with relatively low incidence of COVID-19 across the first wave of pandemic period, increasing age, nursing-home residence and multiple comorbidities appear predisposing for COVID-19 among middle-aged/older adults. Conversely, statins, angiotensin-receptor blockers/inhibitors and influenza vaccination were related with decreased risk.

Objetivo: Analizar incidencia y riesgo/susceptibilidad de sufrir la COVID-19 en adultos según distintas condiciones médicas preexistentes. Métodos: Cohorte de base poblacional que incluyó 79.083 personas ≥50 años en Tarragona. Características basales de la cohorte (edad/sexo, comorbilidades, medicaciones crónicas) se establecieron a 01-03-2020 y se registraron todos los casos de COVID-19 confirmada ocurridos en miembros de la cohorte hasta el 30-06-2020. Para estimación de riesgos se realizó regresión de Cox, con cálculo de hazard ratio (HR) ajustados por edad, sexo y comorbilidad. Resultados: Se observaron 536 casos confirmados de COVID-19 (incidencia media: 39,5 casos por 100.000 personas-semana). En análisis multivariante, edad/años (HR: 1,01; IC el 95%: 1,00-1,02; p = 0,050), estar institucionalizado/residencia (HR: 20,19; IC 95%: 15,98-25,51; p<0,001), enfermedad neurológica (HR: 1,35; IC el 95%: 1,03-1,77), diuréticos (HR: 1,39; IC 95%: 1,10-1,75), antiagregantes plaquetarios (HR: 1,36; IC 95%: 1,05-1,76) y benzodiacepinas (HR: 1,24; IC 95%: 1,00-1,53) se asociaron con un riesgo aumentado de la COVID-19 analizando la totalidad de la cohorte; contrariamente, medicación IECA (HR: 0,78; IC el 95%: 0,61-1,00), ARA-II (HR: 0,70; IC el 95%: 0,51-0,96) y estatinas (HR: 0,75; IC el 95%: 0,58-0,96) se asociaron con menor riesgo. Entre personas no institucionalizadas, cáncer, nefropatía y cardiopatía se asociaron con mayor riesgo y vacunación antigripal con menor riesgo. Conclusión: En un área con relativamente baja incidencia de COVID-19, edad, institucionalización y múltiples comorbilidades aumentaron el riesgo/susceptibilidad de sufrir la COVID-19. Contrariamente, estatinas, inhibidores del sistema renina-angiotensina y vacunación antigripal se asociaron con menor riesgo.

Susceptibility and risk of SARS-COV-2 infection among middle-aged and older adults in Tarragona area, Spain / Susceptibilidad y riesgo de infección por SARS-CoV-2 en adultos mayores de 50 años en el área de Tarragona

Objective:To analyse susceptibility/risk of suffering COVID-19 among adults with distinct underlying medical conditions.Methods:Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (demographic, pre-existing comorbidities, chronic medications and vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and primary outcome was laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 occurred among cohort members throughout 01/03/2020–30/06/2020. Risk of suffering COVID-19 was evaluated by Cox regression, estimating multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for age/sex and pre-existing comorbidities. Results:Across study period, 536 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases were observed (mean incidence: 39.5 cases per 100,000 persons-week). In multivariable-analysis, increasing age/years (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00–1.02), nursing-home (HR: 20.19; 95% CI: 15.98–25.51), neurological disease (HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.03–1.77), taking diuretics (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.10–1.75), antiplatelet (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.05–1.76) and benzodiazepines (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.00–1.53) increased risk; conversely, taking angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.61–1.00), angiotensin-receptor-blockers (HR: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.51–0.96) and statins (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58–0.96) were associated with reduced risk. Among community-dwelling individuals, pre-existing cancer, renal and cardiac disease appeared also related with an increased risk, whereas influenza vaccination was associated with reduced risk.Conclusion:In a setting with relatively low incidence of COVID-19 across the first wave of pandemic period, increasing age, nursing-home residence and multiple comorbidities appear predisposing for COVID-19 among middle-aged/older adults. Conversely, statins, angiotensin-receptor blockers/inhibitors and influenza vaccination were related with decreased risk.(AU)

Objetivo:Analizar incidencia y riesgo/susceptibilidad de sufrir la COVID-19 en adultos según distintas condiciones médicas preexistentes. Métodos:Cohorte de base poblacional que incluyó 79.083 personas ≥50 años en Tarragona. Características basales de la cohorte (edad/sexo, comorbilidades, medicaciones crónicas) se establecieron a 01-03-2020 y se registraron todos los casos de COVID-19 confirmada ocurridos en miembros de la cohorte hasta el 30-06-2020. Para estimación de riesgos se realizó regresión de Cox, con cálculo de hazard ratio (HR) ajustados por edad, sexo y comorbilidad.Resultados:Se observaron 536 casos confirmados de COVID-19 (incidencia media: 39,5 casos por 100.000 personas-semana). En análisis multivariante, edad/años (HR: 1,01; IC el 95%: 1,00-1,02; p=0,050), estar institucionalizado/residencia (HR: 20,19; IC 95%: 15,98-25,51; p<0,001), enfermedad neurológica (HR: 1,35; IC el 95%: 1,03-1,77), diuréticos (HR: 1,39; IC 95%: 1,10-1,75), antiagregantes plaquetarios (HR: 1,36; IC 95%: 1,05-1,76) y benzodiacepinas (HR: 1,24; IC 95%: 1,00-1,53) se asociaron con un riesgo aumentado de la COVID-19 analizando la totalidad de la cohorte; contrariamente, medicación IECA (HR: 0,78; IC el 95%: 0,61-1,00), ARA-II (HR: 0,70; IC el 95%: 0,51-0,96) y estatinas (HR: 0,75; IC el 95%: 0,58-0,96) se asociaron con menor riesgo. Entre personas no institucionalizadas, cáncer, nefropatía y cardiopatía se asociaron con mayor riesgo y vacunación antigripal con menor riesgo.Conclusión:En un área con relativamente baja incidencia de COVID-19, edad, institucionalización y múltiples comorbilidades aumentaron el riesgo/susceptibilidad de sufrir la COVID-19. Contrariamente, estatinas, inhibidores del sistema renina-angiotensina y vacunación antigripal se asociaron con menor riesgo. (AU)

Susceptibility and risk of SARS-COV-2 infection among middle-aged and older adults in Tarragona area, Spain.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse susceptibility/risk of suffering COVID-19 among adults with distinct underlying medical conditions. METHODS: Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (demographic, pre-existing comorbidities, chronic medications and vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and primary outcome was laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 occurred among cohort members throughout 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Risk of suffering COVID-19 was evaluated by Cox regression, estimating multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for age/sex and pre-existing comorbidities. RESULTS: Across study period, 536 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases were observed (mean incidence: 39.5 cases per 100,000 persons-week). In multivariable-analysis, increasing age/years (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00-1.02), nursing-home (HR: 20.19; 95% CI: 15.98-25.51), neurological disease (HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.03-1.77), taking diuretics (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.10-1.75), antiplatelet (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.05-1.76) and benzodiazepines (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.00-1.53) increased risk; conversely, taking angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.61-1.00), angiotensin-receptor-blockers (HR: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.51-0.96) and statins (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58-0.96) were associated with reduced risk. Among community-dwelling individuals, pre-existing cancer, renal and cardiac disease appeared also related with an increased risk, whereas influenza vaccination was associated with reduced risk. CONCLUSION: In a setting with relatively low incidence of COVID-19 across the first wave of pandemic period, increasing age, nursing-home residence and multiple comorbidities appear predisposing for COVID-19 among middle-aged/older adults. Conversely, statins, angiotensin-receptor blockers/inhibitors and influenza vaccination were related with decreased risk.

COVID19-related and all-cause mortality risk among middle-aged and older adults across the first epidemic wave of SARS-COV-2 infection: a population-based cohort stuJune 2020.dy in Southern Catalonia, Spain, March-

BACKGROUND: Direct and indirect COVID19-related mortality is uncertain. This study investigated all-cause and COVID19-related deaths among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic period, assessing mortality risks by pre-existing socio-demographic and medical underlying conditions. METHODS: Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years-old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (age/sex, comorbidities and medications/vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and main outcomes were COVID19-related deaths (those occurred among patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID19) and all-cause deaths occurred among cohort members between 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Mortality risks were assessed by Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Cohort members were followed for 1,356,358 persons-weeks, occurring 576 all-cause deaths (124 COVID19-related deaths). Of the 124 deceased patients with a laboratory-confirmed COVID19, 112 (90.3%) died by (due to) COVID-19, while 12 (9.7%) died with COVID-19 (but likely due to other concomitant causes). All-cause mortality rate among cohort members across study period was 42.5 deaths per 100,000 persons-week, being 22.8 among healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, 236.4 in COVID19-excluded/PCR-negative subjects, 493.7 in COVID19-compatible/PCR-unperformed subjects and 4009.1 in COVID19-confirmed patients. Increasing age, sex male, nursing-home residence, cancer, neurologic, cardiac or liver disease, receiving diuretics, systemic corticosteroids, proton-pump inhibitors and benzodiazepines were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality; conversely, receiving renin-angiotensin inhibitors and statins were associated with reduced risk. Age/years (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-1.10), sex male (HR: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.24-2.70), nursing-home residence (HR: 12.56; 95% CI: 8.07-19.54) and number of pre-existing comorbidities (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.01-1.29) were significant predictors for COVID19-related mortality, but none specific comorbidity emerged significantly associated with an increased risk in multivariable analysis evaluating it. CONCLUSION: COVID19-related deaths represented more than 20 % of all-cause mortality occurred among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of the pandemic in the region. A considerable proportion (around 10 %) of these COVID19-related deaths could be attributed to other concomitant causes. Theoretically COVID19-excluded subjects (PCR-negative) suffered ten-times greater all-cause mortality than healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, which points to the existence of considerable number of false negative results in earlier PCR testing and could explain part of the global excess all-cause mortality observed during the pandemic.

[Treatment setting, symptomatology, clinical course, severity degree and case-fatality rate in 536 adults over 50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Tarragona, Spain, March-June 2020.] / Lugar de atención, sintomatología y curso clínico, gravedad y letalidad en 536 casos confirmados de COVID-19 en adultos mayores de 50 años en el área de Tarragona, marzo-junio de 2020.

OBJECTIVE: Population-based clinical data on COVID-19 is scarce. This study analyzed distinct clinical characteristics of COVID-19 and relationships with lethality among adults. METHODS: Retrospective cohort that included all population ≥50 years with a laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Tarragona, Spain, during 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Treatment setting (outpatient/hospital/nursing-home), pre-existing comorbidities, signs/symptoms, clinical course, severity and lethality (death from any cause in-hospital or within the first 30-day after the diagnosis) were determined. Chi squared and Fisher's test were used to compare percentages. RESULTS: Of the 536 overall cases (mean age: 74 years; 43.8% male), 150 (28%) were outpatient, 179 (33.4%) were hospitalised and 207 (38.6%) happened in nursing-home/social-health centres. The most prevalent symptoms were fever (57.9%), cough (49.8%), dyspnea (41.5%), general discomfort (36.2%), fatigue (24.4%), diarrhea (19.6%), myalgias (17.3%), headache (14.6%), confusion/lethargy (14.6%), thoracic pain (10%), anosmia (9.8%), disgeusia/ageusia (8.1%) and sore throat (7.7%). Global lethality was 23.1% (1.7% in 50-64 years vs 25.5% in 65-79 years vs 38.7% in ≥80 years, p<0.001; 26.8% in men vs 20.3% in women, p=0.075; 3.3% in outpatient vs 29.6% in hospitalised vs 31.9% in nursing-home/social-health centres, p<0.001). By symptomatology, maximum lethality was observed among patients with confusion/lethargy (77.6%) and minimum among those with ageusia/disgeusia (4.8%), anosmia (3.9%) or myalgias (1.1%). By pre-existing comorbidities, greater lethality happened among patients with neurologic (36.7%), renal (35.4%) and cardiac disease (35.3%). CONCLUSIONS: There was a relatively great lethality of COVID-19 among the general population ≥50 years across the first epidemic wave in the study setting. Increasing age, male sex, nursing-home residence and several signs/symptoms and comorbidities were associated with higher mortality.

OBJETIVO: Los datos clínicos de ámbito poblacional sobre COVID-19 son escasos. Este estudio analizó distintas características de presentación de la enfermedad y su relación con letalidad en adultos de 50 años y más. METODOS: Cohorte retrospectiva que incluyó todas las personas mayores o con 50 años con diagnóstico confirmado de COVID-19 en Tarragona del 01/03/2020 al 30/06/2020 (n=536). Se valoró el lugar de atención/tratamiento (ambulatorio/hospital/residencia), las comorbilidades previas, los signos/síntomas de presentación, el curso clínico, la gravedad y la letalidad (muerte por cualquier causa en 30 días post-diagnóstico). Chi cuadrado y test exacto de Fisher se usaron para la comparación de proporciones. RESULTADOS: De los 536 casos (edad media 74 años, 43,8% varones), 150 (28%) fueron ambulatorios, 179 (33,4%) hospitalizados y 207 (38,6%) ocurrieron en residencias/sociosanitarios. Los síntomas más prevalentes fueron fiebre (57,9%), tos (49,8%), disnea (41,5%, malestar general (36,2%), fatiga (24,4%), diarrea (19,6%), mialgias (17,3%), cefalea (14,6%), confusión/letargia (14,6%), dolor torácico (10%), anosmia (9,8%), disgeusia/ageusia (8,1%) y odinofagia (7,7%). La letalidad global fue 23,1% (1,7% en 50-64 años, 25,5% en 65-79 años y 38,7% en ≥80 años, p<0,001; 26,8% en hombres vs 20,3% en mujeres, p=0,075; 3,3% en ambulatorio/domicilio vs 29,6% en hospitalizados vs 31,9% en residencias/sociosanitarios, p<0,001). Según sintomatología, la máxima letalidad se observó en pacientes con confusión/letargia (77,6%) y la mínima en aquellos con ageusia/disgeusia (4,8%), anosmia (3,9%) o mialgias (1,1%). Según la comorbilidad, la máxima letalidad apareció en pacientes con enfermedad neurológica (36,7%), renal (35,4%) y cardiaca (35,3%). CONCLUSIONES: Se constata una relativamente alta letalidad de la COVID-19 en la población general mayor o de 50 años durante la primera ola epidémica. La edad avanzada, el sexo varón, la institucionalización y la presencia de algunos signos/síntomas y/o comorbilidades se asociaron con mayor mortalidad.

Development of a predictive prognostic rule for early assessment of COVID-19 patients in primary care settings / Desarrollo de una escala predictiva simple para la valoración pronóstica de pacientes COVID19 en atención primaria

Objective: To investigate possible early prognostic factors among middle-aged and older adult and explore prognostic rules stratifying risk of patients. Design: Community-based retrospective cohort. Setting: Primary Health Care Tarragona region. Participants: 282 community-dwelling symptomatic patients ≥50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 (hospitalised and/or outpatient) during March-June 2020 in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Main outcome measurements: Relationship between demographics, pre-existing comorbidities and early symptomatology (first 5-days) and risk of suffering critical outcome (ICU-admission/death) across clinical course was evaluated by logistic regression analyses, and simple predictive models were developed. Results: Of the 282 cases (mean age: 65.9 years; 140 men), 154 (54.6%) were hospitalised (30 ICU-admitted) and 45 (16%) deceased. Median time follow-up in clinical course was 31 days (range: 30–150) for survivors and 14 days (range: 1–81) for deceased patients. In crude analyses, increasing age, male sex, some comorbidities (renal, respiratory or cardiac disease, diabetes and hypertension) and symptoms (confusion, dyspnoea) were associated with an increased risk to suffer critical outcome, whereas other symptoms (rinorrhea, myalgias, headache, anosmia/disgeusia) were related with reduced risk. After multivariable-adjustment only age/years (OR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01–1.07; p=0.004), confusion (OR: 5.33; 95% CI: 1.54–18.48; p=0.008), dyspnoea (OR: 5.41; 95% CI: 2.74–10.69; p<0.001) and myalgias (OR: 0.30; 95% CI: 0.10–0.93; p=0.038) remained significantly associated with increased or reduced risk. A proposed CD65-M prognostic rule (acronym of above mentioned 4 variables) showed a good correlation with the risk of suffering critical outcome (area under ROC curve: 0.828; 95% CI: 0.774–0.882).(AU)

Objetivo: Investigar posibles factores pronósticos y escalas predictivas simples en adultos mayores con COVID-19. Diseño: Cohorte retrospectiva de base comunitaria. Emplazamiento: Atención Primaria Tarragona. Participantes: 282 adultos ≥50años no institucionalizados con COVID-19 confirmada (hospitalizada o ambulatoria) ocurrida durante marzo-junio de 2020. Mediciones principales: La relación entre covariables basales (edad, sexo, condiciones/comorbilidades preexistentes y sintomatología inicial) y el riesgo de mala evolución (ingreso en UCI o muerte) se analizó mediante modelos de regresión logística. Resultados: De los 282 casos de COVID-19 (edad media 65,9años; 49,6% varones), 154 (54,6%) fueron hospitalizados (30 ingresados en UCI) y 45 (16%) fallecieron. En total, 64 (22,7%) requirieron UCI o fallecieron. La mediana de tiempo de seguimiento durante el curso clínico fue de 31días (rango: 30-150) en los pacientes que sobrevivieron y de 14días (rango: 1-81) en fallecidos. En análisis crudos, la edad/años, sexo varón, algunas comorbilidades (enfermedad renal, respiratoria o cardiaca, diabetes e hipertensión) y síntomas (confusión/letargia, disnea) se asociaron con mayor riesgo de UCI/muerte, mientras que otros síntomas (rinorrea, mialgias, cefalea, ageusia/anosmia) se asociaron con menor riesgo. En análisis multivariable solo la edad/años (OR: 1,04; IC95%: 1,01-1,07; p=0,004), confusión/letargia (OR: 5,33; IC95%: 1,54-18,48; p=0,008), disnea (OR: 5,41; IC95%: 2,74-10,69; p<0,001) y mialgias (OR: 0,30; IC95%: 0,10-0,93; p=0,038) permanecieron significativamente asociadas con mayor/menor riesgo. Una posible escala pronóstica CD65-M (acrónimo de las 4 variables mencionadas) mostró buena correlación con el riesgo de UCI/muerte (área bajo la curva ROC: 0,828; IC95%: 0,774-0,882).(AU)

Development of a predictive prognostic rule for early assessment of COVID-19 patients in primary care settings.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate possible early prognostic factors among middle-aged and older adult and explore prognostic rules stratifying risk of patients. DESIGN: Community-based retrospective cohort. SETTING: Primary Health Care Tarragona region. PARTICIPANTS: 282 community-dwelling symptomatic patients ≥50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 (hospitalised and/or outpatient) during March-June 2020 in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Relationship between demographics, pre-existing comorbidities and early symptomatology (first 5-days) and risk of suffering critical outcome (ICU-admission/death) across clinical course was evaluated by logistic regression analyses, and simple predictive models were developed. RESULTS: Of the 282 cases (mean age: 65.9 years; 140 men), 154 (54.6%) were hospitalised (30 ICU-admitted) and 45 (16%) deceased. Median time follow-up in clinical course was 31 days (range: 30-150) for survivors and 14 days (range: 1-81) for deceased patients. In crude analyses, increasing age, male sex, some comorbidities (renal, respiratory or cardiac disease, diabetes and hypertension) and symptoms (confusion, dyspnoea) were associated with an increased risk to suffer critical outcome, whereas other symptoms (rinorrhea, myalgias, headache, anosmia/disgeusia) were related with reduced risk. After multivariable-adjustment only age/years (OR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01-1.07; p=0.004), confusion (OR: 5.33; 95% CI: 1.54-18.48; p=0.008), dyspnoea (OR: 5.41; 95% CI: 2.74-10.69; p<0.001) and myalgias (OR: 0.30; 95% CI: 0.10-0.93; p=0.038) remained significantly associated with increased or reduced risk. A proposed CD65-M prognostic rule (acronym of above mentioned 4 variables) showed a good correlation with the risk of suffering critical outcome (area under ROC curve: 0.828; 95% CI: 0.774-0.882). CONCLUSION: Clinical course of COVID-19 is early unpredictable, but simple clinical tools as the proposed CD65-M rule (pending external validation) may be helpful assessing these patients in primary care settings.

Influence of prior comorbidities and chronic medications use on the risk of COVID-19 in adults: a population-based cohort study in Tarragona, Spain.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate possible relationships between pre-existing medical conditions (including common comorbidities and chronic medications) and risk for suffering COVID-19 disease in middle-aged and older adults. DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Twelve primary care centres (PCCs) in Tarragona (Spain). PARTICIPANTS: 79 083 people (77 676 community-dwelling and 1407 nursing-home residents), who were all individuals aged >50 years affiliated to the 12 participating PCCs. OUTCOMES: Baseline cohort characteristics (age, sex, vaccinations, comorbidities and chronic medications) were established at study start (1st. March 2020) and primary outcome was time to COVID-19 confirmed by PCR among cohort members throughout the epidemic period (from 1st. March 2020 to 23rd. May 2020). Risk for suffering COVID-19 was evaluated by Cox regression, estimating multivariable HRs adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities and medications use. RESULTS: During the study period, 2324 cohort members were PCR-tested, with 1944 negative and 380 positive results, which means an incidence of 480.5 PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100 000 persons-period. Assessing the total study cohort, only age (HR 1.02; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.03; p=0.002), nursing-home residence (HR 21.83; 95% CI 16.66 to 28.61; p<0.001) and receiving diuretics (HR 1.35; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.76; p=0.026) appeared independently associated with increased risk. Smoking (HR 0.62; 95% CI 0.41 to 0.93; p=0.022), ACE inhibitors (HR 0.68; 95% CI 0.47 to 0.99; p=0.046) and antihistamine (HR 0.47; 95% CI 0.22 to 1.01; p=0.052) were associated with a lower risk. Among community-dwelling individuals, cancer (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.03 to 2.24; p=0.035), chronic respiratory disease (HR 1.82; 95% CI 1.08 to 3.07; p=0.025) and cardiac disease (HR 1.53; 95% CI 1.06 to 2.19; p=0.021) emerged to be also associated with an increased risk. Receiving ACE inhibitors (HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.44 to 0.99; p=0.046) and influenza vaccination (HR 0.63; 95% CI 0.44 to 0.91; p=0.012) was associated with decreased risk. CONCLUSION: Age, nursing-home residence and multiple comorbidities appear predisposing for COVID-19. Conversely, receiving ACE inhibitors, antihistamine and influenza vaccination could be protective, which should be closely investigated in further studies specifically focused on these concerns.

Use of distinct anti-hypertensive drugs and risk for COVID-19 among hypertensive people: A population-based cohort study in Southern Catalonia, Spain.

The use of some anti-hypertensive drugs in the current COVID-19 pandemic has become controversial. This study investigated possible relationships between anti-hypertensive medications use and COVID-19 infection risk in the ambulatory hypertensive population. This is a population-based retrospective cohort study involving 34 936 hypertensive adults >50 years in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain) who were retrospectively followed through pandemic period (from 01/03/2020 to 30/04/2020). Two data sets including demographic/clinical characteristics (comorbidities and cardiovascular medications use) and laboratory PCR codes for COVID-19 were linked to construct an anonymized research database. Cox regression was used to calculate multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and estimate the risk of suffering COVID-19 infection. Across study period, 205 PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases were observed, which means an overall incidence of 586.8 cases per 100 000 persons-period. In multivariable analyses, only age (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.02-1.05; P < .001) and nursing home residence (HR: 19.60; 95% CI: 13.80-27.84; P < .001) appeared significantly associated with increased risk of COVID-19. Considering anti-hypertensive drugs, receiving diuretics (HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 0.90-1.67; P = .205), calcium channel blockers (HR: 1.29; 95%CI: 0.91-1.82; P = .148), beta-blockers (HR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.68-1.37; P = .844), and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (HR: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.61-1.13; P = .238) did not significantly alter the risk of PCR-confirmed COVID-19, whereas receiving angiotensin II receptor blockers was associated with an almost statistically significant reduction risk (HR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.44-1.01; P = .054). In conclusion, our data support that receiving renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors does not predispose for suffering COVID-19 infection in ambulatory hypertensive people. Conversely, receiving angiotensin II receptor blockers could be related with a reduced risk.

[Evaluation of incidence and risk profile for suffering Covid-19 infection by underlying conditions among middle-aged and older adults in Tarragona.] / Evaluación de la incidencia y perfil de riesgo de Covid-19 según comorbilidad previa en adultos ≥50 años del área de Tarragona.

OBJECTIVE: Population-based data on the current Covid-19 pandemic is scarce. This study investigated incidence and risk to suffer Covid-19 by baseline underlying conditions in people ≥50 years in Tarragona region across march-april 2020. METHODS: Population-based retrospective cohort study involving 79,071 adults ≥50 years-old in Tarragona region (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Cohort characteristics (age, sex, residence, vaccinations history and comorbidities) were established at baseline, and Covid-19 cases occurring between 01/03/2020-30/04/2020 were registered. Cox regression analysis calculating Hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted by age, sex and comorbidities was used to estimate risk for Covid-19. RESULTS: Across study period, 1,547 cohort members were PCR tested (22.6% positive) and 367 were presumptive cases without PCR tested. Considering PCR-confirmed Covid-19, incidence (per 100,000 persons-period) was 441 overall (248, 141, 424, 1,303 and 3,135 in 50-59, 60-69, 70-79, 80-89 and ≥90 years-old, respectively; 380 in men and 497 in women; 259 in community-dwelling and 10,571 in nursing-home). By comorbidities, maximum incidence emerged among persons with neurological disease (2,723), atrial fibrillation (1,348), chronic renal failure (1,050), cardiac disease (856), respiratory disease (798) and diabetes (706). Lower incidence appeared in rheumatic diseases (230) and smokers (180). In multivariable analysis focused on community-dwelling individuals (N=77,671), only cardiac disease (HR: 1.47; 95% CI: 1.01-2.15; p=0.045) and respiratory disease (HR: 1.75; 95% CI: 1.00-3.02; p=0.051) were associated with an increased risk, whereas smoking (HR:0.43; 95% CI: 0.25-0.74; p=0.002) and influenza vaccinated (HR: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.43-0.92; p=0.015) appeared associated with a decreased risk. CONCLUSIONS: Apart of increasing age and nursing-home residence, chronic respiratory and cardiac disease appear at increased risk for suffering covid19. This study investigated population-based incidence of Covid-19 infection by underlying conditions among adults ≥50 years in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain) across two first months pandemic period.

OBJETIVO: Los datos clínico-epidemiológicos de base poblacional durante la actual pandemia de Covid-19 son escasos. Este estudio investigó la incidencia y riesgo de sufrir Covid-19 según condiciones basales subyacentes en la población ≥50 años de Tarragona durante marzo-abril 2020. METODOS: Estudio de cohortes retrospectivo que incluyó a 79.071 personas ≥50 años en el área de Tarragona. Se establecieron características basales de la cohorte (edad, sexo, residencia, vacunaciones y comorbilidades previas), y se registró la ocurrencia de Covid-19 entre 01/03/2020-30/04/2020. Para la estimación de riesgos se realizó regresión de Cox, con cálculo de Hazard ratios (HRs) ajustados por edad, sexo y comorbilidad. RESULTADOS: Se realizaron PCR-tests en 1.547 personas (22,6% positivos) y 367 fueron codificados como presuntos casos sin realizarse PCR-test. Considerando Covid-19 confirmada (PCR positivo), la incidencia (por 100.000 personas-periodo) fue de 441 (248, 141, 424, 1.303 y 3.135 en 50-59, 60-69, 70-79, 80-89 y ≥90 años, respectivamente; 380 en hombres frente a 497 en mujeres; 259 residentes en la comunidad respecto a 10.571 en institucionalizados). Según comorbilidades, las máximas incidencias aparecieron en enfermedad neurológica (2.723), fibrilación auricular (1.348), insuficiencia renal crónica (1.050), cardiopatía (856), enfermedad respiratoria (798) y diabetes (706). Menores incidencias aparecieron en enfermedad reumatológica (230) y fumadores (180). En personas no institucionalizadas (N=77.671), solo la enfermedad cardiaca (HR: 1,47; IC95%: 1,01-2,15; p=0,045) y respiratoria (HR: 1,75; IC95%: 1,00-3,02; p=0,051) se asociaron con incremento del riesgo, mientras que ser fumador (HR: 0,43; IC95%: 0,25-0,74; p=0,002) y vacunación antigripal en otoño previo (HR: 0,63; IC95%: 0,43-0,92; p=0,015) se asociaron con menor riesgo. CONCLUSIONES: Aparte de la edad y la institucionalización, la existencia de enfermedad respiratoria y/o cardiaca crónicas se asocia con una mayor incidencia de Covid-19 en adultos.

Clinical effectiveness of 13-valent and 23-valent pneumococcal vaccination in middle-aged and older adults: The EPIVAC cohort study, 2015-2016.

BACKGROUND: Clinical benefits using the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPsV23) or the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in adults are controversial. This study investigated clinical effectiveness for both PPsV23 and PCV13 in preventing pneumonia among middle-aged and older adults. METHODS: Population-based cohort study involving 2,025,730 persons ≥50 years in Catalonia, Spain, who were prospectively followed between 01/01/2015 and 31/12/2016. Primary outcomes were hospitalisation from pneumococcal or all-cause pneumonia and main explanatory variable was PCV13/PPsV23 vaccination status. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to estimate vaccination effectiveness adjusted for age and baseline-risk conditions. RESULTS: Cohort members were followed for 3,897,151 person-years (17,496 PCV13 vaccinated and 1,551,502 PPsV23 vaccinated), observing 3259 pneumococcal pneumonias (63 in PCV13 vaccinated, 2243 in PPsV23 vaccinated) and 24,079 all-cause pneumonias (566 in PCV13 vaccinated, 17,508 in PPsV23 vaccinated). Global incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years) were 83.6 for pneumococcal pneumonia (360.1 in PCV13 vaccinated, 144.6 in PPsV23 vaccinated) and 617.9 for all-cause pneumonia (3235.0 in PCV13 vaccinated, 1128.5 in PPsV23 vaccinated). In the multivariable analyses, the PCV13 appeared significantly associated with an increased risk of pneumococcal pneumonia (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.17-1.97; p = 0.002) and all-cause pneumonia (HR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.61-1.92; p < 0.001) whereas the PPsV23 did not alter the risk of pneumococcal pneumonia (HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 0.98-1.19; p = 0.132) and slightly increased the risk of all-cause pneumonia (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.13-1.21; p < 0.001). In stratified analyses focused on specific target population subgroups (i.e., elderly people, at-risk and high-risk individuals), protective effects of vaccination did not emerge either. CONCLUSION: Data does not support clinical benefits from pneumococcal vaccination (nor PCV13 neither PPsV23) against pneumonia among Catalonian adults in the current era of universal PCV's childhood immunisation.