Pitfalls in accelerometer-based measurement of physical activity: The presence of reactivity in an adult population.

When a behavior is monitored, it is likely to change, even if no change may be intended. This phenomenon is known as measurement reactivity. We investigated systematic changes in accelerometer-based measures over the days of monitoring as an indicator of measurement reactivity in an adult population. One hundred seventy-one participants from the general population (65% women; mean age = 55 years, range: 42-65 years) wore accelerometers for 7 consecutive days to measure sedentary behavior and physical activity (PA). Latent growth models were used (a) to investigate changes in accelerometer wear time over the measurement days and (b) to identify measurement reactivity indicated by systematic changes in sedentary time (ST), light physical activity (LPA), and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA). Over the measurement days, participants reduced accelerometer wear time by trend (rate of change [b] = -4.7 min/d, P = .051, Cohen's d = .38), increased ST (b = 2.4 min/d, P = .018, d = .39), and reduced LPA (b = -2.4 min/d, P = .015, d = .38). Participants did not significantly reduce MVPA (P = .537). Our data indicated that accelerometry might generate reactivity. Small effects on ST and LPA were found. Thus, the validity of accelerometer-based data on ST and LPA may be compromised. Systematic changes observed in accelerometer wear time may further bias accelerometer-based measures. MVPA seems to be less altered due to the presence of an accelerometer.

Recreational physical activity and endometrial cancer risk.

To investigate the association between recreational physical activity and endometrial cancer risk, a population-based case-control study was conducted in Washington State. The study included 822 incident cases of endometrial cancer diagnosed between 1985 and 1991 and 1,111 randomly selected population-based controls. Detailed information on recreational physical activities as well as other endometrial cancer risk factors was obtained in structured, in-person interviews. Unconditional logistic regression, adjusted for age, county, energy intake, unopposed estrogen use, income, and, in separate models, body mass index (kg/m(2)), was used to estimate the odds ratios and their 95% confidence intervals, relating endometrial cancer to each level of physical activity. A greater proportion of controls (49.3%) than cases (40.5%) reported doing regular exercise (compared with no exercise: adjusted odds ratio = 0.62, 95% confidence interval: 0.51, 0.76) in the 2-year period prior to diagnosis date. There was little evidence of a trend of decreasing risk with increasing duration or intensity of recreational physical activities. These results provide support for an association between the lack of recent recreational physical activity and endometrial cancer risk. However, the absence of a difference by duration or intensity levels and the inconsistent results from other studies suggest caution before interpreting this association as causal.

Risk factors for synchronous primary endometrial and ovarian cancers.

PURPOSE: The incidence of synchronous primary endometrial and ovarian cancer is 2- to 10-fold higher than that expected based on the incidence of each cancer alone. We sought to evaluate reasons for this in a case-control study. METHODS: We combined data on a maternal history of cancer and reproductive and menstrual factors from 56 women with synchronous multiple primary disease who had participated in three population-based studies of gynecologic cancer. For comparison, we analyzed the same information from 280 women with endometrial cancer alone, 280 with ovarian cancer alone, and 280 without a history of either cancer. RESULTS: The reduced risk of multiple primary disease associated with high parity (2 or more births vs 0: OR = 0.37, 95% Cl, 0.19-76) and long-term use of oral contraceptives (12 or more months vs none: OR = 0.60, 95% Cl, 0.24-1.5) tended to be more pronounced than that associated with endometrial cancer alone or with ovarian cancer alone. CONCLUSIONS: Though limited by relatively small numbers, our results suggest that the presence of some common etiologies is a basis for the unusually high co-occurrence of endometrial and ovarian cancers.

Recreational physical activity and risk of papillary thyroid cancer (United States).

OBJECTIVE: Exercise has been hypothesized to influence cancer risk through a variety of mechanisms including hormonal, metabolic and immunologic effects, yet its relation with the risk of thyroid cancer has not been examined. We conducted a population-based case-control study in women aged 18-64 in three counties of western Washington State to assess the relation of recreational physical activity with risk of papillary thyroid cancer. METHODS: Of 558 women with thyroid cancer of the follicular epithelium diagnosed during 1988-1994 who were identified as eligible, 468 (83.9%) were interviewed; this analysis was restricted to women with papillary histology (n = 410). Controls (n = 574) were identified by random digit dialing, with a response proportion of 73.6%. Logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (OR) and associated confidence intervals (CI) estimating the relative risk of papillary thyroid cancer associated with various aspects of recreational exercise. RESULTS: Risk of thyroid cancer was reduced among women who reported that they engaged in regular recreational exercise during the 2 years before diagnosis relative to women who did not report exercise during that time period (OR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.59-0.98). A similar risk reduction was noted among women who reported having exercised regularly between ages 12 and 21 (OR = 0.83, 95% CI 0.64-1.1). However, no clear associations with aspects of recreational activity, including average hours exercised per week or weekly energy expenditure, were observed. CONCLUSIONS: These results provide some initial support for the hypothesis that physical activity may reduce risk of thyroid cancer.

Continuous combined hormone replacement therapy and risk of endometrial cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Postmenopausal women who receive sequential hormone replacement therapy with estrogen combined with progestogen for 10 to 24 d/mo for a prolonged period may have an elevated endometrial cancer risk relative to those who have never received hormone replacement therapy. We investigated whether daily use of estrogen and progestogen (continuous combined hormone replacement therapy) could diminish any excess endometrial cancer risk. STUDY DESIGN: A population-based study in Washington State obtained interview data from 969 women aged 45 to 74 years with endometrial cancer diagnosed during 1985 through 1991 or 1994 through 1995 and from 1325 age-matched control subjects selected primarily by random digit dialing. Women who had received only continuous combined hormone replacement therapy were compared with women who had only received another hormone replacement therapy regimen or who had never received hormone replacement therapy. RESULTS: The risk of endometrial cancer among users of continuous combined hormone replacement therapy (n = 9 case patients, n = 33 control subjects) relative to women who had never received hormone replacement therapy was 0.6 (95% confidence interval, 0.3-1.3); the risk relative to women who received hormone replacement that included progestogen for 10 to 24 d/mo was 0.4 (95% confidence interval, 0.2-1.1). Most continuous combined hormone replacement therapy use was short-term (<72 months) or recent (in the previous 24 months). CONCLUSION: Women who had received continuous combined hormone replacement therapy for several years did not appear to be at any increased risk for endometrial cancer relative to women who had never received hormone replacement therapy and may in fact be at decreased risk for endometrial cancer.

Multiple primary breast and thyroid cancers: role of age at diagnosis and cancer treatments (United States).

BACKGROUND: Breast and thyroid cancer have been observed to occur more frequently than expected as multiple primary tumors in women. The study presented herein focuses on the effects of age at diagnosis and treatment for the first cancer on the development of the second cancer. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used a study population consisting of 38,632 women diagnosed with primary invasive breast cancer and 2189 women diagnosed with primary invasive thyroid cancer between 1974 and 1994. Cases were identified from records of the Cancer Surveillance System of western Washington and followed for subsequent cancer development through 1995. RESULTS: Seventy-one women were diagnosed during their lives with both breast and thyroid cancers. Including cancers diagnosed during the same month as or after the initial cancer, the relative risk (RR) of breast cancer among women with thyroid cancer was 1.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-2.0), and the RR of thyroid cancer among women with breast cancer was 1.5 (95% CI 1.1-2.2). Among women with thyroid cancer, risk of breast cancer was greatest when the latter cancer was diagnosed under 45 years of age (RR = 2.3, 95% CI 1.1-4.4). First course of treatment, including radiation or hormonal therapy to treat thyroid cancer, and radiation, chemotherapy, or hormonal therapy to treat breast cancer, did not alter a woman's risk of developing the second cancer. CONCLUSIONS: The data suggest that the incidence of breast and thyroid cancer may be related, and that in particular women with thyroid cancer may be at a moderately increased risk of developing breast cancer before age 45.

Reproductive factors and risk of papillary thyroid cancer in women.

The authors conducted a population-based case-control study of 410 women residing in three counties in western Washington State who were aged 18-64 years when diagnosed with papillary thyroid cancer in 1988-1994 and 574 controls to assess the effects of pregnancy history and other aspects of reproductive life on risk of this disease. Among women aged 45-64, the authors observed no associations with number of live births, age at first live birth, or age at last live birth. Risk was somewhat increased in women <45 years who had given birth within the previous 5 years; this association was most evident among women who reported that cancer symptoms had led to diagnosis. Among women who had given birth within the last 5 years, risk was greatest among those with two or more births during that time period (relative risk (RR) = 4.2, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.0, 8.9, relative to parous women whose last birth was >5 years before the reference date). Risk of thyroid cancer was also associated with lactation during the previous 5 years (e.g., RR = 2.9, 95% CI: 1.5, 5.5, among parous women who had breastfed > or =12 months, vs. 0-1 months, during that interval). Our results suggest that thyroid stimulation during both pregnancy and lactation may result in a transient increase in risk of papillary thyroid cancer.

Cimetidine use and risk of prostate and breast cancer.

Histamine (H2) receptor antagonists, such as cimetidine and ranitidine, became available in the late 1970s and presently number among the most commonly used drugs. Cimetidine has been hypothesized to exert a cancer preventive effect on the prostate due to its ability to inhibit the binding of dihydrotestosterone to androgen receptors. Other hormonal effects of this drug include increases in serum prolactin levels and inhibition of 2-hydroxylation of estradiol. We assessed risk of prostate and breast cancers in a cohort of 48,512 members of the Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound prescribed cimetidine or another H2 blocker between 1977 and 1995. Standardized incidence ratios were calculated comparing the observed numbers of cancers to those expected based on population rates in western Washington State. Because cimetidine, but not other H2 blockers, influences hormonal activity and metabolism, we conducted nested case-control studies comparing cancer risk among individuals treated with cimetidine to individuals who used other H2 blockers. Risks of breast and prostate cancers were identical among users of cimetidine and users of other H2 blockers (relative risk, 1.0 for both cancers). We observed no trend in risk of breast cancer according to time since first or last cimetidine prescription or number of cimetidine prescriptions filled. For prostate cancer, our findings were similar save for a modest increase in risk among men who had filled > or =21 cimetidine prescriptions (relative risk, 1.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.0-1.9). Our results suggest that use of cimetidine does not influence risk of female breast cancer. Further, these data provide little evidence to support the previously hypothesized preventive effect of cimetidine on risk of prostate cancer.

Risk of papillary thyroid cancer in women in relation to smoking and alcohol consumption.

Both smoking and alcohol consumption may influence thyroid function, although the nature of these relations is not well understood. We examined the influence of tobacco and alcohol use on risk of papillary thyroid cancer in a population-based case-control study. Of 558 women with thyroid cancer diagnosed during 1988-1994 identified as eligible, 468 (83.9%) were interviewed; this analysis was restricted to women with papillary histology (N = 410). Controls (N = 574) were identified by random digit dialing, with a response proportion of 73.6%. We used logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (OR) and associated confidence intervals (CI) estimating the relative risk of papillary thyroid cancer associated with cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption. A history of ever having smoked more than 100 cigarettes was associated with a reduced risk of disease (OR = 0.7, 95% CI = 0.5-0.9). This reduction in risk was most evident in current smokers (OR = 0.5, 95% CI = 0.4-0.7). Women who reported that they had ever consumed 12 or more alcohol-containing drinks within a year were also at reduced risk (OR 0.7, 95% CI = 0.5-1.0). Similar to the association noted with smoking, the reduction in risk was primarily present among current alcohol consumers. The associations we observed, if not due to chance, may be related to actions of cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption that reduce thyroid cell proliferation through effects on thyroid stimulating hormone, estrogen, or other mechanisms.

The additional risk of endometrial cancer associated with unopposed estrogen use in women with other risk factors.

We analyzed data from a population-based case-control study of endometrial cancer. Our goal was to identify a subgroup of women in whom the additional cancer risk associated with unopposed estrogen use was sufficiently small so as to not be a deterrent to taking a hormone preparation of this type. Researchers interviewed women with endometrial cancer (N = 553) and controls (N = 752) regarding hormone use. The additional risk of endometrial cancer associated with unopposed estrogen use did not vary substantially in the presence or absence of hypertension, parity, oral contraceptive use, or smoking. The results suggest that, although heavier women may experience a greater risk of endometrial cancer associated with unopposed estrogen use (8.2 per 1,000 per year) than lighter women (4.2 per 1,000 per year), long-term users in the latter group nonetheless face a substantial absolute increase in risk. We conclude that subdividing women on the basis of the presence or absence of other known risk factors for endometrial cancer fails to delineate a subgroup that is exempt from the increased risk of this cancer associated with use of unopposed estrogens. 83.6% of estrogen users reported taking conjugated estrogens.

Relation between obesity and breast cancer in young women.

This study was conducted to assess the relation between body size and risk of breast cancer among young women. A case-control study was conducted among women aged 21-45 years living in three counties in Washington State. Cases were women born after 1944 with invasive or in situ breast cancer that was diagnosed between January 1, 1983, and April 30, 1990. Controls were selected using random digit dialing and were frequency-matched to cases on the basis of age and county of residence. Interviews took place between 1986 and 1992. Body size was evaluated using indices from several different time periods. After adjustment for confounders, a decreased risk of breast cancer was found for women in the highest quintile of body mass index (weight (kg)/height (m)2) as compared with the lowest quintile (for maximum lifetime body mass index, odds ratio = 0.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51-0.94). Age modified the relation between body size and risk of breast cancer. The odds ratio for women in the highest quintile of maximum body mass index who were aged 21-35 years was 0.29 (95% CI 0.16-0.55), as compared with an odds ratio of 1.5 for women aged 36-45 years (95% CI 0.9-2.5) (p for interaction = 0.003). This study supports prior research showing a decreased risk of breast cancer associated with increased body size among premenopausal or young women. More detailed analysis in this study found a strong effect that was limited to the youngest age group (< or = 35 years).

Hair product use and the risk of breast cancer in young women.

OBJECTIVES: The reported mutagenic and carcinogenic effects of some chemicals present in hair dyes have raised concern that hair dye use could increase breast cancer risk. This case-control study evaluated how detailed aspects of hair coloring and hair spray application by reproductive-age women may affect breast cancer risk. METHODS: Cases were white female residents of three counties of western Washington state 45 years of age or less, who were diagnosed with breast cancer between 1983 and 1990 (n = 844). A sample of similarly aged women residing in the same counties served as controls (n = 960). Information on hair coloring and hair spray use, as well as other exposures, was ascertained during in-person interviews. RESULTS: Breast cancer cases were slightly more likely than controls to report ever having used some type of hair coloring application, including use of rinses, semi-permanent or permanent dyes, as well as bleaching then dyeing or frosting their hair (relative risk [RR] = 1.3, 95% CI = 1.0-1.6, adjusted for age, fullterm pregnancies, family history of breast cancer, and weight). In subgroup analyses, women with exclusive use of just one of these methods of hair coloring application had no elevation in risk (similarly adjusted RR = 1.1, 95% CI = 0.9-1.3), whereas women who used two or more of these methods did have an elevated risk (RR = 1.9, 95% CI = 1.4-2.5). Hair spray use was not related to the risk of breast cancer (ever versus never users: RR = 1.0, 95% CI = 0.8- 1.3). CONCLUSION: The lack of an association between exclusive use of a single type of hair coloring application and breast cancer risk argues that hair coloring application does not influence breast cancer risk among reproductive-age women. Thus, the results of the present study, as well as negative ones from most (but not all) prior studies, are most consistent with the conclusion that neither hair coloring application nor hair spray application influences breast cancer risk.

Characteristics of women who use perineal powders.

OBJECTIVE: To examine demographic and behavioral factors related to perineal application of powders. METHODS: Controls from three case-control studies (N = 1206) were asked identical questions about the use of genital powders by direct perineal application. The relationship of perineal powder application with demographic factors, reproductive factors, body mass index (BMI), douching, and alcohol and tobacco use was assessed. Data were analyzed by multiple logistic regression. RESULTS: Women who douched (prevalence odds ratio [prevalence OR] 2.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0, 3.9), drank alcohol (prevalence OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.2, 2.8), smoked cigarettes (prevalence OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.0, 1.8), or were in the highest BMI quartile were more likely to engage in perineal use of powder (prevalence OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1, 2.6). There appeared to be a close response relationship between the number of perineal applications of powder and BMI (P < .002). CONCLUSION: Body mass index might confound the relationship between perineal powder application and the development of ovarian cancer. Other factors, such as alcohol and tobacco use and douching, are related to perineal use of powder and may represent similar behavioral characteristics.

Prevalence and correlates of recreational physical activity in women aged 50-64 years.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of recreational physical activity in middle-aged women and to identify characteristics predisposing women to an active or sedentary lifestyle. DESIGN: In this population-based survey study of 492 women aged 50-64 years, women were interviewed between 1988 and 1993 regarding their recreational exercise habits, other health habits, and medical history. Women were selected from the general population of western Washington State through random-digit-dialing of telephones. Physical activities in a recent 2-year period were recorded, including specific types, frequency, and duration of each activity. RESULTS: Fewer than half of the women reported doing any regular physical activity and only 27% engaged in any high intensity exercise. Obesity, current cigarette smoking, low income, low education, and some dietary factors were associated with a sedentary lifestyle. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that only about half of middle-aged women engage in any regular recreational exercise, and that less than 25% follow the National Institutes of Health recommended guidelines for light to moderate exercise for at least 30 min per day, 6 days per week.

Use of exogenous hormones hormones and risk of papillary thyroid cancer (Washington, United States).

OBJECTIVES: Greater incidence of thyroid cancer in women than men, particularly evident during the reproductive years, has led to the suggestion that female hormones may increase risk of this disease. We conducted a population-based case-control study in women aged 18 to 64 years in three counties of western Washington State (United States) to assess the relation of use of exogenous hormones, including oral contraceptives (OC) and hormone replacement therapy (HRT), to risk of papillary thyroid cancer. METHODS: Of 558 women with thyroid cancer of the follicular epithelium diagnosed during 1988-94 who were identified as eligible, 468 (83.9 percent) were interviewed; this analysis was restricted to women with papillary histology (n = 410). Controls (n = 574) were identified by random digit dialing, with a response proportion of 73.6 percent. Logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (OR) and associated 95 percent confidence intervals (CI) estimating the relative risk of papillary thyroid cancer among users of exogenous hormones. RESULTS: Among women aged 45 to 64 years, we observed no association of use of OCs or HRT with risk of papillary thyroid cancer. Among women less than 45 years of age, risk of papillary thyroid cancer was reduced in women who had ever used OCs (OR = 0.6, CI = 0.4-0.9); beyond the relation with ever-use, there was no further association with specific aspects of exposure such as estrogenic potency, latency, recency, age at first or last use, or use at the reference date. CONCLUSIONS: Our data do not support the hypothesis that use of exogenous estrogens increases the risk of female thyroid cancer.

Risk of endometrial cancer in relation to use of low-dose, unopposed estrogens.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether a low dosage (0.3 mg/day) of unopposed conjugated estrogens can be used without incurring an elevated risk of endometrial cancer. METHODS: In this case-control study, cases (n = 484) consisted of women diagnosed with endometrial cancer between 1985 and 1991 in three counties in Western Washington. Controls (n = 780) were identified using random digit dialing within the same three counties. Subjects were interviewed in person to obtain basic demographic and medical history information, as well as specific information about hormone use. RESULTS: Eighteen cases and eight controls had taken 0.3 mg/day of unopposed conjugated estrogens and no other dose or preparation of estrogens (risk relative to that of women who had not taken postmenopausal hormones = 5.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.3, 13.0). The risk was particularly high in women whose use of this dose was both current and of more than 8 years' duration (odds ratio = 9.2, 95% CI 2.9, 29.0). The elevation in risk in users of 0.3 mg/day was similar in size to that associated with the daily unopposed use of 0.625 mg of conjugated estrogens. CONCLUSION: The results suggest that a dosage of 0.3 mg per day of unopposed conjugated estrogens is associated with an increased risk of endometrial cancer.

Menopausal hormone use and endometrial cancer, by tumor grade and invasion.

We analyzed data from a population-based case-control study to investigate whether combined hormone replacement therapy influences the incidence of high-grade and -stage endometrial cancer. Subjects were women with epithelial endometrial cancer (N = 730) diagnosed during 1985-1991 and controls identified through random digit dialing (N = 1,002). Relative to hormone nonusers, women who took unopposed estrogens (mostly conjugated estrogens) for 3 or more years had a fivefold increase in the risk of tumors with myometrial invasion; the corresponding relative risk associated with combined therapy (estrogen and cyclic or continuous progestogen) for 3 or more years was only 1.3 (95% confidence interval = 0.8-2.2). We found a similar pattern of association for high-grade tumors.

Characteristics of women with and without breast augmentation.

OBJECTIVE: To compare selected characteristics of women with and without augmentation mammaplasty to identify differences between these 2 groups of women. DESIGN AND STUDY PARTICIPANTS: White women identified as controls in previously conducted population-based, case-control studies formed the study population for the present cross-sectional analysis (N=3570). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Interview information on selected characteristics was compared between women who had received augmentation mammaplasty (n=80) and other women (n=3490) using the prevalence odds ratio (pOR) as the measure of association. RESULTS: Women with breast implants were more likely to drink a greater average number of alcoholic drinks per week (for > or =7 drinks vs 0 drinks: pOR=2.9, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.5-5.5), be younger at first pregnancy (for age <20 years vs age 20-29 years: pOR=1.6, 95% CI=1.0-2.7), be younger at first birth (for age <20 years vs age 20-29 years: pOR=1.9, 95% C1=1.1-3.3), have a history of terminated pregnancies (for > or =1 termination vs 0 terminations: pOR=2.0, 95% CI=1.2-3.4), have ever used oral contraceptives (pOR=2.2, 95% CI=1.0-4.7), have ever used hair dyes (pOR=4.5, 95% CI=1.3-15.4), and have had a greater lifetime number of sexual partners (for > or =14 partners vs < or =4 partners: pOR=8.9, 95% CI=3.1-25.5) than other women. A history of smoking, lactation, high blood pressure, or thyroid disorders, as well as the number of pregnancies, full-term births, or miscarriages, differed little between women with and without implants. Women with breast augmentation were much less likely to be heavy than other women (for > or =74 kg vs <56 kg: pOR=0.1, 95% CI=0.03-0.3). CONCLUSION: The differences we found between women with and without breast implants suggest that consideration and evaluation of confounding factors in future studies will help to clarify some of the long-term health consequences of having breast implants.

Risk of endometrial cancer in relation to use of oestrogen combined with cyclic progestagen therapy in postmenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: Postmenopausal oestrogen therapy reduces the risk of osteoporosis and cardiovascular diseases but is associated with an increased risk of endometrial cancer. We have assessed the impact of a regimen of oestrogen with cyclic progestagen on risk of endometrial cancer for postmenopausal women. METHODS: We did a population-based case-control study of women aged 45-74 years in western Washington State, USA. Cases were identified from a regional cancer registry as having histologically confirmed endometrial cancer during 1985-91. 832 (72%) of 1154 eligible cases completed interviews. Controls were identified by random digit dialling, screened for intact uterus, frequency matched for age and county, and randomly assigned a reference date within 1985-91. Interviews with 1114 (73%) of 1526 eligible controls were done. The women provided information about use of hormone replacement therapy, and reproductive and medical history before diagnosis date (cases) or reference date (controls). FINDINGS: Relative to women who had never used hormones (for > 6 months), women who had taken unopposed oestrogen had a four-fold increase (95% CI 3.1-5.1) in risk of endometrial cancer. Women who used a combined therapy of oestrogen with cyclic progestagen (eg. medroxyprogesterone acetate) had a relative risk of 14 (1.0-1.9). Among women with fewer than 10 days of added progestagen per month, the relative risk was 3.1 (1.7-5.7). Whereas that for women with 10-21 days of added progestagen was 1.3 (0.8-2.2). The use of these combined regimens for 5 or more years was associated with risks of 3.7 (1.7-8.2) and 2.5 (1.1-5.5), respectively, relative to non-users of hormones. INTERPRETATION: Postmenopausal women who use combined therapy of oestrogen with cyclic progestagen on a long-term basis have an increased risk of endometrial cancer compared with those who are not on hormone replacement, even when progestagen is added for 10 or more days per month. This increase is much smaller than that associated with unopposed oestrogen, but needs to be confirmed.