Predicting the clinical prognosis of acute ischemic stroke using machine learning: an application of radiomic biomarkers on non-contrast CT after intravascular interventional treatment.

Purpose: This study aimed to develop a radiomic model based on non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) after interventional treatment to predict the clinical prognosis of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with large vessel occlusion. Methods: We retrospectively collected 141 cases of AIS from 2016 to 2020 and analyzed the patients' clinical data as well as NCCT data after interventional treatment. Then, the total dataset was divided into training and testing sets according to the subject serial number. The cerebral hemispheres on the infarct side were segmented for radiomics signature extraction. After radiomics signatures were standardized and dimensionality reduced, the training set was used to construct a radiomics model using machine learning. The testing set was then used to validate the prediction model, which was evaluated based on discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Finally, a joint model was constructed by incorporating the radiomics signatures and clinical data. Results: The AUCs of the joint model, radiomics signature, NIHSS score, and hypertension were 0.900, 0.863, 0.727, and 0.591, respectively, in the training set. In the testing set, the AUCs of the joint model, radiomics signature, NIHSS score, and hypertension were 0.885, 0.840, 0.721, and 0.590, respectively. Conclusion: Our results provided evidence that using post-interventional NCCT for a radiomic model could be a valuable tool in predicting the clinical prognosis of AIS with large vessel occlusion.

Effect of Diffuse Idiopathic Skeletal Hyperostosis on the Occurrence of Thoracolumbar Vertebral Fragility Fractures at Different Ages.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective Case control Study. OBJECTIVES: To analyze the effect of diffuse idiopathic skeletal hyperostosis (DISH) on the occurrence of new thoracolumbar vertebral fragility fractures (VFFs) at different ages. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 564 patients, including 189 patients who presented with new-onset thoracolumbar VFFs and 375 patients without spinal fractures, was performed in 4 age groups (50-59 years, 60-69 years, 70-79 years, and 80+ years). DISH was diagnosed based on computed tomography findings, and the Mata score of each disc space level combined with the maximum number of consecutive ossified segments (MNCOS) for each patient was recorded. Data were compared between the fracture and control groups, and odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for each of the 4 age groups using logistic regression. RESULTS: Both the crude ORs and the adjusted ORs of DISH for VFFs decreased with age, with statistical significance shown in the 50-59 years group (crude OR = 4.373, P = 0.017; adjusted OR = 7.111, P = 0.009) and the 80+ years group (crude OR = 0.462, P = 0.018; adjusted OR = 0.495, P = 0.045). The Mata scores and the MNCOS were significant risk factors for VFFs (P < 0.05) in the 50-59 years group, but they were protective factors in the 80+ years group, which was more significant in the T11/12-L5/S1 subsegment. CONCLUSIONS: The effect of DISH on the occurrence of thoracolumbar VFFs is complex, and in patients above 50 years, it changes from a risk factor to a protective factor with increasing age.

Radiomics Model of Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced MRI for Evaluating Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters and Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: To develop and validate a clinical-radiomics model of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI) for the preoperative discrimination of Vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC)- microvascular invasion (MVI) and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: 219 HCC patients from Institution 1 were split into internal training and validation groups, with 101 patients from Institution 2 assigned to external validation. Histologically confirmed VETC-MVI pattern categorizing HCC into VM-HCC+ (VETC+/MVI+, VETC-/MVI+, VETC+/MVI-) and VM-HCC- (VETC-/MVI-). The regions of intratumor and peritumor were segmented manually in the arterial, portal-venous and delayed phase (AP, PP, and DP, respectively) of DCE-MRI. Six radiomics models (intratumor and peritumor in AP, PP, and DP of DCE-MRI) and one clinical model were developed for assessing VM-HCC. Establishing intra-tumoral and peri-tumoral models through combining intratumor and peritumor features. The best-performing radiomics model and the clinical model were then integrated to create a Combined model. RESULTS: In institution 1, pathological VM-HCC+ were confirmed in 88 patients (training set: 61, validation set: 27). In internal testing, the Combined model had an AUC of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.76-0.93), which reached an AUC of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.66-0.85) in external validation. The model's predictions were associated with early recurrence and progression-free survival in HCC patients. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical-radiomics model offers a non-invasive approach to discern VM-HCC and predict HCC patients' prognosis preoperatively, which could offer clinicians valuable insights during the decision-making phase.

Comparison of conventional MRI analysis versus MRI-based radiomics to predict the circumferential margin resection involvement of rectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: To compare the application of conventional MRI analysis and MRI-based radiomics to identify the circumferential resection margin (CRM) status of rectal cancer (RC). METHODS: A cohort of 301 RC patients with 66 CRM invloved status and 235 CRM non-involved status were enrolled in this retrospective study between September 2017 and August 2022. Conventional MRI characteristics included gender, age, diameter, distance to anus, MRI-based T/N phase, CEA, and CA 19 - 9, then the relevant logistic model (Logistic-cMRI) was built. MRI-based radiomics of rectal cancer and mesorectal fascia were calculated after volume of interest segmentation, and the logistic model of rectal cancer radiomics (Logistic-rcRadio) and mesorectal fascia radiomics (Logistic-mfRadio) were constructed. And the combined nomogram (nomo-cMRI/rcRadio/mfRadio) containing conventional MRI characteristics, radiomics of rectal cancer and mesorectal fascia was developed. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) was delineated and the area under curve (AUC) was calculated the efficiency of models. RESULTS: The AUC of Logistic-cMRI was 0.864 (95%CI, 0.820 to 0.901). The AUC of Logistic-rcRadio was 0.883 (95%CI, 0.832 to 0.928) in the training set and 0.725 (95%CI, 0.616 to 0.826) in the testing set. The AUCs of Logistic-mfRadio was 0.891 (95%CI, 0.838 to 0.936) in the training set and 0.820 (95%CI, 0.725 to 0.905) in the testing set. The AUCs of nomo-cMRI/rcRadio/mfRadio were the highest in both the training set of 0.942 (95%CI, 0.901 to 0.969) and the testing set of 0.909 (95%CI, 0.830 to 0.959). CONCLUSION: MRI-based radiomics of rectal cancer and mesorectal fascia showed similar efficacy in predicting the CRM status of RC. The combined nomogram performed better in assessment.

Value of perfusion parameters from golden-angle radial sparse parallel dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging in predicting pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer

PURPOSE: Non-invasive methods for predicting pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) can provide distinct leverage in the management of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). This study aimed to investigate whether including the golden-angle radial sparse parallel (GRASP) dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) perfusion parameter (Ktrans), in addition to tumor regression grading (TRG) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values, can improve the predictive ability for pCR. METHODS: Patients with LARC who underwent nCRT and subsequent surgery were included. The imaging parameters were compared between patients with and without pCR. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive ability of these parameters for pCR. RESULTS: A total of 111 patients were included in the study. A pCR was obtained in 32 patients (28.8%). MRI-based TRG (mrTRG) showed a negative correlation with pCR (r = -0.61, P < 0.001), and the average ADC value showed a positive correlation with pCR (r = 0.62, P < 0.001). Before nCRT, Ktrans in the pCR group was significantly higher than in the non-pCR group (1.30 ± 0.24 vs. 0.88 ± 0.34, P < 0.001), but no difference was identified after nCRT. Following ROC curve analysis, the area under the curve (AUC) of mrTRG (level 1-2), average ADC value, and Ktrans value for predicting pCR were 0.738 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.65-0.82], 0.78 (95% CI: 0.69-0.86), and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.77-0.92), respectively. The model combining the three parameters had significantly higher predictive ability for pCR (AUC: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.88-0.98). CONCLUSION: The use of a combination of the GRASP DCE-MRI Ktrans with mrTRG and ADC can lead to a better pCR predictive performance.

Prediction of postoperative liver metastasis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma based on multiparametric magnetic resonance radiomics combined with serological markers: a cohort study of machine learning.

OBJECTIVE: To construct and validate a multi-dimensional model based on multiple machine leaning algorithms to predict PCLM using multi-parameter magnetic resonance (MRI) sequences with clinical and imaging parameters. METHODS: A total of 148 PDAC retrospectively examined patients were classified as metastatic or non-metastatic based on results at 3 months after surgery. The radiomics features of the primary tumor were extracted from T2WI images, followed by dimension reduction. Then, multiple machine learning methods were used to construct models. Independent predictors were also screened using multifactor logistic regression and a nomogram was constructed in combination with the radiomics model. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the accuracy and reliability of the nomogram. RESULTS: The diagnostic efficacy of the radiomics model in the training and test set was 0.822 and 0.803, sensitivity was 0.742 and 0.692, and specificity was 0.792 and 0.875, respectively. The diagnostic efficacy of the nomogram in the training and test set was 0.866 and 0.832. CONCLUSION: A radiomics nomogram based on machine learning improved the accuracy of predicting PCLM and may be useful for early preoperative diagnosis.

Deep Learning Radiomics Model of Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced MRI for Evaluating Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters and Prognosis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Vessels encapsulating tumor cluster (VETC) is a critical prognostic factor and therapeutic predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, noninvasive evaluation of VETC remains challenging. PURPOSE: To develop and validate a deep learning radiomic (DLR) model of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI) for the preoperative discrimination of VETC and prognosis of HCC. STUDY TYPE: Retrospective. POPULATION: A total of 221 patients with histologically confirmed HCC and stratified this cohort into training set (n = 154) and time-independent validation set (n = 67). FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: A 1.5 T and 3.0 T; DCE imaging with T1-weighted three-dimensional fast spoiled gradient echo. ASSESSMENT: Histological specimens were used to evaluate VETC status. VETC+ cases had a visible pattern (≥5% tumor area), while cases without any pattern were VETC-. The regions of intratumor and peritumor were segmented manually in the arterial, portal-venous and delayed phase (AP, PP, and DP, respectively) of DCE-MRI and reproducibility of segmentation was evaluated. Deep neural network and machine learning (ML) classifiers (logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, SVM, KNN, and Bayes) were used to develop nine DLR, 54 ML and clinical-radiological (CR) models based on AP, PP, and DP of DCE-MRI for evaluating VETC status and association with recurrence. STATISTICAL TESTS: The Fleiss kappa, intraclass correlation coefficient, receiver operating characteristic curve, area under the curve (AUC), Delong test and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. P value <0.05 was considered as statistical significance. RESULTS: Pathological VETC+ were confirmed in 68 patients (training set: 46, validation set: 22). In the validation set, DLR model based on peritumor PP (peri-PP) phase had the best performance (AUC: 0.844) in comparison to CR (AUC: 0.591) and ML (AUC: 0.672) models. Significant differences in recurrence rates between peri-PP DLR model-predicted VETC+ and VETC- status were found. DATA CONCLUSIONS: The DLR model provides a noninvasive method to discriminate VETC status and prognosis of HCC patients preoperatively. EVIDENCE LEVEL: 4. TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

A radiomics approach based on MR imaging for classification of deficiency and excess syndrome of traditional Chinese medicine in prostate cancer.

Objective: To explore the potential imaging biomarkers for predicting Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) deficiency and excess syndrome in prostate cancer (PCa) patients by radiomics approach based on MR imaging. Methods: A total of 121 PCa patients from 2 centers were divided into 1 training cohort with 84 PCa patients and 1 validation cohort with 37 PCa patients. The PCa patients were divided into deficiency and excess syndrome group according to TCM syndrome differentiation. Radiomic features were extracted from T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), diffusion-weighted imaging and apparent diffusion coefficient images originated from diffusion-weighted imaging. A radiomic signature was constructed after reduction of dimension in training group by the minimum redundancy maximum relevance and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. The performance of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. Results: The radiomic scores of PCa with TCM excess syndrome group were statistically higher than those of PCa with TCM deficiency syndrome group among T2WI, diffusion-weighted imaging and apparent diffusion coefficient imaging models. The area under ROC curves for T2WI, diffusion-weighted imaging and apparent diffusion coefficient imaging models were 0.824, 0.824, 0.847 in the training cohort and 0.759, 0.750, 0.809 in the validation cohort, respectively. The apparent diffusion coefficient imaging model had the best discrimination in separating patients with TCM excess syndrome and deficiency syndrome, and its accuracy was 0.788, 0.778 in the training and validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curve demonstrated that there was a high consistency between the prediction of radiomic scores and the actual classification of TCM's deficiency and excess syndrome in PCa. Conclusion: The radiomic signature based on MR imaging can be performed as a non-invasive, potential approach to discriminate TCM deficiency syndrome from excess syndrome in PCa, in which apparent diffusion coefficient imaging model has the best diagnostic efficiency.

Predicting progression of white matter hyperintensity using coronary artery calcium score based on coronary CT angiography-feasibility and accuracy.

Objective: Coronary artery disease (CAD) usually coexists with subclinical cerebrovascular diseases given the systematic nature of atherosclerosis. In this study, our objective was to predict the progression of white matter hyperintensity (WMH) and find its risk factors in CAD patients using the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score. We also investigated the relationship between the CAC score and the WMH volume in different brain regions. Methods: We evaluated 137 CAD patients with WMH who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and two magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans from March 2018 to February 2023. Patients were categorized into progressive (n = 66) and nonprogressive groups (n = 71) by the change in WMH volume from the first to the second MRI. We collected demographic, clinical, and imaging data for analysis. Independent risk factors for WMH progression were identified using logistic regression. Three models predicting WMH progression were developed and assessed. Finally, patients were divided into groups based on their total CAC score (0 to <100, 100 to 400, and > 400) to compare their WMH changes in nine brain regions. Results: Alcohol abuse, maximum pericoronary fat attenuation index (pFAI), CT-fractional flow reserve (CT-FFR), and CAC risk grade independently predicted WMH progression (p < 0.05). The logistic regression model with all four variables performed best (training: AUC = 0.878, 95% CI: 0.790, 0.938; validation: AUC = 0.845, 95% CI: 0.734, 0.953). An increased CAC risk grade came with significantly higher WMH volume in the total brain, corpus callosum, and frontal, parietal and occipital lobes (p < 0.05). Conclusion: This study demonstrated the application of the CCTA-derived CAC score to predict WMH progression in elderly people (≥60 years) with CAD.

Predicting the formation of mixed pattern hemorrhages in ruptured middle cerebral artery aneurysms based on a decision tree model: A multicenter study.

OBJECTIVE: Mixed-pattern hemorrhages (MPH) commonly occur in ruptured middle cerebral artery (MCA) aneurysms and are associated with poor clinical outcomes. This study aimed to predict the formation of MPH in a multicenter database of MCA aneurysms using a decision tree model. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed patients with ruptured MCA aneurysms between January 2009 and June 2020. The MPH was defined as subarachnoid hemorrhages with intracranial hematomas and/or intraventricular hemorrhages and/or subdural hematomas. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to explore the prediction factors of the formation of MPH. Based on these prediction factors, a decision tree model was developed to predict the formation of MPH. Additional independent datasets were used for external validation. RESULTS: We enrolled 436 patients with ruptured MCA aneurysms detected by computed tomography angiography; 285 patients had MPH (65.4%). A multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, aneurysm size, multiple aneurysms, and the presence of a daughter dome were the independent prediction factors of the formation of MPH. The areas under receiver operating characteristic curves of the decision tree model in the training, internal, and external validation cohorts were 0.951, 0.927, and 0.901, respectively. CONCLUSION: Age, aneurysm size, the presence of a daughter dome, and multiple aneurysms were the independent prediction factors of the formation of MPH. The decision tree model is a useful visual triage tool to predict the formation of MPH that could facilitate the management of unruptured aneurysms in routine clinical work.

The classification of benign and malignant lung nodules based on CT radiomics: a systematic review, quality score assessment, and meta-analysis.

Radiomics methods are increasingly used to identify benign and malignant lung nodules, and early monitoring is essential in prognosis and treatment strategy formulation. To evaluate the diagnostic performance of computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics for distinguishing between benign and malignant lung nodules by performing a meta-analysis. Between January 2000 and December 2021, we searched the PubMed and Embase electronic databases for studies in English. Studies were included if they demonstrated the sensitivity and specificity of CT-based radiomics for diagnosing benign and malignant lung nodules. The studies were evaluated using the QUADAS-2 and radiomics quality scores (RQS). The inhomogeneity of the data and publishing bias were also evaluated. Some subgroup analyses were performed to investigate the impact of diagnostic efficiency. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) Guidelines were followed for this meta-analysis. A total of 20 studies involving 3793 patients were included. The combined sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio, and area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve based on CT radiomics diagnosis of benign and malignant lung nodules were 0.81, 0.86, 27.00, and 0.91, respectively. Deek's funnel plot asymmetry test confirmed no significant publication bias in all studies. Fagan nomograms showed a 40% increase in post-test probability among pretest-positive patients. Current evidence shows that CT-based radiomics has high accuracy in the diagnosis of benign and malignant lung nodules.

Five machine learning-based radiomics models for preoperative prediction of histological grade in hepatocellular carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To compare the efficacy of radiomics models via five machine learning algorithms in predicting the histological grade of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) before surgery and to develop the most stable model to classify high-risk HCC patients. METHODS: Contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) images of 175 HCC patients before surgery were analysed, and radiomics features were extracted from CECT images (including arterial and portal phases). Five machine learning models, including Bayes, random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machine (SVM), were applied to establish the model. The stability of the five models was weighed by the relative standard deviation (RSD), and the lowest RSD value was chosen as the most stable model to predict the histological grade of HCC. The area under the curve (AUC) and Delong tests were devoted to assessing the predictive efficacy of the models. RESULTS: High-grade HCC accounted for 28.57% (50/175) of the 175 patients. The RSD value of AUC via the RF machine learning model was the lowest (2.3%), followed by Bayes (3.2%), KNN (6.4%), SVM (8.7%) and LR (31.3%). In addition, the RF model (AUC = 0.995) was better than the other four models in the training set (p < 0.05), as well as obtained good predictive performance in the test set (AUC = 0.837). CONCLUSION: Among the five machine learning models, the RF-based radiomics model was the most stable and performed excellently in identifying high histological grade of HCC.

Preoperative prediction of macrotrabecular-massive hepatocellular carcinoma through dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging-based radiomics.

BACKGROUND: Macrotrabecular-massive hepatocellular carcinoma (MTM-HCC) is closely related to aggressive phenotype, gene mutation, carcinogenic pathway, and immunohistochemical markers and is a strong independent predictor of early recurrence and poor prognosis. With the development of imaging technology, successful applications of contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) have been reported in identifying the MTM-HCC subtype. Radiomics, as an objective and beneficial method for tumour evaluation, is used to convert medical images into high-throughput quantification features that greatly push the development of precision medicine. AIM: To establish and verify a nomogram for preoperatively identifying MTM-HCC by comparing different machine learning algorithms. METHODS: This retrospective study enrolled 232 (training set, 162; test set, 70) hepatocellular carcinoma patients from April 2018 to September 2021. A total of 3111 radiomics features were extracted from dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI, followed by dimension reduction of these features. Logistic regression (LR), K-nearest neighbour (KNN), Bayes, Tree, and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms were used to select the best radiomics signature. We used the relative standard deviation (RSD) and bootstrap methods to quantify the stability of these five algorithms. The algorithm with the lowest RSD represented the best stability, and it was used to construct the best radiomics model. Multivariable logistic analysis was used to select the useful clinical and radiological features, and different predictive models were established. Finally, the predictive performances of the different models were assessed by evaluating the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: The RSD values based on LR, KNN, Bayes, Tree, and SVM were 3.8%, 8.6%, 4.3%, 17.7%, and 17.4%, respectively. Therefore, the LR machine learning algorithm was selected to construct the best radiomics signature, which performed well with AUCs of 0.766 and 0.739 in the training and test sets, respectively. In the multivariable analysis, age [odds ratio (OR) = 0.956, P = 0.034], alpha-fetoprotein (OR = 10.066, P < 0.001), tumour size (OR = 3.316, P = 0.002), tumour-to-liver apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) ratio (OR = 0.156, P = 0.037), and radiomics score (OR = 2.923, P < 0.001) were independent predictors of MTM-HCC. Among the different models, the predictive performances of the clinical-radiomics model and radiological-radiomics model were significantly improved compared to those of the clinical model (AUCs: 0.888 vs 0.836, P = 0.046) and radiological model (AUCs: 0.796 vs 0.688, P = 0.012), respectively, in the training set, highlighting the improved predictive performance of radiomics. The nomogram performed best, with AUCs of 0.896 and 0.805 in the training and test sets, respectively. CONCLUSION: The nomogram containing radiomics, age, alpha-fetoprotein, tumour size, and tumour-to-liver ADC ratio revealed excellent predictive ability in preoperatively identifying the MTM-HCC subtype.

Quantitative evaluation of the infrapatellar fat pad in knee osteoarthritis: MRI-based radiomic signature.

BACKGROUND: The infrapatellar fat pad (IFP) may have bilateral influence on knee osteoarthritis (KOA). IFP evaluation may be a key contributor to the diagnostic and clinical management of KOA. Few studies have evaluated KOA-related IFP alteration with radiomics. We investigated radiomic signature for the assessment of IFP for KOA progression in older adults. METHODS: A total of 164 knees were enrolled and grouped based on Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) scoring. MRI-based radiomic features were calculated from IFP segmentation. The radiomic signature was developed using the most predictive subset of features and the machine-learning algorithm with minimum relative standard deviation. KOA severity and structure abnormality were assessed using a modified whole-organ magnetic resonance imaging score (WORMS). The performance of the radiomic signature was evaluated and the correlation with WORMS assessments was analyzed. RESULTS: The area under the curve of the radiomic signature for diagnosing KOA was 0.83 and 0.78 in the training and test datasets, respectively. Rad-scores were 0.41 and 2.01 for the training dataset in the groups with and without KOA (P < 0.001) and 0.63 and 2.31 for the test dataset (P = 0.005), respectively. WORMS significantly and positively correlated with rad-scores. CONCLUSIONS: The radiomic signature may be a reliable biomarker to detect IFP abnormality of KOA. Radiomic alterations in IFP were associated with severity and knee structural abnormalities of KOA in older adults.

18F-FDG-PET Radiomics Based on White Matter Predicts The Progression of Mild Cognitive Impairment to Alzheimer Disease: A Machine Learning Study.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: To build a model using white-matter radiomics features on positron-emission tomography (PET) and machine learning methods to predict progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer disease (AD). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed the data of 341 MCI patients from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, of whom 102 progressed to AD during an 8-year follow-up. The patients were divided into the training (238 patients) and test groups (103 patients). PET-based radiomics features were extracted from the white matter in the training group, and dimensionally reduced to construct a psychoradiomics signature (PS), which was combined with multimodal data using machine learning methods to construct an integrated model. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves in the test group. RESULTS: Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) scores, Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale (ADAS) scores, and PS independently predicted MCI progression to AD on multivariate logistic regression. The areas under the curve (AUCs) of the CDR, ADAS and PS in the training and test groups were 0.683, 0.755, 0.747 and 0.737, 0.743, 0.719 respectively, and were combined using a support vector machine to construct an integrated model. The AUC of the integrated model in the training and test groups was 0.868 and 0.865, respectively (sensitivity, 0.873 and 0.839, respectively; specificity, 0.784 and 0.806, respectively). The AUCs of the integrated model significantly differed from those of other predictors in both groups (p < 0.05, Delong test). CONCLUSION: Our psych radiomics signature based on white-matter PET data predicted MCI progression to AD. The integrated model built using multimodal data and machine learning identified MCI patients at a high risk of progression to AD.

Preoperative Prediction of Microsatellite Instability in Rectal Cancer Using Five Machine Learning Algorithms Based on Multiparametric MRI Radiomics.

Objectives: To establish and verify radiomics models based on multiparametric MRI for preoperatively identifying the microsatellite instability (MSI) status of rectal cancer (RC) by comparing different machine learning algorithms. Methods: This retrospective study enrolled 383 (training set, 268; test set, 115) RC patients between January 2017 and June 2022. A total of 4148 radiomics features were extracted from multiparametric MRI, including T2-weighted imaging, T1-weighted imaging, apparent diffusion coefficient, and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging. The analysis of variance, correlation test, univariate logistic analysis, and a gradient-boosting decision tree were used for the dimension reduction. Logistic regression, Bayes, support vector machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), and tree machine learning algorithms were used to build different radiomics models. The relative standard deviation (RSD) and bootstrap method were used to quantify the stability of these five algorithms. Then, predictive performances of different models were assessed using area under curves (AUCs). The performance of the best radiomics model was evaluated using calibration and discrimination. Results: Among these 383 patients, the prevalence of MSI was 14.62% (56/383). The RSD value of logistic regression algorithm was the lowest (4.64%), followed by Bayes (5.44%) and KNN (5.45%), which was significantly better than that of SVM (19.11%) and tree (11.94%) algorithms. The radiomics model based on logistic regression algorithm performed best, with AUCs of 0.827 and 0.739 in the training and test sets, respectively. Conclusions: We developed a radiomics model based on the logistic regression algorithm, which could potentially be used to facilitate the individualized prediction of MSI status in RC patients.

Quantitative Analysis of TP53-Related Lung Cancer Based on Radiomics.

Background: The role of TP53 mutations in the diagnosis and treatment of lung cancer has attracted increasing attention from experts worldwide. This study aimed to explore the expression of TP53 gene in lung cancer and its correlation with radiomics quantitative features. Methods: A total of 93 cases of lung cancer confirmed by pathology were selected, including 44 cases with TP53 mutations and 49 cases with TP53 wild-type. ITK-SNAP software was used to segment the pulmonary nodules, AK software was used to extract radiomic features, and a model was established to predict the type of TP53 gene mutation in lung cancer lesions. Results: A total of 852 features were extracted, and 10 features remained after feature selection. The accuracy, areas under the curve, specificity, sensitivity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the logistic regression model were 0.80, 0.86, 0.89, 0.74, 0.90, and 0.71, respectively. Conclusion: TP53 gene mutations are correlated with radiomic features in lung cancer, which may have application value for TP53 therapy in the future.

The CT-based intratumoral and peritumoral machine learning radiomics analysis in predicting lymph node metastasis in rectal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: To construct clinical and machine learning nomogram for predicting the lymph node metastasis (LNM) status of rectal carcinoma (RC) based on radiomics and clinical characteristics. METHODS: 788 RC patients were enrolled from January 2015 to January 2021, including 303 RCs with LNM and 485 RCs without LNM. The radiomics features were calculated and selected with the methods of variance, correlation analysis, and gradient boosting decision tree. After feature selection, the machine learning algorithms of Bayes, k-nearest neighbor (KNN), logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and decision tree (DT) were used to construct prediction models. The clinical characteristics combined with intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics was taken to develop a radiomics and machine learning nomogram. The relative standard deviation (RSD) was used to predict the stability of machine learning algorithms. The area under curves (AUCs) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to evaluate the predictive efficacy of all models. RESULTS: To intratumoral radiomics analysis, the RSD of Bayes was minimal compared with other four machine learning algorithms. The AUCs of arterial-phase based intratumoral Bayes model (0.626 and 0.627) were higher than these of unenhanced-phase and venous-phase ones in both the training and validation group.The AUCs of intratumoral and peritumoral Bayes model were 0.656 in the training group and were 0.638 in the validation group, and the relevant Bayes-score was quantified. The clinical-Bayes nomogram containing significant clinical variables of diameter, PNI, EMVI, CEA, and CA19-9, and Bayes-score was constructed. The AUC (95%CI), specificity, and sensitivity of this nomogram was 0.828 (95%CI, 0.800-0.854), 74.85%, and 77.23%. CONCLUSION: Intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics can help predict the LNM status of RCs. The machine learning algorithm of Bayes in arterial-phase conducted better in consideration of terms of RSD and AUC. The clinical-Bayes nomogram achieved a better performance in predicting the LNM status of RCs.

Radiomics based on pretreatment MRI for predicting distant metastasis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A preliminary study.

Objective: To explore the feasibility of predicting distant metastasis (DM) of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients based on MRI radiomics model. Methods: A total of 146 patients with NPC pathologically confirmed, who did not exhibit DM before treatment, were retrospectively reviewed and followed up for at least one year to analyze the DM risk of the disease. The MRI images of these patients including T2WI and CE-T1WI sequences were extracted. The cases were randomly divided into training group (n=116) and validation group (n=30). The images were filtered before radiomics feature extraction. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to develop the dimension of texture parameters and the logistic regression was used to construct the prediction model. The ROC curve and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the model, and the area under curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were calculated. Results: 72 patients had DM and 74 patients had no DM. The AUC, accuracy, sensitivity and specificity of the model were 0. 80 (95% CI: 0.72~0. 88), 75.0%, 76.8%, 73.3%. and0.70 (95% CI: 0.51~0.90), 66.7%, 72.7%, 63.2% in training group and validation group, respectively. Conclusion: The radiomics model based on logistic regression algorithm has application potential for evaluating the DM risk of patients with NPC.

A combined predictive model based on radiomics features and clinical factors for disease progression in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer treated with stereotactic ablative radiotherapy.

Purpose: To accurately assess disease progression after Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy (SABR) of early-stage Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC), a combined predictive model based on pre-treatment CT radiomics features and clinical factors was established. Methods: This study retrospectively analyzed the data of 96 patients with early-stage NSCLC treated with SABR. Clinical factors included general information (e.g. gender, age, KPS, Charlson score, lung function, smoking status), pre-treatment lesion status (e.g. diameter, location, pathological type, T stage), radiation parameters (biological effective dose, BED), the type of peritumoral radiation-induced lung injury (RILI). Independent risk factors were screened by logistic regression analysis. Radiomics features were extracted from pre-treatment CT. The minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance (mRMR) and the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) were adopted for the dimensionality reduction and feature selection. According to the weight coefficient of the features, the Radscore was calculated, and the radiomics model was constructed. Multiple logistic regression analysis was applied to establish the combined model based on radiomics features and clinical factors. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, DeLong test, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the model's diagnostic efficiency and clinical practicability. Results: With the median follow-up of 59.1 months, 29 patients developed progression and 67 remained good controlled within two years. Among the clinical factors, the type of peritumoral RILI was the only independent risk factor for progression (P< 0.05). Eleven features were selected from 1781 features to construct a radiomics model. For predicting disease progression after SABR, the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of training and validation cohorts in the radiomics model was 0.88 (95%CI 0.80-0.96) and 0.80 (95%CI 0.62-0.98), and AUC of training and validation cohorts in the combined model were 0.88 (95%CI 0.81-0.96) and 0.81 (95%CI 0.62-0.99). Both the radiomics and the combined models have good prediction efficiency in the training and validation cohorts. Still, DeLong test shows that there is no difference between them. Conclusions: Compared with the clinical model, the radiomics model and the combined model can better predict the disease progression of early-stage NSCLC after SABR, which might contribute to individualized follow-up plans and treatment strategies.