Prediction of vascular complications in free flap reconstruction with machine learning.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to explore the risk factors of vascular complications following free flap reconstruction and to develop a clinical auxiliary assessment tool for predicting vascular complications in patients undergoing free flap reconstruction leveraging machine learning methods. METHODS: We reviewed the medical data of patients who underwent free flap reconstruction at the Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University retrospectively from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2021. Statistical analysis was used to screen risk factors. A training data set was generated and augmented using the synthetic minority oversampling technique. Logistic regression, random forest and neural network, models were trained, using this dataset. The performance of these three predictive models was then evaluated and compared using a test set, with four metrics, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS: A total of 570 patients who underwent free flap reconstruction were included in this study, 46 of whom developed postoperative vascular complications. Among the models tested, the neural network model exhibited superior performance on the test set, achieving an AUC of 0.828. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified that preoperative hemoglobin levels, preoperative fibrinogen levels, operation duration, smoking history, the number of anastomoses, and peripheral vascular injury as statistically significant independent risk factors for vascular complications post-free flap reconstruction. The top five predictive factors in the neural network were fibrinogen content, operation duration, donor site, body mass index (BMI), and platelet count. CONCLUSION: Hemoglobin levels, fibrinogen levels, operation duration, smoking history, and anastomotic veins are independent risk factors for vascular complications following free flap reconstruction. These risk factors enhance the ability of machine learning models to predict the occurrence of vascular complications and identify high-risk patients. The neural network model outperformed the logistic regression and random forest models, suggesting its potential to aid clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients thereby mitigating patient suffering and improving prognosis.

Elective Splenectomy Combined with Modified Hassab's or Sugiura Procedure for Portal Hypertension in Decompensated Cirrhosis.

Objective: Portal hypertension is a major complication of decompensated cirrhosis. In China, modified Hassab's and Sugiura procedure are the two major methods of nonshunting surgery. This study aims to compare the efficacy and safety of the two procedures for portal hypertension. Method: Between January 1994 and December 2009, 172 elective patients diagnosed with decompensated cirrhosis with significant hypersplenism adopted elective splenectomy for hypersplenism, and also modified Hassab's (n = 91) or Sugiura (n = 81) procedure was additionally performed to reduce the risk of variceal bleeding. Postoperative mortality and morbidity data were collected, and a retrospectively comparative analysis was conducted. Results: All of the patients were treated successfully without death during operation, and no variceal bleeding occurred during hospitalization. There were 4 (4.4%) deaths in Hassab's group and 3 (3.7%) deaths in Sugiura group postoperatively (P > 0.05). During follow-up, the survival rate was 90.2%, 82.42%, and 71.43% in Hassab's group and 96.29%, 81.48%, and 75.31% in Sugiura group in 1, 3, and 5 years (P > 0.05). There were 22/71 and 12/63 patients in each groups who suffered no deadly variceal bleeding (P = 0.11). Bleeding related death and no bleeding related death occurred in 7/23 and 3/13 patients in each group (P = 0.26 and 0.14, respectively). Conclusion: Elective splenectomy combined with modified Sugiura procedure seemed to be associated with a reduced trend of no deadly variceal bleeding compared with Hassab's procedure. As statistical significance was not found, further large scale and prospective study was warranted.

Lowering hepatic venous pressure agent carvedilol versus variceal banding ligation for clinical outcomes of cirrhotic portal hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: Carvedilol is nonselective beta-blocker with a mild anti-alpha-1-adrenergic effect. Several studies proposed improved hemodynamic effects of carvedilol compared with propanolol. Our study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized control trials comparing carvedilol with variceal banding ligation (VBL). METHODS: Studies were searched on online databases MEDLINE, EMBASE(Ovid), the Cochrane Library, Chinese Wanfang Database, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure between January 2000 and May 2018. Incidence of bleeding and mortality were main outcome measures. Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted to ensure the robustness of pooled estimates. RESULTS: Ten randomized control trials including 1,269 cirrhotic patients were chosen. Compared with VBL, carvedilol showed similar preventive efficacy of risk ratios (RRs) in variceal bleeding, and bleeding-related mortality over different follow-up periods from 6 months to 24 months. Also, significant differences between carvedilol and VBL in overall mortality and other causes of mortality were failed to be found. Carvedilol achieved a lower incidence of portal hypertension gastropathy in both 6 months (RR=0.49, 95% CI: 0.38-0.64, P<0.00001) and 12 months (RR=0.35, 95% CI: 0.26-0.47, P<0.00001). Two trials compared combination of carvedilol and VBL with VBL alone; however, the results failed to find an improved preventive efficacy of bleeding (RR=0.71, 95% CI: 0.15-3.30, P=0.67). CONCLUSION: Carvedilol is equivalent to invasive VBL for variceal bleeding prevention. It can be well tolerated and may be of benefit to portal hypertension gastropathy. However, available data during 24 months follow-up did not support a potential advantage of carvedilol for prognosis as a lowering hepatic venous pressure agent.

PRISMA-efficacy and safety of lixisenatide for type 2 diabetes mellitus: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to systematically evaluate the efficacy and safety of lixisenatide in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, ClinicalTrials.gov, Google, Web of Science and the Chinese Science Citation Database were searched up to March 2018. Randomized controlled trials determining the efficacy and safety of lixisenatide in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus were eligible for inclusion. Two authors independently extracted the data in a prespecified Microsoft Excel spreadsheet. A meta-analysis was performed using Review Manager 5.3 software. Weighted mean difference (WMD) and relative risk (RR) together with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated, and only the random effects model was used in order to achieve a more conservative estimate of the efficacy and safety. RESULTS: Fourteen multicenter randomized controlled trials involving 11,947 patients were eligible for inclusion. Compared to placebo, lixisenatide could more significantly reduce the level of HbA1c (WMD=-0.44; 95% confidence interval [CI] [-0.55,-0.33]), and a higher proportion of lixisenatide-treated patients achieved the HbA1c level of < 7.0% (RR = 1.89, 95% CI [1.75-2.03]) and < 6.5% (RR = 3.03, 95% CI [2.54-3.63]) than the placebo-treated patients. Lixisenatide was also associated with a significant reduction in fasting plasma glucose and 2-hour postprandial plasma glucose levels. The risks for any adverse events, gastrointestinal adverse events, and symptomatic hypoglycemia significantly increased in the lixisenatide-treatedment group compared to those in the placebo group. However, lixisenatideit did not increase the risks of serious adverse events, death, or severe hypoglycemia. CONCLUSIONS: Lixisenatide was more effective than placebo in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, and the mild-to-moderate adverse events were found to be tolerated during the follow-up.

Acute Pancreatitis Classifications: Basis and Key Goals.

To explore the efficacy of the revised Atlanta classification (RACAP) and the determinant-based classification of acute pancreatitis severity (DBCAPS) on the basis of clinical data and feedback from patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). The authors retrospectively investigated a total of 573 patients with AP admitted to our hospital between December 2011 and December 2014. The definitions of severity and local complications in AP using RACAP and DBCAPS are presented and common points and mutual differences between the 2 groups are analyzed and discussed. Classification according to RACAP and DBCAPS found 86 (15%) and 178 (31.1%) mild cases (P < 0.01), 269 (46.9%) and 176 (30.7%) moderate cases (P < 0.01), and 218 (38.0%) and 219 (38.2%) severe cases (P = 0.95), respectively. A major contribution of DBCAPS is the introduction of a new type of severe AP, critical AP, identified in 4 patients (0.7%). Complications were observed in 313 RACAP-defined cases and 153 DBCAPS-defined cases (P < 0.01). Among the 313 RACAP-defined cases, acute peripancreatic fluid collection (236 patients, 75.40%), pancreatic pseudocysts (20 patients, 6.4%), acute necrotic collection (42 patients, 13.4%), and walled-off necrosis (15 patients, 4.8%) were observed. Among the 153 DBCAPS-defined cases, sterile peripancreatic necrosis (105 patients, 68.6%), sterile pancreatic necrosis (44 patients, 28.8%), infected peripancreatic necrosis (2 patients, 1.3%), and infected pancreatic necrosis (2/153 patients, 1.3%) were observed. Both classifications adopted organ failure and complications as determinants of severity. Revised Atlanta classification refined local complications and DBCAPS modified severity to include critical AP. In accordance with the demands of precision medicine, a combination of the 2 could be important for further clinical practice and scientific research.

Prokinetic activity of Prunus persica (L.) Batsch flowers extract and its possible mechanism of action in rats.

The peach tree, Prunus persica (L.) Batsch, is widely cultivated in China, and its flowers have been used for centuries in traditional Chinese medicine to treat gut motility disorders. But few studies have explored the pharmacological effect of Prunus persica (L.) Batsch flowers on gastrointestinal motility. In this study, the activities of different extracts from Prunus persica (L.) Batsch flowers on the smooth muscle contractions were evaluated using isolated colon model, and the ethyl acetate extract (EAE) showed the strongest effects in vitro. EAE (10(-8)-10(-5) g/mL) caused a concentration-dependent stimulatory effect in rat colonic tissue. Additionally, ketotifen (100 µM), cimetidine (10 µM), and pyrilamine (1 µM) produced a significant inhibition of contractions caused by EAE. Furthermore, immunofluorescence and toluidine blue staining revealed increased numbers of mast cells in the EAE group, and EAE increased histamine release from the colonic tissues. These data indicate that EAE has significant prokinetic activity and acts by a mechanism that mainly involves mast cell degranulation. Our study provides a pharmacological basis for the use of an extract of Prunus persica (L.) Batsch flowers in the treatment of gut motility disorders.