Bacterascites confers poor patient prognosis beyond MELD prediction.

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a well-recognized clinical entity with a poor prognosis. In comparison, the prevalence, microbiological flora, and prognostic significance of bacterascites (BA) (the presence of organism on culture but ascitic PMN <250 cells/mm³) is largely unknown. We, therefore, assessed the prognosis and predictors of outcome in patients with BA in comparison with those with SBP. Ascitic fluid cultures from consecutive patients with cirrhosis from 2008 to 2018 were reviewed retrospectively, and patients with SBP and BA were identified. Baseline demographic, laboratory, and microbiological data were collated and analyzed as prognostic indicators, and clinical outcomes were recorded. Patients were censored at the time of LT, death, or last follow-up. For this study 176 and 213 cases of SBP and BA, respectively, were identified and included. Patients with SBP had significantly higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) ( p =<0.01), peripheral blood WCC ( p < 0.01), and higher rates of Enterobacteriaceae ( p < 0.01) and multi-drug resistant pathogens ( p < 0.01). Survival at 1 and 3 months was lower in patients with SBP ( p < 0.01) when compared with BA but at 6 months and beyond, no significant difference remained. After the exclusion of deaths within 30 days of presentation, survival between SBP and BA was equivocal at all time points. Mortality was substantially higher across all MELD groupings for both SBP and BA when compared with the predicted mortality calculated by the MELD score alone. BA has a negative impact on patient survival above that predicted by the MELD score. It has similar impact to SBP on patient survival beyond 1 month suggesting it should be seen as a poor prognostic marker and prompt consideration of LT where appropriate. Further studies evaluating the role of secondary prophylaxis in this group are required.

PRO: Patients With Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Should Receive Priority on the Liver Transplant Waiting List.

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Donor-recipient human leukocyte antigen A mismatching is associated with hepatic artery thrombosis, sepsis, graft loss, and reduced survival after liver transplant.

Human leukocyte antigen (HLA) matching is not routinely performed for liver transplantation as there is no consistent evidence of benefit; however, the impact of HLA mismatching remains uncertain. We explored the effect of class I and II HLA mismatching on graft failure and mortality. A total of 1042 liver transplants performed at a single center between 1999 and 2016 with available HLA typing data were included. The median follow-up period was 9.38 years (interquartile range 4.9-14) and 350/1042 (33.6%) transplants resulted in graft loss and 280/1042 (26.9%) in death. Graft loss and mortality were not associated with the overall number of mismatches at HLA-A, HLA-B, HLA-C, HLA-DR, and HLA-DQ loci. However, graft failure and mortality were both increased in HLA mismatching on graft failure and mortality the presence of one (p = 0.004 and p = 0.01, respectively) and two (p = 0.01 and p = 0.04, respectively) HLA-A mismatches. Elevated hazard ratios for graft failure and death were observed with HLA-A mismatches in univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. Excess graft loss with HLA-A mismatch (138/940 [14.7%] mismatched compared with 6/102 [5.9%] matched transplants) occurred within the first year following transplantation (odds ratio 2.75; p = 0.02). Strikingly, transplants performed at a single all grafts lost due to hepatic artery thrombosis were in HLA-A-mismatched transplants (31/940 vs. 0/102), as were those lost due to sepsis (35/940 vs. 0/102). In conclusion, HLA-A mismatching was associated with increased graft loss and mortality. The poorer outcome for the HLA-mismatched group was due to hepatic artery thrombosis and sepsis, and these complications occurred exclusively with HLA-A-mismatched transplants. These data suggest that HLA-A mismatching is important for outcomes following liver transplant. Therefore, knowledge of HLA-A matching status may potentially allow for enhanced surveillance, clinical interventions in high-risk transplants or stratified HLA-A matching in high-risk recipients.

Recent advances in liver transplantation.

Liver transplant is a life-saving treatment with 1-year and 5-year survival rates of 90% and 70%, respectively. However, organ demand continues to exceed supply, such that many patients will die waiting for an available organ. This article reviews for the general gastroenterologist the latest developments in the field to reduce waiting list mortality and maximise utilisation of available organs. The main areas covered include legislative changes in organ donation and the new 'opt-out' systems being rolled out in the UK, normothermic machine perfusion to optimise marginal grafts, a new national allocation system to maximise benefit from each organ and developments in patient 'prehabilitation' before listing. Current areas of research interest, such as immunosuppression withdrawal, are also summarised.

Is there scope to improve the selection of patients with alcohol-related liver disease for referral to secondary care? A retrospective analysis of primary care referrals to a UK liver centre, incorporating simple blood tests.

OBJECTIVES: Twenty per cent of people with alcohol use disorders develop advanced fibrosis and warrant referral to secondary care. Improving outcomes in alcohol-related liver disease (ArLD) relies on its earlier detection in primary care with non-invasive tests (NIT). We aimed to determine the proportion of alcohol-related referrals who were diagnosed with advanced fibrosis in secondary care, the prevalence of both alcohol and fatty liver disease ('BAFLD') and the potential impact of NIT on referral stratification. DESIGN/SETTING: Retrospective analysis of all general practitioner-referrals with suspected ArLD/non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to a UK hepatology-centre between January 2015 and January 2018. PARTICIPANTS: Of 2944 new referrals, 762 (mean age 55.5±13.53 years) met inclusion criteria: 531 NAFLD and 231 ArLD, of which 147 (64%) could be reclassified as 'BAFLD'. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Proportion of referrals with suspected ArLD/NAFLD with advanced fibrosis as assessed by tertiary centre hepatologists using combinations of FibroScan, imaging, examination and blood tests and liver histology, where indicated. SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Included impact of body mass index/alcohol consumption on the odds of a diagnosis of advanced fibrosis, and performance of NIT in predicting advanced fibrosis in planned post-hoc analysis of referrals. RESULTS: Among ArLD referrals 147/229 (64.2%) had no evidence of advanced fibrosis and were judged 'unnecessary'. Advanced fibrosis was observed in men drinking ≥50 units per week (U/w) (OR 2.74, 95% CI 1.51 to 5, p=0.001) and ≥35 U/w in women (OR 5.11, 95% CI 1.31 to 20.03, p=0.019). Drinking >14 U/w doubled the likelihood of advanced fibrosis in overweight/obesity (OR 2.11; 95% CI 1.44 to 3.09; p<0.001). Use of fibrosis 4 score could halve unnecessary referrals (OR 0.50; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.79, p=0.003) with false-negative rate of 22%, but was rarely used. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of referrals with suspected ArLD were deemed unnecessary. NIT could improve identification of liver damage in ArLD, BAFLD and NAFLD in primary care. Anecdotal thresholds for harmful drinking (35 U/w in women and 50 U/w in men) were validated. The impact of alcohol on NAFLD highlights the importance of multi-causality in chronic liver disease.

Uncovering unsuspected advanced liver fibrosis in patients referred to alcohol nurse specialists using the ELF test.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alcohol use disorders (AUD) cause 7.2% of UK hospital admissions/year. Most are not managed by hepatologists and liver disease may be missed. We used the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test to investigate prevalence and associations of occult advanced liver fibrosis in AUD patients not known to have liver fibrosis. METHODS: Liver fibrosis was assessed using ELF in prospective patients referred to the Royal Free Hospital Alcohol Specialist Nurse (November 2018-December 2019). Known cases of liver disease were excluded. Patient demographics, blood tests, imaging data and alcohol histories recorded. Advanced fibrosis was categorised as ELF ≥ 10.5. RESULTS: The study included 99 patients (69% male, mean age 53.1 ± 14.4) with median alcohol intake 140 units/week (IQR 80.9-280), and a mean duration of harmful drinking of 15 years (IQR 10-27.5). The commonest reason for admission was symptomatic alcohol withdrawal (36%). The median ELF score was 9.62, range 6.87-13.78. An ELF score ≥ 10.5 was recorded in 28/99 (29%) patients, of whom 28.6% had normal liver tests. Within previous 5-years, 76% had attended A&E without assessment of liver disease. The ELF score was not associated with recent alcohol intake (p = 0.081), or inflammation (p = 0.574). CONCLUSION: Over a quarter of patients with AUD had previously undetected advanced liver fibrosis assessed by ELF testing. ELF was not associated with liver inflammation or recent alcohol intake. The majority had recent missed opportunities for investigating liver disease. We recommend clinicians use non-invasive tests to assess liver fibrosis in patients admitted to hospital with AUD.

Systematic review: Investigating the prognostic performance of four non-invasive tests in alcohol-related liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Mortality of alcohol-related liver disease (ArLD) is increasing, and liver fibrosis stage is the best mortality predictor. Non-invasive tests (NITs) are increasingly used to detect fibrosis, but their value as prognostic tests in chronic liver disease, and in particular in ArLD, is less well recognized. We aimed to describe the prognostic performance of four widely used NITs (Fibrosis 4 test [FIB4], Enhanced Liver Fibrosis [ELF] test, FibroScan, and FibroTest) in ArLD. METHODS: Applying systematic review methodology, we searched four databases from inception to May 2020. Inclusion/exclusion criteria were applied to search using Medical Subject Heading terms and keywords. The first and second reviewers independently screened results, extracted data, and performed risk-of-bias assessment using Quality in Prognosis Studies tool. RESULTS: Searches produced 25 088 articles. After initial screening, 1020 articles were reviewed independently by both reviewers. Eleven articles remained after screening for eligibility: one on ELF, four on FibroScan, four on FIB4, one on FIB4 + FibroScan, and one on FibroTest + FIB4. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for outcome prediction ranged from 0.65 to 0.76 for FibroScan, 0.64 to 0.83 for FIB4, 0.69 to 0.79 for FibroTest, and 0.72 to 0.85 for ELF. Studies scored low-moderate risk of bias for most domains but high risk in confounding/statistical reporting domains. The results were heterogeneous for outcomes and reporting, making pooling of data unfeasible. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review returned 11 papers, six of which were conference abstracts and one unpublished manuscript. While the heterogeneity of studies precluded direct comparisons of NITs, each NIT performed well in individual studies in predicting prognosis in ArLD (area under the receiver operating characteristic curves >0.7 in each NIT category) and may add value to prognostication in clinical practice.

Adult liver transplantation: A UK clinical guideline - part 1: pre-operation.

Liver transplantation is a highly successful treatment for all types of liver failure, some non-liver failure indications and liver cancer. Most referrals come from secondary care. This first part of a two-part guideline outlines who to refer, and how that referral should be made, including patient details and additional issues such as those relevant to alcohol and drug misuse. The process of liver transplant assessment involves the confirmation of the diagnosis and non-reversibility, an evaluation of comorbidities and exclusion of contraindications. Finally, those making it onto the waiting list require monitoring and optimising. Underpinning this process is a need for good communication between patient, their carers, secondary care and the liver transplant service, synchronised by the transplant coordinator. Managing expectation and balancing the uncertainty of organ availability against the inevitable progression of underlying liver disease requires sensitivity and honesty from all healthcare providers and the assessment of palliative care needs is an integral part of this process.

Adult liver transplantation: UK clinical guideline - part 2: surgery and post-operation.

Survival rates for patients following liver transplantation exceed 90% at 12 months and approach 70% at 10 years. Part 1 of this guideline has dealt with all aspects of liver transplantation up to the point of placement on the waiting list. Part 2 explains the organ allocation process, organ donation and organ type and how this influences the choice of recipient. After organ allocation, the transplant surgery and the critical early post-operative period are, of necessity, confined to the liver transplant unit. However, patients will eventually return to their referring secondary care centre with a requirement for ongoing supervision. Part 2 of this guideline concerns three key areas of post liver transplantation care for the non-transplant specialist: (1) overseeing immunosuppression, including interactions and adherence; (2) the transplanted organ and how to initiate investigation of organ dysfunction; and (3) careful oversight of other organ systems, including optimising renal function, cardiovascular health and the psychosocial impact. The crucial significance of this holistic approach becomes more obvious as time passes from the transplant, when patients should expect the responsibility for managing the increasing number of non-liver consequences to lie with primary and secondary care.

Pregnancy-specific liver diseases.

Liver disease presenting in pregnancy may be due to a pregnancy-specific liver disorder, due to previously unrecognised pre-existing liver disease, or de novo liver disorders coincidentally presenting in a pregnant woman. The pregnancy-specific liver diseases can span from mild disease with limited impact on maternal and foetal health to severe disorders that can result in significant morbidity and mortality for mother and foetus. Swift identification of these disorders is essential to allow timely and appropriate management via a multi-disciplinary approach. The pregnancy-specific conditions, including their presentation, investigations, and management are reviewed in this chapter in detail.

Prediction of Esophageal Varices by Liver Stiffness and Platelets in Persons With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection and Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: People living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) are at increased risk of cirrhosis and esophageal varices. Baveno VI criteria, based on liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and platelet count, have been proposed to avoid unnecessary esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) screening for esophageal varices needing treatment (EVNT). This approach has not been validated in PLWH. METHODS: PLWH from 8 prospective cohorts were included if they fulfilled the following criteria: (1) compensated advanced chronic liver disease (LSM >10 kPa); (2) availability of EGD within 6 months of reliable LSM. Baveno VI (LSM <20 kPa and platelets >150 000/µL), expanded Baveno VI (LSM <25 kPa and platelets >110 000/µL), and Estudio de las Hepatitis Víricas (HEPAVIR) criteria (LSM <21 kPa) were applied to identify patients not requiring EGD screening. Criteria optimization was based on the percentage of EGDs spared, while keeping the risk of missing EVNT <5%. RESULTS: Five hundred seven PLWH were divided into a training (n = 318) and a validation set (n = 189). EVNT were found in 7.5%. In the training set, Baveno VI, expanded Baveno VI, and HEPAVIR criteria spared 10.1%, 25.5%, and 28% of EGDs, while missing 0%, 1.2%, and 2.2% of EVNT, respectively. The best thresholds to rule out EVNT were platelets >110 000/µL and LSM <30 kPa (HIV cirrhosis criteria), with 34.6% of EGDs spared and 0% EVNT missed. In the validation set, HEPAVIR and HIV cirrhosis criteria spared 54% and 48.7% of EGDs, while missing 4.9% and 2.2% EVNT, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Baveno VI criteria can be extended to HEPAVIR and HIV cirrhosis criteria while sparing a significant number of EGDs, thus improving resource utilization for PLWH with compensated advanced chronic liver disease.

Cardiovascular morbidity and mortality is increased post-liver transplantation even in recipients with no pre-existing risk factors.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Post-liver transplant (LT) metabolic syndrome (PTMS) and cardiovascular (CVS) mortality are becoming increasingly prevalent following sustained improvements in post-LT survival. We investigated the prevalence and predictors of PTMS and CVS complications in a cohort of consecutive LT recipients. METHODS: We reviewed prospectively collected data of patients (n = 928) who underwent LT (1995-2013) and survived at least 1-year post-LT or died before that due to a major CVS complication. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 85 months (IQR = 106). The prevalence of PTMS was 22.4% and it developed de novo in 183 recipients (19.7%). A total of 187 (20.2%) patients developed at least one CVS event post-LT within a median of 49 months (IQR = 85). Overall mortality rate was 22.6% (n = 210). Causes of death were CVS events (n = 45, 21.4%), malignancies (21%), liver-related deaths (20%) and infections (6.7%). Independent predictors of major CVS events were: documented CVS disease pre-LT (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 3.330; 95% CI = 1.620-6.840), DM (HR = 1.120; 95% CI 1.030-1.220), hypertension (HR = 1.140; 95% CI 1.030-1.270), dyslipidaemia (HR = 1.140; 95% CI 1.050-1.240) and creatinine levels at 1 year (HR = 1.010; 95% CI = 1.005-1.013). Among LT recipients without pre-LT CVS disease or MS components (n = 432), 85 recipients developed ≥1 CVS events (19.7%) with independent predictors being DM (HR = 1.150; 95% CI = 1.010-1.320), creatinine levels at 1 year (HR = 1.020; 95% CI = 1.010-1.030) and hypertension (HR = 1.190; 95% CI = 1.040-1.360). CONCLUSIONS: Post-LT patients are at increased risk of CVS morbidity even in the absence of pre-existing metabolic risk factors. Renal sparing immunosuppressive protocols might reduce CVS events post-LT.

Area Under Trough Concentrations of Tacrolimus as a Predictor of Progressive Renal Impairment After Liver Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Tacrolimus minimization is usually restricted to patients with pretransplant renal impairment, and this strategy could result into worse renal outcomes after liver transplantation (LT). METHODS: A consecutive cohort of 455 LT patients receiving tacrolimus-based immunosuppression was studied (2008-2013). Cumulative exposure to tacrolimus was calculated as the area under curve of trough concentrations (AUCtc). Patients were stratified as tacrolimus minimization, conventional, or high exposure, according to the thresholds based in the COMMIT consensus. Estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) were assessed by the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease formula (MDRD-4) up to 5 years after LT. RESULTS: Seventy patients (15.4%) had pretransplant eGFR < 60 mL/min, which was associated with increased mortality rates, particularly within the first 5 years post-LT (31.4% versus 17.5%; Breslow P = 0.010). After LT, there was an abrupt eGFR decline within the first 3 months (median 18.6 mL/min; P < 0.001), further decreasing up to 12 months (additional 3 mL/min), without any improvement thereafter. According to AUCtc, 33.7% of patients received tacrolimus minimization, 44.8% conventional exposure, and 21.5% high exposure. Conventional/high exposure to tacrolimus resulted in a more pronounced eGFR decline within the first 3 months when compared with minimization (23.3 mL/min versus 9.5 mL/min; P < 0.001). This gap was even higher in patients with initially preserved renal function. Tacrolimus AUCtc was an independent predictor of eGFR decline within the first 3 months after controlling for potential confounders. CONCLUSIONS: AUCtc is a surrogate of cumulative exposure to tacrolimus and may be helpful for routine dose adjustments. Tacrolimus minimization should be universally attempted after LT to preserve renal function.

Outcomes of Pregnancy in Mothers With Cirrhosis: A National Population-Based Cohort Study of 1.3 Million Pregnancies.

There are limited data on pregnancy outcomes in women with cirrhosis. To address this gap, we examined the records of singleton births from Sweden's National Patient Register (NPR), Cause of Death Register (CDR), and Medical Birth Register (MBR) between 1997 and 2011 to assess exposure and pregnancy-related and liver-related outcomes of pregnant women with cirrhosis. Exposure status was defined as having an International Classification of Diseases (ICD) code for cirrhosis obtained prior to or during pregnancy. Poisson regression with cluster-robust standard errors was used to estimate relative risks (RRs) adjusted for maternal age, smoking, and body mass index (BMI). We identified 103 pregnancies in women with cirrhosis and compared these to 1,361,566 pregnancies in women without cirrhosis. Pregnancies in women with cirrhosis were at increased risk of caesarean delivery (36% versus 16%, respectively; adjusted RR [aRR], 2.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.47-2.73), low birth weight (15% versus 3%; aRR, 3.87; 95% CI, 2.11-7.06), and preterm delivery (19% versus 5%; aRR, 3.51; 95% CI, 2.16-5.72). Rates of maternal mortality during pregnancy (no cases), gestational diabetes, preeclampsia, small for gestational age, congenital malformations, and stillbirth were not increased when compared to the pregnant women without cirrhosis. There were 12 hospitalizations during pregnancy due to liver-related events, including one case with bleeding esophageal varices. Conclusion: Women with cirrhosis are at increased risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes. However, severe maternal and fetal adverse events were rare in our study, and most pregnancies in women with cirrhosis ended without complications.

Expanding the Baveno VI criteria for the screening of varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease.

Patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) can safely avoid screening endoscopy with a platelet count >150 × 109 cells/L and a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa (Baveno VI criteria). However, the total number of avoided endoscopies using this rule is relatively low. We aimed at expanding the Baveno VI criteria and validating them in additional cohorts. Patients from the Anticipate cohort (499 patients with cACLD of different etiologies) were used to study the performance of different thresholds of platelets and LSM for the identification of patients at very low risk (<5%) of having varices needing treatment (VNT). The new criteria (Expanded-Baveno VI) were validated in two additional cohorts from London (309 patients) and Barcelona (117 patients). The performance of the new criteria by etiology of cACLD was also assessed. The best new expanded classification rule was platelet count >110 × 109 cells/L and LSM <25 kPa. This was validated in the two additional cohorts. Overall, the Expanded-Baveno VI criteria would potentially spare 367 (40%) endoscopies (21% with Baveno VI criteria) with a risk of missing VNT of 1.6% (95% confidence interval, 0.7%-3.5%) in patients within the criteria and 0.6% (95% confidence interval, 0.3%-1.4%) in the overall population of 925 patients evaluated. The Expanded-Baveno VI criteria performed well in patients with cACLD with hepatitis C virus and alcoholic and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. CONCLUSION: The new Expanded-Baveno VI criteria spare more endoscopies than the original criteria with a minimal risk of missing VNT in most of the main etiologies of cACLD. (Hepatology 2017;66:1980-1988).