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1.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38787617

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Approximately half of all patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) who progress to kidney failure initiate dialysis in an unplanned fashion which is associated with high morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. A novel prediction model designed to identify advanced CKD patients who are at high risk for developing kidney failure over short time frames (6-12 months) may help reduce the rates of unplanned dialysis and improve the quality of transitions from CKD to kidney failure. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study employing machine learning random forest algorithms incorporating routinely collected age and sex data along with time-varying trends in laboratory measurements to derive and validate six- and 12-month kidney failure risk prediction models in the advanced CKD population. The models were comprehensively characterized in three independent cohorts in Ontario, Canada - derived in a cohort of 1,849 consecutive advanced CKD patients (mean [standard deviation] age 66 [15] years, eGFR 19 [7] mL/min/1.73m2), and validated in two external advanced CKD cohorts (n=1,356; age 69 [14] years, eGFR 22 [7] mL/min/1.73m2). RESULTS: Across all cohorts, 55% of patients experienced kidney failure, of which 35% involved unplanned dialysis. The six- and 12-month models demonstrated excellent discrimination with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 (95%CI: 0.87-0.89) and 0.87 (95%CI: 0.86-0.87) along with high probabilistic accuracy with Brier scores of 0.10 (95%CI 0.09-0.10) and 0.14 (95%CI 0.13-0.14), respectively. The models were also well-calibrated and delivered timely alerts on a significant number of patients who ultimately initiated dialysis in an unplanned fashion. Similar results were found upon external validation testing. CONCLUSION: These machine-learning models using routinely collected patient data accurately predict near-future kidney failure risk among the advanced CKD population, and retrospectively deliver advanced warning on a substantial proportion of unplanned dialysis events. Optimal implementation strategies still need to be elucidated.

3.
Rev Panam Salud Publica ; 48: e33, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38576841

RESUMO

Objective: To examine sociodemographic differences in the awareness, understanding, use and effect of nutrition labels among Mexican and Chilean youth. Methods: Online surveys among youth (10-17 years) were obtained in 2019 (n=2631). Participants reported their awareness, understanding, and use of their country-specific nutrition facts tables (NFT) and front-of-pack labels (FOPL) (Chile: warning labels [WLs]; Mexico: guideline daily amounts [GDA]). Additionally, participants reported their perceived healthfulness of a sweetened fruit drink after viewing one of six versions of it with different FOPL (no-label control, Health Star Rating, WLs, GDAs, Traffic Light, or Nutri-Score) during an experimental task. Results: Higher self-reported nutrition knowledge was associated with higher NFT and FOPL awareness, understanding, and use, except for WL use. WLs were the most effective FOPL in decreasing the perceived healthfulness of the sweetened fruit drink compared to a no-label condition and other FOP labels. In Chile, the effect of GDA differed by income adequacy, while in Mexico Nutri-Score differed by age. Conclusions: Results suggest that nutrition label awareness, use, understanding, and impact differ across demographics, favoring higher income and nutrition knowledge. Despite this, WLs are likely to have a positive impact on nutrition-related knowledge and behaviors among Mexican and Chilean youth, independently of their socio-demographic groups.

4.
Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act ; 21(1): 37, 2024 Apr 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38605322

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Marketing of unhealthy foods to children on digital media significantly impacts their dietary preferences and contributes to diet-related noncommunicable diseases. Canadian children spend a significant amount of time on digital devices and are frequently exposed to unhealthy food marketing on social media, including by influencers with celebrity status who endorse products. This study aimed to examine the frequency, healthfulness, and power of unhealthy food marketing in posts by influencers popular with Canadian children on YouTube, Instagram and TikTok. METHODS: The top 9 influencers popular amongst Canadian children aged 10-12 years were identified from the 2021 International Food Policy Study Youth Survey. A total of 2,232 Instagram, YouTube and TikTok posts made by these influencers between June 1st 2021 and May 31st 2022 were examined for instances of food marketing. Food products/brands were identified and frequencies were calculated for the number of posts promoting food products/brands, posts promoting products/brands classified as less healthy according to Health Canada's Nutrient Profile Model (2018) and marketing techniques utilized. RESULTS: YouTube had the highest average rate of food marketing instances per post, at a rate of 1 food marketing instance every 0.7 posts, while TikTok and Instagram had instances every 10.2 posts and 19.3 posts, respectively. Overall, fast food restaurants was the most promoted food category (21%), followed by regular soft drinks (13%), snacks (11%), candy and chocolate (11%) and water (8%). The most frequently used marketing techniques were appeals to fun/cool (37%), the use of songs or music (28%) and the product being consumed (25%). In terms of healthfulness, 83% of the products/brands (87% of brands and 82% of products) promoted were classified as less healthy. CONCLUSIONS: Social media influencers play a substantial role in promoting unhealthy food products to children, primarily fast food items. Given the significant impact of such marketing on children, there is a need for ongoing government-led monitoring, and it is crucial to include social media and influencer marketing in marketing restrictions targeting children in Canada to safeguard this vulnerable demographic.


Assuntos
Mídias Sociais , Criança , Adolescente , Humanos , Internet , Canadá , Alimentos , Bebidas , Marketing/métodos , Fast Foods
5.
Perit Dial Int ; : 8968608241234525, 2024 Mar 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38445493

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Social determinants of health are non-medical factors that impact health. For patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progressing to kidney failure, the influence of social determinants of health on dialysis modality selection (haemodialysis vs. peritoneal dialysis (PD)) is incompletely understood. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of 981 consecutive patients with advanced CKD referred to the Ottawa Hospital Multi-Care Kidney Clinic (Canada) who progressed to dialysis from 2010 to 2021. Multivariable logistic regression was used to measure odds ratios (OR) for the associations between social determinants of health (education, employment, marital status and residence) and modality of dialysis initiation. RESULTS: The mean age and estimated glomerular filtration rate were 64 and 18 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively. Not having a high school degree was associated with lower odds of initiating dialysis via PD compared to having a college degree (29% vs. 48%, OR 0.55 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34-0.88)). Unemployment was associated with lower odds of initiating dialysis via PD compared to active employment (38% vs. 62%, OR 0.40 (95% CI 0.27-0.60)). Being single was associated with lower odds of initiating dialysis via PD compared to being married (35% vs. 48%, adjusted OR 0.52 (95% CI 0.39-0.70)). Living alone at home was associated with lower odds of initiating dialysis via PD compared to living at home with family (33% vs. 47%, adjusted OR 0.55 (95% CI 0.39-0.78)). CONCLUSIONS: Social determinants of health including education, employment, marital status and residence are associated with dialysis modality selection. Addressing these 'upstream' social factors may allow for more equitable outcomes during the transition from advanced CKD to kidney failure.

6.
Andrology ; 2024 Feb 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38376008

RESUMO

Androgen receptors are expressed in the kidney and serum testosterone is negatively associated with serum phosphate in males, suggesting a role of testosterone in renal phosphate handling. In this cross-sectional study, we examined the association of serum total and free testosterone with acute phosphate and calcium excretion in males in response to an oral phosphate challenge. Thirty-five healthy adult males with normal baseline testosterone levels consumed a 500 mg phosphorus drink and the urinary excretion of minerals, as well as levels of relevant circulating parameters, were assessed at baseline and hourly for 4 h. Serum total testosterone was positively associated with overall phosphate excretion (r = 0.35, p = 0.04) and calcium excretion (r = 0.44, p = 0.00) in response to the challenge. Serum free testosterone was positively associated with post-challenge calcium excretion (r = 0.34, p = 0.048), but significance was not reached for phosphate excretion (r = 0.31, p = 0.07). Serum total and free testosterone were not associated with parathyroid hormone, fibroblast growth factor-23, or vitamin D-key factors implicated in phosphate and calcium regulation. Overall, higher serum total testosterone levels in healthy middle-aged males are associated with a greater capacity to acutely excrete phosphate and calcium after a single oral phosphate challenge, suggesting potential ramifications of testosterone deficiency related to mineral homeostasis.

7.
Prev Med ; 179: 107855, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38215993

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: In 2020, Mexico implemented innovative front-of-package nutrition warning labels (FoPWLs) for packaged foods to increase the salience and understanding of nutrition information. This study evaluated Mexican Americans' self-reported exposure to Mexican FoPWLs and self-reported effects of FoPWLs on purchasing behavior. METHODS: The 2021 International Food Policy Study surveyed online panels of adult Mexican Americans in the US (n = 3361) to self-report on buying food at Mexican-oriented stores, noticing Mexican FoPWLs, and being influenced by FoPWLs to purchase less of eight different unhealthy foods (each assessed separately). After recoding the frequency of buying foods in Mexican stores and noticing FoPWLs (i.e., "often" or "very often" vs. less often), logistic models regressed these outcomes on sociodemographics, adjusting for post-stratification weights. RESULTS: Most participants (88.0%) purchased foods in Mexican stores. Of these, 64.1% reported noticing FoPWLs, among whom many reported that FoPWLs influenced them to buy fewer unhealthy foods (range = 32% [snacks like chips] - 44% [colas]). Participants were more likely to buy foods in Mexican stores and notice FoPWLs if they were younger, had ≥two children at home vs no children (AOR = 1.40, 95%CI = 1.15-1.71; AOR = 1.37, 95%CI = 1.03-1.80, respectively), and more frequently used Spanish (AOR = 1.91, 95%CI = 1.77-2.07; AOR = 1.87, 95%CI = 1.69-2.07). Also, high vs. low education (AOR = 1.51, 95%CI = 1.17-1.94) and higher income adequacy (AOR = 1.37, 95%CI = 1.25-1.51) were positively associated with noticing FoPWLs. Being female and more frequent Spanish use were consistently associated with reporting purchase of fewer unhealthy foods because of FoPWLs. CONCLUSIONS: Many Mexican Americans report both exposure to Mexican FOPWLs and reducing purchases of unhealthy foods because of them.


Assuntos
Comportamento do Consumidor , Rotulagem de Alimentos , Americanos Mexicanos , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Alimentos , Renda , México
10.
Artigo em Inglês | PAHO-IRIS | ID: phr-59399

RESUMO

[ABSTRACT]. Objective. To examine sociodemographic differences in the awareness, understanding, use and effect of nutrition labels among Mexican and Chilean youth. Methods. Online surveys among youth (10-17 years) were obtained in 2019 (n=2631). Participants reported their awareness, understanding, and use of their country-specific nutrition facts tables (NFT) and front-of-pack labels (FOPL) (Chile: warning labels [WLs]; Mexico: guideline daily amounts [GDA]). Additionally, participants reported their perceived healthfulness of a sweetened fruit drink after viewing one of six versions of it with different FOPL (no-label control, Health Star Rating, WLs, GDAs, Traffic Light, or Nutri-Score) during an exper- imental task. Results. Higher self-reported nutrition knowledge was associated with higher NFT and FOPL awareness, understanding, and use, except for WL use. WLs were the most effective FOPL in decreasing the perceived healthfulness of the sweetened fruit drink compared to a no-label condition and other FOP labels. In Chile, the effect of GDA differed by income adequacy, while in Mexico Nutri-Score differed by age. Conclusions. Results suggest that nutrition label awareness, use, understanding, and impact differ across demographics, favoring higher income and nutrition knowledge. Despite this, WLs are likely to have a positive impact on nutrition-related knowledge and behaviors among Mexican and Chilean youth, independently of their socio-demographic groups.


[RESUMEN]. Objetivo. Examinar las diferencias sociodemográficas por lo que respecta al conocimiento, la comprensión, el uso y el efecto de las etiquetas nutricionales en adolescentes de México y Chile. Métodos. En el 2019 se efectuó una encuesta en línea en adolescentes (10 a 17 años) (n=2631). Los participantes indicaron su conocimiento, comprensión y uso de los cuadros de información nutricional y los etiquetados frontales específicos de los empaques de su país (en el caso de Chile, las etiquetas de advertencia, y en el de México, las guías diarias de alimentación (GDA). Asimismo, se llevó a cabo un experimento en el que los participantes indicaron su percepción de lo saludable que era una bebida de fruta azucarada después de ver una de sus seis versiones con diferentes etiquetas frontales en los envases (control sin etiqueta, calificación de producto saludable mediante estrellas Health Star, etiquetas de advertencia, GDA, colores del semáforo, o sistema Nutri-Score). Resultados. El autorreporte de un mayor conocimiento sobre nutrición por parte de los participantes se aso- ció a un mayor conocimiento, comprensión y uso de los cuadros de información nutricional y los sistemas de etiquetado frontal, excepto en el caso del uso de las etiquetas de advertencia. Las etiquetas de advertencia fueron el sistema de etiquetado frontal más eficaz para reducir la percepción saludable del producto con respecto a la bebida de fruta azucarada, en comparación con la ausencia de etiqueta y el resto de los eti- quetados frontales. En Chile, el efecto de las GDA variaba en función de la adecuación del ingreso, mientras que en México el efecto del Nutri-Score difería según la edad. Conclusiones. Los resultados sugieren que el conocimiento, el uso, la comprensión y el efecto de las etique- tas nutricionales difieren entre los distintos grupos demográficos, de tal manera que son más favorables en las personas con mayores ingresos y conocimientos de nutrición. A pesar de esto, es probable que las etiquetas de advertencia tengan un impacto positivo sobre los conocimientos y los comportamientos relacionados con la nutrición en los adolescentes de México y Chile, con independencia de los grupos sociodemográficos de los que forman parte.


[RESUMO]. Objetivo. Analisar diferenças sociodemográficas em termos de conhecimento, compreensão, uso e efeito da rotulagem nutricional entre adolescentes mexicanos e chilenos. Métodos. Foram realizadas pesquisas on-line entre adolescentes de 10 a 17 anos ao longo de 2019 (n=2631). Os participantes relataram que conheciam, compreendiam e usavam as tabelas de informação nutricional e a rotulagem frontal de embalagens específicas de seus respectivos países (Chile: rotulagem de advertência; México: valores diários de referência). Além disso, os participantes relataram sua percepção sobre a saud- abilidade de um suco de fruta adoçado depois de ver uma de seis versões diferentes de rotulagem frontal (controle sem rótulo, Health Star Rating, rótulos de advertência, valores diários de referência, semáforo nutri- cional ou Nutri-Score) durante uma tarefa experimental. Resultados. Um maior conhecimento autodeclarado sobre nutrição foi associado a maior conhecimento, compreensão e uso de tabelas de informação nutricional e rotulagem frontal, com exceção do uso de rótu- los de advertência. Os rótulos de advertência foram o tipo de rotulagem frontal mais efetivo para reduzir a percepção de saudabilidade do suco de fruta adoçado em comparação com o controle sem rótulo e outros tipos de rotulagem frontal. No Chile, o efeito dos valores diários de referência variou de acordo com a renda, enquanto no México o Nutri-Score variou de acordo com a idade. Conclusões. Os resultados sugerem que o conhecimento, a compreensão, o uso e o impacto da rotulagem nutricional variam de acordo com fatores demográficos, favorecendo uma renda mais alta e conhecimento sobre nutrição. Apesar disso, é provável que os rótulos de advertência tenham um impacto positivo sobre o conhecimento e os comportamentos relativos à nutrição entre adolescentes mexicanos e chilenos, indepen- dentemente do grupo sociodemográfico a que pertencem.


Assuntos
Rotulagem de Alimentos , Adolescente , Criança , Bebidas Adoçadas com Açúcar , Chile , México , Rotulagem de Alimentos , Adolescente , Criança , Bebidas Adoçadas com Açúcar , México , Rotulagem de Alimentos , Criança , Bebidas Adoçadas com Açúcar
11.
medRxiv ; 2023 Nov 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38045333

RESUMO

Background: Front-of-package nutritional warning labels (WLs) are designed to facilitate identification and selection of healthier food choices. We assessed self-reported changes in purchasing different types of unhealthy foods due to WLs in Mexico and the association between the self-reported reductions in purchases of sugary beverages and intake of water and sugar-sweetened beverages. Methods: Data came from 14-17 year old youth (n=1,696) and adults ≥18 (n=7,775) who participated in the Mexican arm of the 2020-2021 International Food Policy Study, an annual repeat cross-sectional online survey. Participants self-reported whether the WLs had influenced them to purchase less of each of ten unhealthy food categories due to WLs. Among adults, a 23-item Beverage Frequency Questionnaire was used derive past 7-day intake of water and sugary beverages analyzed to determine the relationship between self-reported reductions in purchasing sugary drinks due to the WLs. Multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression models were fitted to estimate the percentage of participants who self-reported reducing purchases within each food group, and overall. Sociodemographic characteristics associated with this reduction were investigated as well. Results: Overall, 44.8% of adults and 38.7% of youth reported buying less of unhealthy food categories due to the implementation of WL, with the largest proportion reporting decreased purchases of cola, regular and diet soda. A greater impact of WLs on the reported purchase of unhealthy foods was observed among the following socio-demographic characteristics: females, individuals who self-identified as indigenous, those who were overweight, individuals with lower educational levels, those with higher nutrition knowledge, households with children, and those with a significant role in household food purchases. In addition, adults who reported higher water intake and lower consumption of sugary beverages were more likely to report reduced purchases of sugary drinks due to the WLs. Adults who reported greater water intake and lower sugary beverages intake were significantly more likely to report buying fewer sugary drinks due to the WLs. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that implementation of WLs has reduced purchases of unhealthy foods in Mexico. These results underscore the positive impact of the labeling policy particularly in subpopulations with lower levels of education and among indigenous adults.

12.
Neuropathology ; 2023 Nov 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37931917

RESUMO

Ependymal tumors are classified based on their location, histology, and molecular characteristics. Supratentorial ependymomas (ST-EPNs) are a group of circumscribed supratentorial gliomas, which usually have pathogenic fusions involving either zinc finger translocation associated (ZFTA) (formerly C11orf95) or YAP1. A subtype of ependymoma was recently described and labeled ependymoma-like tumors with mesenchymal differentiation (ELTMDs). We describe a case of a 5-year-old boy who presented with a right frontal tumor. The diagnosis was challenging, and a correct diagnosis could only be reached after reanalysis of methylation data with a more recent version of the classifier and RNA fusion testing, which revealed ZFTA:NCOA1 (nuclear receptor coactivator 1) fusion. There are only a handful of cases of this entity, which is being reported for its rarity and the diagnostic challenge it poses.

13.
Public Health Nutr ; 26(12): 3278-3290, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37781769

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Front-of-package warning labels introduced in Mexico in 2020 included disclaimers that caution against allowing children to consume products with non-sugary sweeteners and caffeine. We examined the awareness and use of the disclaimers among Mexican adults and youth 1 month after the regulation was implemented. We also investigated their impact on the perceived healthfulness of industrialised beverages designed for children. DESIGN: Data on the awareness and use of the disclaimers were analysed. Two between-subjects experiments examined the effect of a sweetener disclaimer (Experiment 1, youth and adults) or a caffeine disclaimer (Experiment 2, only adults) on the perceived healthfulness of industrialised beverages. Interactions between experimental conditions and demographic characteristics were tested. SETTING: Online survey in 2020. PARTICIPANTS: Mexican adults (≥18 years, n 2108) and youth (10-17 years, n 1790). RESULTS: Most participants (>80 %) had seen the disclaimers at least rarely, and over 60 % used them sometimes or frequently. The sweetener disclaimer led to a lower perceived healthfulness of a fruit drink (adults: 2·74 ± 1·44; youth: 2·04 ± 0·96) compared with the no-disclaimer condition (adults: 3·17 ± 1·54; youth: 2·32 ± 0·96) (t's: >4·0, P values: <0·001). This effect was larger among older adults and male youth. The caffeine disclaimer did not affect adult's perceived healthfulness of a caffeinated drink (t = 0·861, P value = 0·3894). CONCLUSIONS: There were high awareness and use of the sweeteners and caffeine disclaimers shortly after the warning labels were implemented. The sweetener disclaimer appears to be helping consumers modify their perceptions regarding industrialised beverages for children. Findings may help decision-makers improve the regulation and better target communication strategies.


Assuntos
Cafeína , Edulcorantes , Criança , Adolescente , Humanos , Masculino , Idoso , México , Estudos Transversais , Política Nutricional , Rotulagem de Alimentos , Comportamento do Consumidor
14.
Public Health Nutr ; 26(11): 2595-2606, 2023 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37661595

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To examine differences in noticing and use of nutrition information comparing jurisdictions with and without mandatory menu labelling policies and examine differences among sociodemographic groups. DESIGN: Cross-sectional data from the International Food Policy Study (IFPS) online survey. SETTING: IFPS participants from Australia, Canada, Mexico, United Kingdom and USA in 2019. PARTICIPANTS: Adults aged 18-99; n 19 393. RESULTS: Participants in jurisdictions with mandatory policies were significantly more likely to notice and use nutrition information, order something different, eat less of their order and change restaurants compared to jurisdictions without policies. For noticed nutrition information, the differences between policy groups were greatest comparing older to younger age groups and comparing high education (difference of 10·7 %, 95 % CI 8·9, 12·6) to low education (difference of 4·1 %, 95 % CI 1·8, 6·3). For used nutrition information, differences were greatest comparing high education (difference of 4·9 %, 95 % CI 3·5, 6·4) to low education (difference of 1·8 %, 95 % CI 0·2, 3·5). Mandatory labelling was associated with an increase in ordering something different among the majority ethnicity group and a decrease among the minority ethnicity group. For changed restaurant visited, differences were greater for medium and high education compared to low education, and differences were greater for higher compared to lower income adequacy. CONCLUSIONS: Participants living in jurisdictions with mandatory nutrition information in restaurants were more likely to report noticing and using nutrition information, as well as greater efforts to modify their consumption. However, the magnitudes of these differences were relatively small.


Assuntos
Rotulagem de Alimentos , Restaurantes , Adulto , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Alimentos , Política Nutricional , Ingestão de Energia
15.
Prev Med ; 175: 107710, 2023 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37775082

RESUMO

Deaths attributable to unhealthful eating underscore the need to improve dietary patterns through upstream, policy-led solutions. The approval and successful implementation of food policies is partly determined by their public acceptance. Little is known about public support for food policies in Mexico. We aimed to investigate the level of public support for 30 food policies, grouped into 5 domains, and their associated characteristics among Mexican adults. Data are from the 2017-2021 International Food Policy Study (IFPS), a cross-sectional web-based survey of adults. Differences in public support across years were estimated using linear regression models. The association between demographic characteristics and policy support was analyzed using multivariate logistic regression models. The highest mean support was for the subsidies and benefits domain, followed by the labelling and reformulation domain. The level of support varied across years and policy domains. Support was higher in 2019 compared to 2017 and 2018, and subsequently lower in 2020 and 2021 compared to previous years. Older age was associated with greater support across all domains (OR ranged from 0.002 to 0.004, p < 0.01). Female participants and those selfidentifying as indigenous showed greater support for certain policy domains, whereas higher income adequacy was associated with lower support for other policy domains. In Mexico, support for food policies varies across subpopulations. Our findings may serve as a guide to the development and promotion of food policies in Mexico, as well as to improve their feasibility and success.

16.
Clin Chem ; 69(10): 1163-1173, 2023 10 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37522430

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Development of a short timeframe (6-12 months) kidney failure risk prediction model may serve to improve transitions from advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) to kidney failure and reduce rates of unplanned dialysis. The optimal model for short timeframe kidney failure risk prediction remains unknown. METHODS: This retrospective study included 1757 consecutive patients with advanced CKD (mean age 66 years, estimated glomerular filtration rate 18 mL/min/1.73 m2). We compared the performance of Cox regression models using (a) baseline variables alone, (b) time-varying variables and machine learning models, (c) random survival forest, (d) random forest classifier in the prediction of kidney failure over 6/12/24 months. Performance metrics included area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and maximum precision at 70% recall (PrRe70). Top-performing models were applied to 2 independent external cohorts. RESULTS: Compared to the baseline Cox model, the machine learning and time-varying Cox models demonstrated higher 6-month performance [Cox baseline: AUC-ROC 0.85 (95% CI 0.84-0.86), PrRe70 0.53 (95% CI 0.51-0.55); Cox time-varying: AUC-ROC 0.88 (95% CI 0.87-0.89), PrRe70 0.62 (95% CI 0.60-0.64); random survival forest: AUC-ROC 0.87 (95% CI 0.86-0.88), PrRe70 0.61 (95% CI 0.57-0.64); random forest classifier AUC-ROC 0.88 (95% CI 0.87-0.89), PrRe70 0.62 (95% CI 0.59-0.65)]. These trends persisted, but were less pronounced, at 12 months. The random forest classifier was the highest performing model at 6 and 12 months. At 24 months, all models performed similarly. Model performance did not significantly degrade upon external validation. CONCLUSIONS: When predicting kidney failure over short timeframes among patients with advanced CKD, machine learning incorporating time-updated data provides enhanced performance compared with traditional Cox models.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Humanos , Idoso , Estudos Retrospectivos , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/complicações , Curva ROC , Aprendizado de Máquina , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
17.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 1436, 2023 07 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37501119

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Consumption of fast food, which is associated with poor diet, weight gain and the development of noncommunicable diseases, is high amongst youth. Fast food marketing, a modifiable determinant of excess weight and obesity, affects youth's food-related behaviours. This study aimed to examine the relationship between exposure to fast food marketing and the fast food brand preferences and intake amongst youth aged 10-17 across six countries. METHODS: Data from 9,695 youth respondents living in Australia, Canada, Chile, Mexico, the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (US) were analyzed from the 2019 International Food Policy Study (IFPS) Youth Survey. Survey measures assessed exposure to fast food marketing and brand-specific marketing, and preference for these brands and fast food intake. Regression models adjusted for age, sex, income adequacy and ethnicity were used to examine the associations. RESULTS: Exposure to fast food marketing was positively associated with brand preferences and intake consistently across most countries. Overall, preference for McDonald's (OR:1.97; 95% CI:1.52, 2.56), KFC (OR:1.61; 95% CI:1.24, 2.09) and Subway (OR:1.73; 95% CI:1.34, 2.24) were highest when exposed to general fast food marketing ≥ 2x/week compared to never. Preference for McDonald's (OR:2.32; 95% CI:1.92, 2.79), KFC (OR:2.28; 95% CI:1.95, 2.68) and Subway (OR:2.75; 95% CI:2.32, 3.27) were also higher when exposed to marketing for each brand compared to not. Fast food intake was highest in Chile (IRR:1.90; 95% CI:1.45, 2.48), the UK (IRR:1.40; 95% CI:1.20, 1.63), Canada (IRR:1.32; 95% CI:1.19, 1.48), Mexico (IRR:1.26; 95% CI:1.05, 1.53) and the US (IRR:1.21; 95% CI:1.05, 1.41) when exposed to general fast food marketing ≥ 2x/week compared to never and was higher across most countries when exposed to brand-specific marketing compared to not. Respondents classified as ethnic minorities were more likely to report consuming fast food than ethnic majorities, and females were less likely to report consuming fast food than males. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to fast food marketing is consistently and positively associated with brand preferences and fast food intake in all six countries. Our results highlight the need for strict government regulation to reduce exposure of unhealthy food marketing to youth in all six countries.


Assuntos
Publicidade , Fast Foods , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Adolescente , Estados Unidos , Televisão , Marketing , Preferências Alimentares , Ingestão de Alimentos
18.
J Mol Diagn ; 25(10): 709-728, 2023 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37517472

RESUMO

DNA methylation array profiling for classifying pediatric central nervous system (CNS) tumors is a valuable adjunct to histopathology. However, unbiased prospective and interlaboratory validation studies have been lacking. The AIM BRAIN diagnostic trial involving 11 pediatric cancer centers in Australia and New Zealand was designed to test the feasibility of routine clinical testing and ran in parallel with the Molecular Neuropathology 2.0 (MNP2.0) study at Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum (German Cancer Research Center). CNS tumors from 269 pediatric patients were prospectively tested on Illumina EPIC arrays, including 104 cases co-enrolled on MNP2.0. Using MNP classifier versions 11b4 and 12.5, we report classifications with a probability score ≥0.90 in 176 of 265 (66.4%) and 213 of 269 (79.2%) cases, respectively. Significant diagnostic information was obtained in 130 of 176 (74%) for 11b4, and 12 of 174 (7%) classifications were discordant with histopathology. Cases prospectively co-enrolled on MNP2.0 gave concordant classifications (99%) and score thresholds (93%), demonstrating excellent test reproducibility and sensitivity. Overall, DNA methylation profiling is a robust single workflow technique with an acceptable diagnostic yield that is considerably enhanced by the extensive subgroup and copy number profile information generated by the platform. The platform has excellent test reproducibility and sensitivity and contributes significantly to CNS tumor diagnosis.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Sistema Nervoso Central , Metilação de DNA , Criança , Humanos , Austrália , Neoplasias do Sistema Nervoso Central/diagnóstico , Neoplasias do Sistema Nervoso Central/genética , Metilação de DNA/genética , Nova Zelândia , Estudos Prospectivos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes
19.
Acad Pediatr ; 23(8): 1481-1488, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37482296

RESUMO

Healthcare worker burnout is a growing epidemic associated with multiple negative outcomes. Compounding the routine stresses of clinical practice, involvement in adverse events can be emotionally devastating. Healthcare organizations have an obligation to mitigate burnout and promote engagement and resiliency. Many institutions have launched wellness initiatives, but the value of these programs is unclear. Here, we describe the implementation of a peer-to-peer support program at our quaternary pediatric medical center. This proactive program is unique in its referral process and scope and has demonstrated efficacy in mitigating the emotional impact of adverse effects. In total, our institution has trained 125 peer supporters. Since initiation, there have been a total of 2187 referrals made to the program. Data collected in 2022 from these referrals showed a 60.3% (n = 1220) response rate to the offer of support. A survey was sent to frontline clinicians from divisions with trained supporters. Of 963 respondents, 71.8% (n = 691) agreed that this program was a valuable resource, and 81.3% (n = 783) recommended peer support to be offered to those involved in adverse and stressful events. Our experience supports that the implementation of a proactive, peer-to-peer support program is both feasible and valuable.


Assuntos
Esgotamento Profissional , Efeitos Colaterais e Reações Adversas Relacionados a Medicamentos , Humanos , Criança , Pessoal de Saúde/psicologia , Esgotamento Profissional/prevenção & controle , Esgotamento Profissional/psicologia , Emoções , Grupo Associado
20.
Neurooncol Adv ; 5(1): vdad057, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37287693

RESUMO

Background: ZFTA-RELA (formerly known as c11orf-RELA) fused supratentorial ependymoma (ZFTAfus ST-EPN) has been recognized as a novel entity in the 2016 WHO classification of CNS tumors and further defined in the recent 2021 edition. ZFTAfus ST-EPN was reported to portend poorer prognosis when compared to its counterpart, YAP1 ST-EPN in some previously published series. The aim of this study was to determine the treatment outcome of molecularly confirmed and conventionally treated ZFTAfus ST-EPN patients treated in multiple institutions. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of all pediatric patients with molecularly confirmed ZFTAfus ST-EPN patients treated in multiple institutions in 5 different countries (Australia, Canada, Germany, Switzerland, and Czechia). Survival outcomes were analyzed and correlated with clinical characteristics and treatment approaches. Results: A total of 108 patients were collated from multiple institutions in 5 different countries across three continents. We found across the entire cohort that the 5- and 10-year PFS were 65% and 63%, respectively. The 5- and 10-year OS of this cohort of patients were 87% and 73%. The rates of gross total resection (GTR) were high with 84 out of 108 (77.8%) patients achieving GTR. The vast majority of patients also received post-operative radiotherapy, 98 out of 108 (90.7%). Chemotherapy did not appear to provide any survival benefit in our patient cohort. Conclusion: This is the largest study to date of contemporaneously treated molecularly confirmed ZFTAfus ST-EPN patients which identified markedly improved survival outcomes compared to previously published series. This study also re-emphasizes the importance of maximal surgical resection in achieving optimal outcomes in pediatric patients with supratentorial ependymoma.

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