Defining the prognostic value of [15O]H2O positron emission tomography-derived myocardial ischaemic burden.

AIMS: Myocardial ischaemic burden (IB) is used for the risk stratification of patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). This study sought to define a prognostic threshold for quantitative [15O]H2O positron emission tomography (PET)-derived IB. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 623 patients with suspected or known CAD who underwent [15O]H2O PET perfusion imaging were included. The endpoint was a composite of death and non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI). A hyperaemic myocardial blood flow (hMBF) and myocardial flow reserve (MFR)-derived IB were determined. During a median follow-up time of 6.7 years, 62 patients experienced an endpoint. A hMBF IB of 24% and MFR IB of 28% were identified as prognostic thresholds. Patients with a high hMBF or MFR IB (above threshold) had worse outcome compared to patients with a low hMBF IB [annualized event rates (AER): 2.8% vs. 0.6%, P < 0.001] or low MFR IB [AER: 2.4% vs. 0.6%, P < 0.001]. Patients with a concordant high IB had the worst outcome (AER: 3.1%), whereas patients with a concordant low or discordant IB result had similar and low AERs of 0.5% and 0.9% (P = 0.953), respectively. Both thresholds were of prognostic value beyond clinical characteristics, however, only the hMBF IB threshold remained predictive when adjusted for clinical characteristics and combined use of the hMBF and MFR thresholds. CONCLUSION: A hMBF IB ≥24% was a stronger predictor of adverse outcome than an MFR IB ≥28%. Nevertheless, classifying patients according to concordance of IB result allowed for the identification of low- and high-risk patients.

Prognostic value of [15O]H2O positron emission tomography-derived global and regional myocardial perfusion.

AIMS: To evaluate the prognostic value of global and regional quantitative [15O]H2O positron emission tomography (PET) perfusion. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this retrospective study, 648 patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease (CAD) who underwent [15O]H2O PET were followed for the occurrence of death and myocardial infarction (MI). Global and regional hyperaemic myocardial blood flow (hMBF) and coronary flow reserve (CFR) were obtained from [15O]H2O PET. During median follow-up of 6.9 (5.0-7.9) years, 64 (9.9%) patients experienced the composite of death (36-5.6%) and MI (28-4.3%). Impaired global hMBF (<2.65 mL/min/g) and CFR (<2.88) were both significant prognostic factors for death/MI after adjusting for clinical characteristics (both P < 0.001). However, after adjusting for clinical parameters and the combined use of hMBF and CFR, only hMBF remained an independent prognostic factor (P = 0.04). For regional perfusion, both impaired hMBF (<2.10 mL/min/g) and CFR (<2.07) demonstrated prognostic value for events (both P < 0.001). Similarly, after adjusting for clinical characteristics and combined use of hMBF and CFR, only hMBF had independent prognostic value (P = 0.04). The combination of global and regional perfusion did not improve prognostic performance over either global (P = 0.55) or regional perfusion (P = 0.37) alone. CONCLUSION: Global and regional hMBF and CFR were all prognostic factors for death and MI. However, for both global and regional perfusion, hMBF remained the only independent prognostic factor after adjusting for the combined use of hMBF and CFR. Additionally, integrating global and regional perfusion did not increase prognostic performance compared to either regional or global perfusion alone.