Opportunistic detection of type 2 diabetes using deep learning from frontal chest radiographs.

Deep learning (DL) models can harness electronic health records (EHRs) to predict diseases and extract radiologic findings for diagnosis. With ambulatory chest radiographs (CXRs) frequently ordered, we investigated detecting type 2 diabetes (T2D) by combining radiographic and EHR data using a DL model. Our model, developed from 271,065 CXRs and 160,244 patients, was tested on a prospective dataset of 9,943 CXRs. Here we show the model effectively detected T2D with a ROC AUC of 0.84 and a 16% prevalence. The algorithm flagged 1,381 cases (14%) as suspicious for T2D. External validation at a distinct institution yielded a ROC AUC of 0.77, with 5% of patients subsequently diagnosed with T2D. Explainable AI techniques revealed correlations between specific adiposity measures and high predictivity, suggesting CXRs' potential for enhanced T2D screening.

Deep Learning-Based Digitally Reconstructed Tomography of the Chest in the Evaluation of Solitary Pulmonary Nodules: A Feasibility Study.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: Computed tomography (CT) is preferred for evaluating solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs) but access or availability may be lacking, in addition, overlapping anatomy can hinder detection of SPNs on chest radiographs. We developed and evaluated the clinical feasibility of a deep learning algorithm to generate digitally reconstructed tomography (DRT) images of the chest from digitally reconstructed frontal and lateral radiographs (DRRs) and use them to detect SPNs. METHODS: This single-institution retrospective study included 637 patients with noncontrast helical CT of the chest (mean age 68 years, median age 69 years, standard deviation 11.7 years; 355 women) between 11/2012 and 12/2020, with SPNs measuring 10-30 mm. A deep learning model was trained on 562 patients, validated on 60 patients, and tested on the remaining 15 patients. Diagnostic performance (SPN detection) from planar radiography (DRRs and CT scanograms, PR) alone or with DRT was evaluated by two radiologists in an independent blinded fashion. The quality of the DRT SPN image in terms of nodule size and location, morphology, and opacity was also evaluated, and compared to the ground-truth CT images RESULTS: Diagnostic performance was higher from DRT plus PR than from PR alone (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.95-0.98 versus 0.80-0.85; p < 0.05). DRT plus PR enabled diagnosis of SPNs in 11 more patients than PR alone. Interobserver agreement was 0.82 for DRT plus PR and 0.89 for PR alone; and interobserver agreement for size and location, morphology, and opacity of the DRT SPN was 0.94, 0.68, and 0.38, respectively. CONCLUSION: For SPN detection, DRT plus PR showed better diagnostic performance than PR alone. Deep learning can be used to generate DRT images and improve detection of SPNs.

Validation of a deep learning, value-based care model to predict mortality and comorbidities from chest radiographs in COVID-19.

We validate a deep learning model predicting comorbidities from frontal chest radiographs (CXRs) in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and compare the model's performance with hierarchical condition category (HCC) and mortality outcomes in COVID-19. The model was trained and tested on 14,121 ambulatory frontal CXRs from 2010 to 2019 at a single institution, modeling select comorbidities using the value-based Medicare Advantage HCC Risk Adjustment Model. Sex, age, HCC codes, and risk adjustment factor (RAF) score were used. The model was validated on frontal CXRs from 413 ambulatory patients with COVID-19 (internal cohort) and on initial frontal CXRs from 487 COVID-19 hospitalized patients (external cohort). The discriminatory ability of the model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves compared to the HCC data from electronic health records, and predicted age and RAF score were compared using correlation coefficient and absolute mean error. The model predictions were used as covariables in logistic regression models to evaluate the prediction of mortality in the external cohort. Predicted comorbidities from frontal CXRs, including diabetes with chronic complications, obesity, congestive heart failure, arrhythmias, vascular disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, had a total area under ROC curve (AUC) of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.85-0.86). The ROC AUC of predicted mortality for the model was 0.84 (95% CI,0.79-0.88) for the combined cohorts. This model using only frontal CXRs predicted select comorbidities and RAF score in both internal ambulatory and external hospitalized COVID-19 cohorts and was discriminatory of mortality, supporting its potential use in clinical decision making.

Predicting Prolonged Hospitalization and Supplemental Oxygenation in Patients with COVID-19 Infection from Ambulatory Chest Radiographs using Deep Learning.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: The clinical prognosis of outpatients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains difficult to predict, with outcomes including asymptomatic, hospitalization, intubation, and death. Here we determined the prognostic value of an outpatient chest radiograph, together with an ensemble of deep learning algorithms predicting comorbidities and airspace disease to identify patients at a higher risk of hospitalization from COVID-19 infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study included outpatients with COVID-19 confirmed by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction testing who received an ambulatory chest radiography between March 17, 2020 and October 24, 2020. In this study, full admission was defined as hospitalization within 14 days of the COVID-19 test for > 2 days with supplemental oxygen. Univariate analysis and machine learning algorithms were used to evaluate the relationship between the deep learning model predictions and hospitalization for > 2 days. RESULTS: The study included 413 patients, 222 men (54%), with a median age of 51 years (interquartile range, 39-62 years). Fifty-one patients (12.3%) required full admission. A boosted decision tree model produced the best prediction. Variables included patient age, frontal chest radiograph predictions of morbid obesity, congestive heart failure and cardiac arrhythmias, and radiographic opacity, with an internally validated area under the curve (AUC) of 0.837 (95% CI: 0.791-0.883) on a test cohort. CONCLUSION: Deep learning analysis of single frontal chest radiographs was used to generate combined comorbidity and pneumonia scores that predict the need for supplemental oxygen and hospitalization for > 2 days in patients with COVID-19 infection with an AUC of 0.837 (95% confidence interval: 0.791-0.883). Comorbidity scoring may prove useful in other clinical scenarios.