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1.
J Am Coll Emerg Physicians Open ; 5(3): e13186, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38766594

RESUMO

Objectives: For successful Naloxone Leave Behind (NLB) programs, Emergency Medical Services (EMS) must identify patients at-risk for opioid overdose. We describe the first year of Vermont's NLB program and report rates of EMS documentation of at-risk patients with subsequent distribution of NLB kits in the subgroup of those refusing transport to an emergency department (ED). Methods: This retrospective cohort review of all EMS encounters over 1 year compared on-scene EMS documented to retrospective chart reviewidentified at-risk patients eligible for NLB kit dispersal. EMS was educated to identify at-risk patients through statewide mandatory training modules. At-risk patients were identified by electronic chart review using the same training criteria. As per protocol, patients identified as at-risk by EMS who refuse ED transport are eligible for NLB. NLB-appropriate patients by retrospective chart review without NLB protocol use documentation by EMS were considered "missed." Results: Of 110,701 EMS encounters, 2507 (2.4%) were at-risk by chart review. Among these, 793 refused transport to an ED. In this chart-review at-risk non-transported group, EMS documented 407 (51.3%) patients as at-risk by documenting use of the NLB protocol. Of these 407, EMS provided 141 (34.6%) with NLB kits. Fifteen (3.7%) patients refused kits. There were 386 (48.7%) potentially "missed" opportunities for NLB dispersal. Conclusion: EMS documented 51.3% of patients eligible for NLB dispersal, with 34.6% receiving kits. There was no documentation for 48.7% of chart-review at-risk patients, suggesting "missed" distribution opportunities. This study highlights the need for improved EMS identification of at-risk patients, EMS documentation adherence, and NLB kit provision.

2.
World Neurosurg ; 2024 Apr 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38588790

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Studies have demonstrated increased risk of adjacent segment disease (ASD) after open fusion with adjacent-level laminectomy, with rates ranging from 16%-47%, potentially related to disruption of the posterior ligamentous complex. Minimally invasive surgical (MIS) approaches may offer a more durable result. We report institutional outcomes of simultaneous MIS transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (MISTLIF) and adjacent-level laminectomy for patients with low grade spondylolisthesis and ASD. METHODS: Retrospective analysis was performed on patients who underwent MISTLIF with adjacent level laminectomy to treat grade I-II spondylolisthesis with adjacent stenosis at a single institution from 2007-2022. RESULTS: A total of 34 patients met criteria, with mean follow-up of 23.1 months. In total, 37 levels were fused and 45 laminectomies performed. In this group, 21 patients received a single level laminectomy and single-level MISTLIF, 10 patients received a 2-level laminectomy and single-level MISTLIF, 2 patients received a single-level laminectomy and 2-level MISTLIF, and 1 patient received a 2-level laminectomy and 2-level MISTLIF. Three (8.8%) patients experienced clinically significant postoperative ASD requiring reoperation. Three other patients required reoperation for other reasons. Multiple logistic regression did not reveal any association between development of ASD and surgical covariates. CONCLUSION: MISTLIF with adjacent-level laminectomy demonstrated a favorable safety profile with rates of postoperative ASD lower than published rates after open fusion and on par with the published rates of ASD from MISTLIF alone. Future prospective studies may better elucidate the durability of adjacent-level laminectomies when performed alongside MISTLIF, but retrospective data suggests it is safe and durable.

3.
J Neurosurg Sci ; 68(1): 117-127, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36779774

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: We sought to evaluate a potential association between contact vs. non-contact sport participation and long-term neurologic outcomes and chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE). EVIDENCE ACQUISITION: PubMed/Embase/PsycINFO/CINAHL databases were queried for studies between 1950-2020 with contact and non-contact sports, longitudinal assessment >10 years, and long-term neurologic outcomes in four-domains: I) clinical diagnosis; II) CTE neuropathology; III) neurocognition; and IV) neuroimaging. EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS: Of 2561 studies, 37 met inclusion criteria, and 19 contained homogenous outcomes usable in the meta-analysis. Domain I: Across six studies, no significant relationship was seen between contact sport participation and antemortem diagnosis of neurodegenerative disease or death related to such a diagnosis (RR1.88, P=0.054, 95%CI0.99, 3.49); however, marginal significance (P<0.10) was obtained. Domain II: Across three autopsy studies, no significant relationship was seen between contact sport participation and CTE neuropathology (RR42.39, P=0.086, 95%CI0.59, 3057.46); however, marginal significance (P<0.10) was obtained. Domain III: Across five cognitive studies, no significant relationship was seen between contact sport participation and cognitive function on the Trail Making Test (TMT) scores A/B (A:d=0.17, P=0.275,95% CI-0.13, 0.47; B:d=0.13, P=0.310, 95%CI-0.12, 0.38). Domain IV: In 10 brain imaging-based studies, 32% comparisons showed significant differences between those with a history of contact sport vs. those without. CONCLUSIONS: No statistically significant increased risk of neurodegenerative diagnosis, CTE neuropathology, or neurocognitive changes was found to be associated with contact sport participation, yet marginal significance was obtained in two domains. A minority of imaging comparisons showed differences of uncertain clinical significance. These results highlight the need for longitudinal investigations using standardized contact sport participation and neurodegenerative criteria.


Assuntos
Traumatismos em Atletas , Encefalopatia Traumática Crônica , Doenças Neurodegenerativas , Humanos , Encefalopatia Traumática Crônica/diagnóstico , Encefalopatia Traumática Crônica/etiologia , Encefalopatia Traumática Crônica/patologia , Doenças Neurodegenerativas/complicações , Doenças Neurodegenerativas/patologia , Traumatismos em Atletas/complicações , Traumatismos em Atletas/patologia , Encéfalo/patologia , Cognição
4.
Hastings Cent Rep ; 53 Suppl 2: S86-S90, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37963052

RESUMO

Prior research has documented how important it is to patients to be able to trust their physicians. In this essay, we introduce physician perspectives on the importance of earning patients' trust. We conducted twelve semistructured interviews in late 2022, eleven with physicians and one with a patient-experience expert. Physicians described earning patients' trust as crucial for working effectively with patients, with several saying that it was as important as having medical knowledge. Physicians also expressed that feeling a patient trusting them is professionally rewarding and fulfilling. To build trust with patients, physicians reported, they make the medical interaction all about the patient, express their belief in their patients, share their personal experiences, and use other strategies identified in previous literature: communicating effectively, being compassionate, and demonstrating competence. Physicians also reported experiencing challenges in building trust with patients, most often because of patients' lack of trust in other levels of the health care system and because of having inadequate time to spend with patients. Additionally, Black and Brown physicians described how patients' bias often blocks trust.


Assuntos
Médicos , Confiança , Humanos , Relações Médico-Paciente , Emoções , Comunicação
6.
J Neurosurg Case Lessons ; 5(16)2023 Apr 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37070682

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Tectal region tumors often clinically present as obstructive hydrocephalus due to mass effect on the outflow of the third ventricle and cerebral aqueduct. Pathology in this region varies; thus, biopsy can be of great value in the management decision making. Appropriate instrumentation remains an area of interest to further advance flexible neuroendoscopic techniques and applications. OBSERVATIONS: The authors report an illustrative case using flexible neuroendoscopy through a single burr hole for simultaneous endoscopic third ventriculostomy (ETV) and tectal tumor biopsy using urological cup forceps in a 13-year-old boy who had presented with obstructive hydrocephalus. LESSONS: The authors demonstrate the feasibility of simultaneous ETV and tectal lesion biopsy via flexible neuroendoscopy to address obstructive hydrocephalus and obtain a tissue biopsy in a single-site procedure. They found that the use of flexible cup forceps designed for uroscopy is an important complement to flexible neuroendoscopy. Given the evolving applications of flexible neuroendoscopy, this has implications for instrumentation adaptation and future design.

7.
Med Decis Making ; 43(3): 311-324, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36597349

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Identification and triage of severely injured patients to trauma centers is paramount to survival. Many patients are undertriaged in rural areas and do not receive proper care. The decision-making processes involved in triage are not well understood and should be assessed to improve the triage process and outcomes. METHODS: Triage decision-making processes were explored through emergency medical services (EMS) practitioner focus groups and a discrete choice experiment (DCE). Attributes of trauma determined from focus groups and the literature included patient demography, injury mechanism, and trauma center distance. DCE data were analyzed using mixed logit models. RESULTS: High-risk mechanism, decreased age, multiple comorbidities, and pregnancy were found to increase the preference for triage. Greater trauma center distance was found to decrease preference for triage, but practitioners were willing to trade off up to 2 h of travel time to transport a third-trimester pregnancy and 48 min of travel time to transport a 25-y-old than they would a 50-y-old with the same comorbidities, injuries, and stability. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that current forms of EMS protocols may not be appropriately tailored to support the mechanisms underlying practitioner decision making. Public health professionals and researchers should consider using DCEs to better understand EMS practitioner decision making and identify structures and incentives that may improve patient outcomes and optimally guide appropriate triage decisions. HIGHLIGHTS: Discrete choice experiments are an effective method to elicit prehospital practitioners' preferences around transport of the traumatized patient.Practitioner biases observed in EMS transport data are recovered in stated preference models incorporating individual preference heterogeneity.There is a discrepancy between the triage priorities recommended by protocol and those measured from prehospital practitioners' decisions-this may have implications in over- and undertriage rates and prehospital protocol design.


Assuntos
Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Ferimentos e Lesões , Humanos , Triagem/métodos , Grupos Focais , Centros de Traumatologia , Veículos Automotores , Ferimentos e Lesões/terapia , Estudos Retrospectivos
8.
Healthc (Amst) ; 11(1): 100675, 2023 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36693301

RESUMO

We believe these recommendations constitute "minimum requirements" for health care organizations to move toward greater health equity. As health systems, standards-setting organizations, national and private purchaser organizations, and thought leaders, we represent organizations in the health care ecosystem that can both advise on strategies for adopting the recommendations and have the power and leverage to cause their implementation. We commit individually and collectively to use our leverage to propel their implementation at our own institutions and across the county. We very much hope others will join us.


Assuntos
Equidade em Saúde , Humanos , Confiança , Ecossistema , Atenção à Saúde , Organizações
9.
Clin Pediatr (Phila) ; 62(2): 121-131, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35883273

RESUMO

Limited evidence exists concerning how a diagnosis of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder and/or learning disabilities (ADHD/LD) modifies recovery and behavior following sport-related concussion (SRC). To understand how ADHD/LD modifies the post-SRC experience, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of concussed young athletes through phone interviews with patients and guardians. Outcomes included time until symptom resolution (SR) and return-to-learn (RTL), plus subjective changes in post-SRC activity and sports behavior. Multivariate Cox and logistic regression was performed, adjusting for biopsychosocial characteristics. The ADHD/LD diagnosis was independently associated with worse outcomes, including lower likelihood to achieve SR (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI] = [0.41-0.94]; P = .02) and RTL (HR = 0.55, 95% CI = [0.36-0.83]; P < .01) at any time following injury, and increased odds of changing sport behavior after concussion (odds ratio [OR] = 3.26, 95% CI = [1.26-8.42], P = .02), often to a safer style of play (62.5% vs 39.6%; P = .02) or retiring from the sport (37.5% vs 18.5%; P = .02). These results provide further evidence of the unique needs for athletes with ADHD/LD following SRC.


Assuntos
Traumatismos em Atletas , Transtorno do Deficit de Atenção com Hiperatividade , Concussão Encefálica , Deficiências da Aprendizagem , Humanos , Transtorno do Deficit de Atenção com Hiperatividade/complicações , Traumatismos em Atletas/diagnóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Testes Neuropsicológicos , Concussão Encefálica/diagnóstico , Concussão Encefálica/complicações , Deficiências da Aprendizagem/complicações , Atletas
10.
J Neurosurg Case Lessons ; 3(26): CASE22107, 2022 Jun 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35855208

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multimodal monitoring to guide medical intervention in high-grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is well described. Multimodal monitoring to guide surgical intervention in high-grade aSAH has been less studied. OBSERVATIONS: Intracranial pressure (ICP), brain lactate to pyruvate ratio (L/P ratio), and brain parenchymal oxygen tension (pO2) were used as surrogates for clinical status in a comatose man after high-grade aSAH. Acute changes in ICP, L/P ratio, and pO2 were used to identify brain injury from both malignant cerebral edema and delayed cerebral ischemia, respectively, and decompressive hemicraniectomy with clot evacuation and intraarterial nimodipine were used to treat these conditions. The patient showed marked improvement in multimodal parameters following each intervention and eventually recovered to a modified Rankin score of 2. LESSONS: In patients with a limited neurological examination due to severe acute brain injury in the setting of aSAH, multimodal monitoring can be used to guide surgical treatment. With prompt, aggressive, maximal medical and surgical interventions, otherwise healthy individuals may retain the capacity for close to full recovery from seemingly catastrophic aSAH.

13.
Am J Manag Care ; 27(12): 520-522, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34889575

RESUMO

Trust in American health care and in the people running medical institutions is in decline, which poses a threat to the physician-patient relationship. In response, the ABIM Foundation has established the Building Trust initiative, which includes the Trust Practices Network, advancing research in trust, leadership convening, and various communications vehicles. The Trust Practices Network includes hospitals and health systems, specialty societies, health plans, consumer organizations, employers, and others who are working to reaffirm and strengthen trust as a pillar in their own missions. Participants offer examples of how they have built trust, and their contributions have illuminated 4 dimensions of trust: competency, caring, communication, and comfort. This commentary discusses an exemplary practice for each of these dimensions and describes the "positive deviance" strategy that underlies the Trust Practices Network. It also offers an overview of the other elements of Building Trust, such as a grant program to promote trust as well as diversity, equity, and inclusion in internal medicine education, and an effort to spur additional research on trust.


Assuntos
Liderança , Confiança , Comunicação , Humanos , Medicina Interna , Relações Médico-Paciente
14.
J Am Coll Emerg Physicians Open ; 2(5): e12521, 2021 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34693397

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Epinephrine in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains controversial and understudied in rural emergency medical services (EMS) systems. We evaluated the effects of allowing advanced emergency medical technicians (AEMTs) to administer epinephrine during OHCA in a rural EMS system. METHODS: An interrupted time series study was conducted using statewide EMS electronic records. Patients with OHCA before (phase I) and after (phase II) a protocol change expanding the AEMT scope of practice to include epinephrine for OHCA were identified. Number and timing of initial epinephrine administration, return of spontaneous circulation, and 30-day survival rates were compared using descriptive statistics, logistic regression, regression discontinuity, and propensity score matching. RESULTS: A total of 1037 OHCAs met the inclusion criteria. In phase 1 compared with phase 2, 275 (56.12%) patients received epinephrine versus 624 (83.53%; P < 0.001). The mean time to first administration of epinephrine for unwitnessed and bystander-witnessed OHCA were 11.73 minutes versus 8.17 minutes (P < 0.001) and 11.59 minutes versus 8.85 minutes (P < 0.01), respectively. Unadjusted analysis showed a decrease in 30-day survival rates among patients receiving epinephrine from 18.01% to 12.66% (P < 0.05). Adjusted analysis showed an increase in 30-day survival with decreased time to first epinephrine dose(OR 0.960, 1.005; 95% confidence interval, 0.929, 0.992). CONCLUSION: Adding epinephrine for OHCA to the AEMT scope of practice was associated with an increased percentage of patients receiving epinephrine and decreased time to first administration of epinephrine for patients with unwitnessed OHCA. Unadjusted analysis showed a decrease in 30-day survival rates among patients receiving epinephrine. Adjusted analysis found that earlier administrationof epinephrine was associated with increased ROSC and 30-day survival.

15.
J Neurol Surg B Skull Base ; 82(5): 556-561, 2021 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34513562

RESUMO

Background Microvascular decompression (MVD) is a common surgical treatment for cranial nerve compression, though cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leak is a known complication of this procedure. Bone cement cranioplasty may reduce rates of CSF leak. Objective To compare rates of CSF leak before and after implementation of bone cement cranioplasty for the reconstruction of cranial defects after MVD. Methods Retrospective chart review was performed of patients who underwent MVD through retrosigmoid craniectomy for cranial nerve compression at a single institution from 1998 to 2017. Study variables included patient demographics, medical history, type of closure, and postoperative complications such as CSF leak, meningitis, lumbar drain placement, and ventriculoperitoneal shunt insertion. Cement and noncement closure groups were compared, and predictors of CSF leak were assessed using a multivariate logistic regression model. Results A total of 547 patients treated by 10 neurosurgeons were followed up for more than 20 years, of whom 288 (52.7%) received cement cranioplasty and 259 (47.3%) did not. Baseline comorbidities were not significantly different between groups. CSF leak rate was significantly lower in the cement group than in the noncement group (4.5 vs. 14.3%; p < 0.001). This was associated with significantly fewer patients developing postoperative meningitis (0.7 vs. 5.2%; p = 0.003). Multiple logistic regression model demonstrated noncement closure as the only independent predictor of CSF leak (odds ratio: 3.55; 95% CI: 1.78-7.06; p < 0.001). Conclusion CSF leak is a well-known complication after MVD. Bone cement cranioplasty significantly reduces the incidence of postoperative CSF leak and other complications. Modifiable risk factors such as body mass index were not associated with the development of CSF leak.

16.
Am J Emerg Med ; 50: 178-182, 2021 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34371326

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Field Assessment Stroke Triage for Emergency Destination (FAST-ED) is a simple and accurate prehospital stroke severity scale that has been shown to have comparable accuracy to the gold standard National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) but requires further field validation for use by emergency medical services (EMS), particularly in rural systems. FAST-ED scores ≥4 are considered high probability for large vessel occlusion (LVO) strokes, while scores <4 are low to moderate probability for LVO. The objective of this study was to assess inter-rater reliability of the EMS FAST-ED (EMS) score to the emergency department FAST-ED (ED-MD) scores. METHODS: EMS calculated FAST-ED scores prior to transport to the emergency department (ED) on patients with a positive prehospital stroke screen. EDMD calculated FAST-ED scores for the same patients upon arrival to the ED. Interrater reliability and test characteristics were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 95 patients were included in this study and 14 were subsequently diagnosed with an LVO. EMS assigned 34 patients (35.8%) a FAST-ED score of ≥4. EDMD assigned 25 patients (26.3%) a FAST-ED score of ≥4. Using the clinical cut-points of FAST-ED scores <4 and ≥ 4, a linearly weighted Cohen's kappa coefficient showed moderate interrater reliability when comparing EMS and EDMD scores (kw 0.44, 95% CI 0.25-0.63). At ≥4, EMS FAST-ED scores had a sensitivity 0.48, specificity 0.75, PPV 0.62, NPV 0.62 for predicting an LVO, while EDMD FAST-ED scores had a sensitivity 0.36, specificity 0.82, PPV 0.64, NPV 0.60. Comparable receiver operator curve area under the curve values were obtained. CONCLUSIONS: EMS and EDMD FAST-ED scores were moderately comparable in a rural EMS system. Similar NPVs compared to EDMD suggest the use of FAST-ED as an appropriate screening tool for EMS to predict the probability of LVO in the prehospital setting and make destination determinations regarding primary transport to a thrombectomy-capable stroke center.


Assuntos
Serviços Médicos de Emergência/organização & administração , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Triagem/métodos , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , População Rural , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Vermont
17.
Brain Struct Funct ; 226(8): 2481-2487, 2021 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34254165

RESUMO

The interthalamic adhesion (IA) is a midline structure connecting the two thalami. Though it has been studied for centuries its exact function remains elusive. Early studies had noted its peculiar absence even among some healthy individuals. Population studies have investigated the differences in prevalence of IA in pathologic conditions and healthy controls. However, there is a general lack of consensus on IA prevalence in the healthy population. Understanding the true prevalence is critical in providing context for future studies, as well as uncovering further clues regarding IA's function. We systematically reviewed the existing literature to evaluate the prevalence of IA. The average prevalence among reviewed studies was higher than previously reported, at 87.3%. Studies utilizing magnetic resonance imaging rather than cadaveric specimens reported higher rates of IA prevalence. A higher prevalence among females was noted throughout the literature that persisted regardless of acquisition modality utilized.


Assuntos
Encéfalo , Tálamo , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagem , Feminino , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Prevalência , Tálamo/diagnóstico por imagem
18.
Int J Drug Policy ; 97: 103306, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34107447

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: United States (US) policies to mitigate the opioid epidemic focus on reducing access to prescription opioids to prevent overdoses. We examined the impact of state policies in Vermont (July 2017) and Maine (July 2016) on opioid overdoses and opioid-related adverse effects. METHODS: Study population included patients 15 years and older in all-payer claims of Vermont (N = 597,683; Jan.2016-Dec.2018) and Maine (N = 1,370,960; Oct.2015-Dec.2017). We used interrupted time series analyses to assess the impact of opioid prescribing policies on monthly opioid overdose rate and opioid-related adverse effects rate. We used the International Classification of Disease-10-CM to identify overdoses (T40.0 × 1-T40.4 × 4, T40.601-T40.604, T40.691-T40.694) and adverse effects (T40.0 × 5, T40.2 × 5-T40.4 × 5, T40.605, T40.695). RESULTS: Immediately after the policy, the level of Vermont's opioid overdose rate increased by 34% (95% confidence interval, CI: 1.09, 1.65) while the level of opioid-related adverse effects rate decreased by 29% (95% CI: 0.58, 0.87). In Maine, there was no level change in opioid overdose rate, but the slope of the adverse effects rate after the policy decreased by 3.5% (95% CI: 0.94, 0.99). These results varied within age and rurality subgroups in both states. CONCLUSION: While the decrease in rate of adverse effects following the policy changes is promising, the increase in Vermont's opioid overdose rate may suggest there is an association between policy implementation and short-term risk to public health.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides , Overdose de Opiáceos , Analgésicos Opioides/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Políticas , Padrões de Prática Médica , Prescrições , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
19.
J Neurosurg ; 135(5): 1560-1568, 2021 Mar 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33690151

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Gunshot wounds to the head (GSWH) are devastating injuries with a grim prognosis. Several prognostic scores have been created to estimate mortality and functional outcome, including the so-called Baylor score, an uncomplicated scoring method based on bullet trajectory, patient age, and neurological status on admission. This study aimed to validate the Baylor score within a temporally, institutionally, and geographically distinct patient population. METHODS: Data were obtained from the trauma registry at a level I trauma center in the southeastern US. Patients with a GSWH in which dural penetration occurred were identified from data collected between January 1, 2009, and June 30, 2019. Patient demographics, medical history, bullet trajectory, intent of GSWH (e.g., suicide), admission vital signs, Glasgow Coma Scale score, pupillary response, laboratory studies, and imaging reports were collected. The Baylor score was calculated directly by using its clinical components. The ability of the Baylor score to predict mortality and good functional outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale score 4 or 5) was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under the curve (AUC) as a measure of performance. RESULTS: A total of 297 patients met inclusion criteria (mean age 38.0 [SD 15.7] years, 73.4% White, 85.2% male). A total of 205 (69.0%) patients died, whereas 69 (23.2%) patients had good functional outcome. Overall, the Baylor score showed excellent discrimination of mortality (AUC = 0.88) and good functional outcome (AUC = 0.90). Baylor scores of 3-5 underestimated mortality. Baylor scores of 0, 1, and 2 underestimated good functional outcome. CONCLUSIONS: The Baylor score is an accurate and easy-to-use prognostic scoring tool that demonstrated relatively stable performance in a distinct cohort between 2009 and 2019. In the current era of trauma management, providers may continue to use the score at the point of admission to guide family counseling and to direct investment of healthcare resources.

20.
J Neurosurg ; 135(5): 1550-1559, 2021 Mar 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33690152

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Several scores estimate the prognosis for gunshot wounds to the head (GSWH) at the point of hospital admission. However, prognosis may change over the course of the hospital stay. This study measures the accuracy of the Baylor score among patients who have already survived the acute phase of hospitalization and generates conditional outcome curves for the duration of hospital stay for patients with GSWH. METHODS: Patients in whom GSWH with dural penetration occurred between January 2009 and June 2019 were identified from a trauma registry at a level I trauma center in the southeastern US. The Baylor score was calculated using component variables. Conditional overall survival and good functional outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale score of 4 or 5) curves were generated. The accuracy of the Baylor score in predicting mortality and functional outcome among acute-phase survivors (survival > 48 hours) was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curves and the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: A total of 297 patients were included (mean age 38.0 [SD 15.7] years, 73.4% White, 85.2% male), and 129 patients survived the initial 48 hours of admission. These acute-phase survivors had a decreased mortality rate of 32.6% (n = 42) compared to 68.4% (n = 203) for all patients, and an increased rate of good functional outcome (48.1%; n = 62) compared to the rate for all patients (23.2%; n = 69). Among acute-phase survivors, the Baylor score accurately predicted mortality (AUC = 0.807) and functional outcome (AUC = 0.837). However, the Baylor score generally overestimated true mortality rates and underestimated good functional outcome. Additionally, hospital day 18 represented an inflection point of decreasing probability of good functional outcome. CONCLUSIONS: During admission for GSWH, surviving beyond the acute phase of 48 hours doubles the rates of survival and good functional outcome. The Baylor score maintains reasonable accuracy in predicting these outcomes for acute-phase survivors, but generally overestimates mortality and underestimates good functional outcome. Future prognostic models should incorporate conditional survival to improve the accuracy of prognostication after the acute phase.

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