NYUS.2: an automated machine learning prediction model for the large-scale real-time simulation of grapevine freezing tolerance in North America.

Accurate and real-time monitoring of grapevine freezing tolerance is crucial for the sustainability of the grape industry in cool climate viticultural regions. However, on-site data are limited due to the complexity of measurement. Current prediction models underperform under diverse climate conditions, which limits the large-scale deployment of these methods. We combined grapevine freezing tolerance data from multiple regions in North America and generated a predictive model based on hourly temperature-derived features and cultivar features using AutoGluon, an automated machine learning engine. Feature importance was quantified by AutoGluon and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) value. The final model was evaluated and compared with previous models for its performance under different climate conditions. The final model achieved an overall 1.36°C root-mean-square error during model testing and outperformed two previous models using three test cultivars at all testing regions. Two feature importance quantification methods identified five shared essential features. Detailed analysis of the features indicates that the model has adequately extracted some biological mechanisms during training. The final model, named NYUS.2, was deployed along with two previous models as an R shiny-based application in the 2022-23 dormancy season, enabling large-scale and real-time simulation of grapevine freezing tolerance in North America for the first time.

First trimester screening identifies maternal cardiac maladaptation at mid-gestation.

BACKGROUND: First, a logistic regression model, based on maternal demographic characteristics and medical history and blood pressure at 11-13 weeks' gestation, can identify about 70% of women who develop future chronic hypertension (CH) in the three years following pregnancy, at screen positive rate of 10%. Second, at mid-gestation women who subsequently develop hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) have increased peripheral vascular resistance and mild cardiac functional and morphological alterations and these cardiovascular abnormalities persist for at least 2 years after delivery. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the use of the first-trimester risk for subsequent development of CH can help to identify women at high risk for cardiovascular maladaptation at mid-gestation. METHODS: Prospective observational study in 3812 women with singleton pregnancies women attending for a routine hospital visit at 11+0 to 13+6 weeks' gestation and again at 19+1 to 23+3 weeks at King's College Hospital, London, UK between August 2019 and August 2020. The first-trimester visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history and measurement of systolic and diastolic blood pressure. At mid-gestation detailed maternal cardiovascular assessment was carried out. The association of risk for development of CH, determined from first-trimester assessment, and cardiovascular indices at mid-gestation was examined. RESULTS: Women who are at high-risk for development of future CH, compared to those at low-risk, had a higher incidence of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP). In addition, high-risk women, had reduced systolic and diastolic function at mid-gestation. Among women with HDP, those who were high-risk for future CH, compared to those at low-risk, also had worse cardiac function at mid-gestation. CONCLUSION: Use of a model for first-trimester prediction of subsequent development of CH can identify women who show evidence of cardiac maladaptation at mid-gestation. Further studies are needed to clarify whether women who screen as high-risk for future CH, compared to those at low-risk, have reduced cardiac function beyond pregnancy. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Improving the integrity and reproducibility of research that uses antibodies: a technical, data sharing, behavioral and policy challenge.

Antibodies are one of the most important reagents used in biomedical and fundamental research, used to identify, and quantify proteins, contribute to knowledge of disease mechanisms, and validate drug targets. Yet many antibodies used in research do not recognize their intended target, or recognize additional molecules, compromising the integrity of research findings and leading to waste of resources, lack of reproducibility, failure of research projects, and delays in drug development. Researchers frequently use antibodies without confirming that they perform as intended in their application of interest. Here we argue that the determinants of end-user antibody choice and use are critical, and under-addressed, behavioral drivers of this problem. This interacts with the batch-to-batch variability of these biological reagents, and the paucity of available characterization data for most antibodies, making it more difficult for researchers to choose high quality reagents and perform necessary validation experiments. The open-science company YCharOS works with major antibody manufacturers and knockout cell line producers to characterize antibodies, identifying high-performing renewable antibodies for many targets in neuroscience. This shows the progress that can be made by stakeholders working together. However, their work so far applies to only a tiny fraction of available antibodies. Where characterization data exists, end-users need help to find and use it appropriately. While progress has been made in the context of technical solutions and antibody characterization, we argue that initiatives to make best practice behaviors by researchers more feasible, easy, and rewarding are needed. Global cooperation and coordination between multiple partners and stakeholders will be crucial to address the technical, policy, behavioral, and open data sharing challenges. We offer potential solutions by describing our Only Good Antibodies initiative, a community of researchers and partner organizations working toward the necessary change. We conclude with an open invitation for stakeholders, including researchers, to join our cause.

Development and validation of a questionnaire to assess owner and canine quality-of-life and treatment satisfaction in canine allergic dermatitis.

BACKGROUND: Animal and owner quality-of-life (QoL) is pivotal in treatment decisions. Accurate measurement of owner-reported QoL and treatment satisfaction (TS) supports disease burden and treatment benefit evaluation. OBJECTIVES: Develop and evaluate an owner-completed canine dermatitis QoL and TS questionnaire (CDQoL-TSQ) in allergic dogs. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The CDQoL-TSQ was drafted following review of existing measures and expert input. Content validity was assessed through interviews with owners of allergic dogs. Psychometric properties of the QoL domains (Canine QoL, Owner QoL) were evaluated. Score interpretation was derived. RESULTS: Twenty dog owners were interviewed. Item wording was amended following the first 10 interviews. Data from 211 owners were used in the psychometric evaluation. The Canine QoL domain demonstrated strong internal consistency (α = 0.89), test-retest reliability (ICC2,1 = 0.844), moderate convergent validity (r = 0.41) and moderate-high known-groups validity (effect size 0.37-0.64). The Owner QoL domain demonstrated strong internal consistency (α = 0.73), high convergent validity (r = 0.63) and moderate-high known-groups validity (0.43-0.63). Test-retest reliability approached moderate strength (ICC2,1 = 0.490). Group-level interpretation analysis showed minimal important difference of 7.0-13.6 points for dogs and 13.0-13.6 for owners. For individual dogs a change of 6.3 or 12.5 points for dogs, and 12.5 or 18.8 for owners indicates a response. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: The CDQOL-TSQ is a two-part assessment to evaluate QoL and TS in canine allergic dermatitis. The QoL questionnaire demonstrated validity and reliability, and interpretation of scores was derived, making it suitable for use in research and practice. The TS module is suitable for clinical setting use to improve owner-veterinarian communication.

Comparison of different methods of screening for preterm pre-eclampsia: cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the predictive performance for pre-eclampsia (PE) of three different first-trimester mathematical models of screening, which combine maternal risk factors with mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and serum placental growth factor (PlGF), and two risk scoring systems, based on NICE and ACOG recommendations. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study performed in eight fetal-medicine units in five different regions of Spain between September 2017 and December 2019. All pregnant women with singleton pregnancies and non-malformed live fetuses attending their routine ultrasound examination at 11+0 to 13+6 weeks' gestation were invited to participate in the study. Maternal characteristics and medical history were recorded and measurements of MAP, UtA-PI, serum PlGF and pregnancy associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) were converted into multiples of the median (MoM). Risks for term, preterm-PE (< 37 weeks' gestation) and early-PE (< 34 weeks' gestation) were calculated according to the FMF competing risks model, the Crovetto et al., logistic regression model, and Serra et al., Gaussian model. Patient classification based on NICE and ACOG guidelines was also performed. We estimated detection rates (DR) with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) at a fixed 10% screen positive rate (SPR), as well as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for preterm-PE, early-PE, and all PE for the three mathematical models. For the scoring systems, we calculated DR and SPR. Risk calibration was also assessed. RESULTS: The study population comprised of 10,110 singleton pregnancies, including 32 (0.3%) that developed early-PE, 72 (0.7%) that developed preterm-PE and 230 (2.3%) of any PE. At fixed 10% SPR, the FMF, Crovetto et al., and Serra et al., detected 82.7% (95% CI, 69.6 to 95.8%), 73.8% (95% CI, 58.7 to 88.9%), and 79.8% (95% CI, 66.1 to 93.5%) of early-PE; 72.7% (95% CI, 62.9 to 82.6%), 69.2% (95% CI, 58.8 to 79.6%), and 74.1% (95% CI, 64.2 to 83.9%) of preterm-PE and 55.1% (95% CI, 48.8 to 61.4%), 47.1% (95% CI, 40.6 to 53.5%), and 53.9% (95% CI, 47.4 to 60.4%) of all PE, respectively. The best correlation between predicted and observed cases was achieved by the FMF model, with an AUROC of 0.911 (95% CI, 0.879 to 0.943), a slope of 0.983 (95% CI, 0.846-1.120) and an intercept of 0.154 (95% CI, -0.091 to 0.397). The NICE criteria identified 46.7% (95% CI, 35.3 to 58.0%) of preterm-PE at 11% SPR and ACOG criteria identified 65.9% (95% CI, 55.4 to 76.4%) of preterm-PE at 33.8% SPR. CONCLUSIONS: The best performance of screening for preterm-PE is achieved by mathematical models that combine maternal factors with MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF, as compared to risk-scoring systems like NICE or ACOG criteria. While all three algorithms show similar results in terms of overall prediction, the FMF model showed the best performance at the individual level. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Fungal Endophytes: Discovering What Lies within Some of Canada's Oldest and Most Resilient Grapevines.

Plant diseases and pests reduce crop yields, accounting for global crop losses of 30% to 50%. In conventional agricultural production systems, these losses are typically controlled by applying chemical pesticides. However, public pressure is mounting to curtail agrochemical use. In this context, employing beneficial endophytic microorganisms is an increasingly attractive alternative to the use of conventional chemical pesticides in agriculture. A multitude of fungal endophytes are naturally present in plants, producing enzymes, small peptides, and secondary metabolites due to their bioactivity, which can protect hosts from pathogens, pests, and abiotic stresses. The use of beneficial endophytic microorganisms in agriculture is an increasingly attractive alternative to conventional pesticides. The aim of this study was to characterize fungal endophytes isolated from apparently healthy, feral wine grapes in eastern Canada that have grown without agrochemical inputs for decades. Host plants ranged from unknown seedlings to long-lost cultivars not widely propagated since the 1800s. HPLC-MS was used to identify unique endophyte-derived chemical compounds in the host plants, while dual-culture competition assays showed a range in endophytes' ability to suppress the mycelial growth of Botrytis, which is typically controlled in viticulture with pesticides. Twelve of the most promising fungal endophytes isolated were identified using multilocus sequencing and morphology, while DNA barcoding was employed to identify some of their host vines. These fungal endophyte isolates, which consisted of both known and putative novel strains, belonged to seven genera in six families and five orders of Ascomycota. Exploring the fungal endophytes in these specimens may yield clues to the vines' survival and lead to the discovery of novel biocontrol agents.

Atmospheric drying and soil drying: Differential effects on grass community composition.

Global surface temperatures are projected to increase in the future; this will modify regional precipitation regimes and increase global atmospheric drying. Despite many drought studies examining the consequences of reduced precipitation, there are few experimental studies exploring plant responses to atmospheric drying via relative humidity and vapor pressure deficit (VPD). We examined eight native California perennial grass species grown in pots in a greenhouse in Los Angeles, California for 34 weeks. All pots were well-watered for 21 weeks, at which point we reduced watering to zero and recorded daily growth and dormancy for 3 weeks. We used this information to better understand the drought tolerance of our species in a larger soil drying × atmospheric drying experiment. In this larger experiment, we grew all eight species together in outdoor mesocosms and measured changes in community composition after 4 years of growth. Soil drying in our small pot experiment mirrored compositional shifts in the larger experiment. Namely, our most drought-tolerant species in our pot experiment was Poa secunda, due to a summer dormancy strategy. Similarly, the grass community shifted toward P. secunda in the driest soils as P. secunda was mostly unaffected by either soil drying or atmospheric drying. We found that some species responded strongly to soil drying (Elymus glaucus, Festuca idahoensis, and Hordeum b. californicum), while others responded strongly to atmospheric drying (Bromus carinatus and Stipa cernua). As result, community composition shifted in different and interacting ways in response to soil drying, atmospheric drying, and their combination. Further study of community responses to increasing atmospheric aridity is an essential next step to predicting the future consequences of climate change.

Ophthalmic artery Doppler at 36 weeks' gestation in prediction of pre-eclampsia: validation and update of previous model.

OBJECTIVE: To validate and extend a model incorporating maternal ophthalmic artery Doppler at 35-37 weeks' gestation in the prediction of subsequent development of pre-eclampsia (PE). METHODS: This was a prospective validation study of screening for PE (defined according to the 2019 American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists criteria) by maternal ophthalmic artery peak systolic velocity (PSV) ratio in 6746 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine care at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation (validation dataset). Additionally, the data from the validation dataset were combined with those of 2287 pregnancies that were previously used for development of the model (training dataset), and the combined data were used to update the original model parameters. The competing-risks model was used to estimate the individual patient-specific risk of delivery with PE at any time and within 3 weeks from assessment by a combination of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history with PSV ratio alone and in combination with the established PE biomarkers of mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1). We evaluated the predictive performance of the model by examining, first, the ability to discriminate between the PE and non-PE groups using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve and the detection rate (DR) at fixed screen-positive (SPR) and false-positive rates of 10% and, second, calibration by measuring the calibration slope and calibration-in-the-large. McNemar's test was used to compare the performance of screening by a biophysical test (maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PSV ratio) vs a biochemical test (maternal factors, PlGF and sFlt-1), low PlGF concentration (< 10th percentile) or high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio (> 90th percentile). RESULTS: In the validation dataset, the performance of screening by maternal factors and PSV ratio for delivery with PE within 3 weeks and at any time after assessment was consistent with that in the training dataset, and there was good agreement between the predicted and observed incidence of PE. In the combined data from the training and validation datasets, good prediction for PE was achieved in screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF, sFlt-1 and PSV ratio, with a DR, at a 10% SPR, of 85.0% (95% CI, 76.5-91.4%) for delivery with PE within 3 weeks and 65.7% (95% CI, 59.2-71.7%) for delivery with PE at any time after assessment. The performance of a biophysical test was superior to that of screening by low PlGF concentration or high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio but not significantly different from the performance of a biochemical test combining maternal factors with PlGF and sFlt-1 for both PE within 3 weeks and PE at any time after assessment. CONCLUSION: Maternal ophthalmic artery PSV ratio at 35-37 weeks' gestation in combination with other biomarkers provides effective prediction of subsequent development of PE. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Incidence of neonatal morbidity in small-for-gestational-age twins based on singleton and twin charts.

OBJECTIVE: To compare morbidity, as measured by length of stay in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), in twin and singleton gestations classified as small-for-gestational age (SGA) according to estimated fetal weight < 10th percentile on twin or singleton growth charts. METHODS: NICU length of stay was compared in 1150 twins and 29 035 singletons that underwent ultrasound assessment between 35 + 0 and 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Estimated fetal weight was obtained from measurements of head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length using the Hadlock formula. Gestational age was derived from the first-trimester crown-rump length measurement, using the larger of the two twins. Singletons and twins were compared in terms of NICU admission rate and length of stay according to classification as SGA by the Fetal Medicine Foundation singleton and twin reference distributions. RESULTS: The overall proportions of twins and singletons admitted to NICU were similar (7.3% vs 7.4%), but twins tended to have longer lengths of stay in NICU (≥ 7 days: 2.4% vs 0.8%; relative risk (RR), 3.0 (95% CI, 1.6-4.4)). Using the singleton chart, a higher proportion of twins were classified as SGA compared with singletons (37.6% vs 7.0%). However, the proportion of SGA neonates entering NICU was similar (10.2% for twins and 10.1% for singletons) and the proportion of SGA neonates spending ≥ 7 days in NICU was substantially higher for twins compared with singletons (3.7% vs 1.4%; RR, 2.6 (95% CI, 1.4-4.7)). CONCLUSIONS: When singleton charts are used to define SGA in twins and in singletons, there is a greater degree of growth-related neonatal morbidity amongst SGA twins compared with SGA singletons. Consequently, singleton charts do not inappropriately overdiagnose fetal growth restriction in twins and they should be used for monitoring fetal growth in both twins and singletons. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Quadruplet pregnancy outcome with and without fetal reduction: Danish national cohort study (2008-2018) and comparison with dichorionic twins.

OBJECTIVES: To perform a nationwide study of quadrichorionic quadriamniotic (QCQA) quadruplet pregnancies and to compare the pregnancy outcome in those undergoing fetal reduction with non-reduced quadruplets and dichorionic diamniotic (DCDA) twin pregnancies from the same time period. METHODS: This was a retrospective Danish national register-based study performed using data from the national Danish Fetal Medicine Database, which included all QCQA quadruplets and all non-reduced DCDA twin pregnancies with an estimated due date between 2008 and 2018. The primary outcome measure was a composite of adverse pregnancy outcomes, including pregnancy loss or intrauterine death of one or more fetuses. Secondary outcomes included gestational age at delivery, the number of liveborn children, preterm delivery before 28, 32 and 37 gestational weeks and birth weight. Data on pregnancy complications and baseline characteristics were also recorded. Outcomes were compared between reduced and non-reduced quadruplet pregnancies, and between DCDA pregnancies and quadruplet pregnancies reduced to twins. A systematic literature search was performed to describe and compare previous results with our findings. RESULTS: Included in the study were 33 QCQA quadruplet pregnancies, including three (9.1%) non-reduced pregnancies, 28 (84.8%) that were reduced to twin pregnancy and fewer than three (6.1%) that were reduced to singleton pregnancy, as well as 9563 DCDA twin pregnancies. Overall, the rate of adverse pregnancy outcome was highest in non-reduced quadruplets (66.7%); it was 50% in quadruplets reduced to singletons and 10.7% in quadruplets reduced to twins. The proportion of liveborn infants overall was 91.1% of the total number expected to be liveborn in quadruplet pregnancies reduced to twins. This was statistically significantly different from 97.6% in non-reduced dichorionic twins (P = 0.004), and considerably higher than 58.3% in non-reduced quadruplets. The rates of preterm delivery < 28, < 32 and < 37 weeks were decreased in quadruplets reduced to twins compared with those in non-reduced quadruplet pregnancies. Quadruplets reduced to twins did not achieve equivalent pregnancy outcomes to those of DCDA twins. CONCLUSION: This national study of QCQA quadruplets has shown that multifetal pregnancy reduction improves pregnancy outcome, including a decreased rate of preterm delivery and higher proportion of liveborn children. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Screening for pre-eclampsia by maternal serum glycosylated fibronectin and angiogenic markers at 36 weeks' gestation.

OBJECTIVES: First, to examine the predictive performance of maternal serum glycosylated fibronectin (GlyFn) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in screening for delivery with pre-eclampsia (PE) and delivery with gestational hypertension (GH) at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, both within 3 weeks and at any time after the examination. Second, to compare the predictive performance for delivery with PE and delivery with GH of various combinations of biomarkers, including GlyFn, mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1). Third, to compare the predictive performance for delivery with PE and delivery with GH by serum PlGF concentration, sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio and the competing-risks model with different combinations of biomarkers as above. Fourth, to compare the predictive performance of screening at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks vs 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks for delivery with PE and delivery with GH at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation. METHODS: This was a case-control study in which maternal serum GlyFn was measured in stored samples from a non-intervention screening study in singleton pregnancies at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation using a point-of-care device. We used samples from women who delivered at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, including 100 who developed PE, 100 who developed GH and 600 controls who did not develop PE or GH. In all cases, MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1 were measured during the routine visit at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks. We used samples from patients that had been examined previously at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation. Levels of GlyFn were transformed to multiples of the expected median (MoM) values after adjusting for maternal demographic characteristics and elements from the medical history. Similarly, the measured values of MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1 were converted to MoM. The competing-risks model was used to combine the prior distribution of the gestational age at delivery with PE, obtained from maternal risk factors, with various combinations of biomarker MoM values to derive the patient-specific risks of delivery with PE. The performance of screening of different strategies was estimated by examining the detection rate (DR) at a 10% fixed false-positive rate (FPR) and McNemar's test was used to compare the DRs between the different methods of screening. RESULTS: The DR, at 10% FPR, of screening by the triple test (maternal risk factors plus MAP, PlGF and sFlt-1) was 83.7% (95% CI, 70.3-92.7%) for delivery with PE within 3 weeks of screening and 80.0% (95% CI, 70.8-87.3%) for delivery with PE at any time after screening, and this performance was not improved by the addition of GlyFn. The performance of screening by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP, PlGF and GlyFn was similar to that of the triple test, both for delivery with PE within 3 weeks and at any time after screening. The performance of screening by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP, UtA-PI and GlyFn was similar to that of the triple test, and they were both superior to screening by low PlGF concentration (PE within 3 weeks: DR, 65.3% (95% CI, 50.4-78.3%); PE at any time: DR, 56.0% (95% CI, 45.7-65.9%)) or high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio (PE within 3 weeks: DR, 73.5% (95% CI, 58.9-85.1%); PE at any time: DR, 63.0% (95% CI, 52.8-72.4%)). The predictive performance of screening at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for delivery with PE and delivery with GH at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was by far superior to screening at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks. CONCLUSION: GlyFn is a potentially useful biomarker in third-trimester screening for term PE and term GH, but the findings of this case-control study need to be validated by prospective screening studies. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Decoding 22q11.2: prenatal profiling and first-trimester risk assessment in Danish nationwide cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the distribution of nuchal translucency thickness (NT), free ß-human chorionic gonadotropin (ß-hCG) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) in pregnancies with a fetal 22q11.2 aberration. Furthermore, the performance of combined first-trimester screening (cFTS) and a new risk algorithm targeting 22q11.2 deletions in detecting affected pregnancies was evaluated. Finally, prenatal malformations and pregnancy outcome were assessed. METHODS: This was a nationwide registry-based cohort study of all pregnancies that underwent prenatal screening with a due date between January 2008 and December 2018 in Denmark. All cases with a fetal 22q11.2 deletion or duplication (hg19 chr22:18.9mio-25.0mio) diagnosed pre- or postnatally or following pregnancy loss or termination of pregnancy were retrieved from the Danish Cytogenetic Central Register and linked with pregnancy data from the Danish Fetal Medicine Database. Fetal and maternal characteristics, including cFTS results and pregnancy outcome, of pregnancies with any 22q11.2 deletion or duplication (LCR22-A to -H) and pregnancies with a classic deletion or duplication (LCR22-A to -D) diagnosed by chromosomal microarray were compared with those of a chromosomally normal reference group. A risk algorithm was developed for assessing patient-specific risks for classic 22q11.2 deletions based on NT, PAPP-A and ß-hCG. Detection rates and false-positive rates at different risk cut-offs were calculated. RESULTS: We included data on 143 pregnancies with a fetal 22q11.2 aberration, of which 97 were deletions (54 classic) and 46 were duplications (32 classic). NT was significantly increased in fetuses with a classic deletion (mean, 1.89 mm), those with any deletion (mean, 1.78 mm) and those with any duplication (mean, 1.86 mm) compared to the reference group (mean, 1.65 mm). ß-hCG multiples of the median (MoM) was decreased in all 22q11.2 subgroups compared with the reference group (mean, 1.02) and reached significance in pregnancies with a classic deletion and those with any deletion (mean, 0.77 and 0.71, respectively). PAPP-A MoM was significantly decreased in pregnancies with a classic duplication and those with any duplication (mean, 0.57 and 0.63, respectively), and was significantly increased in pregnancies with a classic deletion and those with any deletion (mean, 1.34 and 1.16, respectively), compared to reference pregnancies (mean, 1.01). The screen-positive rate by cFTS was significantly increased in pregnancies with a classic deletion (13.7%), any deletion (12.5%), a classic duplication (46.9%) or any duplication (37.8%) compared to the reference group (4.5%). A risk algorithm targeting classic 22q11.2 deletions more than doubled the prenatal detection rate of classic 22q11.2 deletions, but with a substantial increase in the false-positive rate. Structural malformations were detected in 41%, 35%, 17% and 25% of the pregnancies with a classic deletion, any deletion, classic duplication or any duplication, respectively. Pregnancy loss occurred in 40% of pregnancies with a classic deletion and 5% of those with a classic duplication diagnosed prenatally or following pregnancy loss. CONCLUSIONS: The distribution of cFTS markers in pregnancies with a classic 22q11.2 duplication resembles that of the common trisomies, with decreased levels of PAPP-A. However, classic 22q11.2 deletions are associated with increased levels of PAPP-A, which likely limits early prenatal detection using the current cFTS risk algorithm. The scope for improving early detection of classic 22q11.2 deletions using targeted risk algorithms based on NT, PAPP-A and ß-hCG is limited. This demonstrates the capability, but also the limitations, of cFTS markers in detecting atypical chromosomal anomalies, which is important knowledge when designing new prenatal screening programs. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Screening for pre-eclampsia with competing-risks model using placental growth factor measurement in blood samples collected before 11 weeks' gestation.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the distributional properties and assess the performance of placental growth factor (PlGF) measured in blood samples collected before 11 weeks' gestation in the prediction of pre-eclampsia (PE). METHODS: The study population consisted of pregnant women included in the Pre-eclampsia Screening in Denmark (PRESIDE) study with a PlGF measurement from the routine combined first-trimester screening (cFTS) blood sample collected at 8-14 weeks' gestation. PRESIDE was a prospective multicenter study investigating the predictive performance of the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) first-trimester screening algorithm for PE in a Danish population. In the current study, serum concentration of PlGF in the cFTS blood samples was analyzed in batches between January and June 2021. RESULTS: A total of 8386 pregnant women were included. The incidence of PE was 0.7% at < 37 weeks' gestation and 3.0% at ≥ 37 weeks. In blood samples collected at 10 weeks' gestation, PlGF multiples of the median (MoM) were significantly lower in pregnancies with preterm PE < 37 weeks compared to unaffected pregnancies. However, PlGF MoM did not differ significantly between pregnancies with PE and unaffected pregnancies in samples collected before 10 weeks' gestation. CONCLUSIONS: The gestational-age range for PlGF sampling may be expanded from 11-14 to 10-14 weeks when assessing the risk for PE using the FMF first-trimester screening model. There is little evidence to support the use of PlGF in blood samples collected before 10 weeks' gestation. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Ophthalmic artery Doppler and biomarkers of impaired placentation at 36 weeks' gestation in pregnancies with small fetuses.

OBJECTIVES: First, to compare ophthalmic artery peak systolic velocity (PSV) ratio and biomarkers of impaired placentation at 36 weeks' gestation in women who delivered a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) or growth-restricted (FGR) neonate, in the absence of hypertensive disorder, with those of women who developed pre-eclampsia (PE) or gestational hypertension (GH) and of women unaffected by SGA, FGR, PE or GH. Second, to examine the associations of PSV ratio, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), placental growth factor (PlGF) and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) with birth-weight Z-score or percentile. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study of women with a singleton pregnancy attending for a routine hospital visit at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. This visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, ultrasound examination of fetal anatomy and growth, and measurement of maternal ophthalmic artery PSV ratio, UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1. Values of PSV ratio, UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1 were converted to multiples of the median (MoM) or delta values. Median MoM or deltas of these biomarkers in the SGA, FGR, PE and GH groups were compared with those in the unaffected group. Regression analysis was used to examine the relationship of PSV ratio delta, UtA-PI MoM, PlGF MoM and sFlt-1 MoM with birth-weight Z-score, after exclusion of PE and GH cases. RESULTS: The study population of 9033 pregnancies included 7696 (85.2%) that were not affected by FGR, SGA, PE or GH, 182 (2.0%) complicated by FGR in the absence of PE or GH, 698 (7.7%) with SGA in the absence of FGR, PE or GH, 236 (2.6%) with PE and 221 (2.4%) with GH. Compared with unaffected pregnancies, in the FGR and SGA groups, the PSV ratio delta and sFlt-1 MoM were increased and PlGF MoM was decreased; UtA-PI MoM was increased in the FGR group but not the SGA group. The magnitude of the changes in biomarker values relative to the unaffected group was smaller in the FGR and SGA groups than that in the PE and GH groups. In non-hypertensive pregnancies, there were significant inverse associations of PSV ratio delta and UtA-PI MoM with birth-weight Z-score, such that the values were increased in small babies and decreased in large babies. There was a quadratic relationship between PlGF MoM and birth-weight Z-score, with low PlGF levels in small babies and high PlGF levels in large babies. There was no significant association between sFlt-1 MoM and birth-weight Z-score. CONCLUSIONS: Ophthalmic artery PSV ratio, reflective of peripheral vascular resistance, and UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1, biomarkers of impaired placentation, are altered in pregnancies complicated by hypertensive disorder and, to a lesser extent, in non-hypertensive pregnancies delivering a SGA or FGR neonate. The associations between the biomarkers and birth-weight Z-score suggest the presence of a continuous physiological relationship between fetal size and peripheral vascular resistance and placentation, rather than a dichotomous relationship of high peripheral resistance and impaired placentation in small compared to non-small fetuses. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Fetal Medicine Foundation charts for fetal growth in twins.

OBJECTIVE: To derive reference distributions of estimated fetal weight (EFW) in twins relative to singletons. METHODS: Gestational-age- and chorionicity-specific reference distributions for singleton percentiles and EFW were fitted to data on 4391 twin pregnancies with two liveborn fetuses from four European centers, including 3323 dichorionic (DC) and 1068 monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) twin pregnancies. Gestational age was derived using the larger of the two crown-rump length measurements obtained during the first trimester of pregnancy. EFW was obtained from ultrasound measurements of head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length using the Hadlock formula. Singleton percentiles were obtained using the Fetal Medicine Foundation population weight charts for singleton pregnancies. Hierarchical models were fitted to singleton Z-scores with autoregressive terms for serial correlations within the same fetus and between twins from the same pregnancy. Separate models were fitted for DC and MCDA twins. RESULTS: Fetuses from twin pregnancies tended to be smaller than singletons at the earliest gestational ages (16 weeks for MCDA and 20 weeks for DC twins). This was followed by a period of catch-up growth until around 24 weeks. After that, both DC and MCDA twins showed reduced growth. In DC twins, the EFW corresponding to the 50th percentile was at the 50th percentile of singleton pregnancies at 23 weeks, the 43rd percentile at 28 weeks, the 32nd percentile at 32 weeks and the 22nd percentile at 36 weeks. In MCDA twins, the EFW corresponding to the 50th percentile was at the 36th percentile of singleton pregnancies at 24 weeks, the 29th percentile at 28 weeks, the 19th percentile at 32 weeks and the 12th percentile at 36 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: In DC and, to a greater extent, MCDA twin pregnancies, fetal growth is reduced compared with that observed in singleton pregnancies. Furthermore, after 24 weeks, the divergence in growth trajectories between twin and singleton pregnancies becomes more pronounced as gestational age increases. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Atypicality index as an add-on to combined first-trimester screening for chromosomal aberrations.

OBJECTIVES: To compute a set of atypicality indices from combined first-trimester screening (cFTS) markers and second-trimester estimated fetal weight (EFW), and to demonstrate their potential in identifying pregnancies at either reduced or increased risks of chromosomal aberrations following a low-risk cFTS result. METHODS: The atypicality index quantifies the unusualness of an individual set of measurements relative to a reference distribution and can be computed from any variables or measurements available. A score of 0% on the atypicality index represents the most typical profiles, while a score of 100% indicates the highest level of atypicality. From the Danish Fetal Medicine Database, we retrieved data on all pregnant women seen for cFTS in Central Denmark Region between January 2008 and December 2018. All pregnancies with a cytogenetic or molecular analysis obtained prenatally, postnatally, or following pregnancy loss or termination of pregnancy were identified. A first-trimester atypicality index (AcFTS ) was computed from nuchal translucency (NT) thickness, maternal serum free ß-human chorionic gonadotropin (ß-hCG) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A). Further, a second trimester index (AcFTS+EFW ) was computed from cFTS markers and estimated fetal weight (EFW) estimated at a routine second-trimester anomaly scan. All pregnancies were stratified into subgroups based on their atypicality levels and their cFTS risk estimates. The risk of chromosomal aberrations in each subgroup was then compared with the overall prevalence, and a graphical presentation of multivariate measurement profiles was introduced. RESULTS: We retrieved data on 145,955 singleton pregnancies, of which 9824 (6.7%) were genetically examined. Overall, 1 in 122 of all pregnancies seen for cFTS (0.82% [95% CI 0.77-0.87%]) were affected by a fetal chromosomal aberration and in screen-negative pregnancies (cFTS T21 risk <1 in 100 and/or T18/13 risk <1 in 50), 0.41% [95% CI 0.38-0.44%] were affected. In screen-negative pregnancies with a typical first-trimester profile (AcFTS <80% ), the risk of chromosomal aberrations was significantly reduced (0.28%) compared to the overall risk. The risk of chromosomal aberrations increased with higher atypicality index to 0.49% (AcFTS [80-90%) ), 1.52% (AcFTS [90-99%) ), and 4.44% (AcFTS [>99%) ) and was significantly increased in the two most atypical subgroups. The same applied for the second trimester atypicality index (AcFTS+EFW ) with risks of chromosomal aberrations of 0.76% and 4.16% in the two most atypical subgroups (AcFTS+EFW [90-99%) and AcFTS+EFW >99% , respectively). CONCLUSIONS: As an add-on to cFTS, the atypicality index identifies women with typical measurement profiles which may act as reassurance, whereas atypical profiles may warrant specialist referral and further investigations. In pregnancies at low risk from cFTS but with a highly atypical distribution of NT, PAPP-A, and ß-hCG, the risk of a chromosomal aberration is substantially increased. The atypicality index optimizes the interpretation of pre-existing prenatal screening profiles and is not limited to cFTS markers or EFW. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Simulating atmospheric drought: Silica gel packets dehumidify mesocosm microclimates.

1. As global temperatures rise, droughts are becoming more frequent and severe. To predict how drought might affect plant communities, ecologists have traditionally designed experiments with controlled watering regimes and rainout shelters. Both treatments have proven effective for simulating soil drought. However, neither are designed to directly modify atmospheric drought. 2. Here, we detail the efficacy of a silica gel atmospheric drought treatment in outdoor mesocosms with and without a cooccurring soil drought treatment. At California State University, Los Angeles, we monitored relative humidity (RH), temperature, and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) every 10 minutes for five months in a bare-ground experiment featuring mesocosms treated with soil drought (reduced watering) and/or atmospheric drought (silica packets suspended 12 cm above soil). 3. We found that silica packets dehumidified these microclimates most effectively (-5% RH) when combined with reduced soil water, regardless of the ambient humidity levels of the surrounding air. Further, packets increased microclimate VPD most effectively (+0.4 kPa) when combined with reduced soil water and ambient air temperatures above 20°C. Finally, packets simulated atmospheric drought most consistently when replaced within three days of deployment. 4. Our results demonstrate the use of silica packets as effective dehumidification agents in outdoor drought experiments. We emphasize that incorporating atmospheric drought in existing soil drought experiments can improve our understandings of the ecological impacts of drought.

Prediction using serum glycosylated fibronectin and angiogenic factors of superimposed pre-eclampsia in women with chronic hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the predictive performance for delivery with pre-eclampsia (PE) within 2 weeks of assessment in women with chronic hypertension at 24-41 weeks' gestation between serum glycosylated fibronectin (GlyFn) concentration, serum placental growth factor (PlGF) concentration and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) to PlGF concentration ratio. METHODS: This was a prospective study of 104 women with a singleton pregnancy and chronic hypertension presenting at 24-41 weeks' gestation. Twenty-six (25.0%) cases developed superimposed PE within 2 weeks of sampling. We compared the predictive performance for superimposed PE between GlyFn, PlGF and the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio at a fixed screen-positive rate of approximately 10%. RESULTS: The median gestational age at sampling was 34.1 (interquartile range, 31.5-35.6) weeks and 84.6% (88/104) of cases were sampled at < 36 weeks. The predictive performance for superimposed PE of the three methods of screening was similar, with detection rates of about 23-27%, at a screen-positive rate of 11% and a false-positive rate of about 5%. CONCLUSIONS: Measurement of GlyFn is a simple point-of-care test that can be carried out without need for a laboratory and provide results within 10 min of testing. In this respect, it could potentially replace the angiogenic markers that are used currently in the prediction of imminent PE in high-risk women. However, neither GlyFn nor angiogenic factors are likely to improve the management of women with chronic hypertension because their predictive performance for superimposed PE is poor. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Prediction using serum glycosylated fibronectin of imminent pre-eclampsia in women with new-onset hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the predictive performance for delivery with pre-eclampsia (PE) within 2 weeks after assessment in women with new-onset hypertension at 24-41 weeks' gestation between serum glycosylated fibronectin (GlyFn) concentration, serum placental growth factor (PlGF) concentration and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) to PlGF concentration ratio. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study of 409 women with a singleton pregnancy presenting at 24-41 weeks' gestation with new-onset hypertension. The recommended cut-off for sFlt-1/PlGF ratio for the prediction of PE in the platform used in this study is 85; the appropriate cut-offs for GlyFn and PlGF were determined to achieve the same screen-positive rate as that of sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 85. We then compared the predictive performance for delivery with PE within 2 weeks after presentation between GlyFn, PlGF and sFlt-1/PlGF, both overall and in subgroups according to gestational age at presentation. RESULTS: Delivery with PE within 2 weeks occurred in 93 (22.7%) cases. The screen-positive rate for sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 85 was 46.2%. The cut-off corresponding to a screen-positive rate of 46.2% was 75 pg/mL for PlGF and 510 µg/mL for GlyFn. The overall detection rate for delivery with PE within 2 weeks after presentation was 62.4% (95% CI, 51.7-72.2%) for GlyFn and sFlt-1/PlGF and 60.2% (95% CI, 49.5-70.2%) for PlGF. In all women who delivered with PE within 2 weeks after presentation at < 34 weeks' gestation and in about 60-70% of those presenting at < 38 weeks, GlyFn and sFlt-1/PlGF were increased and PlGF was reduced. However, the screen-positive rate for these tests was very high at about 45%. The predictive performance for delivery with PE within 2 weeks after presentation at ≥ 38 weeks' gestation was poorer for all three methods of screening, with detection rates of 47-63% at screen-positive rates of 40-50%. CONCLUSIONS: In women with new-onset hypertension, the predictive performance for delivery with PE within 2 weeks after presentation for serum GlyFn is similar to that of PlGF and the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio, but GlyFn may be the preferred option because it is a rapid point-of-care test. However, the predictive performance for all tests is relatively poor. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Screening for pre-eclampsia by maternal serum glycosylated fibronectin at 11-13 weeks' gestation.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the performance of screening for preterm and term pre-eclampsia (PE) at 11-13 weeks' gestation by maternal factors and combinations of maternal serum glycosylated fibronectin (GlyFn), mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and serum placental growth factor (PlGF). METHODS: This was a case-control study in which maternal serum GlyFn was measured using a point-of-care device in stored samples from a non-intervention screening study of singleton pregnancies at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation. In the same samples, PlGF was measured by time-resolved fluorometry. We used samples from women who delivered with PE at < 37 weeks' gestation (n = 100), PE at ≥ 37 weeks (n = 100), gestational hypertension (GH) at < 37 weeks (n = 100), GH at ≥ 37 weeks (n = 100) and 1000 normotensive controls with no pregnancy complications. In all cases, MAP and UtA-PI had been measured during the routine 11-13-week visit. Levels of GlyFn were transformed to multiples of the expected median (MoM) values after adjusting for maternal demographic characteristics and elements of medical history. Similarly, the measured values of MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF were converted to MoMs. The competing-risks model was used to combine the prior distribution of gestational age at delivery with PE, obtained from maternal characteristics, with various combinations of biomarker MoM values to derive the patient-specific risks of delivery with PE or GH at < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation. Screening performance was estimated by examining the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) and detection rate (DR) at 10% fixed false-positive rate (FPR). RESULTS: The maternal characteristics and elements of medical history with a significant effect on the measurement of GlyFn were maternal age, weight, height, race, smoking status and history of PE. In pregnancies that developed PE, GlyFn MoM was increased and the deviation from normal decreased with increasing gestational age at delivery. The DR and AUC of screening for delivery with PE at < 37 weeks' gestation by maternal factors alone were 50% and 0.834, respectively, and these increased to 80% and 0.949, respectively, when maternal risk factors were combined with MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF (triple test). The performance of the triple test was similar to that of screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and GlyFn (DR, 79%; AUC, 0.946) and that of screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, PlGF and GlyFn (DR, 81%; AUC, 0.932). The performance of screening for delivery with PE at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was poor; the DR for screening by maternal factors alone was 35% and increased to only 39% with use of the triple test. Similar results were obtained when GlyFn replaced PlGF or UtA-PI in the triple test. The DR of screening for GH with delivery at < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation by maternal factors alone was 34% and 25%, respectively, and increased to 54% and 31%, respectively, with use of the triple test. Similar results were obtained when GlyFn replaced PlGF or UtA-PI in the triple test. CONCLUSIONS: GlyFn is a potentially useful biomarker in first-trimester screening for preterm PE, but the findings of this case-control study need to be validated by prospective screening studies. The performance of screening for term PE or GH at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation by any combination of biomarkers is poor. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.