Development of a novel prognostic assessment model for hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure based on reexamination results.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a common clinical emergency and critical illness with rapid progression and poor prognosis. This study aims to establish a more efficient system for the prognostic assessment of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF), which will provide a guiding scheme for subsequent treatment and improve the survival rate of patients. Data on 623 patients with HBV-ACLF were recorded. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the discriminative abilities of the novel prognostic assessment model in predicting 90-day mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the accuracy of the models. Patients were divided into high- and low-scoring groups based on the best critical values, and survival rates were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and compared by applying log-rank tests. The area under the curve of the new scoring system established using the results of the first reexamination, the results of the first examination, the mean daily change in these results (MDCR) and the results of other first examinations were 0.911 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.889, 0.933), 0.893 (95% CI: 0.868, 0.917), and 0.895 (95% CI: 0.871, 0.919), respectively. The final prognostic scoring system established using the results of the first reexamination was chosen as a novel prognostic assessment model, and patients with lower scores (first reexamination results [FRER] score ≤ 3.65) had longer survival times (P < .001). The prognostic scoring system established using the FRER combined with other examination results can better assess the prognosis of HBV-ACLF at 90 days.

Efficacy predictors of third-generation cephalosporins in treating spontaneous bacterial peritonitis.

OBJECTIVE: Third-generation cephalosporins (3rd GCs) have recently become controversial as the first-line strategy for empirical spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) treatment. This study aimed to identify SBP treatment efficacy predictors of 3rd GCs. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, 279 cirrhosis patients with SBP who received 3rd GC monotherapy for initial empirical treatment from 2013 to 2019 were included. Nonresponse was defined as a decreased ascites polymorphonuclear (PMN) count < 25% from baseline after 48 hours of antibacterial treatment. Multivariate regression analysis was used to identify efficacy predictors of 3rd GCs in treating SBP. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate survival data. RESULTS: The nonresponder group included 120 patients with no response, and the responder group included 159 patients with responses. The response rate to 3rd GCs was 57.0% among all patients. The common pathogens were Escherichia coli (40.6%), Staphylococcus (15.6%), Klebsiella pneumonia (12.5%), and Streptococcus (12.5%) in 32 ascites culture isolates. Nosocomial SBP (NSBP) (odds ratio [OR]: 2.371, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.323-4.249, P = .004), pneumonia (OR: 11.561, 95% CI: 1.876-71.257, P = .008), recurrent SBP (OR: 3.386, 95% CI: 1.804-6.357, P < .001), platelet count (≥113.5 × 109/L) (OR: 3.515, 95% CI: 1.973-6.263, P < .001), and ascites PMN count (≤0.760 × 109/L) (OR: 4.967, 95% CI: 2.553-9.663, P < .001) were independent predictors of nonresponse to 3rd GCs against SBP. Survival plot analysis at 30 days showed worse survival for the nonresponders (P = .003). CONCLUSION: NSBP, pneumonia, recurrent SBP, increased platelet count, and lower ascites PMN count were independent predictors of nonresponse to 3rd GC in treating SBP. Nonresponse to initial antibiotic treatment was associated with worse survival.