Modification effect of receipt of diabetes care on the association between COVID-19 infection and HbA1c level during the first year of the coronavirus pandemic using a nationwide population-based database.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: We assessed the modification effect of adherence to diabetes care on the association between HbA1c levels and the risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) among individuals with diabetes using a population-based database. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We retrospectively identified individuals with diabetes during routine health checkups performed in 2019 in Japan using a population-based claims database (JMDC, Tokyo, Japan). We assessed the risk of COVID-19 infection in 2020 in relation to HbA1c levels during routine checkups, stratified by the presence/absence of follow-up for diabetes care in 2019. Several sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: We identified 65,956 individuals with an HbA1c ≥6.5% and fasting glucose ≥126 mg/dL in routine checkups, including 52,637 and 13,319 with and without at least one physician consultation for diabetes care in 2019, respectively. Although high HbA1c levels were associated with an increased risk of COVID-19 infection in a dose-dependent manner among individuals without diabetes care in 2019 (odds ratios, 1.53 and 2.17 in individuals with HbA1c of 7.0-7.9% and ≥8.0%, respectively) with a reference to HbA1c of 6.5-6.9%, individuals with diabetes care had no such trend in 2019 (odds ratios, 0.99 and 0.97 among individuals with HbA1c of 7.0-7.9% and ≥8.0%, respectively). Sensitivity analyses yielded consistent results when the variable definitions were changed and after multivariable adjustment with multiple imputation. CONCLUSIONS: This population-based study suggests that adherence to diabetes care may modify the association between HbA1c levels and the risk of COVID-19 infection.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Health Check-ups in 2021 and 2022: A Nationwide Follow-up Survey of Healthcare Facilities in Japan Society of Ningen Dock.

Introduction: Preventive programs, including screenings for cancer and diabetes, were disrupted globally due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in 2020. We previously conducted a nationwide survey to investigate the initial impact of the pandemic on health check-ups; however, the impact in the second and third years of the pandemic has not yet been elucidated. Here, we conducted a follow-up survey targeting healthcare facilities to evaluate the impact of the pandemic until the end of 2022. Methods: A questionnaire survey was conducted between December 15, 2022, and February 10, 2023, targeting member facilities of Japan Society of Ningen Dock. The survey consisted of two parts. Part I comprised a web-based questionnaire, in which the facilities were asked about their commitment to COVID-19-related care, precautions against COVID-19, and whether the pandemic had a negative financial impact on the management of health check-ups. In Part II, the facilities were asked about the number of examinees who underwent health check-ups between 2019 and 2022, the proportion of those who needed and adhered to follow-up visits, and the number of cancer cases found between 2019 and 2021. Results: Of the 1,343 eligible facilities, 885 participated (response rate: 65.9%). The observation that the number of people undergoing mandatory check-ups increased while those undergoing nonmandatory check-ups (e.g., cancer screenings by local governments) decreased in 2021, compared with that of 2019, persisted into 2022. Approximately 60% of the facilities reported a negative financial impact on the management of health check-ups, even in 2022. Conclusions: In 2022, the pandemic's detrimental effects on health check-ups persisted.

Proteinuria screening and risk of bone fracture: a retrospective cohort study using a nationwide population-based database.

Background and hypothesis: Proteinuria is associated with an increased risk of kidney function deterioration, cardiovascular disease, or cancer. Previous reports suggesting an association between kidney dysfunction and bone fracture may be confounded by concomitant proteinuria and were inconsistent regarding the association between proteinuria and bone fracture. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the association using a large administrative claims database in Japan. Methods: Using the DeSC database, we retrospectively identified individuals with laboratory data including urine dipstick test between August 2014 and February 2021. We evaluated the association between proteinuria and vertebral or hip fracture using multivariable Cox regression analyses adjusted for various background factors including kidney function. We also performed subgroup analyses stratified by sex and kidney function and sensitivity analyses with Fine & Gray models considering death as a competing risk. Results: We identified 603 766 individuals and observed 21 195 fractures. With reference to the negative proteinuria group, the hazard ratio for hip or vertebral fracture was 1.10 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05-1.14] and 1.16 (95%CI, 1.11-1.22) in the trace and positive proteinuria group, respectively, in the Cox regression analysis. The subgroup analyses showed similar trends. The Fine & Gray model showed a subdistribution hazard ratio of 1.09 (95%CI, 1.05-1.14) in the trace proteinuria group and 1.15 (95% CI, 1.10-1.20) in the positive proteinuria group. Conclusions: Proteinuria was associated with an increased risk of developing hip or vertebral fractures after adjustment for kidney function. Our results highlight the clinical importance of checking proteinuria for predicting bone fractures.

A machine-learning-based prediction of non-home discharge among acute heart failure patients.

BACKGROUND: Scarce data on factors related to discharge disposition in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) were available, and we sought to develop a parsimonious and simple predictive model for non-home discharge via machine learning. METHODS: This observational cohort study using a Japanese national database included 128,068 patients admitted from home for AHF between April 2014 and March 2018. The candidate predictors for non-home discharge were patient demographics, comorbidities, and treatment performed within 2 days after hospital admission. We used 80% of the population to develop a model using all 26 candidate variables and using the variable selected by 1 standard-error rule of Lasso regression, which enhances interpretability, and 20% to validate the predictive ability. RESULTS: We analyzed 128,068 patients, and 22,330 patients were not discharged to home; 7,879 underwent in-hospital death and 14,451 were transferred to other facilities. The machine-learning-based model consisted of 11 predictors, showing a discrimination ability comparable to that using all the 26 variables (c-statistic: 0.760 [95% confidence interval, 0.752-0.767] vs. 0.761 [95% confidence interval, 0.753-0.769]). The common 1SE-selected variables identified throughout all analyses were low scores in activities of daily living, advanced age, absence of hypertension, impaired consciousness, failure to initiate enteral alimentation within 2 days and low body weight. CONCLUSIONS: The developed machine learning model using 11 predictors had a good predictive ability to identify patients at high risk for non-home discharge. Our findings would contribute to the effective care coordination in this era when HF is rapidly increasing in prevalence.

Modification Effects of Albuminuria on the Association Between Kidney Function and Development of Anemia in Diabetes.

CONTEXT: Previous studies failed to adjust for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in evaluating the association between albuminuria and anemia development, and we aimed to investigate whether albuminuria independently affects anemia development. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study and retrospectively identified adults with diabetes from a Japanese nationwide clinical database (JMDC, Tokyo, Japan). To assess the modification effects of albuminuria on the association between eGFR and anemia development, we estimated prevalence of anemia, defined as hemoglobin < 13 g/dL in men and < 12 g/dL in women, using a modified Poisson regression and marginal standardization form of predictive margins, stratified by albuminuria severity after adjusting for eGFR. Hence, we revealed at which eGFR level this modification effect appeared and the extent to which this modification effect increased the prevalence of anemia. RESULTS: We identified 327 999 data points from 48 056 individuals [normoalbuminuria: 186 472 (56.9%), microalbuminuria: 107 170 (32.7%), and macroalbuminuria: 34 357 (10.5%)]. As eGFR declined, anemia prevalence increased. Albuminuria severity modified this association induced by decreased eGFR among individuals with eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 after adjusting for multivariable factors, including age, sex, comorbidities, and medication use. Compared with the normoalbuminuric group, the macroalbuminuric group had a 5% to 20% higher anemia prevalence among individuals with eGFR of <30 mL/min/1.73 m2. CONCLUSION: We revealed that the severity of albuminuria modified the association between eGFR and anemia development among individuals with eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, highlighting the modification effect of albuminuria on the association between kidney function and anemia development in diabetes.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Health Check-ups: A Nationwide Questionnaire Survey in 639 Healthcare Facilities in Japan Society of Ningen Dock.

Introduction: Health check-ups have been disrupted worldwide by the COVID-19 pandemic, especially at its beginning. In Japan, undergoing annual check-ups is mandatory for full-time employees of all ages, while those other than full-time employees are entitled to undergo nonmandatory cancer screenings and specific health check-ups. To evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on health check-ups, we conducted a nationwide questionnaire survey targeting healthcare facilities. Methods: A questionnaire survey was conducted between December 10, 2021, and January 28, 2022. Healthcare facilities were eligible if they were members of Japan Society of Ningen Dock and could respond via email. The monthly and yearly numbers of examinees undergoing mandatory or nonmandatory check-ups in 2020 and 2021 were compared with those in 2019. The proportions of examinees requiring follow-up visits and adhering to follow-up visits were compared between 2020 and 2019. Precautions taken against COVID-19 were also investigated. Results: Of the 1,299 eligible facilities, 639 participated (response rate, 49.2%). Health check-up services were suspended in 484 (75.7%) facilities for a median duration of 5 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4-8) weeks. A total of 19,861,230 and 21,748,125 examinees underwent health check-ups in 591 facilities in 2020 and 2021, respectively, 10.0% and 1.4% less than the numbers in 2019. The number of examinees undergoing health check-ups decreased by a median of 8.3% (IQR: -14.6 to -3.1) in 2020 compared to that in 2019, with the largest decrease of 70.3% (IQR -87.9 to -48.5) in May. Although the number of examinees undergoing mandatory check-ups increased in 2021 compared with that in 2019, the number of those undergoing nonmandatory check-ups remained low. Conclusions: While people eligible for mandatory check-ups were adherent to check-ups in 2021, those ineligible for mandatory check-ups seemed less adherent. Public health efforts to encourage these people to adhere to check-ups during the pandemic are required.

Effect modification of the association between temperature variability and hospitalization for cardiovascular disease by comorbid diabetes mellitus: A nationwide time-stratified case-crossover analysis.

AIMS: We aimed to explore the association between short-term exposure to temperature variability (TV), and cardiovascular hospitalization stratified by the presence of comorbid diabetes. METHODS: We collected data on nationwide hospitalization for cardiovascular diseases and daily weather conditions during 2011-2018 in Japan. TV was calculated as the standard deviation of daily minimum and maximum temperatures within 0-7 lag days. We applied a two-stage time-stratified case-crossover design to estimate the association between TV and cardiovascular hospitalization with and without comorbid diabetes, adjusting for temperature and relative humidity. Furthermore, specific cardiovascular disease causes, demographic characteristics, and seasons were used for stratification. RESULTS: In 3,844,910 hospitalizations for cardiovascular disease, each 1 °C increase in TV was associated with a 0.44% (95% CI: 0.22%, 0.65%) increase in the risk of cardiovascular admission. We observed a 2.07% (95% CI: 1.16%, 2.99%) and 0.61% (95% CI: -0.02%, 1.23%) increase per 1 °C in risk of heart failure admission in individuals with and those without diabetes, respectively. The higher risk among individuals with diabetes was mostly consistent in the analyses stratified by age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, and season. CONCLUSION: Comorbid diabetes may increase susceptibility to TV in relation to acute cardiovascular disease hospitalization.

Effective Mechanical Thrombectomy for Posterior Circulation Ischemia Using Magnetic Resonance Imaging-based Arterial Structures.

To improve the success of mechanical thrombectomy, three-dimensional turbo spin-echo (3D-TSE) sequences on T2WI can be employed to estimate the vascular structure of the posterior circulation. In addition to the short imaging time of 3D-TSE T2WI (33 sec), it can visualize the outer diameter of the main cerebral artery, including the occluded vessels. However, to date, the efficacy of mechanical thrombectomy in the posterior circulation remains unclear, and safer and more efficient mechanical thrombectomy procedures are required. Assessment of the anatomical variations in the posterior circulation using 3D-TSE T2WI is valuable for access decisions, device selection, and safe device guidance and retrieval techniques to the target vessel. Herein, we present representative cases of basilar artery and posterior cerebral artery occlusions in our institute and describe the utility of preoperative 3D-TSE T2WI in these patients.

Comparison of bleeding complications after pediatric kidney biopsy between intravenous sedation and general anesthesia: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: An increasing number of studies are evaluating the safety of intravenous sedation compared with that of general anesthesia; however, data on bleeding complications after pediatric percutaneous renal biopsy performed under intravenous sedation or general anesthesia are lacking. We aimed to examine differences in bleeding complications between intravenous sedation and general anesthesia in pediatric patients. METHODS: Data of pediatric patients aged ≤ 15 years undergoing percutaneous kidney biopsy for kidney disease between July 2007 and March 2019 were retrieved from a national inpatient database in Japan. We examined differences in bleeding complications after renal biopsy performed under intravenous sedation, defined by the absence of the record of general anesthesia with intubation but by the presence of intravenous sedation during biopsy, and general anesthesia, defined by the presence of the record of general anesthesia with intubation during biopsy, among pediatric patients admitted for percutaneous renal biopsy. We performed binomial regression using overlap weights based on propensity scores for patients receiving intravenous sedation. Analyses stratified by age or sex, a sensitivity analysis using generalized estimating equations considering cluster effects by hospital among a propensity score-matched cohort, and another sensitivity analysis using the instrumental variable method were performed to confirm the robustness of the results. RESULTS: We identified 6,560 biopsies performed in 5,999 children aged 1-15 years from 328 hospitals and 178 events. Only three severe complications and no death were observed. No significant difference in the proportion of bleeding complications was observed between procedures performed under intravenous sedation and those performed under general anesthesia (unadjusted proportions, 2.8% and 2.3%; adjusted proportions, 2.5% and 2.2%), with an unadjusted relative risk of 1.21 (95% confidence interval, 0.80-1.81) and adjusted relative risk of 1.13 (95% confidence interval, 0.74-1.73). Both age- and sex-stratified analyses yielded similar results. The analysis using generalized estimating equation and the instrumental variable method showed relative risks of 0.95 (95% confidence interval, 0.48-1.88) and 1.18 (95% confidence interval, 0.74-1.89), respectively. CONCLUSION: This retrospective cohort study using a national database revealed that the risk of biopsy-related bleeding was comparable between intravenous sedation and general anesthesia during pediatric percutaneous kidney biopsy, suggesting that intravenous sedation alone and general anesthesia may have a similar bleeding risk in pediatric percutaneous kidney biopsies.

Age-Dependent Association Between Modifiable Risk Factors and Incident Cardiovascular Disease.

Background There have been limited data examining the age-dependent relationship of wide-range risk factors with the incidence of each subtype of cardiovascular disease (CVD) event. We assessed age-related associations between modifiable risk factors and the incidence of CVD. Methods and Results We analyzed 3 027 839 participants without a CVD history enrolled in the JMDC Claims Database (mean age, 44.8±11.0 years; 57.6% men). Each participant was categorized as aged 20 to 49 years (n=2 008 559), 50 to 59 years (n=712 273), and 60 to 75 years (n=307 007). Using Cox proportional hazards models and the relative risk reduction, we identified associations between risk factors and incident CVD, consisting of myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and heart failure (HF). We assessed whether the association of risk factors for developing CVD would be modified by age category. Over a mean follow-up of 1133 days, 6315 myocardial infarction, 56 447 angina pectoris, 28 079 stroke, and 56 369 HF events were recorded. The incidence of myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and HF increased with age category. Hazard ratios of obesity, hypertension, and diabetes in the multivariable Cox regression analyses for myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and HF decreased with age category. The relative risk reduction of obesity, hypertension, and diabetes for CVD events decreased with age category. For example, the relative risk reduction of hypertension for HF decreased from 59.2% in participants aged 20 to 49 years to 38.1% in those aged 60 to 75 years. Conclusions The contribution of modifiable risk factor to the development of CVD is greater in younger compared with older individuals. Preventive efforts for risk factor modification may be more effective in younger people.

Diagnostic ability using fatty liver and metabolic markers for metabolic-associated fatty liver disease stratified by metabolic/glycemic abnormalities.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: Although several noninvasive predictive markers for fatty liver and metabolic markers have been used for fatty liver prediction, whether such markers can also predict metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) remains unclear. We aimed to examine the ability of existing fatty liver or metabolic markers to predict MAFLD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Participants in a high-volume center in Tokyo were classified into groups with and without MAFLD, based on the presence of metabolic abnormalities and fatty liver diagnosed through abdominal ultrasonography, between 2008 and 2018. The diagnostic abilities of three fatty liver markers: fatty liver index (FLI), hepatic steatosis index (HSI), and lipid accumulation product (LAP), and three common metabolic markers: waist-to-height ratio (WHR), body mass index (BMI), and waist circumference (WC), for predicting MAFLD, were evaluated. Analyses stratified by MAFLD subtypes were performed. RESULTS: Of 92,374 individuals, 19,392 (36.1%) had MAFLD. The diagnostic performances for MAFLD prediction, measured as c-statistics, for FLI, HSI, LAP, WHR, BMI, and WC were 0.906, 0.892, 0.878, 0.844, 0.877, and 0.878, respectively. Optimal cutoff values for diagnosing MAFLD for FLI, HSI, LAP, WHR, BMI, and WC were 20.3, 32.7, 20.0, 0.49, 22.9, and 82.1, respectively. Analyses stratified by MAFLD subtypes, based on BMI and metabolic/glycemic abnormalities, suggested that FLI and HSI had acceptable (c-statistics >0.700) diagnostic abilities throughout all the analyses. CONCLUSIONS: All six markers were excellent predictors of MAFLD in diagnosing among the general population, with FLI and HSI particularly useful among all sub-populations.

Association of cardiovascular health metrics with annual incidence of prediabetes or diabetes: Analysis of a nationwide real-world database.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: Little is known about the relationship between cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics and the risk of developing prediabetes or diabetes. We examined the association of CVH metrics with the annual risk of developing prediabetes or diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We carried out this study including 403,857 participants aged 18-71 years with available data on fasting plasma glucose (FPG) data for five consecutive years and with normal FPG (<100 mg/dL) at the initial health checkup. We identified the following ideal CVH metrics: non-smoking, body mass index of <25 kg/m2 , maintaining physical activity, taking breakfast, untreated blood pressure of <120/80 mmHg and untreated total cholesterol of <200 mg/dL. We defined the primary end-point as prediabetes (FPG 100-125 mg/dL) or diabetes (FPG ≥126 mg/dL or use of antihyperglycemic medications). We examined the relationship of CVH metrics with the annual incidence of prediabetes or diabetes. Additionally, we examined the association of 1-year changes in CVH metrics with the risk for prediabetes or diabetes. RESULTS: The median age was 44 years, and 65.6% were men. An increasing number of non-ideal CVH metrics was associated with an elevated risk of prediabetes or diabetes. A non-ideal body mass index was most strongly associated with the risk of prediabetes or diabetes. The risk of developing prediabetes or diabetes rose as the number of non-ideal CVH metrics increased over 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: CVH metrics could stratify the risk of the annual development of prediabetes or diabetes. The risk of developing prediabetes or diabetes might be reduced by improving CVH metrics.

Impact of body mass index on in-hospital mortality in older patients hospitalized for bacterial pneumonia with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Low body mass index (BMI) in older individuals with decreased kidney function is important because of its association with poor prognosis and frailty. Herein, we aimed to clarify the association between BMI and in-hospital mortality among older patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (CKD) stratified by kidney function. METHODS: Using data from the Medical Vision Database, this multicentre cohort study included people aged ≥ 60 years with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 but without dialysis dependency, hospitalised for bacterial pneumonia during 2014-2019. We compared the risk of in-hospital death between patients with BMI categories based on the quartiles (low, medium-low, medium-high, and high) setting medium-high BMI as a reference. We further assessed the association with BMI using a cubic spline, setting BMI as a nonlinear continuous variable and a BMI of 22 kg/m2 as a reference. We also evaluated the association between BMI and kidney function using a generalised additive model adjusted for interaction terms between nonlinear continuous BMI and kidney function. RESULTS: We obtained data for 3,952 patients, with 350 (8.9%) in-hospital deaths. When compared with medium-high BMI, low BMI was associated with an increased risk of death and longer hospital stay, whereas the other two categories were comparable. Models using a cubic spline showing an association between BMI and in-hospital death showed an L-shaped curve; BMI < 22.0 kg/m2 was associated with an increased risk for mortality, and at a BMI of 18.5 kg/m2, the odds ratio was 1.43 with a 95% confidence interval of 1.26-1.61 when compared with a BMI of 22.0 kg/m2. Analysis of the interactive effects of kidney function using the generalised additive model showed that a protective association of high BMI tapered along with decreased kidney function. CONCLUSIONS: This cohort study suggests not only that lower BMI and low kidney function are associated with in-hospital mortality independently but also that the protective effects of high BMI weaken as kidney function decreases via the analysis of the interaction terms. This study highlights the necessity for the prevention of underweight and demonstrates the interaction between BMI and kidney function in older patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD.

The Use of Information and Communication Technology-Based Self-management System DialBeticsLite in Treating Abdominal Obesity in Japanese Office Workers: Prospective Single-Arm Pilot Intervention Study.

BACKGROUND: Making lifestyle changes is an essential element of abdominal obesity (AO) reduction. To support lifestyle modification and self-management, we developed an information and communication technology-based self-management system-DialBeticsLite-with a fully automated dietary evaluation function for the treatment of AO. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate the preliminary efficacy and feasibility of DialBeticsLite among Japanese office workers with AO. METHODS: A 2- to 3-month prospective single-arm pilot intervention study was designed to assess the effects of the intervention using DialBeticsLite. The information and communication technology system was composed of 4 modules: data transmission (body weight, blood pressure, blood glucose, and pedometer count); data evaluation; exercise input; and food recording and dietary evaluation. Eligible participants were workers who were aged ≥20 years and with AO (waist circumference ≥85 cm for men and ≥90 cm for women). Physical parameters, blood tests, nutritional intake, and self-care behavior were compared at baseline and after the intervention. RESULTS: A total of 48 participants provided completed data for analysis, which yielded a study retention rate of 100%. The average age was 46.8 (SD 6.8) years, and 92% (44/48) of participants were male. The overall average measurement rate of DialBeticsLite, calculated by dividing the number of days with at least one measurement by the number of days of the intervention, was 98.6% (SD 3.4%). In total, 85% (41/48) of the participants reported that their participation in the study helped them to improve their lifestyle. BMI, waist circumference, and visceral fat area decreased significantly after the intervention (P<.001). In addition, the daily calorie intake reduced significantly (P=.02). There was a significant improvement in self-care behavior in terms of exercise and diet (P=.001). CONCLUSIONS: Using DialBeticsLite was shown to be a feasible and potentially effective method for reducing AO by providing users with a motivational framework to evaluate their lifestyle behaviors.

Major complications after percutaneous biopsy of native or transplanted liver in pediatric patients: a nationwide inpatient database study in Japan.

AIM: Although major complication rates following percutaneous liver biopsy (PLB) have been reported to be higher in children than in adults, scarce data are available regarding pediatric patients stratified by native and transplanted liver. We aimed to assess the factors associated with major complications after percutaneous biopsy of native or transplanted liver using a nationwide inpatient database. METHODS: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we retrospectively identified pediatric patients who underwent PLB between 2010 and 2018. We described major complication rates and analyzed factors associated with major complications following PLB, stratified by native and transplanted liver. RESULTS: We identified 3584 pediatric PLBs among 1732 patients from 239 hospitals throughout Japan during the study period, including 1310 in the native liver and 2274 in the transplanted liver. Major complications following PLB were observed in 0.5% (n = 18) of the total cases; PLB in the transplanted liver had major complications less frequently than those in the native liver (0.2% vs. 1.0%, p = 0.002). The occurrence of major complications was associated with younger age, liver cancers, unscheduled admission, anemia or coagulation disorders in cases with native liver, while it was associated with younger age alone in cases with transplanted liver. CONCLUSIONS: The present study, using a nationwide database, found that major complications occurred more frequently in pediatric cases with native liver and identified several factors associated with its major complications.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare service use for non-COVID-19 patients in Japan: retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate the impact of the first and second waves of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare service use by non-COVID-19 patients. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Hospital-based claims database from anonymised hospitals in Japan. PARTICIPANTS: Patients (n=785 495) who visited and/or were hospitalised in 26 anonymised hospitals in Japan between January 2017 and November 2020. OUTCOME MEASURES: We compared changes in the monthly number of hospitalisations (overall or by diagnosis), outpatient visits, endoscopic fibrescopies (EFs), rehabilitations, outpatient chemotherapy treatments, maintenance haemodialysis treatments and outpatient prescriptions between pre-COVID-19 years and the same period in 2020. RESULTS: The overall number of hospitalisations and outpatient visits decreased by 27% and 22%, respectively, in May 2020, of which the most substantial decrease was observed in the paediatrics department (65% and 51%, respectively). The number of hospitalisations for respiratory diseases, circulatory diseases, malignant neoplasms and digestive diseases decreased by a maximum of 55%, 32%, 10% and 26%, respectively, in 2020. The number of hospitalisations for non-COVID-19 pneumonia in patients aged <16 years, patients aged ≥16 years and patients with asthma decreased by 93%, 43% and 80%, respectively, in May 2020. EFs and outpatient rehabilitations decreased by >30%. In contrast, outpatient chemotherapy and maintenance haemodialysis treatments decreased by <10%, if at all. Outpatient prescriptions decreased by a maximum of 20% in 2020, with the largest decrease observed in drugs for obstructive airway diseases and cough and cold preparations. CONCLUSIONS: The use of healthcare services by non-COVID-19 patients was most affected during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in May 2020. The number of hospitalisations for respiratory diseases, particularly non-COVID-19 pneumonia and asthma, drastically decreased, while the number of hospitalisations and outpatient chemotherapies for malignant neoplasms or maintenance haemodialysis was less affected.

Association between proteinuria and incident colorectal cancer: analysis of a nationwide population-based database.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess whether adults with proteinuria were at a higher risk of incident colorectal cancer (CRC) than those without proteinuria using a large-scale population-based database. DESIGN: A retrospective observational study. SETTING: The JMDC Claims Database, an administrative health claims database, was used. Data were collected between 2005 and 2020. PARTICIPANTS: We selected records of participants (n=3 543 705) who underwent health check-ups, including physical examinations, blood tests and urine dipstick tests. We excluded participants who were aged <20 years (n=25 577), had a history of CRC, colorectal disease, renal disease and renal replacement therapy (n=114 888), or had missing data on medications (n=170 145), cigarette smoking (n=14 835), alcohol consumption (n=366 414) or physical activity (n=106 550). Finally, we analysed 2 745 296 participants. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was CRC at any stage. RESULTS: Participants were categorised as having no proteinuria (n=2 435 872), trace proteinuria (n=231 153) or positive proteinuria (n=78 271). Over a mean follow-up period of 1189±914 days, 10 615 CRC diagnoses were recorded. The incidence of CRC (95% CI) was lowest in participants without proteinuria (11.7; 95% CI, 11.5 to 11.9 per 10 000 person-years), followed by trace proteinuria (12.5; 95% CI, 11.7 to 13.3 per 10 000 person-years) and positive proteinuria (16.1; 95% CI, 14.6 to 17.7 per 10 000 person-years). After multivariable adjustment, compared with no proteinuria, HRs for incident CRC were 1.20 (95% CI, 1.12 to 1.29) and 1.23 (95% CI, 1.11 to 1.36) for trace and positive proteinuria, respectively. The association between proteinuria and incident CRC existed in participants after multiple imputations for missing data, with a follow-up period of ≥365 days, regardless of age, sex, obesity, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and estimated glomerular filtration rate. CONCLUSIONS: Trace and positive proteinuria were associated with a greater risk of incident CRC. Assessment of proteinuria could help identify individuals at an increased risk of CRC.

Prediabetes in Young Adults and Its Association With Cardiovascular Health Metrics in the Progression to Diabetes.

CONTEXT: The natural history of young adults with prediabetes and its association with cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics in progression to diabetes remain unknown. OBJECTIVE: We examined the association between CVH metrics and the annual incidence of diabetes in young adults with prediabetes. METHODS: This observational cohort study used the JMDC Claims Database. We analyzed 18 908 participants aged 18 to 44 years, with available fasting plasma glucose (FPG) data for 5 consecutive years, and who had prediabetes (FPG 100-125 mg/dL) at the initial health checkup. The ideal CVH metrics were as follows: nonsmoking, body mass index (BMI) less than 25 kg/m2, physical activity at goal, optimal dietary habits, blood pressure less than 120/80 mm Hg, and total cholesterol less than 200 mg/dL. We analyzed the association between CVH metrics and the annual incidence of diabetes. We also examined the relationship between 1-year changes in CVH metrics and the subsequent risk of diabetes. RESULTS: The incidence of diabetes was 3.3% at 1 year and 9.5% at 5 years after the initial health checkup. An increasing number of nonideal CVH metrics have been associated with an increased risk of diabetes. Nonideal BMI, smoking, blood pressure, and total cholesterol level were associated with an increased risk of diabetes. This association was observed both in men and women. A one-point increase in the number of nonideal CVH metric components was associated over 1 year with an increased risk of diabetes. CONCLUSION: CVH metrics can stratify the risk of diabetes in young adults with prediabetes. Improving CVH metrics may reduce the risk of developing diabetes.

A Machine Learning-Based Predictive Model to Identify Patients Who Failed to Attend a Follow-up Visit for Diabetes Care After Recommendations From a National Screening Program.

OBJECTIVE: Reportedly, two-thirds of the patients who were positive for diabetes during screening failed to attend a follow-up visit for diabetes care in Japan. We aimed to develop a machine-learning model for predicting people's failure to attend a follow-up visit. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults with newly screened diabetes at a national screening program using a large Japanese insurance claims database (JMDC, Tokyo, Japan). We defined failure to attend a follow-up visit for diabetes care as no physician consultation during the 6 months after the screening. The candidate predictors were patient demographics, comorbidities, and medication history. In the training set (randomly selected 80% of the sample), we developed two models (previously reported logistic regression model and Lasso regression model). In the test set (remaining 20%), prediction performance was examined. RESULTS: We identified 10,645 patients, including 5,450 patients who failed to attend follow-up visits for diabetes care. The Lasso regression model using four predictors had a better discrimination ability than the previously reported logistic regression model using 13 predictors (C-statistic: 0.71 [95% CI 0.69-0.73] vs. 0.67 [0.65-0.69]; P < 0.001). The four selected predictors in the Lasso regression model were lower frequency of physician visits in the previous year, lower HbA1c levels, and negative history of antidyslipidemic or antihypertensive treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The developed machine-learning model using four predictors had a good predictive ability to identify patients who failed to attend a follow-up visit for diabetes care after a screening program.

Age-Dependent Relationship of Hypertension Subtypes With Incident Heart Failure.

Background The prevalence of hypertension subtypes changes with age. However, little is known regarding the age-dependent association of hypertension subtypes with incident heart failure (HF). Methods and Results We conducted an observational cohort study including 2 612 570 people (mean age, 44.0 years; 55.0% men). No participants were taking blood pressure-lowering medications or had a known history of cardiovascular disease. Participants were categorized as aged 20 to 49 years (n=1 825 756), 50 to 59 years (n=571 574), or 60 to 75 years (n=215 240). We defined stage 1 hypertension as systolic blood pressure (SBP) 130 to 139 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) 80 to 89 mm Hg and stage 2 hypertension as SBP ≥140 mm Hg or DBP ≥90 mm Hg. Among participants with stage 2 hypertension, isolated diastolic hypertension was defined as SBP <140 mm Hg and DBP ≥90 mm Hg, isolated systolic hypertension as SBP ≥140 mm Hg and DBP <90 mm Hg, and systolic diastolic hypertension as SBP ≥140 mm Hg and DBP ≥90 mm Hg. During a mean follow-up of 1205±934 days, 43 415 HF, 4807 myocardial infarction, 45 365 angina pectoris, 22 179 stroke, and 10 420 atrial fibrillation events occurred. Although the incidence of HF and other cardiovascular disease events increased with age, hazard ratios and relative risk reductions of each hypertension subtype for HF decreased with age. An age-dependent relationship between hypertension subtypes and incident HF was similarly observed in both men and women. Conclusions The contribution of isolated diastolic hypertension, isolated systolic hypertension, and systolic diastolic hypertension to the development of HF and other cardiovascular disease events was attenuated with age, suggesting that preventive efforts for blood pressure control could provide a greater benefit in younger individuals.