Radiomics model based on contrast-enhanced computed tomography imaging for early recurrence monitoring after radical resection of AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Although radical surgical resection is the most effective treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the high rate of postoperative recurrence remains a major challenge, especially in patients with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-negative HCC who lack effective biomarkers for postoperative recurrence surveillance. Emerging radiomics can reveal subtle structural changes in tumors by analyzing preoperative contrast-enhanced computer tomography (CECT) imaging data and may provide new ways to predict early recurrence (recurrence within 2 years) in AFP-negative HCC. In this study, we propose to develop a radiomics model based on preoperative CECT to predict the risk of early recurrence after surgery in AFP-negative HCC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with AFP-negative HCC who underwent radical resection were included in this study. A computerized tool was used to extract radiomic features from the tumor region of interest (ROI), select the best radiographic features associated with patient's postoperative recurrence, and use them to construct the radiomics score (RadScore), which was then combined with clinical and follow-up information to comprehensively evaluate the reliability of the model. RESULTS: A total of 148 patients with AFP-negative HCC were enrolled in this study, and 1,977 radiographic features were extracted from CECT, 2 of which were the features most associated with recurrence in AFP-negative HCC. They had good predictive ability in both the training and validation cohorts, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.709 and 0.764, respectively. Tumor number, microvascular invasion (MVI), AGPR and radiomic features were independent risk factors for early postoperative recurrence in patients with AFP-negative HCC. The AUCs of the integrated model in the training and validation cohorts were 0.793 and 0.791, respectively. The integrated model possessed the clinical value of predicting early postoperative recurrence in patients with AFP-negative HCC according to decision curve analysis, which allowed the classification of patients into subgroups of high-risk and low-risk for early recurrence. CONCLUSION: The nomogram constructed by combining clinical and imaging features has favorable performance in predicting the probability of early postoperative recurrence in AFP-negative HCC patients, which can help optimize the therapeutic decision-making and prognostic assessment of AFP-negative HCC patients.

Radiomics model based on contrast-enhanced computed tomography to predict early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after radical resection.

BACKGROUND: Radical resection remains an effective strategy for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Unfortunately, the postoperative early recurrence (recurrence within 2 years) rate is still high. AIM: To develop a radiomics model based on preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) to evaluate early recurrence in HCC patients with a single tumour. METHODS: We enrolled a total of 402 HCC patients from two centres who were diagnosed with a single tumour and underwent radical resection. First, the features from the portal venous and arterial phases of CECT were extracted based on the region of interest, and the early recurrence-related radiomics features were selected via the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator proportional hazards model (LASSO Cox) to determine radiomics scores for each patient. Then, the clinicopathologic data were combined to develop a model to predict early recurrence by Cox regression. Finally, we evaluated the prediction performance of this model by multiple methods. RESULTS: A total of 1915 radiomics features were extracted from CECT images, and 31 of them were used to determine the radiomics scores, which showed a significant difference between the early recurrence and nonearly recurrence groups. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that radiomics scores and serum alpha-fetoprotein were independent indicators, and they were used to develop a combined model to predict early recurrence. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values for the training and validation cohorts were 0.77 and 0.74, respectively, while the C-indices were 0.712 and 0.674, respectively. The calibration curves and decision curve analysis showed satisfactory accuracy and clinical utilities. Kaplan-Meier curves based on recurrence-free survival and overall survival showed significant differences. CONCLUSION: The preoperative radiomics model was shown to be effective for predicting early recurrence among HCC patients with a single tumour.