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PURPOSE: To develop a model based on whole-liver radiomics features of pre-treatment enhanced MRI for predicting the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing continued transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) after TACE-resistance. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from 111 TACE-resistant HCC patients between January 2014 and March 2018 were retrospectively collected. At a ratio of 7:3, patients were randomly assigned to developing and validation cohorts. The whole-liver were manually segmented, and the radiomics signature was extracted. The tumor and liver radiomics score (TLrad-score) was calculated. Models were trained by machine learning algorithms and their predictive efficacies were compared. RESULTS: Tumor stage, tumor burden, body mass index, alpha-fetoprotein, and vascular invasion were revealed as independent risk factors for survival. The model trained by Random Forest algorithms based on tumor burden, whole-liver radiomics signature, and clinical features had the highest predictive efficacy, with c-index values of 0.85 and 0.80 and areas under the ROC curve of 0.96 and 0.83 in the developing cohort and validation cohort, respectively. In the high-rad-score group (TLrad-score > - 0.34), the median overall survival (mOS) was significantly shorter than in the low-rad-score group (17 m vs. 37 m, p < 0.001). A shorter mOS was observed in patients with high tumor burden compared to those with low tumor burden (14 m vs. 29 m, p = 0.007). CONCLUSION: The combined radiomics model from whole-liver signatures may effectively predict survival for HCC patients continuing TACE after TACE refractoriness. The TLrad-score and tumor burden are potential prognostic markers for TACE therapy following TACE-resistance.
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Purpose: To investigate the effect of early transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) refractoriness on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patient survival and to explore whether viable lesions > 50% after two consecutive TACE treatments negatively affect the prognosis of HCC patients. Patients and Methods: From January 2014 to August 2017, 323 HCC patients who received TACE as the initial treatment were analyzed. TACE refractoriness was diagnosed according to the Japan Society of Hepatology 2021 version. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to create a 1:1 matched group (nonrefractoriness vs refractoriness). To determine survival outcomes and prognostic factors, the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model were used. Results: In total, 51.1% of patients developed early TACE refractoriness (n = 165). After PSM, 120 patients from each group were matched and analyzed. The median overall survival (OS) time of the early TACE refractoriness group was significantly shorter than that of the nonrefractory group [21 months (95% CI: 15.7-26.3) vs 34 months (95% CI: 27.5-40.5), p = 0.002]. Thirty-eight patients with viable lesions >50% after two consecutive TACE procedures were identified and matched with patients of non-refractoriness. No significant difference in median OS was observed [35 months (95% CI: 21.6-48.5) vs 31 months (95% CI: 25.4-36.6), p = 0.611]. Multivariate analysis revealed that the BCLC stage, tumor size, tumor capsule, tumor distribution, α-fetoprotein level (AFP), and early TACE refractoriness were independent risk factors for prognosis in HCC patients. Conclusion: Early TACE refractoriness may shorten the OS of HCC patients. However, viable lesions >50% after two consecutive TACE treatments did not impair the survival of patients. It may be inappropriate to consider these patients as having developed TACE refractoriness.
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Objective: To compare the treatment efficacy of thermal ablation versus surgical resection of metachronous colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) and to explore the potential candidates suited for thermal ablation. Methods: The data of 319 patients with CRLM who underwent radical treatment at the Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences between November 2007 and January 2021 were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into two groups, the thermal ablation group and the surgical resection group, according to the actual treatments they received. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to balance the baseline characteristics between the two groups. Cox regression analysis was conducted to identify the risk factors for recurrence and survival. Survival analysis was performed for intergroup comparison. Results: Using PSM at 1â¶1 ratio, 92 patients were included in the thermal ablation group and 92 patients were included in the surgical resection group.The median overall survival (OS) in the thermal ablation group was 49 (95% confidence interval, 37-76) months, which was shorter than that of the surgical resection group ( P<0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the T staging of primary tumor, number of metastatic tumor, maximum diameter of metastatic tumor, preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, and treatment method were independent risk factors affecting OS. Compared with the surgical resection group, the thermal ablation group demonstrated higher hepatic recurrence rate (59.8% vs. 23.9%, P<0.01), shorter disease-free survival (DFS) (10 months vs. 33 months, P<0.01), and shorter length of hospital stay (7 days vs. 14 days, P<0.01). Subgroup analysis, conducted with the data of the 319 patients before PSM, showed that early recurrence patients who underwent thermal ablation or surgical resection had comparable median OS (29 months vs. 42 months, P=0.35). For the non-early recurrence patients, the median OS of the thermal ablation group was shorter than that of the surgical resection group ( P<0.01). Conclusion: For the treatment of CRLM, the efficacy of surgical resection was better than that of thermal ablation. However, the efficacy was comparable between the two treatments for early recurrence patients of CRLM.
