Physical Activity, Sleep, and Risk of Late-Onset Severe Mental Illness: A Prospective Cohort Study From UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Previous studies have found that both physical inactivity and poor sleep are deleteriously associated with severe mental illness (SMI). The aim of current study was to investigate the joint association of physical activity (PA) and sleep with late-onset SMI (schizophrenia and bipolar disorder) risk. STUDY DESIGN: A total of 340 187 (for schizophrenia)/340 239 (for bipolar disorder) participants without schizophrenia or bipolar disorder from the UK Biobank were included. Baseline PA levels were categorized as high, intermediate, and low according to the total volume of PA. Sleep was categorized into healthy, intermediate, and poor according to an established composited sleep score of chronotype, sleep duration, insomnia, snoring, and daytime sleepiness. We derived 9 PA-sleep combinations, accordingly. STUDY RESULTS: After an average follow-up of 13.2 years, 814 participants experienced schizophrenia and 846 participants experienced bipolar disorder. Both low PA level, intermediate, and poor sleep were independently associated with increased risk of SMI. PA level and sleep had additive and multiplicative interactions on SMI risk. Compared to those with high PA level and healthy sleep, individuals with low PA and poor sleep had the highest risk of SMI (hazard ratio: 1.95; 95% CI: 1.02-3.70, P < .001) for schizophrenia; (hazard ratio: 3.81; 95% CI: 2.35-6.15) for bipolar disorder. A higher PA level may attenuate the detrimental effects of poor sleep. CONCLUSION: Both low PA and poor sleep was associated with increasing risk of late-onset SMI. Those with low PA and poor sleep had the highest risk of late-onset SMI, suggesting likely synergistic effects. Our findings supported the need to target both PA and sleep behaviors in research and clinical practice.

Genetically Determined Plasma Hepatocyte Growth Factor Levels Are Associated With the Risk and Prognosis of Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Observational studies suggest that hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) is associated with the risk and prognosis of ischemic stroke, but the causality of these associations remains unclear. Therefore, we conducted Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to explore the associations of genetically determined plasma HGF levels with the risk and prognosis of ischemic stroke. METHODS: A total of 13 single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with plasma HGF were selected as genetic instruments based on the data from a genome-wide association study with 21 758 European participants. Summary data about the risk of ischemic stroke were obtained from the MEGASTROKE (Multiancestry Genome-Wide Association Study of Stroke) Consortium with 34 217 ischemic stroke cases and 406 111 controls of European ancestry, and summary data about the prognosis of ischemic stroke were obtained from the GISCOME study (Genetics of Ischaemic Stroke Functional Outcome) with 6165 European patients with ischemic stroke. We conducted an inverse-variance weighted Mendelian randomization analysis followed by a series of sensitivity analyses to evaluate the associations of genetically determined plasma HGF with the risk and prognosis of ischemic stroke. RESULTS: The primary analyses showed that genetically determined high HGF was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (odds ratio per SD increase, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.04-1.19]; P=1.10×10-3) and poor prognosis of ischemic stroke (odds ratio per SD increase, 2.43 [95% CI, 1.76-3.52]; P=6.35×10-8). In the secondary analysis, genetically determined plasma HGF was associated with a high risk of large atherosclerotic stroke (odds ratio per SD increase, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.18-1.63]; P=5.08×10-5) but not small vessel stroke and cardioembolic stroke. Mendelian randomization-Egger regression showed no directional pleiotropy for all associations, and the sensitivity analyses with different Mendelian randomization methods further confirmed these findings. CONCLUSIONS: We found positive associations of genetically determined plasma HGF with the risk and prognosis of ischemic stroke, suggesting that HGF might be implicated in the occurrence and development of ischemic stroke.

Association of Cardiac Biomarkers in Combination With Cognitive Impairment After Acute Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Poststroke cognitive impairment is a severe and common clinical complication that constitutes a substantial global health burden. We aimed to evaluate the association of 3 cardiac biomarkers in combination with poststroke cognitive impairment and their prognostic significance. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective study included 566 patients with ischemic stroke. Cardiac biomarkers, including sST2 (soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 receptor), GDF-15 (growth differentiation factor-15), and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), were measured. Cognitive impairment was defined as a Mini-Mental State Examination score of <27 or a Montreal Cognitive Assessment score of <25 at 3 months after ischemic stroke. Odds of cognitive impairment 3 months after ischemic stroke increased with the number of elevated cardiac biomarkers (sST2, GDF-15, and NT-proBNP; Ptrend<0.001). The multivariable adjusted odds ratios (95% CIs) of cognitive impairment defined by the Mini-Mental State Examination and Montreal Cognitive Assessment were 2.45 (1.48-4.07) and 1.86 (1.10-3.14) for the participants with ≥2 elevated cardiac biomarkers, respectively, compared with those without any elevated cardiac biomarker. Additionally, higher cardiac biomarker scores were associated with an increased risk of cognitive impairment (Ptrend<0.05). Simultaneously adding all 3 cardiac biomarkers to the basic model with traditional risk factors significantly improved the risk prediction of Mini-Mental State Examination-defined cognitive impairment (net reclassification improvement=34.99%, P<0.001; integrated discrimination index=2.67%, P<0.001). Similar findings were observed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment scores. CONCLUSIONS: An increased number of elevated novel cardiac biomarkers were associated with an increased odds of poststroke cognitive impairment, suggesting that a combination of these cardiac biomarkers may improve the risk prediction of cognitive impairment. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01840072.

High-Serum Brain-Derived Neurotrophic Factor Levels Are Associated With Decreased Risk of Poststroke Cognitive Impairment.

BACKGROUND: BDNF (brain-derived neurotrophic factor) is widely implicated in the pathophysiological process of stroke, but the effect of BDNF on poststroke cognitive impairment (PSCI) remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the association between baseline serum BDNF and the risk of PSCI at 3 months in a multicenter study based on a preplanned ancillary study of the CATIS trial (China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke). METHODS: We examined serum BDNF levels at baseline and used the Mini-Mental State Examination and Montreal Cognitive Assessment to evaluate cognitive function at 3-month follow-up after ischemic stroke. PSCI was defined as Mini-Mental State Examination score <27 or Montreal Cognitive Assessment score <25. Logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between serum BDNF and the risk of 3-month PSCI. RESULTS: In this ancillary study, a total of 660 patients with ischemic stroke with hypertension were included, and 593 patients (mean age, 59.90±10.44 years; 410 males and 183 females) were finally included in this analysis. According to mini-mental state examination score, after adjustment for age, sex, education, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, APOE ɛ4 carriers, and other potential confounders, the odds ratio of PSCI for the highest tertile of BDNF was 0.60 ([95% CI, 0.39-0.94]; P=0.024) compared with the lowest tertile. Multiple-adjusted spline regression model showed a linear association of serum BDNF levels with PSCI at 3 months (P value for linearity=0.010). Adding serum BDNF to conventional prognostic factors slightly improved the risk reclassification of PSCI (net reclassification improvement: 27.46%, P=0.001; integrated discrimination index: 1.02%, P=0.015). Similar significant findings were observed when PSCI was defined by the Montreal Cognitive Assessment score. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated serum BDNF levels were associated with a decreased risk of PSCI at 3 months, suggesting that serum BDNF might be a potential predictive biomarker for PSCI among patients with ischemic stroke with hypertension.

The bidirectional association between frailty index and cardiovascular disease: A Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Observational studies have suggested a relationship between frailty and cardiovascular disease (CVD), but the causality is still uncertain. We used bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) design to investigate the potential causal associations between frailty and four main CVDs, including hypertension, myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Independent single-nucleotide polymorphisms for frailty index (FI) and CVDs (hypertension, MI, HF, and AF) were selected as genetic instruments based on European-descent genome-wide association studies (GWASs). Summary-level data for outcomes on FI (n = 175,226), hypertension (n = 463,010), MI (n = 171,875), HF (n = 977323), and AF (n = 1,030,836) was derived from five large-scale GWASs of European ancestry. We used the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method to examine the bidirectional associations between FI and CVDs in the main analyses. In the IVW MR analyses, genetically determined high FI was significantly associated with increased risks of hypertension (odds ratio [OR] per 1-SD increase: 1.07 [95 % confidence interval, 1.05-1.08]), MI (OR per 1-SD increase: 1.74 [1.21-2.51]), HF (OR per 1-SD increase: 1.28 [1.10-1.48]), and AF (OR per 1-SD increase: 1.20 [1.08-1.33]). In addition, genetically determined hypertension (beta: 1.406 [1.225-1.587]), MI (beta: 0.045 [0.023-0.067]), HF (beta: 0.105 [0.066-0.143]) and AF (beta: 0.021 [0.012-0.031]) were significantly associated with high FI. These findings were robustly supported by a series of sensitivity analyses with different MR models. CONCLUSIONS: We found potential bidirectional causal associations between elevated FI and increased risks of CVD, suggesting mutual risk factors between frailty and CVD.

Plasma Amino Acid Neurotransmitters and Ischemic Stroke Prognosis: A Multicenter Prospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Plasma amino acid neurotransmitter dysregulation is suggested to be implicated in the development of ischemic stroke, but its prognostic value for ischemic stroke remains controversial. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to prospectively investigate the associations between plasma amino acid neurotransmitters levels and adverse outcomes after ischemic stroke in a large-scale multicenter cohort study. METHODS: We measured 4 plasma amino acid neurotransmitters (glutamic acid, aspartic acid, gamma-aminobutyric acid, and glycine) among 3486 patients with ischemic stroke from 26 hospitals across China. The primary outcome is the composite outcome of death or major disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 3 mo after ischemic stroke. RESULTS: After multivariate adjustment, the odds ratios of death or major disability for the highest versus the lowest quartile were 2.04 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.60,2.59; P-trend < 0.001) for glutamic acid, 2.03 (95% CI: 1.59, 2.59; P-trend < 0.001) for aspartic acid, 1.35 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.71; P-trend = 0.016) for gamma-aminobutyric acid, and 0.54 (95% CI: 0.42, 0.69; P-trend < 0.001) for glycine. Each standard deviation increment of log-transformed glutamic acid, aspartic acid, gamma-aminobutyric acid, and glycine was associated with a 34%, 34%, and 9% increased risk, and a 23% decreased risk of death or major disability, respectively (all P < 0.05), in a linear fashion as indicated by spline regression analyses (all P for linearity < 0.05). Addition of the 4 plasma amino acid neurotransmitters to conventional risk factors significantly improved the risk reclassification, as evidenced by integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Increased glutamic acid, aspartic acid, and gamma-aminobutyric acid and decreased glycine in plasma are associated with adverse outcomes after ischemic stroke, suggesting that plasma amino acid neurotransmitters may be potential intervention targets for improving prognosis of ischemic stroke. The CATIS trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov (registration number: NCT01840072; URL: ===https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01840072?cond=NCT01840072&draw=2&rank=1).

Blood pressure control and antihypertensive medication use after discharge and prognosis of ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of consistently blood pressure (BP) control status after discharge on adverse clinical outcomes among ischemic stroke (IS) patients. METHODS: Three thousand, four hundred and six acute IS patients were included and followed up at 3 months, 12 months, and 24 months after stroke. Study outcomes were defined as death, vascular events and composite of death or vascular events. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confident interval (CI) of death and the composite outcome of death or vascular events associated with BP control and antihypertensive medication use. RESULTS: The multivariable adjusted HRs were 0.22 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.09-0.57] for death and 0.60 (95% CI: 0.39-0.97) for the composite outcome of death or vascular events among participants with consistently controlled BP compared with those with consistently uncontrolled BP. The participants with both consistently controlled BP and regular use of antihypertensive medication had the lowest risks of death [hazard ratio (HR): 0.18, 95% CI: 0.04-0.75] and composite outcome of death or vascular events (HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.29-0.98) in comparison with those with both uncontrolled BP and irregular use of antihypertensive medication. DISCUSSION: Continuous BP control and regular use of antihypertensive medications after discharge can decrease the risks of death and composite outcome of death or vascular events among IS patients, suggesting the importance of continuous BP control and regular use of antihypertensive medications after discharge for improving prognosis of IS.

Causal Effects of YKL-40 on Ischemic Stroke and Its Subtypes: A 2-Sample Mendelian Randomization Study.

Background Chitinase-3 like protein 1 (CHI3L1, YKL-40) was reported to be implicated in the development of ischemic stroke, but whether the association between them was causal remained unclear. We conducted a 2-sample Mendelian randomization study to explore the associations of genetically determined plasma YKL-40 with ischemic stroke and its subtypes (large artery stroke, small vessel stroke, and cardioembolic stroke). Methods and Results Based on genome-wide association study data of 3394 European-descent individuals, we selected 13 single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with plasma YKL-40 as genetic instruments. Summary data about ischemic stroke and its subtypes were obtained from the Multiancestry Genome-wide Association Study of Stroke Consortium, involving 34 217 ischemic stroke cases and 406 111 controls of European ancestry. We used the inverse-variance weighted method followed by a series of sensitivity analyses to assess the causal associations of plasma YKL-40 with ischemic stroke and its subtypes. The primary analysis showed that genetically determined high YKL-40 levels were associated with increased risks of large artery stroke (odds ratio [OR], 1.08 [95% CI, 1.04-1.12]; P=1.73×10-4) and small vessel stroke (OR, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.01-1.09]; P=7.96×10-3) but not with ischemic stroke or cardioembolic stroke. Sensitivity analyses further confirmed these associations, and Mendelian randomization-Egger indicated no evidence of genetic pleiotropy. In addition, supplementary analysis based on the summary data from the Olink proximity extension assay cardiovascular I (Olink CVD-I) panel showed that high YKL-40 levels were positively associated with the risks of large artery stroke (OR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.08-1.22]; P=4.16×10-6) but not with small vessel stroke. Conclusions Genetically determined high plasma YKL-40 levels were causal associated with increased risks of large artery stroke.

Association Between Prekallikrein and Stroke: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

Background High plasma prekallikrein was reported to be associated with increased risks of stroke, but the causality for these associations remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the associations of genetically predicted plasma prekallikrein concentrations with all-cause stroke, ischemic stroke, 3 ischemic stroke subtypes, and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) using a 2-sample Mendelian randomization approach. Methods and Results Seven independent prekallikrein-related single-nucleotide polymorphisms were identified as genetic instruments for prekallikrein based on a genome-wide association study with 1000 European individuals. The summary statistics for all-cause stroke, ischemic stroke, and ischemic stroke subtypes were obtained from the Multiancestry Genome-wide Association Study of Stroke Consortium with 40 585 cases and 406 111 controls of European ancestry. The summary statistics for ICH were obtained from the ISGC (International Stroke Genetics Consortium) with 1545 ICH cases and 1481 controls of European ancestry. In the main analysis, the inverse-variance weighted method was applied to estimate the associations of plasma prekallikrein concentrations with all-cause stroke, ischemic stroke, ischemic stroke subtypes, and ICH. Genetically predicted high plasma prekallikrein levels were significantly associated with elevated risks of all-cause stroke (odds ratio [OR] per SD increase, 1.04 [95% CI, 1.02-1.06]; P=5.44×10-5), ischemic stroke (OR per SD increase, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.03-1.07]; P=1.42×10-5), cardioembolic stroke (OR per SD increase, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.03-1.12]; P=3.75×10-4), and small vessel stroke (OR per SD increase, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.06-1.17]; P=3.02×10-5). However, no significant associations were observed for genetically predicted prekallikrein concentrations with large artery stroke and ICH. Conclusions This Mendelian randomization study found that genetically predicted high plasma prekallikrein concentrations were associated with increased risks of all-cause stroke, ischemic stroke, cardioembolic stroke, and small vessel stroke, indicating that prekallikrein might have a critical role in the development of stroke.

Plasma homeostatic chemokines CCL19 and CCL21 and the prognosis of ischemic stroke in two Chinese prospective cohorts.

BACKGROUND: The homeostatic chemokines CCL19 and CCL21 are involved in carotid plaque vulnerability and post-ischemic neuroinflammatory responses. This study aimed to examine the prognostic values of CCL19 and CCL21 in ischemic stroke. METHODS: Plasma CCL19 and CCL21 were measured in 4483 ischemic stroke patients from two independent cohorts of CATIS (China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke) and IIPAIS (Infectious Factors, Inflammatory Markers, and Prognosis of Acute Ischemic Stroke), and participants were followed up at 3 months after stroke. The primary outcome was the composite outcome of death or major disability. The associations of CCL19 and CCL21 levels with the primary outcome were examined. RESULTS: In CATIS, multivariable-adjusted odds ratios of the primary outcome in the highest quartiles of CCL19 and CCL21 compared with the lowest quartiles were 2.06 and 2.62, respectively. In IIPAIS, odds ratios of the primary outcome in the highest quartiles of CCL19 and CCL21 were 2.81 and 2.78 compared with the lowest quartiles, respectively. In the pooled analysis of the two cohorts, odds ratios of the primary outcome associated with the highest quartiles of CCL19 and CCL21 were 2.24 and 2.66, respectively. Similar findings were observed in the analysis with major disability, death, and the composite outcome of death or cardiovascular events as the secondary study outcomes. Adding CCL19 and CCL21 to conventional risk factors significantly improved risk reclassification and discrimination for adverse outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Both CCL19 and CCL21 levels were independently associated with adverse outcomes within 3 months after ischemic stroke and should be further investigated for risk stratification and potential therapeutic targets of ischemic stroke.

HS-CRP Modifies the Prognostic Value of Platelet Count for Clinical Outcomes After Ischemic Stroke.

Background We examined whether the relationship between baseline platelet count and clinical outcomes is modulated by HS-CRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) in patients with ischemic stroke. Methods and Results A total of 3267 patients with ischemic stroke were included in the analysis. The primary outcome was a combination of death and major disability at 1 year after ischemic stroke. Secondary outcomes included major disability, death, vascular events, composite outcome of vascular events or death, and an ordered 7-level categorical score of the modified Rankin Scale at 1 year. Multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the association between the baseline platelet count and clinical outcomes stratified by HS-CRP levels when appropriate. There was an interaction effect of platelet count and HS-CRP on the adverse clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke (all Pinteraction<0.05). The elevated platelet count was significantly associated with the primary outcome (odds ratio [OR], 3.14 [95% CI, 1.77-5.58]), major disability (OR, 2.07 [95% CI, 1.15-3.71]), death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.75 [95% CI, 1.31-5.79]), and composite outcome of vascular events or death (HR, 2.57 [95% CI, 1.38-4.87]) among patients with high HS-CRP levels (all Ptrend<0.05). Conclusions The HS-CRP levels had a modifying effect on the association between platelet count and clinical outcomes in patients with ischemic stroke. Elevated platelet count was significantly associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with ischemic stroke with high HS-CRP levels, but not in those with low HS-CRP levels. These findings suggest that strategies for anti-inflammatory and antiplatelet therapy should be developed according to the results of both platelet and HS-CRP testing.

High Serum Brain-Derived Neurotrophic Factor Is Associated With Decreased Risks of Poor Prognosis After Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: BDNF (brain-derived neurotrophic factor) has been implicated in cardiovascular homeostasis and ischemic stroke pathogenesis. We aimed to prospectively investigate the associations between serum BDNF levels and the prognosis of ischemic stroke in a multicenter cohort study. METHODS: This prospective study follows the STROBE reporting guideline. Serum BDNF concentrations were measured in 3319 ischemic stroke patients from the China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke between August 2009 and May 2013 in 26 hospitals across China. The primary outcome was the composite outcome of death and major disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 3 months after stroke onset. Multivariate logistic regression or Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to assess the associations between serum BDNF levels and adverse clinical outcomes. RESULTS: During the 3-month follow-up period, 827 (24.92%) patients experienced a primary outcome, including 734 major disabilities and 93 deaths. After adjusting for age, sex, and other important prognostic factors, elevated serum BDNF levels were associated with decreased risks of primary outcome (odds ratio, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.58-0.93]), major disability (odds ratio, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.62-0.99]), death (hazard ratio, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.32-0.97]), and the composite outcome of death and vascular events (hazard ratio, 0.61 [95% CI, 0.40-0.93]) when 2 extreme tertiles were compared. Multivariable-adjusted spline regression analyses showed a linear association between serum BDNF levels and the primary outcome (P value for linearity=0.005). The addition of BDNF to conventional risk factors slightly improved reclassification for the primary outcome (net reclassification improvement: 19.33%; P<0.001; integrated discrimination index: 0.24%; P=0.011). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated serum BDNF concentrations were independently associated with decreased risks of adverse outcomes after ischemic stroke, suggesting that serum BDNF may be a potential biomarker for prognosis after ischemic stroke. Further studies are warranted to investigate the potential therapeutic benefit of BDNF for ischemic stroke.

Associations of Rheumatoid Factor, Rheumatoid Arthritis, and Interleukin-6 Inhibitor with the Prognosis of Ischemic Stroke: a Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study and Mendelian Randomization Analysis.

Rheumatoid factor (RF), an established diagnostic biomarker for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), is associated with cardiovascular diseases, but its impact on clinical outcomes of ischemic stroke remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the observational associations between serum RF and prognosis of ischemic stroke, and further examined the genetic associations of RA and its therapeutic strategy, interleukin-6 (IL-6) inhibitor, with prognosis of ischemic stroke. We measured serum RF levels in 3474 Chinese ischemic stroke patients from the China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke. The primary outcome was the composite outcome of death or major disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 3 months after stroke onset. Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were performed to examine the associations of genetically predicted RA and IL-6 inhibition with prognosis of ischemic stroke. During 3 months of follow-up, 866 patients (25.43%) experienced death or major disability. After multivariate adjustment, RF-positive was significantly associated with a high risk of primary outcome (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.08-2.00; P =0.016) compared with RF-negative. The two-sample MR analyses suggested that genetically predicted RA was associated with an increased risk of primary outcome (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.18; P=0.021), while genetically predicted IL-6 inhibition was associated with a decreased risk of primary outcome (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.77-0.99; P=0.041). We found that positive RF was associated with increased risks of adverse outcomes after atherosclerotic ischemic stroke, and genetically predicted RA and IL-6 inhibition increased and decreased the risks of adverse outcomes after ischemic stroke, respectively.

Intercellular adhesion molecule 4 and ischemic stroke: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Experimental studies suggested that intercellular adhesion molecule 4 (ICAM-4) might be implicated in ischemic stroke, but the population-based evidence on the relationship between ICAM-4 and ischemic stroke were limited. Herein, we performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to investigate the associations of genetically determined plasma ICAM-4 with the risks of ischemic stroke and its subtypes. METHODS: A total of 11 single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with ICAM-4 were selected as instrumental variables based on the genome-wide association studies (GWAS) with 3,301 European individuals. Summary-level data about ischemic stroke and its subtypes were obtained from the Multi-ancestry GWAS launched by the International Stroke Genetics Consortium. We used the inverse-variance weighted method followed by a series of sensitivity analyses to evaluate the associations of genetically determined ICAM-4 with the risks of ischemic stroke and its subtypes. RESULTS: Genetically determined higher ICAM-4 levels were significantly associated with increased risks of ischemic stroke (in the IVW method fitted to multiplicative random effects model: odds ratio [OR] per standard deviation [SD] increase, 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.07; P = 0.006; in the IVW analysis with fixed effects model: OR per SD increase, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07; P = 0.003) and cardioembolic stroke (in multiplicative random effects model: OR per SD increase, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.02-1.14; P = 0.004; in fixed effects model: OR per SD increase, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03-1.13; P = 0.003). There was no association of ICAM-4 with the risks of large artery stroke and small vessel stroke. MR-Egger regression showed no directional pleiotropy for all associations, and the sensitivity analyses with different MR methods further confirmed these findings. CONCLUSIONS: We found positive associations of genetically determined plasma ICAM-4 with the risks of ischemic stroke and cardioembolic stroke. Future studies are needed to explore the detailed mechanism and investigate the targeting effect of ICAM-4 on ischemic stroke.

Identification of potential causal metabolites associated with atopic dermatitis.

Atopic dermatitis is a chronically recurrent dermatologic disease affected by complex pathophysiology with limited therapeutic options. To identify promising biomarkers for atopic dermatitis, we conducted a Mendelian randomization (MR) study to systematically screen blood metabolome for potential causal mediators of atopic dermatitis and further predict target-mediated side effects. We selected 128 unique blood metabolites from three European-descent metabolome genome-wide association studies (GWASs) with a total of 147 827 participants. Atopic dermatitis dataset originated from a large-scale GWAS including 10 788 cases and 30 047 controls of European ancestry. MR analyses were performed to estimate the associations of blood metabolites with atopic dermatitis. We then applied a phenome-wide MR analysis to ascertain potential on-target side effects of metabolite intervention. Three metabolites were identified as potential causal mediators for atopic dermatitis, including docosahexaenoic acid (odds ratio [OR], 0.87; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81-0.94; P = 3.45 × 10-4), arachidonate (OR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.17-0.53; P = 4.09 × 10-5) and 1-arachidonoylglycerophosphoethanolamine (1-arachidonoyl-GPE) (OR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.12-0.53; P = 2.58 × 10-4). In the phenome-wide MR analysis, docosahexaenoic acid and arachidonate were also identified to have beneficial or detrimental effects on multiple diseases beyond atopic dermatitis, respectively. No adverse side effects were found for 1-arachidonoyl-GPE. In this systematic MR study, docosahexaenoic acid, arachidonate and 1-arachidonoyl-GPE were identified as potential causal and beneficial mediators in the development of atopic dermatitis. Side-effect profiles were characterized to help inform drug target prioritization, and 1-arachidonoyl-GPE was a promising target for prevention and treatment of atopic dermatitis with no predicted adverse side effects.

Association between human blood metabolome and the risk of breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women with limited treatment options. To identify promising drug targets for breast cancer, we conducted a systematical Mendelian randomization (MR) study to screen blood metabolome for potential causal mediators of breast cancer and further predict target-mediated side effects. METHODS: We selected 112 unique blood metabolites from 3 large-scale European ancestry-based genome-wide association studies (GWASs) with a total of 147,827 participants. Breast cancer data were obtained from a GWAS in the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC), involving 122,977 cases and 105,974 controls of European ancestry. We conducted MR analyses to systematically assess the associations of blood metabolites with breast cancer, and a phenome-wide MR analysis was further applied to ascertain the potential on-target side effects of metabolite interventions. RESULTS: Two blood metabolites were identified as the potential causal mediators for breast cancer, including high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (odds ratio [OR], 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-1.12; P = 9.67 × 10-10) and acetate (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.13-1.37; P = 1.35 × 10-5). In the phenome-wide MR analysis, lowering HDL-C might have deleterious effects on the risk of the circulatory system and foreign body injury, while lowering acetate had deleterious effects on mental disorders disease. CONCLUSIONS: The present systematic MR analysis revealed that HDL-C and acetate may be the causal mediators in the risk of developing breast cancer. Side-effect profiles were characterized to help inform drug target prioritization for breast cancer prevention. HDL-C and acetate might be promising drug targets for preventing breast cancer, but they should be applied under weighting advantages and disadvantages.

Osteoprotegerin and Ischemic Stroke Prognosis: A Prospective Multicenter Study and Mendelian Randomization Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Osteoprotegerin was implicated in vascular injury and inflammatory responses, but its prognostic value in ischemic stroke remained unclear. We aimed to prospectively investigate the association between plasma osteoprotegerin and ischemic stroke prognosis combined with a Mendelian randomization analysis. METHODS: Our prospective study follows the STROBE (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) reporting guideline. We measured baseline plasma osteoprotegerin levels for 3490 ischemic stroke patients recruited between August 2009 and May 2013 in 26 hospitals across China. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of death and major disability at 3 months after ischemic stroke. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, sex, admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, and other important covariates, elevated osteoprotegerin levels were associated with increased risks of primary outcome (odds ratio, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.05-1.88]), death (hazard ratio, 2.05 [95% CI, 1.04-4.08]), and composite outcome of death and vascular events (hazard ratio, 2.00 [95% CI, 1.15-3.48]) when 2 extreme quartiles were compared. Each 1-SD higher log-osteoprotegerin was associated with a 18% (95% CI, 6%-32%) increased risk of primary outcome, 69% (95% CI, 31%-118%) increased risk of death, and 53% (95% CI, 24%-89%) increased risk of composite outcome of death and vascular events, respectively. Multiple-adjusted spline regression model showed a linear association of osteoprotegerin with primary outcome (P for linearity <0.001). Adding osteoprotegerin to conventional risk factors did not significantly improve discriminatory power (C statistics, 0.817 versus 0.818; P=0.232) but did slightly improve the risk reclassification of primary outcome (net reclassification improvement: 13.68%, P<0.001; integrated discrimination improvement: 0.23%, P=0.039). In Mendelian randomization analysis, genetically determined high plasma osteoprotegerin was associated with increased risk of primary outcome (odds ratio, 5.74 [95% CI, 1.12-29.44]; P=0.036). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated plasma osteoprotegerin was associated with poor prognosis of ischemic stroke, and genetically determined high plasma osteoprotegerin was associated with an increased risk of primary outcome in Mendelian randomization analysis. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT01840072.

Association between myeloperoxidase and the risks of ischemic stroke, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation: A Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The causality between myeloperoxidase (MPO) and cardiovascular disease still remains unclear. We performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to estimate the potential causal effect of MPO on the risks of ischemic stroke, ischemic stroke subtypes, heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Seventeen independent single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with MPO levels were identified as instrumental variables from a European-descent genome-wide association study. Summary-level data on ischemic stroke originated from the Multiancestry Genome-wide Association Study of Stroke Consortium with 440 328 European individuals. We used the inverse-variance weighted method to assess the potential causality of plasma MPO with ischemic stroke and its subtypes in the main analysis. Genetically determined higher plasma MPO concentration was significantly associated with increased risks of ischemic stroke (odds ratio [OR] per standard deviation [SD] increase, 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.09; P = 0.002) and cardioembolic stroke (CES) (OR per SD increase, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.03-1.18; P = 0.005), but was not associated with risks of large artery stroke or small vessel stroke. In the secondary analysis, MPO was associated with a high risk of HF (OR per SD increase, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.02-1.07; P = 0.001) and AF (OR per SD increase, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07; P = 0.004). MR-Egger regression showed no directional pleiotropy for all associations, and the sensitivity analyses further confirmed these findings. CONCLUSION: High plasma MPO levels were potentially associated with increased risks of ischemic stroke, CES, HF, and AF, suggesting that MPO plays an important role in the development of cardiovascular disease.