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Background: Stroke remains a significant global health challenge, with persistent disparities in burden across different countries and regions. This study aimed to assess the temporal trends in cross-country inequalities of stroke and its subtypes burden from 1990 to 2021. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021. The age-standardised disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate (ASDR) was used to assess the burden of stroke and its subtypes (ischemic stroke, intracerebral haemorrhage, and subarachnoid haemorrhage) across 21 GBD regions and 204 countries. The slope index of inequality (SII) and the concentration index were calculated to quantify the absolute and relative cross-country inequalities in the burden of stroke and its subtypes, with negative values indicating a higher burden in lower socio-demographic index (SDI) countries, and positive values indicating a higher burden in higher SDI countries. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to illustrate temporal trends at global and regional levels from 1990 to 2021. The inequality changing patterns from 1990 to 2021 were classified as worsening, improving, and shifting to higher burdens among higher or lower SDI countries. Findings: From 1990 to 2021, the ASDR of total stroke decreased from 3078.95 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 2893.58, 3237.34) to 1886.20 (95% UI: 1738.99, 2017.90) per 100,000 population globally. While both absolute and relative inequalities increased, with a disproportionately higher burden shouldered by countries with lower SDI. The SII of total stroke exhibited a worsening inequality among lower SDI countries, increasing by 286.97 units from -2329.47 (95% confidence interval [CI]: -2857.50, -1801.43) in 1990 to -2616.44 (95% CI: -2987.33, -2245.56) in 2021. Similarly, the concentration index of total stroke increased by 0.03 from -0.0819 (95% CI: -0.1143, -0.0495) in 1990 to -0.1119 (95% CI: -0.1478, -0.0759) in 2021. The changing patterns from 1990 to 2021 were diverse across regions, yet most regions exhibited a worsening inequality among lower SDI countries in both SII and concentration index. Southern Sub-Saharan Africa showed the largest worsening inequality in SII (EAPC: -2.15, 95% CI: -2.71, -1.57) while Central Europe showed the largest worsening inequality in concentration index (EAPC: -0.51, 95% CI: -0.58, -0.44). In 2021, the highest negative SII was observed in Oceania and the highest negative concentration index was in the Caribbean. In terms of subtypes, ischemic stroke reported a worsening inequality among lower SDI countries in SII (EAPC: -2.13, 95% CI: -2.20, -2.05) while intracerebral haemorrhage showed an improving inequality in SII (EAPC: 0.44, 95% CI: 0.40, 0.47). SII in subarachnoid haemorrhage (EAPC: -0.18, 95% CI: -0.19, -0.17) and concentration index in ischemic stroke (EAPC: -0.25, 95% CI: -0.27, -0.23) presented a shift to higher burden among lower SDI countries from 1990 to 2021. Interpretation: Although the burden of stroke and its subtypes decreased from 1990 to 2021, inequalities have persisted and even widened in some regions. Timely and effective prevention and management strategies for stroke and its subtypes are needed in specific areas to reduce the stroke burden and achieve equity in health outcomes. Funding: None.
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ABSTRACT: Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the temporal trends from 1990 to 2019 of neck pain burden, focusing on age-standardized incidence rates, age-standardized prevalence rates, and age-standardized years lived with disability (YLDs) rates at the global, regional, and national levels. The age-period-cohort analysis was used to estimate the effects of age (5-99 years), period (1990-2019), and cohort (1893-2012) at the global, regional, and national levels. Future projections for the global burden of neck pain from 2020 to 2044 were estimated using the nordpred age-period-cohort model. From 1990 to 2019, the global incidence, prevalence cases, and YLDs counts of neck pain have increased by 71.89%, 98.21%, and 78.17%, respectively. The joinpoint analysis indicated significant shifts in the global trends of age-standardized neck pain burden, which varied across regions and nations. The age-period-cohort model indicated that the neck pain burden was predominantly concentrated in middle-aged and older age, with period and cohort effects showing minimal variation from 1990 to 2019. Compared with 2019, the incident cases, prevalent cases, and YLDs counts of neck pain were projected to increase by 134%, 142%, and 140% by 2044. The global burden of neck pain has persisted at a relatively elevated level from 1990 to 2019, with projections indicating a continuing upward trend. Future research is urgently needed to better understand the predictors and clinical course of neck pain and to enhance prevention and management strategies.
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BACKGROUND: Sensory impairment (SI), as prevalent condition among the elderly, presents a substantial public health burden. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association of cumulative and individual adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) with SI. METHODS: Chinese residents aged 45 years and above were recruited from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study 2011-2018, using stratified random sampling. The number of ACEs was classified into "0 ACE", "1 to 3 ACEs", and "≥4 ACEs". SI was assessed with self-rated visual or hearing status. SI categories included single sensory impairment (SSI), which can be divided into single vision impairment and single hearing impairment. Possessing both vision impairment and hearing impairment was considered as dual sensory impairment (DSI). Longitudinal SI progression encompassed "maintained no SI", "no SI to SSI", "no SI to DSI", "maintained SSI", "SSI to DSI", and "maintained DSI". Logistic regression and restricted cubic splines models were used for analysis. RESULTS: A total of 6812 participants entered the cross-sectional analysis and 5299 entered the longitudinal analysis. Compared to 0 ACE, ≥4 ACEs had a positive association with DSI (OR = 1.57, 95 % CI = 1.20-2.06) but not with single vision impairment (OR = 1.17, 95 % CI: 0.88-1.55) or single hearing impairment (OR = 1.10, 95 % CI: 0.71-1.70), and this association was observed only in females (OR = 1.73, 95 % CI = 1.20-2.51). A linear association was found between cumulative ACEs and both single vision impairment (p = 0.044) and DSI (p < 0.001). Compared to 0 ACE, ≥4 ACEs was associated with a higher risk of progression from SSI to DSI (OR = 1.71, 95 % CI = 1.03-2.84), and the maintained DSI (OR = 2.23, 95 % CI =1.37-3.65). CONCLUSION: ACEs were found to be associated with an increased risk and more severe progression of SI later in life. It is imperative to address different types of ACE and incorporate sex-specific measures to mitigate the enduring sensory impact of ACEs.