RESUMO
BACKGROUND: There is currently no existing consensus regarding timing of knee arthroplasty. This study aimed to develop a weighted scoring system from patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) to guide timing of knee arthroplasty based on preoperative severity and long-term effectiveness. METHODS: Prospectively collected data of 766 total knee arthroplasties (TKAs) and 382 unicompartmental knee arthroplasties (UKAs) at a single institution were analyzed. PROMs were assessed preoperatively and at 10 years using the Knee Society Score (KSS), Oxford Knee Score (OKS), and Short Form-36 physical component score (SF-36 PCS). Receiver operating characteristic analysis identified thresholds where preoperative PROMs predicted 10-year clinically meaningful improvements (minimal clinically important difference [MCID]). Threshold weights were assigned to PROMs based on their ability to predict MCID in isolation or in combination. RESULTS: Poorer baseline PROMs predicted 10-year MCID attainments. The threshold of 49.5 points for the KSS, 30.5 points for the OKS, and 40.7 points for the SF-36 PCS and 55.5 points for the KSS, 33.5 points for the OKS, and 40.5 points for the SF-36 PCS was weighted 1 point for predicting MCID in 1 PROM for TKA and UKA, respectively. The threshold of 33.4 and 33.9 points for the SF-36 PCS was weighted 2 points for predicting MCID in 2 PROMs, whereas 29.3 and 31.3 points for the SF-36 PCS were weighted 3 points for predicting MCID in 3 PROMs for TKA and UKA, respectively. The sum of weighted components from 0 (lowest) to 5 (highest) represented likelihood for long-term benefits at 10 years. CONCLUSION: This scoring system is a useful clinical adjunct for deciding timing of knee arthroplasty and prioritizing patients in institutions with long waitlists. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II.