Automated use of WHONET and SaTScan to detect outbreaks of Shigella spp. using antimicrobial resistance phenotypes.

Antimicrobial resistance is a priority emerging public health threat, and the ability to detect promptly outbreaks caused by resistant pathogens is critical for resistance containment and disease control efforts. We describe and evaluate the use of an electronic laboratory data system (WHONET) and a space-time permutation scan statistic for semi-automated disease outbreak detection. In collaboration with WHONET-Argentina, the national network for surveillance of antimicrobial resistance, we applied the system to the detection of local and regional outbreaks of Shigella spp. We searched for clusters on the basis of genus, species, and resistance phenotype and identified 19 statistical 'events' in a 12-month period. Of the six known outbreaks reported to the Ministry of Health, four had good or suggestive agreement with SaTScan-detected events. The most discriminating analyses were those involving resistance phenotypes. Electronic laboratory-based disease surveillance incorporating statistical cluster detection methods can enhance infectious disease outbreak detection and response.

Using encounters versus episodes in syndromic surveillance.

BACKGROUND: Automated electronic medical records may be useful for syndromic surveillance to quickly detect infectious disease outbreaks. Some syndromic surveillance systems include every encounter in the analysis, whereas others exclude individuals' repeat encounters within the same syndrome occurring within a short period of time, with the rationale that these represent follow-up visits rather than new episodes of illness. METHODS: We evaluate the effect of keeping all encounters as compared with removing repeat encounters. Using the prospective space-time permutation scan statistic, we performed daily analyses on all encounters versus on episodes defined as encounters new within 2, 6 or 12 weeks. Data were taken from a Massachusetts Health Maintenance Organization (HMO) for the calendar year 1999 for four different syndromes. RESULTS: We found extensive disagreement in the number of signals detected: 70, 68, 21 and 15 signals when using all encounters versus 15-20, 3, 4-5 and 0 signals when using only new episodes for lower respiratory, lower gastrointestinal, upper gastrointestinal and neurologic syndromes, respectively. CONCLUSION: Using all encounters in syndromic surveillance may not only create too many signals but may also miss some signals by masking the anomalies generated by actual episodes. However, it is also possible to miss signals when using episodes.

The increasing incidence of pertussis in Massachusetts adolescents and adults, 1989-1998.

From 1989 to 1998, the incidence of pertussis increased in Massachusetts adolescents and adults, reaching 71 and 5 per 100,000, respectively, by 1998, whereas the incidence in children remained stable. By 1998, 92% of cases occurred in adolescents and adults. Nationally, in contrast, adolescents and adults had incidences of only 5 and 0.8 per 100,000, respectively, and accounted for 47% of cases. The availability of a specific serologic test and active surveillance by public health personnel in Massachusetts are at least partial explanations. The rise in incidence may be real, however, because, as diagnostic efforts increased, the percentage of patients with a positive serologic test result also increased. Cases identified in adolescents and adults were quite severe: 83% and 87%, respectively, experienced paroxysmal cough, 45% and 41% experienced vomiting, and 41% and 52% experienced a cough lasting >4 weeks. Administration of acellular pertussis vaccine in these age groups could prevent this substantial morbidity.

Evidence for transmission of pertussis in schools, Massachusetts, 1996: epidemiologic data supported by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis studies.

In 1996, 18 of 20 pertussis outbreaks reported in Massachusetts occurred in schools. Pertussis surveillance data were reviewed and a retrospective cohort study was conducted in a high school that experienced an outbreak. Bordetella pertussis isolates from 9 school cases and from 58 cases statewide were examined by use of pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). Statewide incidence rates were highest among children aged <1 year, 10-14 years, and 15-19 years (106, 117, and 104 cases per 100,000, respectively). Among 34 confirmed and 20 probable cases at the school, 61% had cough onset within 8 weeks of school opening. Five different PFGE types were identified among the 58 B. pertussis isolates from throughout the state. All 9 isolates from the affected high school were the same PFGE type. School-aged children may play an important role in pertussis epidemics. Consideration should be given to use of acellular pertussis vaccines among school-aged children.

Bordetella holmesii-like organisms isolated from Massachusetts patients with pertussis-like symptoms.

We isolated Bordetella holmesii, generally associated with septicemia in patients with underlying conditions, from nasopharyngeal specimens of otherwise healthy young persons with a cough. The proportion of B. holmesii-positive specimens submitted to the Massachusetts State Laboratory Institute increased from 1995 to 1998.