The analysis of a new fractional model to the Zika virus infection with mutant.

We present a new mathematical model to analyze the dynamics of the Zika virus (ZV) disease with the mutant under the real confirmed cases in Colombia. We give the formulation of the model initially in integer order derivative and then extend it to a fractional order system in the sense of the Mittag-Leffler kernel. We study the properties of the model in the Mittag-Leffler kernel and establish the result. The basic reproduction of the fractional system is computed. The equilibrium points of the Zika virus model are obtained and found that the endemic equilibria exist when the threshold is greater than unity. Further, we show that the model does not possess the backward bifurcation phenomenon. The numerical procedure to solve the problem using the Atangana-Baleanu derivative is shown using the newly established numerical scheme. We consider the real cases of the Zika virus in Colombia outbreak are considered and simulate the model using the nonlinear least square curve fit and computed the basic reproduction number R0=0.4942, whereas in previous work (Alzahrani et al., 2021) [1], the authors computed the basic reproduction number R0=0.5447. This is due to the fact that our work in the present paper provides better fitting to the data when using the fractional order model, and indeed the result regarding the data fitting using the fractional model is better than integer order model. We give a sensitivity analysis of the parameters involved in the basic reproduction number and show them graphically. The results obtained through the present numerical method converge to its equilibrium for the fractional order, indicating the proposed scheme's reliability.

Mathematical modeling of corona virus (COVID-19) and stability analysis.

In this paper, the mathematical modeling of the novel corona virus (COVID-19) is considered. A brief relationship between the unknown hosts and bats is described. Then the interaction among the seafood market and peoples is studied. After that, the proposed model is reduced by assuming that the seafood market has an adequate source of infection that is capable of spreading infection among the people. The reproductive number is calculated and it is proved that the proposed model is locally asymptotically stable when the reproductive number is less than unity. Then, the stability results of the endemic equilibria are also discussed. To understand the complex dynamical behavior, fractal-fractional derivative is used. Therefore, the proposed model is then converted to fractal-fractional order model in Atangana-Baleanu (AB) derivative and solved numerically by using two different techniques. For numerical simulation Adam-Bash Forth method based on piece-wise Lagrangian interpolation is used. The infection cases for Jan-21, 2020, till Jan-28, 2020 are considered. Then graphical consequences are compared with real reported data of Wuhan city to demonstrate the efficiency of the method proposed by us.

Tangent nonlinear equation in context of fractal fractional operators with nonsingular kernel.

In this manuscript, we investigate the approximate solutions to the tangent nonlinear packaging equation in the context of fractional calculus. It is an important equation because shock and vibrations are unavoidable circumstances for the packaged goods during transport from production plants to the consumer. We consider the fractal fractional Caputo operator and Atangana-Baleanu fractal fractional operator with nonsingular kernel to obtain the numerical consequences. Both fractal fractional techniques are equally good, but the Atangana-Baleanu Caputo method has an edge over Caputo method. For illustrations and clarity of our main results, we provided the numerical simulations of the approximate solutions and their physical interpretations. This paper contributes to the new applications of fractional calculus in packaging systems.

Hopf bifurcation and global dynamics of time delayed Dengue model.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Dengue viral infections are a standout amongst the supreme critical mosquito-borne illnesses nowadays. They create problems like dengue fever (DF), dengue stun disorder (DSS) and dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF). Lately, the frequency of DHF has expanded considerably. Dengue may be caused by one of serotypes DEN-1 to DEN-4. For the most part, septicity with one serotype presents upcoming defensive resistance against that specific serotype yet not against different serotypes. When anyone is infected for a second time with different serotypes, a serious ailment will occur. The proposed model focused on the dynamic interaction between susceptible cells and free virus cells. The ailment free steady states of the specimen are determined. The steadiness of the steady states has been examined by using Laplace transform. METHODS: We introduce an appropriate numerical technique based on an Adams Bash-forth Moulton method for non-integer order delay differential equations. The numerical simulations validate the accuracy and efficacy of the numerical method. RESULTS: In this paper, we study a non-integer order model with temporal delay to elaborate the dynamics of Dengue internal transmission dynamics. The temporal delay is presented in the susceptible cell and free virus cell. Centered on non-integer Laplace transform, some environs on firmness and Hopf bifurcation are derived for the model. Beside these global stability analysis is also done. Lastly, the imitative theoretical results are justified by few numerical simulations. CONCLUSION: The study spectacles that the non-integer order with temporal-delay can successfully enhance the dynamics and rejuvenate the steadiness terms of non-integer order septicity prototypes. Both the ailment free equilibrium (AFE) node and ailment persistent equilibrium (APE) node are steady for the given system. We deduce a recipe that regulates the critical value at threshold.