Optimal PSA density threshold and predictive factors for the detection of clinically significant prostate cancer in patient with a PI-RADS 3 lesion on MRI.

INTRODUCTION: While Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) 4 and 5 lesions usually justify prostate biopsy (PBx), the management of a PI-RADS 3 lesion can be discussed. The aim of our study was to determine the optimal prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD) threshold and predictive factors of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) in patients with a PI-RADS 3 lesion on MRI. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Using our prospectively maintained database, we conducted a monocentric retrospective study, including all patients with a clinical suspicious of prostate cancer (PCa), all of them had a PI-RADS 3 lesion on the mpMRI prior to PBx. Patients under active surveillance or displaying suspicious digital rectal examination were excluded. Clinically significant (csPCa) was defined as PCa with any ISUP grade group ≥ 2 (Gleason ≥ 3 + 4). RESULTS: We included 158 patients. The detection rate of csPCa was 22.2%. In case of PSAD ≤ 0.15 ng/ml/cm3, PBx would be omitted in 71.5% (113/158) of men at the cost of missing 15.0% (17/113) of csPCa. With a threshold of 0.15 ng/ml/cm3, the sensitivity and the specificity were 0.51 and 0.78 respectively. The positive predictive value was 0.40 and the negative predictive value was 0.85. According to multivariate analysis, age (OR = 1.10, CI95% 1.03-1.19, P = 0.007), and PSAD ≥ 0.15 ng/ml/cm3 (OR = 3.59, CI95% 1.41-9.47, P = 0.008) were independent predictive factors of csPCa. Previous negative PBx was negatively associated with csPCa (OR = 0.24, CI 95% 0.07-0.66, P = 0.01). CONCLUSION: Our result suggests that the optimal PSAD threshold was 0.15 ng/ml/cm3. However, in this case omitting PBx in 71.5% of cases would be at the cost of missing 15.0% of csPCa. PSAD should not be used alone, other predictive factors as age and PBx history should also be considered in the discussion with the patient, to avoid PBx while missing few csPCa.

Impact of Multiparametric MRI and PSA Density on the Initial Indication or the Maintaining in Active Surveillance During Follow-Up in low-Risk Prostate Cancer.

INTRODUCTION: A greater selection of candidates for active surveillance (AS) of prostate cancer (PCa) may decrease the rate of delayed treatment. We aimed to study: 1) the impact of MRI and PSA density (PSAd) at baseline on the final status, and 2) the impact of bio-clinical features during the follow-up on pursuing AS. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective, monocentric study between June 2013 and July 2020, included 99 patients in AS (median follow-up: 19 months [18-92]). All MRI were reviewed by a single radiologist. Lost to follow-up were 17 patients and 6 patients chose treatment by themselves. Treatment was proposed in case of upgrading (≥ GG2) or increasing PCa volume. RESULTS: Impact of MRI and PSAd at baseline:  Combining PSAd ≤ 0.15 and PIRADS ≤ 3, the probability to remain in AS was 72%. This rate reached 83% when PSAd ≤ 0.10 was associated to normal MRI.  During follow-up:  One hundred fifty-seven prostatic biopsies (PBx) were performed and 38 (24%) found PCa upgrading. The association between negative MRI and PSAd ≤ 0.10, during follow-up, had an excellent NPV to predict treatment (95%). This combination concerned 25% (37/151) of surveillance biopsies that could have been avoided at the cost of delaying upgrading in 3% (1/37). In multivariate analysis, only PIRADS ≥ 4 before PBx was associated to a risk of treatment during follow-up (OR, 10.4 [95% CI, 4.2-25.8]; P < .0001). CONCLUSION: Using PSAd and MRI at baseline to select patients showed excellent performances to predict the maintenance in AS. During follow-up, MRI PIRADS ≥ 4 was associated to an increased risk of treatment.